It is likely no coincidence that standards are easing as rates rise and mortgage applications fall. Total mortgage applications were down 47 percent last week from a year ago. Refinances, which had been the banks bread and butter during the housing crash, are down 59 percent from a year ago. Applications to purchase a home are up just 5 percent.

“People see interest rates rise, they slow down some of that eagerness to get into the market,” said David Stevens, CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association in an interview on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”

(Read more: Map: Tracking the US real estate recovery)

Credit standards tightened dramatically over the past several years, as loose credit was largely blamed for the crash in housing. Average borrower credit scores on new loans are dramatically higher today, and lenders require larger down payments.

Even the FHA, the government mortgage insurer, which was created to help lower creditworthy borrowers, has raised its standards as well as its insurance premiums. Many lenders have overlays to their guidelines that they add on top of standard conventional guidelines. They could do that because refinances were so high, they needed to slow the volume in order to process all the loans.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100939328

What a difference two months (and 1.11%) makes: Higher rates mean this Brisbane condo would now pencil out to $254 more a month (Kiesha Stephens/Redfin)

Mortgage interest rates are on a tear. Last week they registered their sharpest one-week spike in years, hitting 4.46% for a fixed-rate 30-year home loan, according to Freddie Mac. Less than two months earlier, the rate was 3.35%.

Today’s Chronicle looks at the impact on the housing market; click here for the story.

Is a percentage more really that big a deal? Well, just ask all the folks who refinanced to carve that 1% off their mortgage rate.

Those who have not yet refinanced, perhaps because they were either underwater or close to it (lacking that magic 20% equity) are getting worried they may be out of luck. It’s a balancing act to see what will happen faster: Higher home values to increase their equity or higher mortgage rates that will make a refi less attractive.

Some home buyers, as well as those refinancing, may see the rising rates as motivation to get in the game.

“The rate increase spurred a lot of people to pull the trigger,” said Jay Voorhees, owner/broker of JVM Lending in Walnut Creek. “We’ve had an uptick in volume recently with both purchases and refinances.”

In his blog, mortgage broker Julian Hebron of RPM Mortgage in San Francisco discusses the possibility that rates could hit 5% in the near future.

While many experts say the housing market as a whole is likely to shrug off the higher rates, for some individual buyers, especially those on a shoestring budget, the impact will be stronger.

Consider these two homes now on the market, a condo very close to the Bay Area median, and a more high end home. Assuming a standard 20% down payment, look at what the monthly mortgage payments would be under today’s rate, and what it would have been in early May with the 3.35% rate.

This Brisbane two-bedroom condo “steps from the great outdoors,” (at top) is listed at $499,000. At today’s rate of 4.6%, monthly mortgage payments would be $2,017.  Monthly payments at 3.35% would be $1,763, or $254 less.

This San Jose 5-bedroom with an “inviting floor plan” and “lush backyard” in the Cambrian neighborhood (below)  lists at $889,000. The monthly cost at 4.6%: $3,587.  At 3.35%: 3,135. The difference: $452 a month. (Caveat: In reality this jumbo mortgage might mean a higher rate, but the spread between two months ago and now would be consistent.)

Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. For Bay Area real estate news and insights, follow  her on Twitter: @csaid

This 5-bedroom in San Jose’s Cambrian neighborhood lists for $889,000. (Ashley Rabello/Redfin)

Article source: http://blog.sfgate.com/ontheblock/2013/06/30/mortgage-interest-rates-on-upswing-heres-the-pocketbook-impact/

In the first three months of this year, there were nearly 1.4 million refinances on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages alone, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Of those, 22 percent were through HARP, which was recently extended through 2015. More than 2.4 million borrowers so far have taken advantage of that program.

For borrowers who don’t have government-backed loans and therefore don’t qualify for that program, rising home prices have helped allow more of them to qualify for refinances. Among borrowers, 850,000 rose above water on their mortgages, moving into a positive equity position in the first three months of this year, according to a new report from CoreLogic. While nearly 10 million are still underwater, the more that rise above, the more refinances can happen.

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“We are still far below peak home price levels, but tight supplies in many areas coupled with continued demand for single family homes should help us close the gap,” said Anand Nallathambi, the CEO of CoreLogic.

Rising prices, however, are a double-edged sword, especially in a rising interest rate environment. Potential buyers are losing purchasing power every day, just as demand is surging.

—By CNBC’s Diana Olick. Follow her on Twitter @Diana_Olick or on Facebook at facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC.

Questions? Comments? RealtyCheck@cnbc.com.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100810389

A jump in signed contracts to buy newly built homes in September brought volumes to the highest level since April of 2010, when the home buyer tax credit temporarily infused the housing market.

The median price of a newly built home also rose nearly 12 percent from a year ago, as builders gained pricing power thanks to lessening competition from distressed properties.

Is it enough to put a period on the statement that housing is in full recovery? Perhaps, but not an exclamation point.

There is still too much uncertainty in the mortgage market to proclaim that housing is on its way back to its “frothy” days. That was abundantly clear at the Mortgage Bankers Association’s annual convention in Chicago this week, where the murmurs among the masses were all about regulation in the industry.

“I think that there is a concern that we may get tighter before we realize the balance,” said Debra Still, chairman of the MBA and CEO of Pulte Mortgage. “We certainly have to balance consumer protection with access to credit and there’s a fine balance that we have to figure out. Lenders will probably err on the side of being conservative before they will find that balance and lend to the fullest.”

(Read More: How to Play the Housing ‘Boom’)

Uncertainty over impending new regulations in the mortgage market has mortgage bankers understandably nervous. These new rules will determine risk held by lenders as well as down payments required for borrower, among other things. That uncertainty is having a direct effect on mortgage rates.

Despite the Federal Reserve’s $40 billion weekly infusion into agency mortgage backed securities, mortgage rates are just barely below where they were before the announcement of so-called QE3. Rates did fall immediately after the announcement, but with the 30-year fixed bouncing back up to 3.63 percent from mortgage applications fell dramatically, down 12 percent overall. Refinances fell the hardest last week, down 13 percent, but applications to purchase a home weren’t far behind, down just over 8 percent week-to-week.

“Wow, that was quick. Ahead of today’s 2nd day of the FOMC meeting, the MBA said both applications for refi’s and purchases are now below the levels of mid Sept when the Fed decided to further help the housing market with more QE,” writes analyst Peter Boockvar of Miller Tabak. “The costs of an eventual Fed exit will far outweigh any benefits.”

Why are mortgage rates rising again? Because even though the ten-year Treasury yield, which mortgage rates generally track, is above where it was before the Fed’s announcement of QE2, the greater demand by the Fed for MBS is being met by plenty of supply in the form of big refinance volume. The banks are not passing through the discounts they are getting to consumers due to tighter lending standards and rising fees.

(Read More: Is There a Housing Shortage?)

Tighter credit is particularly hard on first-time home buyers, who might not have strong credit scores or large down payments; this cohort usually makes up 45 percent of the overall home buying market but today are down at just 32 percent according to the National Association of Realtors.

“It’s that first time home buyer we have to be mindful of and make sure that the rules and the credit parameters don’t restrict the buyer that doesn’t have equity available in a prior home to move up or the assets in the bank yet,” adds Still.

(Read More: Property Flippers Are Back as Housing’s New Middle Men)

As we head into the historically slower months for the housing market, mortgage rates will likely play an outsized role, as today’s buyers are far more sensitive to the slightest rate moves. True, sales for the builders are up 42 percent from the trough at the beginning of 2011, but 72 percent below the latest peak, according to Boockvar. The door is open for the builders, as long as the bankers don’t slam it shut.

• New-Home Sales Jumped to 2-Year High
• Mortgage Applications Slump
• Cities With Affordable Homes
• Is There a Housing Shortage?
• Housing Momentum vs. REITs 

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