Housing starts stall, optimism doesn’t

Despite an unexpected and substantial fall in new home construction in June, industry analysts appear undeterred in their veritable housing euphoria.

“This reflects a characteristically volatile multi-family sector rather than renewed weakness, and we expect homebuilding volumes to rise further later this year,” wrote Paul Diggle of Capital Economics.

Housing starts fell 9.8 percent, but the drop was entirely in apartment construction, which accounts for 30 percent of all residential construction activity, according to the U.S. Commerce Department. Multi-family starts fell by 26.2 percent in June compared to May. Single family housing starts fell by just 0.8 percent month-to-month.

(Read More: Map: Tracking the US Real Estate Recovery)

“Should we be concerned? Not yet,” wrote Patrick Newport of IHS Global Insight. “Builders are still not putting up enough homes. Far from it. By our estimate, underlying demand is running close to 1.4 million. Meanwhile, housing completions in July were 755,000 [annual rate], while housing permits were 911,000.”

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100893375

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