SF’s Iconic Transamerica Pyramid Sells for $650 Million: Report

The Transamerica Pyramid, arguably the most iconic figure in San Francisco’s skyline, has been sold for $650 million to a New York investment firm in the most expensive U.S. commercial real estate deal since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, according to a report in Forbes.

The sale marks the first time the nearly 50-year-old tower has changed hands. The 48-story building was owned by Aegon, a Dutch insurance company, which bought Transamerica Corp. in 1999, according to Forbes.

The buyers, Deutsche Finance America and developer Michael Shvo, told Forbes the building “mirrors the forward-looking spirit of the Bay Area.”

Local


4457a deputy shooting SFs Iconic Transamerica Pyramid Sells for $650 Million: Report


4457a SFSkyline 1 SFs Iconic Transamerica Pyramid Sells for $650 Million: Report

The new owners plan to keep the Transamerica name as well as the building’s world famous profile, according to the report.

The tower, which opened in 1972, was first listed in August 2019, and the winning bid stood at $711 million in February. The pandemic perhaps contributed to delays in closing the sale as well as the reduced sale price, Forbes reported.

Article source: https://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/local/sfs-iconic-transamerica-pyramid-sells-for-650-million-report/2388242/

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Another Wave of Vacancies Poised to Roil the Market in SF

82bde San Francisco Aerial 2019 Another Wave of Vacancies Poised to Roil the Market in SF

While the vacancy rate for larger, multi-unit apartment buildings in San Francisco had only ticked up from around 5 percent in the second quarter of last year to around 6 percent in the second quarter of 2020, that single percentage point increase represented around 1,500 newly vacated units, or around 3,000 newly vacated bedrooms, for a total of roughly 9,000 vacant units spread across the city as of the end of June.

But it wasn’t until the third quarter of this year that the vacancy rate really jumped and rents tumbled in San Francisco, as we foreshadowed back in early July.

And based on a proprietary review of all leasing activity and availability at ten of the larger apartment buildings in San Francisco, including buildings in Hayes Valley, Dogpatch, Mid-Market and Downtown, representing over 3,000 units combined, we’re seeing an average vacancy rate approaching 9 percent (which doesn’t include new buildings with even higher vacancy rates that were never fully leased, such as Related’s Hub District tower at 1550 Mission Street).

But there’s another wave of vacancies on the horizon as well.

In fact, while the current average vacancy rate is approaching 9 percent in the buildings we reviewed, there are an equal number of apartments that are set to be newly vacated over the next two months as leases, which aren’t slated to be renewed, expire.  And there is at least one big building in the city, which had been fully occupied, which is facing a vacancy rate of 20 percent by the end of November and another which is on track for a potential vacancy rate of over 30 percent by the end of the year.

We’ll keep you posted and plugged-in.

Article source: https://socketsite.com/archives/2020/10/another-wave-of-vacancies-poised-to-roil-the-market-in-san-francisco.html

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Pandemic rent control? Bay Area landlords lose their pricing power

It took a virus, not political action, to prune the pricing power of California landlords.

The coronavirus has hammered the state economy, and the once rock-solid residential rental market has been especially hard hit. Data from the Consumer Price Index shows us that business limitations designed to slow the pandemic’s spread have dramatically changed consumer spending habits — just as California voters will weigh a rent-control measure Nov. 3.

My trusty spreadsheet looked at three California metro areas tracked by the CPI and found that the pace of rents increases has slowed dramatically this year.

For example, rent hikes in Los Angeles and Orange counties in September dropped by the largest amount since the Great Recession ended. The metro’s cost of renting rose at a 2.6% annual rate in September — the lowest rate since 2014 — vs. 5.6% a year earlier. The last time the region saw a bigger one-year percentage-point drop was 2010.

In San Francisco, Alameda, Marin, Contra Costa, and San Mateo counties, rental costs rose by 2.2% in the year compared with 3.1% a year earlier. The last time rents rose slower, by this measure, was 2011.

And in the Inland Empire, where the CPI has tracked inflation for just two years, rents rose at a 3.6% annual rate vs. 4.7% in September 2019.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ CPI tracks rental costs by polling a wide swath of consumers in various rental arrangements. That differs from many other rent measurements derived from surveys of apartment landlords. These industry indexes suggest similar trends: Property owners’ asking prices are, at best, flat in Southern California and falling in the Bay Area.

Tough business

No matter the math, landlords are finding business difficult these days.

Business lockdowns have hammered the employment market, pushing the state’s unemployment rate to 11.4%. Lower-paying service jobs often held by renters were most affected.

Many tenants can’t pay — and more than a few have simply departed. The Census Bureau’s experimental survey into pandemic fallout shows 12% of California renters have no confidence they can pay October’s rent, or will defer it. Meanwhile, 13% said they fear eviction in the next two months.

A statewide eviction moratorium adds to the market’s complexities. At the same time, record-low mortgage rates have turned some more-fortunate renters into homeowners.

All of these factors have forced landlords to adjust rents for struggling tenants while competing heavily on price to fill a growing inventory of empty units.

Let’s look at how far rent hikes are down, using the CPI’s history. Last year in L.A.-O.C., rents rose 5.5% after averaging 4.6% increases in 2015-2018. In the San Francisco metropolitan area, rents rose 3.8% last year after a 5.9% pace in 2015-18.

Those pre-pandemic rent hikes have fueled the ongoing rent control debate across California and landed Proposition 21 on the November ballot.

The initiative would give California municipalities a greater ability to regulate what local landlords charge. It follows last year’s new law capping California rent hikes annually at 5% plus inflation for tenants in most older properties. The previous year, a proposition similar to Prop. 21 was handily defeated.

Not alone

Let’s also note that landlords are by no means the only local businesses that have lost their pricing power.

There are clear signs of weakness in the broad economy. The CPI tells us that overall L.A.-O.C. inflation was rising at a 1.2% annual pace in September vs. 3% a year earlier. San Francisco’s 1.6% rate in August was down from 2.7% a year earlier and was the lowest for the month since 2010. In the Inland Empire, September’s overall inflation rate was nearly halved to 1.7% from 3.1% a year earlier.

Now, take gasoline. The pandemic’s push to work from home has reduced commuting and slashed demand for fuel. Prices are off 15.7% in a year in L.A.-O.C.; 13.9% in the Inland Empire; and 10.2% in San Francisco.

On the flip side, the era of coronavirus life has also boosted certain consumer costs.

With so many people at home, household energy costs more as demand rose in a hot summer — up 17.2% in the Inland Empire; 8.2% in L.A.-O.C.; and 7.2% in San Francisco.

And ponder what “stay at home” did to grocery prices.

In the Inland Empire, the trend boosted grocery prices 9.3% in a year. Home cooking likely grew with fewer long daily drives to work. Meanwhile, the cost of eating out was only 3.9% higher.

A similar trend was seen in the San Francisco metro area, where grocery prices were up 7.2% in a year vs. 3.6% more for eating out (or takeout).

In L.A.-O.C., however, grocery prices rose 3.2% as eating out got 5.1% more expensive. Perhaps eased restrictions on restaurants lured diners out of the home for meals closer to the coast.


Article source: https://www.mercurynews.com/pandemic-rent-control-bay-area-landlords-lose-their-pricing-power

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San Francisco condos are the Bay Area’s weakest real estate market. So why aren’t home prices dropping more?

San Francisco is the softest spot in the Bay Area’s mostly booming real estate market, and its condo segment is weakest of all.

Inventory has been growing faster than sales, and price reductions — mostly in the condo segment — “have hit very high numbers,” said Patrick Carlisle, chief market analyst for the Compass real estate brokerage firm. So why hasn’t the median price for a San Francisco condo shown a bigger drop?

The median price paid for a San Francisco condo fell to $1.25 million in the third quarter, down just 2% from the third quarter of 2019, according to Carlisle. The median price for a single-family home rose 5.2% to $1.66 million.

The big reason condos didn’t drop more: Sales of two-bedroom units went up considerably — to 330 from 230 — year over year, while the number of one-bedroom condo sales dropped slightly, to 186 from 183.

 San Francisco condos are the Bay Area’s weakest real estate market. So why aren’t home prices dropping more?

“The increase in two-bedroom sales pulled up the overall median condo sales price,” Carlisle said. When you look at one- and two-bedroom units separately, their median prices fell 6.6% and 6.5%, respectively, “which rings much truer.”

This shows why looking just at median prices, the point at which half of homes sold for more and half for less, can be misleading.

Carlisle found “a similar dynamic regarding median house sales prices around the Bay Area in the third quarter.” The average size of homes sold in the Bay Area in the third quarter “jumped virtually everywhere, very generally in the 5% to 10% range. Bigger houses sell for more money, raising the median sales price.” That’s not a true reflection of market values, or what an individual house might sell for.

Although market values did go up in most areas, “a significant proportion of median price increases were simply due to bigger houses selling,” Carlisle said. “Affluent buyers have been playing a larger role in the market since the pandemic.” His data is based on sales reported to a Multiple Listing Service.

 San Francisco condos are the Bay Area’s weakest real estate market. So why aren’t home prices dropping more?

Even in a soft market, buyers are facing stiff competition in some segments. One way to measure “hotness” is by looking at the percentage of homes that go into contract, meaning the seller has accepted an offer. By this measure, the hottest condo markets in San Francisco in the third quarter were Noe/Eureka/Cole valleys (47% percent acceptance rate), followed by Richmond District/Lake Street (45%).

The coolest were South Beach/South of Market/Mission Bay (18%) and Russian/Nob/Telegraph hills and Van Ness/Civic Center/downtown (tied at 23% each).

For single-family homes, the hottest San Francisco neighborhood was Sunset/Parkside/Golden Gate Heights, where 68% of homes went into contract in the third quarter. The coolest was Pacific Heights/Cow Hollow/Marina (28%).

Another measure of hotness is the average amount by which the sales price exceeds the original list price, also known as overbidding. Here too, Sunset/Parkside district led the way for single-family San Francisco homes, with buyers paying 9% on average more than the list price in the third quarter. The coolest was Pacific Heights/Presidio Heights/Cow Hollow/Marina, where the average buyer paid 4.6% less than asking.

Sunset/Parkside “is extremely hot,” said agent Jason Chan of Barbco Real Estate. “I’ve been getting on average 10 or 20 offers on my listings (there). They are usually going about 40% over asking.” He admitted that agents in the city are pricing homes well below market value because if they price them at market value or slightly above, “they end up sitting on the market for weeks or months.”

He listed a small house at 2101 Wawona in Parkside at just under $1.1 million. It got 22 offers and sold for $1.5 million.

Compass agent Yesenia Rogers said Sunset/Parkside is a good alternative to the suburbs for people who are mostly confined to their homes during the coronavirus pandemic and want a yard and space for an office or classroom. “It’s where you can get a single-family home in that $1.5 million range that’s going to allow for space, three bedrooms, a backyard, in a nice, safe community,” she said.

Rogers is working with three buyers who are “actively writing offers” in that area. All are renting condos and want single-family homes for children at some point. “These are people who believe in San Francisco, believe the city is going to come back, and maybe not the way it once was, but San Francisco does remain a good investment.” Some want to stay close to relatives in the city.

This past week, her buyers bid on one house that got 12 offers and another that got 20. “There is a lot of inventory on the market” in San Francisco, and sales “are pretty hot and cold,” Rogers said. “I don’t think (the Sunset) is an area where you will constantly get beat out. But compared to other parts of the city,” it’s competitive, she said: Homes with three bedrooms on one level “will see a lot of offers.”

While the average single-family home sold for 2.4% more than the asking price in the third quarter, the average San Francisco condo sold for 2.6% less. The best condo neighborhood was the Richmond District, where the average unit sold right at asking price; the weakest was Russian/Nob/Telegraph hills/Financial District, where the average unit sold for 7% less than asking.

Surprisingly, some parts of the Bay Area that have been hardest hit by wildfires and power shut-offs were among the “hottest” in the third quarter.

Carlisle compared the percentage of homes (single-family and condos combined) that went into contract during the third quarter of 2020 to the same quarter last year for the Bay Area and a few surrounding counties.

In the third quarter of this year, by itself, the counties with the largest percentage of homes going into contract were Solano, Contra Costa and Alameda.

But the counties that saw the biggest percentage change in this number year over year were Monterey, Santa Cruz, Napa and Sonoma. This is another way of measuring hotness.

“San Francisco is the only county that saw a decline,” Carlisle said. Its share of homes accepting an offer dropped from 41% last year to 36% this year.

Kathleen Pender is a San Francisco Chronicle columnist. Email: kpender@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @kathpender

Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/business/networth/article/San-Francisco-condos-are-the-Bay-Area-s-weakest-15676885.php

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Bay Area rents keep plummeting, especially in S.F. — the latest data by city

Housing rents continue to decline in the Bay Area amid the coronavirus pandemic, especially in San Francisco, which has notoriously had the country’s highest rental prices after overtaking New York City years ago.

According to the most recent reports from private listing websites Apartment List and Zumper, rental prices have plummeted 20% in the city so far this year compared with the same time last year.

Zumper found the median cost of a one-bedroom in San Francisco last month was $2,830. The company analyzes rental data from more than 1 million active listings across the country. It includes new construction and excludes listings that are currently occupied or no longer available.

“Not only is this drop among the largest yearly decreases Zumper has ever recorded in our history of tracking rental prices, but it was also the first time the median one-bedroom price in San Francisco dipped below $3,000,” said data analyst Neil Gerstein in an email. “These combined trends show just how drastically the market has changed in the nation’s most expensive city to rent.”

Apartment List reported a considerably lower September median cost for a one-bedroom in San Francisco, at $2,240. The median for a two-bedroom apartment was $2,590, a 5.2% decline from the previous month. Its methodology differs from Zumper’s: It starts with statistics from the Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development, and it includes rents for older units and those in lower-income neighborhoods.

 Bay Area rents keep plummeting, especially in S.F. — the latest data by city

By either measure, the Bay Area continues to be the priciest market for renters in the nation. Zumper found that the top five rental markets in the country includes three Bay Area cities: San Francisco tops the list, with San Jose and Oakland coming in fourth and fifth, respectively.

San Jose’s rental prices haven’t changed much from last month at $2,230 for a one-bedroom, and decreased 1% for a 2-bedroom at $2,770. In Oakland, the median cost for a one-bedroom declined 3% to $2,130, and decreased 1% for a two-bedroom to $2,770.

Nationally, Zumper listed New York as the No. 2 most expensive rental market and Boston as No. 3. New York’s rents dropped 4% from the prior month to $2,600. Gerstein said that while New York City has also had historic price drops during the pandemic and renters appear to be taking advantage of declining rent in both cities, there is a notable difference.

“New York’s migration inflows have returned to pre-March levels, while San Francisco’s have not,” he said. “Both cities continued to experience large migration outflows, but the differences in the two cities’ migration inflows may explain their diverging price trends and could lead to rental prices in New York stabilizing faster than in San Francisco and overtaking the top spot.”

 Bay Area rents keep plummeting, especially in S.F. — the latest data by city

And nationally, Zumper’s report shows a decrease of 0.1% from the previous month for a one-bedroom to $1,231, with the year-over-year decline at 0.6%.

In the San Francisco metro area, Apartment List showed Oakland had the least expensive rents, at $1,770 for a one-bedroom and $2,090 for a two-bedroom.

Bay Area rents

Zumper analyzed active listings in September across Bay Area cities to show the median cost of rent for a one-bedroom unit, with percentage changes from the previous month. Zumper’s methodology favors newer apartments available on the market now.

Source: Zumper

Apartment List gathers data differently, presenting a view of what currently occupied apartments go for.

Source: Apartment List

A number of East Bay cities did not see much of a rent decline from the previous year: Pleasanton and Walnut Creek each decreased only 0.1%, and Hayward went down 0.9%.

Kellie Hwang is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: kellie.hwang@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @KellieHwang

Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/Bay-Area-rents-keep-plummeting-especially-in-15613722.php

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