“This reflects a characteristically volatile multi-family sector rather than renewed weakness, and we expect homebuilding volumes to rise further later this year,” wrote Paul Diggle of Capital Economics.

Housing starts fell 9.8 percent, but the drop was entirely in apartment construction, which accounts for 30 percent of all residential construction activity, according to the U.S. Commerce Department. Multi-family starts fell by 26.2 percent in June compared to May. Single family housing starts fell by just 0.8 percent month-to-month.

(Read More: Map: Tracking the US Real Estate Recovery)

“Should we be concerned? Not yet,” wrote Patrick Newport of IHS Global Insight. “Builders are still not putting up enough homes. Far from it. By our estimate, underlying demand is running close to 1.4 million. Meanwhile, housing completions in July were 755,000 [annual rate], while housing permits were 911,000.”

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100893375

While prices continue to improve, there are still headwinds, specifically a relatively weak employment picture and a tight mortgage market. Existing home sales are also recovering far faster than new home sales, and much of the gains in new home construction is in multi-family apartments, as single family housing starts lag.

(Read More: Record High New Home Prices to Grow)

“Housing is making a positive impact on the economy, if one goes through the GDP numbers, residential construction is adding to economic growth,” said Blitzer. “But when you look at this, buying and selling existing homes, is recognized, we all feel good, the prices are going up, it doesn’t add anything to GDP.”

—By CNBC’s Diana Olick; Follow her on Twitter @Diana_Olick or on Facebook at facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC

Questions? Comments? RealtyCheck@cnbc.com

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100769361

Sales of newly built homes fell nearly five percent in February, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce. Inventories did rise, but only slightly, as the nation’s home builders struggle with labor and land shortages, as well as higher costs for materials.

(Read More: Finally: Supply of Homes for Sale Begins to Rise)

Pending home sales fell 2.5 percent month-to-month in the Northeast, rose 0.4 percent in the Midwest, fell 0.3 percent in the South and rose 0.1 percent in the West, according to the Realtors.

“The volume of home sales appears to be leveling off with the constrained inventory conditions, and the leveling of the index means little change is likely in the pace of sales over the next couple months,” Yun added.

(Read More: Map: Tracking the USReal Estate Recovery)

A better sign for March, after two weeks of declines, mortgage applications to purchase a home jumped 7 percent during the past week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. This as interest rates fell slightly, due to concerns over the banking crisis in Cyprus.

“The rebound in mortgage applications is a small piece of a brighter housing outlook,” says Bob Walters, chief economist for Quicken Loans. “Interest rates are still at record lows despite their upward trend, and consumers are taking advantage of record home affordability. Look for more buyers to enter the market this spring and a more robust housing recovery to occur.”

(Read More: Compare Mortgage Rates in Your Area)

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100596583

Sales of newly built homes fell nearly five percent in February, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce. Inventories did rise, but only slightly, as the nation’s home builders struggle with labor and land shortages, as well as higher costs for materials.

(Read More: Finally: Supply of Homes for Sale Begins to Rise)

Pending home sales fell 2.5 percent month-to-month in the Northeast, rose 0.4 percent in the Midwest, fell 0.3 percent in the South and rose 0.1 percent in the West, according to the Realtors.

“The volume of home sales appears to be leveling off with the constrained inventory conditions, and the leveling of the index means little change is likely in the pace of sales over the next couple months,” Yun added.

(Read More: Map: Tracking the USReal Estate Recovery)

A better sign for March, after two weeks of declines, mortgage applications to purchase a home jumped 7 percent during the past week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. This as interest rates fell slightly, due to concerns over the banking crisis in Cyprus.

“The rebound in mortgage applications is a small piece of a brighter housing outlook,” says Bob Walters, chief economist for Quicken Loans. “Interest rates are still at record lows despite their upward trend, and consumers are taking advantage of record home affordability. Look for more buyers to enter the market this spring and a more robust housing recovery to occur.”

(Read More: Compare Mortgage Rates in Your Area)

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100596583

The increased activity mirrors what’s happening nationally, as builders ramp up after a long hibernation that saw home starts plunge to record lows.

A Chronicle analysis of Census Bureau data on housing permits – a strong indicator of future construction as 86 percent become housing starts within one month – shows that this year the core Bay Area counties are on track for more-robust home building.

The home construction market is returning to normal as it recovers from the “boom and bust carnage,” said Robert Denk, senior economist at the National Association of Home Builders.

“We definitely see that we’re on our way up off the bottom,” said Gary Mayo, group president for Northern California and Nevada at Toll Brothers, one of the nation’s largest home builders. “The market is improving across the country, with Northern California among the stronger areas. In the Bay Area, sales started to dramatically improve in January. Our sales in the Bay Area on the same (housing developments) as last year are up 100 percent this year.”

Models not even done

Toll has luxury developments in Brisbane and Sunnyvale – each of which has sold more than a dozen homes without even completing a model house.

“We have a sales trailer out in the middle of the raw land where we’re putting in the site improvements. It shows the strength of the market: People are buying off of the blueprints and our reputation,” he said. Another new site in Pleasanton opened a week ago and has taken six deposits. Existing developments around the bay in Hayward, San Ramon, Dublin and elsewhere are suddenly finding a ready coterie of buyers, he said.

Kenny and Rena Tan will pay about $1 million for a five-bedroom home in Toll’s Brisbane development called the Ridge, which will be ready in about a year. For now, they put down a nonrefundable $9,000 deposit, accounting for about half of the structural options they requested, such as converting the downstairs library to a bedroom, putting in a kitchen island and a adding a sink to the laundry room.

They like the location, near San Francisco and the airport, and picked a site with hill views, he said.

At 52, Tan said they were looking ahead to their senior years.

“We wanted a home we can retire in, with a downstairs bedroom so we don’t have to climb stairs as we get older,” he said.

As a real estate lawyer, he’s very familiar with the market, Tan said.

“I know that the worst is over; especially in San Francisco and the Peninsula there is such a strong demand for homes that it is a very resilient market,” he said. “I waited until now; no way would I have jumped in two years ago.”

What caused the turnaround?

Richard Green, director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, said that a growing population’s demand had caught up with the existing supply, making it time for new homes to be built.

“We went a long time, basically five years, with almost no new construction to speak of,” he said. “In the post-World War II era we’ve never seen anything like this before, so it had to turn around.”

Biggest of all, Denk said: stabilization of the overall housing market. “Nobody will buy a house if they expect it to lose value,” he said. “The bottoming out of house prices is a critical factor enabling the turnaround.”

Low interest rates

Overall economic conditions, with growing consumer confidence and record-low interest rates, is another factor.

“I think people are tired of waiting,” Mayo said. “They’ve been sitting on the sidelines for five years wanting a new home but didn’t feel the dynamics were right. Employment didn’t feel solid. Now (they see) low interest rates, a strengthening economy and (more) equity in their existing homes, so they can sell them.”

Consider this: In both 2005 and 2006, builders pulled permits for about 15,000 new homes a year in the San Francisco metropolitan area (the counties of Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco and San Mateo), a little more than half of them being single-family houses and the rest apartments or condos. In 2009, just 3,550 permits were issued. By 2011 it was up to about 5,800.

Soaring past last year

As of August, builders have already taken out about 5,800 permits this year – as many as in all of last year – putting them on track to exceed last year’s total by 50 percent.

The San Jose metro area (the counties of Santa Clara and San Benito) had an even deeper plunge, going from roughly 6,000 new permits a year to only 1,100 in 2009. This year, it is on track for about 5,800 permits – almost back to its boom-time levels.

Home construction is an economic indicator that packs a hefty wallop. Building a house creates the equivalent of three full-time yearlong jobs, according to the National Association of Home Builders. About half of them are construction – the folks who swing the hammers and install the plumbing and electricity – while the other half are everything from real estate agents, mortgage brokers and lawyers to sellers of concrete, brick, masonry, steel, furniture and other goods.

The United States “was hovering at 1.4 million single-family houses being built a year, and that dropped to 400,000,” Denk said. “With 1 million fewer housing starts, that meant 3 million jobs that weren’t there because we weren’t building at a normal pace.”

From 2007 to 2011, more than 2.1 million construction workers lost their jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Since then, only about a quarter of a million have gone back to work in the industry.

“In a normal year, housing construction is 5 percent of GDP,” Green said. The downturn “shaved 3 percent off the GDP. When we get back to normal – and we’re still not there yet – that’s another 3 percent back of GDP, which I think everyone will welcome.”

Exurbia building

Some people predicted that post-downturn new homes would be leaner than the boom-time McMansions, but that doesn’t seem to be holding true.

“There is more building in exurbia, where land is relatively cheap,” Green said. “Developers make bigger margins on bigger houses, so that’s probably what we’re going to see.”

Patrick Duffy, principal at home-building consultant Metro Intelligence Real Estate Advisors, said he predicts that next year will see builders break ground on 800,000 to 1 million new homes nationwide, following this year’s projected 600,000.

“House building has a big multiplier effect” on the economy, he said. “That’s why we’ve been dragging along. Now housing is starting to pick up; that’s a nice annual bump. It’s really hopeful, but there’s still some economic uncertainty out there. “

Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. E-mail: csaid@sfchronicle.com

Article source: http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Bay-Area-new-home-construction-rebounds-3986773.php