It’s one of California’s most YIMBY city councils — and one of the few surpassing housing goals

Rather than joining 27 Bay Area cities in appealing its Regional Housing Needs Allocation — arguments ranged from traffic concerns to seismic safety issue — Emeryville is seeking to qualify as a “pro-housing city” under a new state program. That means the city must top its state-mandated RHNA allocation by 50% — in the case of Emeryville that’s about 2,700 units instead of 1,800, according to City Manager Christine Daniel. Pro-housing-designated cities have an advantage in applying for state housing funds.

“We think we can reach 150% of our assigned RHNA goal,” Daniel said.

To Bay Area developers, the idea that Emeryville is gunning to build far more than its fair share of housing doesn’t come as a surprise. The city tucked between Oakland and Berkeley along the shoreline has long had a reputation of welcoming development of all kinds. Since 2000, the city’s population has nearly doubled from 6,800 to about 13,000, as housing has been added across the city. With the current housing pipeline, that number could rise to 17,000 by 2030.

“We are at the heart of the Bay Area, the sweet spot of housing, jobs and transportation,” Daniel said. “It sounds trite to say, but it’s true.”

 It’s one of California’s most YIMBY city councils — and one of the few surpassing housing goals

Emeryville City Council Member John Bauters loads a cart with volunteer food distributor Mary Maultsby-Jeffrey while at Emeryville Citizens Assistance Program. The block will be turned into affordable housing units, allowing ECAP to continue to offer free food box and other services to the community members in the need on the first floor of the building.

Brontë Wittpenn/The Chronicle

During a walking tour of Emeryville, City Council Member John Bauters pointed out the city-owned sites that are set aside for affordable housing. At the eastern end of town there is the triangular property at 3600 San Pablo Ave. — on the Oakland border — where Resources Community Development will build 90 units of supportive housing as well as a new home for the Emeryville Citizens Assistance Program, or ECAP, which currently hands out groceries to about 275 people a day.

At 3706 San Pablo Ave., EAH Housing recently completed Estrella Vista, an 87-unit affordable family housing project that is fully leased up after attracting 1,500 applications. The nonprofit developer is set to build about 70 units at 4300 San Pablo Ave., a mix of units for low-income seniors and youth aging out of foster care.

Jake Rosen, project manager for the 3600 San Pablo Ave. project, said the Emeryville City Council came through in the clutch at a time when his group was applying for funding from the state’s No Place Like Home initiative, a program that requires local matching funding. With the application deadline looming, the City Council held an emergency meeting, awarding $16 million to the project. The local investment allowed RCD to receive $19 million from the state.

“Without the city of Emeryville’s substantial and timely support this development could easily have been delayed a year or longer,” Rosen said.

 It’s one of California’s most YIMBY city councils — and one of the few surpassing housing goals

An new apartment building with affordable housing units on Christie Avenue in Emeryville. The apartment is a part of a string of new developments that are creating more affordable housing in the city.

Brontë Wittpenn/The Chronicle

Welton Jordan, chief real estate development officer for EAH Housing, credited Emeryville with pushing a state Senate bill that allowed for the mixed-age project to go through. Previously deed-restricted senior housing had to be 100% seniors and could not have a mix of ages.

Emeryville stands out among the 80 cities in California and Hawaii that EAH develops in, Jordan said. “Emeryville is small but mighty,” he added. “They are willing to work with you to get things done and not so hung up on process.”

He credits the city with pushing use of SB35, which streamlines affordable housing approvals. “Emeryville is a lot easier to work with from a planning perspective,” Jordan said. “They have embraced SB35, whereas a lot of places have not and still want you to go through the traditional two- or three-year process.”

The push to attract residential development is coming from one of Northern California’s most “YIMBY” city councils. In recent years the city raised height limits to seven stories on San Pablo Avenue and used city money to buy five parcels for future affordable housing, and voters passed a $50 million housing bond — a major investment in affordable housing for a city the size of Emeryville. For comparison, San Francisco, 65 times more populous than Emeryville, passed a $600 million affordable housing bond in 2019.

But while development in Emeryville has fattened city coffers — it has a new $90 million school with a community pool and and provides a free “Emery Go Round” bus system — it has not been without growing pains. The open arms with which the city welcomed business has resulted in the 1-square-mile city being home to four major shopping centers, which has led to traffic congestion.

In addition to being the home to headquarters for Pixar and Peet’s Coffee, the city is known for its big-box retailers — and the traffic that comes along with them. Best Buy, Guitar Center, Target and Home Depot — and of course Ikea — all draw shoppers from around the East Bay.

Emeryville has also struggled with homeless encampments both along the waterfront and behind Home Depot.

“We deal with all the same big-city problems as Oakland and Berkeley, but it’s hard because we do it with so few staff,” Bauters said. “Our housing department is one person. Economic development is one person. Labor is one person.”

Amid all the regional shopping center traffic, Emeryville is working to make the city more pleasant to walk and bike in. Last week more than 700 people gathered for the opening of Emeryville’s new $21.4 million pedestrian and bike bridge, a bowed fire-truck-red span that connects the east and west sides of the town over the Southern Pacific Railroad tracks. The bridge for cyclists and walkers links residential neighborhoods to Public Market Emeryville, the Bay Street shops and the waterfront’s open space.

 It’s one of California’s most YIMBY city councils — and one of the few surpassing housing goals

A new pedestrian bridge stands next to a new development off Horton Street and Sherwin Avenue in Emeryville. The East Bay city has been quickly building a lot of affordable housing units, compared to neighboring cities like Oakland and Berkeley.

Brontë Wittpenn/The Chronicle

On the east side of the bridge, the developer Lennar is building 500 housing units in a quartet of buildings, the first of which is to open in May. About 100 of those units will be affordable. Next to those buildings there will be a new park as well as a 910,000-square-foot life science campus called the Emeryville Center of Innovation. Bauters said the hope is that the Lennar buildings will house many of the 2,000 biotech workers.

The city’s approach is to make the development process predictable, requiring developers to build between 17% and 25% affordable, depending on whether it’s rental or housing, Bauters said. “People line up here because developers want predictability,” he said. “They don’t have to roll the dice and get stuck in the process for years.”

The City Council is looking at further upzoning for height and density along transit corridors, upzoning the entire city to a minimum quadplex citywide and improving protections for existing low-income homeowners against speculation, he said.

In recent years, Bauters has not been shy about chiding larger Bay Area cities — including San Francisco and Berkeley — for delaying or rejecting development. On Twitter, he has mocked East Bay communities where neighbors fight to protect views and keep shadows from encroaching on beds of zucchinis. He jokingly suggested a new city slogan: “Emeryville: We are the city that is happy to cast shade.”

J.K. Dineen is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: jdineen@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @sfjkdineen

Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/eastbay/article/The-city-that-is-happy-to-cast-shade-How-16683334.php

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The Bay Area’s best new restaurants of 2021

And while restaurants didn’t get many chances to use their dining rooms in 2020, the introduction of COVID vaccines this year reinvigorated indoor dining for those who were able to venture out. Some of the newcomers, like the Matheson in Healdsburg and Oakland’s Daytrip, put a particular emphasis on artful decor in their spaces.

While I thought that there wouldn’t be as much to choose from this year, it was surprisingly hard to whittle down my choices to just the 14 places on this list. But I believe that all of these projects — whether they’re restaurants, pop-ups or something more — have already added immeasurable color and texture to the Bay Area’s food scene.

Bar Bonmot

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

The charcoal-grilled pork belly served at Bar Bonmot in Cupertino.

Carlos Avila Gonzalez/The Chronicle

Inside of Cupertino’s Residence Inn hotel is Bar Bonmot, a low-key and romantically lit restaurant that unites French and Korean cuisines. Conceived by chef James Lim, the menu is full of surprises, like a potato terrine that turns out to be a luxe take on the tater tot, and sweet-and-salty pork belly wraps glazed with banana gochujang. A particular standout is the Korean-style mashed sweet potato salad, topped with deeply savory salmon roe marinated in a sweet potato-infused soy sauce. It’s a simple dish on paper, but it expresses the idea of “surf and turf” in a surprising and incredibly flavorful way. Cocktails follow a similar route and take full advantage of Asian components like roasted barley tea, yuzu and ginger marmalade and fish sauce. Of special note is the tableware, all made by Lim and his wife, who are budding ceramists in their own right.

Bar Bonmot. 5-10 p.m. Tuesday-Saturday. 19429 Stevens Creek Blvd., Cupertino. 408-645-5747 or barbonmot.com

Chao Pescao

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

Empanadas at Chao Pescao in San Francisco, Calif.

Courtesy Chao Pescao

New to San Francisco’s Civic Center is Chao Pescao, which opened in June. Its teal and guava-pink facade and brightly painted interior are cheery indicators of the restaurant’s casual format, engineered to offer affordable Cuban and Colombian dishes to locals. Run by owner Rene Denis, whose upscale restaurant Soluna once occupied the same space, Chao Pescao goes for tried-and-true, slow-braised favorites. There’s beef ropa vieja, mixed with plump olives and peppers, as well as garlicky, tender pork that you can get as a plate with rice and beans or stuffed into toothsome Colombian-style empanadas made with masa. All the dishes are made to withstand the trials of takeout and delivery service, though the dining room is also open.

Chao Pescao. 11:30 a.m.-8 p.m. Monday-Saturday. 272 McAllister St., San Francisco. 415-621-2200 or chaopescaosf.com

Daytrip

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

The cauliflower dish at Daytrip in Oakland.

Gabrielle Lurie/The Chronicle

“Funky” is the operative word when it comes to describing Temescal’s Daytrip, opened in October by owners Stella Dennig and Finn Stern. The interior of the combination bottle shop and restaurant is decked out like an indie gallery, with iridescent materials and trippy wall art, and the menu is all about preserved ingredients and naturally fermented wine. The food menu is packed with sharply piquant lacto-fermented chile peppers, experimental miso pastes and dehydrated powders. This all culminates in aggressively flavored dishes like miso butter pasta and celery salad with aged sheep cheese and habanero dressing. The shelves at the front of the restaurant emphasize vintages from community-driven wineries and breweries, and you can easily grab a bottle to have with dinner.

Daytrip. 4-9 p.m. Wednesday-Thursday and Sunday; 4-10 p.m. Friday and Saturday. 4316 Telegraph Ave., Oakland. thisisdaytrip.com

Diamond Head General Store

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

The fried mochiko chicken plate, left, and ahi poke from Diamond Head General Store in San Bruno.

Elena Kadvany/The Chronicle

From the get-go, it was clear that Diamond Head was meeting a sorely unmet need in its community. For the first few weeks of its existence, the San Bruno Hawaiian grocery store and cafe routinely sold out of ahi poke, loco moco and other Pacific favorites just a few hours into each day. Owners Monica and Chad Kaneshiro, former fine dining chefs who once ran a brunch restaurant in the same space, do a lot in the small space: They fry fresh doughnuts, called andagi; shape warm musubi with Spam and eggs; and shower fluffy shave ice with a plethora of house-made syrups and toppings. Browse the shelves for a wide selection of island delicacies, like hurricane popcorn, furikake Chex mix and frozen poi. You can eat at the counter or take everything to go.

Diamond Head. Full kitchen is open 10:30 a.m.-3 p.m. Wednesday-Sunday. 260 El Camino Real, San Bruno. 650-636-4007

Itria

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

Roasted turbot with gigante beans, smoked octopus and green garlic purée at Itria in San Francisco.

Courtesy Itria

We’re awash in Italian restaurants in San Francisco, so any new place that opens has to contend with distinguishing itself in an already-packed pool. But Itria, which opened in its new iteration in August, succeeds in being memorable. I still think about the toothy cencioni pasta I had there, mixed with a rich five-mushroom sugo and brightened with a spoonful of gremolata. And then there’s the crudo menu, a gallery of pristine raw fish paired with ingredients like wild Italian mint and charred tomato. Combine all of that with Itria’s exciting list of natural wines and sake, and you have a primo hangout spot.

Itria. 5:30-9:30 p.m. Wednesday-Thursday and Sunday; 5:30-10 p.m. Friday and Saturday. 3266 24th St., San Francisco. 415-874-9821 or itriasf.com

Jolly-Jolly Coffee Kitchen

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

Kale jollof rice with shrimp and chicken photographed at Jolly-Jolly Coffee and Kitchen in Oakland.

Stephen Lam/The Chronicle

In a tiny cafe space across from West Oakland Station, Nigerian expat Jahswill Ukagumaoha produces a succinct but strong menu of West African specialties. Jolly-Jolly is the pandemic-born dream of Ukagumaoha, who worked in nonprofits before opening the restaurant in March. Jollof rice — skillfully spiced and steeped with caramelly, savory aromas — is the must-have item here. Each plump grain of rice pulses with flavor and a hint of fire, and crunchy fried plantains are draped on top. Get it topped with tender stewed and fried oxtails or even kale and shrimp. There is limited seating on-site.

Jolly-Jolly Coffee Kitchen. 11 a.m.-7 p.m. Tuesday-Friday; 11 a.m.-8 p.m. Saturday; noon-8 p.m. Sunday. 1498 Seventh St., Suite B, Oakland. 415-941-8817 or jollyjollyllc.com

Jo’s Modern Thai

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

Clockwise: The crispy catfish taco, pork laab burger, clam coconut milk soup, lobster pad Thai and squid salad at Jo’s Modern Thai in Oakland.

Santiago Mejia/The Chronicle

Blazing a new path for Thai restaurants in the East Bay is Jo’s Modern Thai, born of a partnership between first-time restaurateur Kao Saelee and chef Intu-on Kornnawong. Inspired by Kornnawong’s eponymous San Francisco pop-up and her time cooking at acclaimed restaurants like Kin Khao and Los Angeles’ Night + Market, the menu is full of surprises: a burger made with a lime-scented fried pork patty, stir-fried noodles mixed with smoked brisket, and a banger of a michelada made with spicy nam jim sauce. Set up with a chic patio and a bustling dining room, Jo’s is primed to be a hot spot for Oakland’s Laurel neighborhood.

Jo’s Modern Thai. 4-9 p.m. Wednesday-Sunday. 3725 MacArthur Blvd., Oakland. josmodernthai.com

La Cocina Municipal Marketplace

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

Milayah Bryant, 3, right, checks out a kids friendly art sculpture at La Cocina’s Municipal Marketplace on Wednesday, May 19, 2021 in San Francisco.

Paul Kuroda/Special to The Chronicle

The most exciting recent development in San Francisco’s Tenderloin neighborhood is this 7,000-square-foot food hall by La Cocina, the acclaimed incubator focused on helping low-income and immigrant women succeed in the food business. The organization’s mission manifests in every inch of the place, from the sustaining $5 meals available at every vendor to the free-to-use community computers with internet access. And, of course, the food is fantastic: Try Teranga’s Senegalese muffaletta sandwiches, Kayma’s Algerian flavorful vegan stew and an ube latte from Fluid Coop, a worker-owned coffee shop. The marketplace is open for indoor and outdoor dining.

La Cocina Municipal Marketplace. 11 a.m.-2:30 p.m. Monday-Friday. 332 Golden Gate Ave., San Francisco. lacocinamarketplace.com

La Q Marin

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

A cheesy broccoli taco from La Q Marin in Greenbrae.

Soleil Ho / The Chronicle

In a stroke of sheer genius, restaurateur Steve Paoli and chef Francisco Cazares opened this petite cheesy taco cart in a shopping center in Greenbrae. Situated in front of a Trader Joe’s, La Q Marin’s motto is “Never shop hungry,” which are wise words for anyone who’s hovered a little too long in the grocer’s potato chip aisle. The specialty is the crisp cheesy taco, built on freshly made corn tortillas and available with fillings like charred broccolini and cauliflower or prawns. Don’t miss the calzados, the stall’s take on a riceless burrito, finished with a long press on the plancha. Cazares’ sprightly pineapple habanero salsa is a must with each bite. You can sit and eat in the parking lot or take your order on the road.

La Q Marin. 11 a.m.-6 p.m. Monday-Saturday; 11 a.m.-4 p.m. Sunday. 2040 Redwood Hwy., Greenbrae. Takeout. laqmarin.com

Lulu

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

(Top left, clockwise) The Early Girl salad, halloumi and preserves sandwich, mana’eesh and Serrano hummus served at Lulu in Berkeley.

Jessica Christian/The Chronicle

At Berkeley’s Lulu, chef and owner Mona Leena sprinkles hummus with chopped Serrano peppers, packs crisp falafel with fennel and glazes fried chicken with anise-scented arak and miso. Her style is a marriage of Middle Eastern and Californian flavors brought together to represent her multicultural upbringing in the Bay Area. Weekend brunch is an especially exciting experience, thanks to Leena’s vibrant mezze platters filled to the gills with delectable house-made flatbreads, pickles, seasonal vegetable dishes and spreads. Both the airy dining room and cozy patio are open.

Lulu. 8:30-11 a.m. and 11:30 a.m.-2:30 p.m. Tuesday-Thursday; 9:30 a.m.-3 p.m. Friday-Sunday. 1019 Camelia St., Berkeley. 510-529-4300 or luluberkeley.com

The Matheson

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

The Coffee and Spice Grilled Steak at The Matheson in Healdsburg.

John Storey/Special to the Chronicle

Healdsburg got a splashy opening this year in the Matheson, a three-story restaurant complex that boasts 130 wines by the glass, a sushi bar concept by chef Ken Tominaga, wood-fired pizza and a new take on Wine Country cuisine by lauded local chef Dustin Valette. The 88-tap “wine wall” is a fun way to try little tastes of premium wines you’ve always wondered about, from Chateau d’Yquem to a wide selection of Russian River Valley Pinot Noirs. It’s a gourmet amusement park of sorts, but the Matheson follows through on quality on every level. The lively rooftop, with its views of Healdsburg and informal service, is the highlight. Snack on juicy fried sweet corn seasoned with chile salt and pizza made with the same yeast used to make Pinot Noir. I recommend the pepperoni pie: A drizzle of honey and cinnamon-tinged Thai basil give it a wholly unique aroma.

The Matheson. 5:30-9:30 p.m. daily; rooftop open 5-10 p.m. Monday-Thursday and noon-10 p.m. Friday-Sunday. 106 Matheson St., Healdsburg. 707-723-1106 or thematheson.com

The Mushroom

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

Left: The soup served during the Mushroom Pop Up by Alex Lauritzen and partner Frank Valadez in the Seven Hills restaurant space in San Francisco. The Mushroom is a pop-up dinner series that uses custom ceramics and avant garde cooking to make really fabulous vegan food; Right: The squash tower on display during the Mushroom pop-up dinner.

Carlos Avila Gonzalez/The Chronicle

This pop-up dinner series is a true event, set with sculptural towers of squash, eccentric custom ceramics and wine made by the proprietor himself. Alex Lauritzen, who works at Russian Hill restaurant Seven Hills, teamed up with a group of talented friends to create a one-of-a-kind multicourse meal ($130) centered on vegan cooking. The aesthetic is a celebratory throwback to the 1960s — namely, San Francisco psychedelia and classic, oversaturated American cookbooks. A salad of grated carrots, beets and chickpeas shimmers like a tropical anemone, and drippy passion fruit pulp and puffed quinoa give a Concord grape sorbet a paisley appearance. Events are announced on the Mushroom’s Instagram page.

The Mushroom. Locations vary; see Instagram for more information. www.instagram.com/themushroomsf

Otra

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

The asparagus tostada at Otra in the Haight-Ashbury neighborhood of San Francisco.

Jessica Christian/The Chronicle

A sister restaurant to the Mission District’s now-closed Son’s Addition, Otra in Haight-Ashbury revolves around beans, tortillas and salsa. Almost every dish includes some form of masa, whether it’s as powerfully crunchy chips with salsa molcajete, warm tortillas served with grilled hamachi collar or a pliant huarache piled with cotija cheese and hen of the woods mushrooms. Chef and co-owner Nick Cobarruvias, a Texas native, found inspiration in the homey and simple dishes he grew up eating, and you see that influence in the decor, too: The walls are decorated with framed photos of Cobarruvias’ Mexican ancestors, who watch over the space from beyond.

Otra. 4:30-10 p.m. daily. 682 Haight St., San Francisco. 415-500-2774 or otrasf.com

Pho Auntie 7

 The Bay Areas best new restaurants of 2021

Banh beo at Pho Auntie 7 in Castro Valley, Calif.

Soleil Ho / The Chronicle

During the pandemic, I was thrilled to stumble upon Auntie 7’s Kitchen, a family-run meal-delivery service that provided incredible Vietnamese food. And then there was even better news: The team opened a restaurant in Castro Valley in May. Dishes include many that are relative rarities in the Bay Area. Try the savory and slurpable rice cakes, steamed in ceramic ramekins and topped with Danang-style shrimp and pork sauce. And if you only think of pho when you consider Vietnamese food, check out the restaurant’s mi quang, a hybrid noodle salad/soup decked out with crunchy peanuts, caramelized shrimp, a toasted sesame cracker and slippery turmeric-stained rice noodles in a rich broth.

Pho Auntie 7. 11 a.m.-9 p.m. Monday and Wednesday-Sunday. 2690 Castro Valley Blvd., Castro Valley. 510-885-1068 or phoauntie7.square.site

Soleil Ho is The San Francisco Chronicle’s restaurant critic. Email: soleil@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @hooleil

Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/food/restaurants/article/best-new-restaurants-sf-bay-area-2021-16699243.php

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San Francisco community outraged over real estate developer’s revision plan to not rebuild tennis club – KGO

SAN FRANCISCO (KGO) — Players in the San Francisco tennis community are upset after learning that a developer, who had initially agreed on a plan to build a tennis club within a new building, revised the plan and left out the tennis club.

Now those previously involved with the San Francisco Tennis Club are making a last ditch effort for help from the City of San Francisco at a site near 5th and Brannon.

“I feel like I have personally been double crossed. I think the question here is, ‘Is San Francisco for sale to the highest bidder’?,” said Seth Socolow, who heads the nonprofit group San Franciscans for Sports and Recreation.

RELATED: How a private club feud led to public tennis court upgrades around San Francisco

Socolow says the Bay Club sold their former tennis property at 88 Bluxome in 2019 to the Alexandria Real Estate Equities group which presented their plans to the city’s planning board at the time. A new tennis club was listed as their number one “Planning Principle.” A site that would also have office space, affordable housing, and retail was then approved.

But a 2021 revision of the plan eliminated the tennis club. According to recent documents, a zoning administrator said the elimination was not a significant one and while there was an agreement between the nonprofit and the owner, a tennis club at this new location was “not a planning code requirement.”

Youth Tennis Advantage Executive Director Mike Skinner says this move will negatively impact 350 kids from underserved communities who play tennis in San Francisco and currently play on outdoor courts and indoor courts at a temporary facility near Cow Palace.

RELATED: San Francisco’s Golden Gate Park tennis center gets renovation

“San Francisco Tennis Club has been very generous to us over the years in giving us court time for our kids to practice to workout in their clinics for free. One of our students right now just got on Wednesday accepted to Princeton,” says Skinner.

Socolow’s group is appealing to the San Francisco Board of Appeals Wednesday. He says that greats like Serena Williams and even Arthur Ashe were involved at the last tennis site. He hopes the board will see the real issue here.

RELATED: Here’s a look at transformation of new SF neighborhood on Treasure Island, Yerba Buena Island

“The loss of this recreation epicenter and again we’re talking about over 134 thousand square feet of indoor recreation space, that’s roughly three acres,” says Socolow

We did reach out to those with the Alexandria Real Estate Equities company, but have not yet received a response.

Article source: https://abc7news.com/tennis-san-francisco-club-real-estate-news-players-upset-over-plan/11310534/

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These charts show which Bay Area neighborhoods are seeing normal growth in home prices vs. steep acceleration

Using this number, we found that many neighborhoods in the northern and eastern parts of the Bay have seen their home values increase faster in the past few years than earlier in the decade. In San Francisco, the opposite is true: Most neighborhoods saw the most growth in their home values in the early 2010s, followed by sluggish or even negative growth in the years leading up to and during the pandemic.

The area under the curve, or AUC, is a number used to calculate the acceleration of an object over time. The bigger the area underneath a curve is, the slower its acceleration is over a given time frame. That’s because curves with lots of area beneath them likely grew early on, giving them more time to collect lots of area beneath them. The smaller the area, the faster the acceleration.

A neighborhood with perfect linear growth in home values, for example, would have an AUC of half the total area of a chart, or 0.5 — we scaled the AUC to be from 0 to 1. What we’re measuring isn’t quite acceleration. In our case, we’re just looking at how change in value over the decade accelerated without considering its price at the start of the decade. But it still gives a good idea of how home value increases are distributed for each neighborhood over the last 10 years.

To look at which neighborhoods’ home prices have increased fastest in recent years compared to the start of the decade, we downloaded data from Zillow on over 500 neighborhoods in the nine-county Bay Area region. We then looked at how the median price of a home in each neighborhood has changed every year since 2011 (we filtered out a few dozen based on missing data to end up with 536 neighborhoods total).

For each neighborhood, we plotted the yearly share of the decade’s growth that had already happened as of every September, from September 2011 to September 2021, the latest month with data available. We then used a mathematical formula to calculate the AUC under every neighborhood’s growth line.

We found that, in most cases, neighborhoods with the highest acceleration — i.e., the smallest AUCs — were in the East Bay and Marin County (Zillow’s data does not include all neighborhoods in the Bay Area, including many in Sonoma and Solano counties). The neighborhood that accelerated fastest (with an AUC of 0.24) was Richmore Village, a neighborhood in the city of Richmond. That’s because the neighborhood initially saw prices drop in the first part of the decade, followed by a steep upward increase in values starting in 2018. Over 40% of the neighborhood’s decade of growth in home values happened in a single year: between September 2020 and 2021.

The neighborhoods with the least acceleration (and largest AUCs) were mostly in San Francisco. In fact, of the 20 neighborhoods with the slowest acceleration in home values in the past 10 years, 16 of them were in San Francisco.

Of all the 536 neighborhoods we looked at, Chinatown, with an AUC of 0.93, saw the least acceleration over the past decade, even though its home value increased by almost 50%. That’s because all of its growth happened early in the decade; home values in the neighborhood have actually declined since 2017.

Just because a neighborhood had less acceleration doesn’t mean the home values in those neighborhoods didn’t increase over those 10 years. In fact, the 10 neighborhoods with the lowest AUCs still saw home values increase by at least 50% over the past decade, and most of them grew by a lot more.

A higher AUC in a given neighborhood just means that home values in that neighborhood saw more growth earlier in the decade, and they didn’t see the same recent skyrocketing of growth that many outer Bay Area neighborhoods have experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic.

This finding fits in with other analyses showing that the pandemic is causing what some researchers are calling the “doughnut effect.” As remote work became the norm for many knowledge workers, many metropolitan areas that serve as professional hubs saw widespread migration out of their denser centers into less-crowded suburban surroundings.

San Francisco was no exception. While home values boomed across the U.S. in the first year of the pandemic, a previous Chronicle analysis found that a majority of neighborhoods in San Francisco actually saw home values decline.

The AUC calculation, aside from being a fun way to visualize the effect of the pandemic on housing prices, also confirms that neighborhoods in San Francisco have seen slower or even negative growth in home values during COVID-19, while neighborhoods in relatively less dense and pricey regions, like Contra Costa and Alameda counties, have seen much faster growth during the pandemic.

The data also sheds light on just how extreme the COVID-era housing boom has been for many neighborhoods in the Bay. When looking at the relationship between a neighborhood’s overall growth in home values and its acceleration, we found that neighborhoods with a larger share of growth in the last few years (i.e., a smaller AUC) also tended to have grown by a bigger percentage in the decade overall.

That is, the recent COVID home value explosion has been particularly acute.



Susie Neilson is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: susie.neilson@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @susieneilson

Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/We-charted-the-acceleration-curve-for-Bay-16623997.php

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This California city just knocked SF off list of top five least affordable in US

In San Francisco, 64.35% of household income is used toward mortgage payments and property taxes, according to the report. That’s compared to the least affordable city, New York, where 84.03% of income is spent on homeownership. Miami is next at 83.18%, followed by Los Angeles at 81.18% and Newark, N.J., at 80.18%.

Long Beach and Hialeah, in Florida’s Miami-Dade County, were each up one spot this month, ranking as the fifth and sixth least-affordable cities with 65.49% and 64.4% of income spent on homeownership, respectively.

But Shane Lee, a data scientist with RealtyHop, explained that this doesn’t mean San Francisco’s homes are any less expensive — it still has the highest average home price, according to RealtyHop’s data.

“San Francisco was expensive and is still expensive today,” Lee said — but its median income, which RealtyHop pulled from the U.S. census, is higher than the cities that outrank it on the most unaffordable list — though the Bay Area continues to struggle with severe income inequality.

Lee added that the city moved down the list this month because its housing market isn’t growing quite as fast as some other metro areas, which are seeing home prices move up more quickly. Inflation is also worsening the problem, she said.

Overall, she said, housing prices are on the rise, due to an increase in demand and a slowdown in building, especially in metro areas like San Francisco, New York, Los Angeles and Long Beach.

A Chronicle data analysis also found that most neighborhoods in San Francisco have seen sluggish or negative growth in home values over the latter half of the last decade, while the northern and eastern parts of the Bay Area have seen their home values increase faster in the past few years than earlier in the decade.

San Francisco’s rental market has also been slow to return to pre-pandemic levels, according to a Chronicle analysis, though experts say that the rental market has mostly returned to pre-pandemic seasonal behavior, and prices could soon catch up.

Wage growth in many metro areas is also slower than rises in housing prices, Lee said, which also drives homeownership out of reach for many people.

“It’s possible wage growth is not keeping up, so affordability will continue to be a problem,” she said. “Homes are still going to be unaffordable for the foreseeable future.”

Danielle Echeverria is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: danielle.echeverria@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @DanielleEchev

Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/S-F-falls-off-list-of-Top-5-most-unaffordable-16686718.php

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