Vallejo is again the nation’s hottest real estate market, followed by San Jose and San Francisco, new index says

7d15a SJM L UNDER500K 0729 01 Vallejo is again the nations hottest real estate market, followed by San Jose and San Francisco, new index says

Not San Francisco and not San Jose.

Once again, Vallejo is the hottest real estate market in the country, according to realtor.com. It’s the second month in a row that Vallejo has ranked No. 1 in the monthly “hotness” index, which now puts the San Jose- Sunnyvale-Santa Clara metropolitan area in the No. 2 spot and ranks the San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward metro at No. 3.

The index measures where houses are selling the fastest and which markets are generating the most listing views on realtor.com. And while the second criterion might seem random — after all, realtor.com may simply get heavier use in some places than others — the latest rankings broadly reflect what’s been happening in the Bay Area real estate market.

Namely, they reflect this trend: The outer fringes of the Bay Area are growing rapidly as more and more home buyers migrate to more affordable areas, often continuing to commute back to decent-paying jobs in the core Bay Area. This migration is not purely anecdotal — anyone who has been caught in freeway gridlock near the once sleepy towns of Lathrop or Manteca will attest to the hard reality of the phenomenon.

Vallejo turns out to be a logical place to register “hotness.” It is in Solano County, where the median price of a single family home has been hovering around $400,000, about half the regional median. It boasts attractive vintage housing stock and is a ferry ride away from jobs in San Francisco.

And the typical house spends 31 days on market before the deal is sealed, as opposed to 29 days in the San Jose metro and 32 days in the San Francisco metro.

The August “hotness” index includes numerous metropolitan areas in the Bay Area’s outer fringes, including the Central Valley, which is increasingly popular for mega-commuters.

The Stockton-Lodi metro is the fifth hottest in the nation, according to the index. The Sacramento-Roseville-Arden-Arcade metro is No. 10.

Modesto is No. 12.

Santa Rosa is No. 14 and Fresno is No. 15.

Dreams of affordability are growing ever more distant.

Top: Photo of two-bedroom home in Vallejo that recently sold for $410,500. (Courtesy of Skip Dodge/Kennon Realty)

 

 

 


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Article source: http://www.siliconbeat.com/2017/08/28/vallejo-nations-hottest-real-estate-market-followed-san-jose-san-francisco-new-index-says/

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An indicator of future home sales in San Francisco is plunging


9218e shutterstock215227885 An indicator of future home sales in San Francisco is plungingRichard Thornton/Shutterstock

Real estate agents listed three reasons for the debacle of
pending home sales in the state of California in July:

Lack of inventory for sale. This was the top
reason for 30% of brokers. The math is starting to bite: more
people are stuck in their homes as prices have soared all
around, and as mortgage payments needed to finance an
equivalent or nicer home have moved out of reach.

Declining housing
affordability
 and “high interest
rates” – which are near historic lows! – was cited by 28% of
brokers.

“Inflated home prices” and “housing
bubble”
 were cited by 25% of
brokers.

Slowdown in economic growth, lending and
financing, and policy and regulations were other “biggest
concerns.”

These issues “may have pushed the market to a tipping point,” the
California Association of Realtors said in
its pending home
sales report
 for July.

And a debacle it was, particularly in the San Francisco Bay Area,
where home prices have become famously ludicrous, while the
economy is backing off its previously relentless boom. Employment
growth has slowed to a crawl, with
actual job
losses
 for the 12-month period in two
counties – Santa Clara and Marin – a first since the Financial
Crisis.

Overall for California, “the housing market is showing signs of
slowing,” said the CAR report. Real estate agents “reported fewer
floor calls, listing appointments, and less open house traffic
than in June.”

For California, the index of pending home sales in July, based on
signed contracts, fell 2.6% from July a year ago on a seasonal
adjusted basis. It was the sixth month in a row of year-over-year
declines. But the overall decline of pending home sales in the
state covers up the strength in parts of Southern California and
the dizzying turmoil in the San Francisco Bay Area, where pending
home sales got crushed.

In the Southern California Region, pending home sales rose 1.4%
year-over-year, “the only major region” with an increase. But
real estate being local, there were huge differences: In Los
Angeles, pending home sales jumped 4.0% year-over-year; in San
Bernardino County 6.0%; and in Orange County 4.6%. But in San
Diego, pending home sales dropped 5.8% and in Riverside 4.2%
year-over-year.

In California’s capital, Sacramento, where home sales had been
hot, they plunged nearly 18% from a year ago.

And in part of the San Francisco Bay Area, pending home sales
went over the cliff. In the region overall, pending home sales
plunged 11.5% year-over-year. In San Mateo County, the northern
part of Silicon Valley, pending homes sales plummeted 21.4%. In
San Francisco, they plunged 11%. And in Santa Clara County, the
southern part of Silicon Valley, pending home sales dropped 9.8%.

This chart shows the changes in pending homes sales in July
compared to July 2016 for some of the major urban counties in
California, plus for California overall (top bar), the San
Francisco Bay Area overall (second bar from the top), and
Southern California:9218e us california pending home sales 2017 07 An indicator of future home sales in San Francisco is plungingWolf
Street

San Mateo County also has the honor of being the most ludicrously
overpriced housing market in the state, with a median selling
price of $1.5 million in July, according
to CAR data.
San Francisco is the second most ludicrously priced market, with
a median selling price of $1.43 million

So could the end of the jobs boom in the Bay Area have something
to do with the weakness in housing sales? This chart shows the
rolling 12-months growth in employment in Santa Clara County.
This southern part of Silicon Valley, which includes San Jose and
Palo Alto, has started to shed jobs for the first time since the
Financial Crisis (not seasonally adjusted data via the California
Employment Development Department):



9218e us jobs ba santa clara county employment growth 2017 07 An indicator of future home sales in San Francisco is plunging

Wolf Street

The end of the employment boom has spread across the Bay Area.
Santa Clara and Marin counties have shed jobs on a 12-months
basis. In the remaining counties, especially in San Francisco,
12-month employment growth has slowed to a trickle. And this
comes just as the Bay Area house price bubble has reached highs
that worry even real estate agents, as the survey above shows. So
it’s not that hard to see a connection.

The Bay Area housing affordability nightmare hits home, so to
speak. Read…  How Insane Home Prices in Silicon Valley San
Francisco Trip up Jobs Growth

Article source: http://www.businessinsider.com/san-francisco-pending-home-sales-plunge-2017-8

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Bay Area home to three hottest real estate markets in August

http://www.realtor.com/news/trends/hottest-markets-august-2017/

Summer is winding down, but it’s still too darn hot in the world of residential real estate, according to this month’s data on realtor.com.


Published 3:00 am, Thursday, August 24, 2017

  • 1020e 920x920 Bay Area home to three hottest real estate markets in August

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Have you gotten enough time at the beach or pool? Hit the road for at least one weekend getaway? Enjoyed dining alfresco or hanging out at a local park? If you haven’t, you’d better get cracking, because summer is already winding down—in some places, kids have already gone back to school! Soon enough, temperatures will fall and we’ll be reaching for our down jackets before leaving the house.

In the world of residential real estate, though, it’s still too darn hot.

Home prices remained at seasonal and historical peaks, and yet homes also sold at a record pace in August, moving off the market 8% faster than last year, according to a preliminary analysis of the month’s data on realtor.com®. That’s because the lack of homes for sale has been spurring desperate buyers to bid up prices and move quickly to close.

In fact, the median age of property listings on realtor.com in August is 66 days, which is two more days than last month but still six fewer days than this time last year.

Indeed.com took the average salary in cities with 50,000 people or more and adjusted it to cost of living in those areas.


Media: Brandpoint

“The overall housing market remains deep into shortage mode, even as we reach a seasonal high number of homes for sale,” says Javier Vivas, manager of economic research at realtor.com.

We’re expecting 500,000 new listings to hit the market by the end of August, the biggest yearly increase in new inventory since March 2016. But these new listings aren’t likely to offer relief to buyers on a budget—they’re too large and too expensive. Year over year, listing inventory showed a 9% drop in August. It was down 1% compared with July.

“This sets up what could be an extended and frustrating fall home-buying season for first-time home buyers, and marks what could be the start of some relief in the mid-to-upper tier,” Vivas notes.

The median listing price was $275,000 for August, the same as the previous month and a 10% increase from August 2016.

The realtor.com economic team ranked the 20 top medium-to-large metropolitan markets where homes are selling like hotcakes and buyers are clicking up a storm on realtor.com. These extra-hot markets are the place to be if you’re selling a home—or if you want to invest in an in-demand locale.

Northern California nets a trifecta this month, with Vallejo at No. 1, followed by nearby San Jose and San Francisco. In fact, 10 of the list’s 20 metro markets—which typically include a main city and its closest suburbs—are in California.

And in an impressive comeback, Detroit entered the top five for the first time since October 2013. New to the list for August were Grand Rapids, MI; Oxnard, CA; and Nashville, TN.


The hot list

The post America’s 20 Hottest Real Estate Markets for August 2017 appeared first on Real Estate News Insights | realtor.com®.

Article source: http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/America-s-20-Hottest-Real-Estate-Markets-for-11954794.php

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Readers weigh in with their own stories

Turns out that the Bay Area’s dwindling supply of home for sale under $500,000 isn’t just the talk of the Bay Area.

The whole country seems to have something to say about it.

In response to our story about June’s sales of relatively low-priced properties falling 17 percent from a year earlier, thanks to the fact that fewer homeowners want to take less than a half-mill for their homes these days, scores of readers commented on the trend. Some are former Bay Area residents who lived here when the real-estate market was a lot less insane than it is today, others describe real-estate markets where they now live.

Here are some of their comments, edited for clarity and length:

From “TheBruce:”

“When I was a kid in 1977, I lived in a 1,200 sq. ft. home in Milpitas, CA (SF bay area) with my mom, dad, and sister. That small house is now “worth” $800K according to zillow.com. That’s pure madness.”

From “bonestabone:”

“Even Vallejo is becoming overpriced, you’re still looking at $300k for an old fixer upper.”

From “idefix:”

“When the service workers give up and leave the Bay Area, one hopes that this region will finally be forced to confront its housing problems.”

From “John Romig:”

“I live in Rochester NY and I own two homes. Anybody can buy a nice four bedroom house here for $45k. Including a detached garage and off Street parking. Yes, $45,000. Rochester NY has a decent city school district. Violent crimes are also way down in Rochester NY. The weather is good from April through October and then it gets cold, dark and snowy for @ five months. I am shocked by the stats about housing costs in the Bay Area. Are you guys in California getting your dollars worth? I lived in the East Bay from 2001 through 2009. I saw housing costs high in 2001, @ $800. month for a one bedroom apartment without utilities included. In central Berkeley. By 2009 the construction sector was in the toilet, so I left. I feel for the ultra wealthy: how will you find poor people to take out your garbage walk your Presa Canario, stock your fridge, clean your house, wax your Range Rover, plant fancy flowers in your trophy garden?”

From “Bob:”

“A car detailer who moved out of the Bay Area, where is he going to work? Los Banos? The demographic there is poor, how will the car detailer make any business in Los Banos where he will be charging $300 for a detail session? So he will come back to the Bay Area for work, because people here can afford $300 detail sessions. Manhattan is the same way. Paris, the same way. London, the same way. People who have money will live in the central region (SF, SJ, Oak), and the people with no money will live outside, but will come into the central region for work, because the outside has no jobs.”

From “DontSpeakLibberish:”

“I find it so ironic that CA is a liberal bastion, so welcoming of the poor, down trodden immigrants, yet even modest homes get caught in a bidding war for more $, and you have to make well into the 6 figures just to survive.”

From “Walking Fool:”
“It’s like saying BMW doesn’t offer cars for under $25,000. You don’t have to buy a BMW you know. Buy a used Corolla. Can’t afford it here? Then move to a cheaper city or state.”

From “SamVaughn:”

“Calexit will cause an exodus to leave before it’s too late, then housing prices might come down.”

From “Battlespeed:”

“Looking for affordable housing in the Bay Area (for anything bigger than a postage stamp) has been a snipe hunt for years unless ‘Bay Area’ includes anything within a 2-hour commute.”

From “Mr Happy Man:”

“This article pointed to something I have realized for some time. The necessary service workers are being driven out of the Bay Area, which means it will be difficult to obtain those services when you need them. Yes, education is an important value in this area, and the well-to-do parents will want reasonable class sizes, but that isn’t going to happen unless you pay teachers a sufficient salary to buy a home – preferably a house – there. And who is a patent lawyer going to call when his toilet gets clogged? A plumber, of course. If there is one available. But that isn’t likely if one isn’t around – because he can’t afford a house in San Francisco.”

“So what is going to give? Wages of these middle-class service workers are going to have to climb dramatically – you will have to pay these workers $200k a year or so, simply for Bay Area society to function. Also, since resources are strained in California, especially water, this area is going to need to find new sources of resources. Especially water. The Bay Area is going to need massive desalination plants – whether they like it or not – to build in areas it isn’t building. To afford the necessary service workers. And the people of the Bay Area are going to need to be a bit more tolerant of development.”

From “relaxok:”

“One way to think of it though – if all the residents of an area are rich, a plumber can charge way more than he could in the middle of nowhere in Ohio.”

From “luke7478:”

“If you’re going to live on the other side of the bridge, then Fairfield is a far better option, and I believe possibly the last of the “somewhat affordable” options in that general area. Otherwise just move to Sacramento like many have done. I used to live in a large house with 9 rooms in El Cerrito, renting one of them, when attending Cal. One of my housemates had his own home and family back in Sacramento. He used to live there during the week, renting the room because he worked in Oakland, and went back to his family on the weekends! That’s how bad it’s gotten!”

Article source: http://www.mercurynews.com/2017/07/31/bay-areas-shocking-home-prices-are-the-talk-of-the-nation/

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Only four Bay Area cities beat California’s median rent

Real estate site Zumper looked at the median rent on a one-bedroom apartment across 27 Bay Area cities and found that almost nowhere in the nine counties can renters expect to rent a home for less than the California median price.

This is hardly a surprise in San Francisco, where Zumper users can expect to shell out $3,420/month for a modest home, still the highest nationwide (although that price is down from last month and the same time last year, for the record).

But in all, only five cities in the survey managed to dip below the state average of $1,686/month.

And since one of those is Santa Rosa, which really shouldn’t be called part of the Bay Area despite having a regional relationship, that leaves only four Bay Area communities that make the grade as affordable by California standards.

The winners are Livermore ($1,610/month), Concord ($1,600), Napa ($1,600 again), and Vallejo ($1,300).


3921a brocken inaglory7 Only four Bay Area cities beat Californias median rent

Brocken Inaglory

Almost certainly not coincidentally, rents are up year over year in three of those places. Only Livermore is down from last year—12 percent, in fact, which is why it’s on the lowest end of the rent scale now to begin with.

Comparing Zumper’s numbers to others can be tricky, as competitor sites ApartmentList and Abodo don’t calculate median rents for cities like Livermore.

Over on RENTCafe a one bedroom home in Concord is $1,891/month and Vallejo $1,761/month, but no word on Napa or Livermore.

On Craigslist this week, a one bedroom home in the Livermore area runs $2,031/month, in Concord it’s $1,760/month, and in Vallejo $1,593/month.


31787 jcookfisher Only four Bay Area cities beat Californias median rent

The view from Mare Island in Vallejo.

jcookfisher

But the site includes nearby cities in those listings as well, and doesn’t actually feature specific listings for Napa at all.

It’s interesting to note that Zumper, which usually furnishes the highest figures for major urban centers like San Francisco, seems to feature rental stock a bit less expensive than other sites in more far-ranging places like Concord. But it’s hard to draw a definite conclusion from only a few examples.

Be all that as it may, those looking for a price break from life in the city might cast an eye toward places like Vallejo. It’s still not cheap, but you’ll apparently have trouble finding more glistening fortunes anywhere in the Golden State.

Article source: https://sf.curbed.com/2017/8/24/16198582/bay-area-rents-median-california-zumper

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