Here’s how the plunge in the SF rental market breaks down by neighborhood




1cb07 920x1240 Heres how the plunge in the SF rental market breaks down by neighborhood

San Francisco has seen a major reset in rental rates through the coronavirus pandemic.

San Francisco has seen a major reset in rental rates through the…



The historic rental drop in San Francisco in recent months has not affected all parts of the city equally.

Data shared by apartment rental website Zumper last week showed that one-bedroom rents are down 11.8% across the city, beating the previous month’s record of largest decline ever in San Francisco.

The company has broken down this data neighborhood by neighborhood, and it shows that while some areas of the city have seen rents plummet by more than 20%, others have seen an increase of up to 16%.


The largest rent decreases were found in neighborhoods within walking distance to San Francisco start-up hubs — SoMa saw a decrease year-over-year of 19%, and the Lower Pac Heights neighborhood saw a whopping 21% dip. Downtown and Financial District rents dropped by 15% and 14% respectively.



This is “due to the proximity to work which is no longer as important a factor in where renters choose to live,” Zumper CEO Anthemos Georgiades told SFGATE.

Meanwhile, rental rates in the farther, less expensive reaches of the city have seen an increase year-on-year, with Outer Richmond prices climbing 11% and rents in the Bayview up 16%.

Other neighborhoods have seen little change — Noe Valley’s prices dropped just 1%, and NoPa and the Castro were both down just 2%.


“This really feels like a historic moment. With rents down 11.8% year on year, this is the first time this generation of renters in San Francisco has seen a shift like this,” Georgiades said.

As for what the future holds, Zumper does not foresee a bounce back in the rental rate any time soon.


“We believe that rents will continue to drop for a while and then plateau. We do not believe we will see any form of immediate recovery to previous highs for a long time,” Georgiades said, “This is without question a reset, driven in part by the recession, in part by an influx of supply, and in part by the future of remote work.”

Andrew Chamings is an editor at SFGATE. Email: Andrew.Chamings@sfgate.com | Twitter: @AndrewChamings

Article source: https://www.sfgate.com/living-in-sf/article/historic-san-francisco-rental-drop-by-neighborhood-15397139.php

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SF’s hot office market freezes with record-low leasing during coronavirus

In recent years, San Francisco’s office market set new pricing records as rents soared amid seemingly unstoppable tech demand. But as the coronavirus shuttered most workplaces, new leasing activity plunged to a record low.

Companies signed new leases totaling 266,000 square feet in the second quarter, according to brokerage Cushman Wakefield, the lowest level based on data going back to the 1990s. The previous low of 556,640 square feet was in the first quarter of 2009 during the Great Recession. The data does not include renewals.

Software company Airtable signed the biggest new lease of the quarter, totaling 48,800 square feet at 155 Fifth St. Leasing volume was just 13% of leasing in the second quarter of 2019, which totaled 2.1 million square feet.

The plunge in activity reflects great uncertainty around the future of workplaces and demand from companies, said Robert Sammons, Cushman Wakefield’s senior director of Bay Area research. San Francisco allowed some workers to return last month, but many major employers such as Salesforce haven’t decided when to reopen offices. Businesses are now mandated to have safety measures like masks and 6-foot separations among employees.

The city’s office market has also been battered by mass layoffs, with the unemployment rate surging to 12.6% in June, according to state data, up from a record low of 1.8% last fall. San Francisco’s office vacancy rate rose to 9.9% from 5.5% in the second quarter of last year.

Though layoffs have been predominantly in the food, retail and travel sectors, thousands of workers have been laid off at major tech firms, including Airbnb, Uber and Yelp. All three of those firms are currently listing available sublease space.

“There’s very little demand out there,” said Colin Yasukochi, executive director of brokerage CBRE’s Tech Insights Center. “There’s weakness in the market, but whether that weakness is mild or severe remains to be seen.”

Unlike the housing market, the office market has yet to see asking rents drop. June’s asking rent of $83.11 per square foot annually was up slightly from the first quarter, according to Cushman Wakefield. Sammons said it can take months for pricing to catch up to the new reality.

Activity was also slow in Silicon Valley and the East Bay, according to preliminary data, but asking rents have not fallen substantially, he said.

In comparison to the devastation in the retail and hotel sectors, the office market has been more resilient.

“I don’t think it’s all doom and gloom,” Sammons said.

Major tech companies like Google and Facebook continue to pursue major expansions in Silicon Valley. Google was considering a major lease at the Pier 70 project prior to the pandemic, according to numerous real estate sources, but it’s unclear if the company will move forward. Last week, Google delayed the partial reopening of its U.S. offices to at least Sept. 7.

Demand for lab space from biotech companies is still strong, and office projects could seek to become lab space instead, Sammons said. Gilead, which is developing the coronavirus treatment remdesivir, is headquartered in Foster City.

Boston Properties, San Francisco’s biggest office landlord and owner of Salesforce Tower, said it had collected 98% of its rent payments in June across the country.

It also signed a major lease of 400,000 square feet with Microsoft in Virginia, though it didn’t have any major deals in the Bay Area.

“Companies and their employees recognize the importance of the office as the preferred workplace for collaboration, creativity, mentorship, productivity and creating culture,” said Owen Thomas, CEO of Boston Properties, in a statement in May.

Roland Li is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: roland.li@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @rolandlisf

Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/business/article/SF-s-hot-office-market-freezes-with-record-low-15389733.php

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Bay Area property tax rolls are up 6.7% this year. It’s next year assessors worry about

The total assessed value of taxable property in all Bay Area counties except Contra Costa hit $1.72 trillion as of Jan. 1 — up $108 billion or a healthy 6.7% over last year — but growth could slow significantly this year as demand for office space slows, home sales plunge and inflation subsides.

County assessors had until July 1 — the start of the 2020-21 fiscal year — to finish computing the assessed value as of Jan. 1 of all taxable property in their county, including land, homes, commercial real estate, business equipment, boats and airplanes. This is called “closing the roll.” The assessed value is the amount subject to property tax. It’s what property owners will see on their 2020-21 tax bill in the fall.

Contra Costa County got an extension until Aug. 10 to complete its 2020-21 roll because of the coronavirus pandemic. If you include its roll from last year, the Bay Area total would surpass $1.9 trillion.

Under Proposition 13, property in California is reassessed, generally at market value, only when it changes hands. (Some transfers, such as between parents and children and by people over 55 in some cases, are exempt from reassessment.) In between changes of ownership, assessors can only tack on the value of new construction or improvements, plus an inflation rate capped at 2% per year. So assessed value is often far below market value.

Cities and counties need property taxes for schools, social services, public health, fire, police and sheriff’s departments and other government activities. The average tax rate in California is around 1.2% of assessed value, including voter-approved local taxes. A $1billion increase in assessed value generates about $12 million in additional taxes.

The main things that boost a county’s tax revenue are commercial and residential construction, properties changing hands at higher prices and the inflation rate. This rate is based on the annual change in the California Consumer Price Index each October. It can be less than 2% but can’t exceed that amount.

In recent years, construction of new offices for tech and biotech companies, and housing for their workers have powered property tax increases in many parts of the Bay Area.

In Santa Clara County, the assessor added $650 million to this year’s roll from construction at Moffett Towers II in Sunnyvale, an office project developed by Jay Paul and leased to Amazon and Facebook; $594.6 million from construction at the mixed-use Santa Clara Square; and $332 million from the Google Bay View project in Mountain View.

 Bay Area property tax rolls are up 6.7% this year. It’s next year assessors worry about

It added $102 million from the sale of land underneath California’s Great America amusement park to its owner, Cedar Fair Entertainment Co., which had been leasing the land from the city of Santa Clara.

In San Mateo County, two big contributors to this year’s roll were the Facebook campus expansion in Menlo Park, which added $561 million, and the Burlingame Point Project just south of San Francisco International Airport, which added $544 million. The Burlingame project, which includes four office buildings, was envisioned as a life sciences campus, but Facebook decided to lease the entire complex. It will move its Oculus virtual reality division into it next year.

 Bay Area property tax rolls are up 6.7% this year. It’s next year assessors worry about

In San Francisco, the sale of Levi’s Plaza for an estimated price of $820 million added $400 million to the roll and the newly opened Chase Center, home of the Golden State Warriors, added $350 million. Commercial projects that take years to build are added to the roll incrementally, as construction progresses.

 Bay Area property tax rolls are up 6.7% this year. It’s next year assessors worry about

For the Bay Area, this year’s growth rate was on par with last year’s, but some assessors warned that the shelter-in-place orders that took effect in mid-March could slow their roll growth.

Demand for office space is already declining as the great work-from-home experiment shows signs of success. Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg said in May that within 10 years as many as half of its employees can work remotely. Jack Dorsey’s San Francisco companies Twitter and Square said they’ll let most employees work from home permanently. So will Quora of Mountain View and San Francisco’s Coinbase, which call themselves “remote-first” companies.

In San Francisco, companies signed new leases on just 266,000 square feet of office space in the second quarter, the lowest level since at least the 1990s, according to Cushman Wakefield data. In Silicon Valley, office leasing in the second quarter hit its lowest rate in 16 years, brokerage firm CBRE reported.

Falling home sales are another concern. The number of existing single-family homes sold in the Bay Area fell 37% and 51%, respectively, in April and May compared with the same months last year. The median price of homes sold in those two months declined just 0.8% and 2.5% year over year, according to the California Association of Realtors.

The sales plunge — caused by restrictions on home showings, falling stock prices and uncertainty over where prices are heading — is a problem for counties because fewer homes are reassessed at higher prices.

But if prices also fall sharply, recent home buyers could seek a Proposition 8 tax reduction. This proposition says that if the market value of a home falls below its assessed value, the homeowner can ask the assessor to temporarily reduce the assessed value to the market value.

After the real estate bubble popped in 2006, home values fell so deeply that most Bay Area assessors applied reductions automatically to ones that had sold in the few years before and after the housing market crashed. Although millions of homeowners got tax reductions, Bay Area assessment rolls generally rose, albeit modestly, thanks largely to the inflation factor.

As home prices recovered, most of these reductions were reversed and those homes are now assessed where they would have been had they not gotten the reduction. In San Mateo County, only 295 residential properties still have a Prop. 8 reduction, down from 34,7000 in 2011-12.

This time around, assessors expect to see a flood of requests for property tax cuts from businesses, not homeowners.

“The value of commercial property is the income it generates. If your tenants moved out, went broke, stopped paying rent, or all of the above, then we are going to see significant reductions,” Santa Clara County Assessor Larry Stone said. “I predict the negative impact on commercial property values as a result of COVID-19 will be greater than the impact that occurred in the (previous) recession, which was a residential-triggered recession.”

He added that the inflation factor next year could drop below the 2% cap, as it did five times since 2003. In 2010-11 it dipped below zero. In April, the California Consumer Price Index was slightly below where it was in October.

More Information

The roll is the assessed value, as of Jan. 1, of all secured and unsecured property subject to property tax, net of exemptions. Most Bay Area counties completed, or closed, their rolls by the July 1 deadline.

*Contra Costa obtained an extension to close its roll by Aug. 10 because of the coronavirus pandemic

**Estimate

Source: Chronicle research

In San Mateo County, “We anticipate that these disruptions will have a negative impact on the 2021-22 assessment roll,” Assessor Mark Church said in a news release. The shelter-in-place mandate likely affected retail and hotel properties, and many commercial and residential property owners “experienced lost rent while also being subjected to eviction moratoriums.” He also said the county would be “proactive” in reducing assessments where “market data shows that the fair market value on January 1, 2021 is lower than the calculated taxable value.”

One wild card is Proposition 15, the split-roll initiative on the November ballot. It would maintain Prop. 13 treatment for small businesses, agricultural land and residential property, including apartment buildings. But it would require other commercial and industrial property to be reappraised and taxed at its full market value periodically, with a partial tax exemption for business personal property such as computers and office equipment.

If passed, it would be phased in over several starting in 2022-23. When fully implemented, it could increase statewide property tax revenues by $7.5 billion to $12 billion annually, according to a Legislative Analyst’s report. But it also would create “significant new administrative responsibilities for counties, particularly county assessors” that could cost “hundreds of millions of dollars per year.”

Kathleen Pender is a San Francisco Chronicle columnist. Email: kpender@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @kathpender

Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/business/networth/article/Bay-Area-property-tax-rolls-are-up-6-8-this-15400712.php

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Coronavirus economy: Office leasing slumps in Bay Area

Office markets in the South Bay, East Bay and Peninsula turned sluggish and posted their weakest leasing performances in years during the second quarter of this year amid coronavirus-linked business shutdowns, according to separate reports from Colliers International.

The leasing activity for office space was so slow in the April-through-June period that space became vacant at a much faster pace than it was rented in Silicon Valley, the Oakland area of the East Bay and San Mateo County, reports from commercial real estate firm Colliers showed.

“Silicon Valley commercial property markets continued to be battered by the COVID-19 public health crisis and the consequent shelter-in-place orders,” according to a report prepared by Lena Tutko, senior research manager in the San Jose office of Colliers International.

Coronavirus-linked business shutdowns that state and local government agencies ordered in California have cast a pall of economic uncertainty over expansion and relocation plans on the part of tenants throughout the Bay Area.

In all three markets, office tenants leased much less space than they vacated. The result is huge amounts of square footage becoming vacant.

Santa Clara County tenants agreed to a combined 815,000 square feet of office leases during the second quarter, down 57 percent from the 1.9 million square feet in leases during the first quarter covering the January-through-March period, Colliers reports show.

East Bay tenants leased a combined 163,700 square feet in the second quarter, a 36 percent drop from the first quarter when leasing activity totaled 254,600 square feet.

Peninsula tenants leased 406,500 square feet in the second quarter, a plunge of 53 percent from the 862,000 square feet in office leases during the first quarter.

“This was the lowest quarterly total recorded since Colliers began tracking these statistics 20 years ago,” Colliers research director Tutko stated in the report for the Oakland-area office market, which includes Oakland, Berkeley, Alameda, Emeryville and Richmond.

Two leases of recent years serve to put Santa Clara County’s 815,000 square feet in perspective. In recent years, Facebook agreed to rent about 1.05 million square feet at a modern tech campus in Sunnyvale that was developed by Jay Paul Co. Google has agreed to lease 729,000 square feet in a single transaction conducted with development firm Peery Arrillaga.

As is the case in all major real estate markets, some tenants are also vacating space at the same time other tenants are leasing space — sometimes involving the same company. That never-ending dynamic brought additional grim tidings to the Bay Area office market.

The tenant exits in the South Bay, East Bay and Peninsula, combined with the feeble leasing activity, meant that far more space became vacant than was filled up in all three markets.

The increase in empty office space during the second quarter totaled 597,000 square feet in Santa Clara County, 374,000 square feet in the Oakland area, and 946,000 square feet in San Mateo County.

“The status of the local market remains fluid and difficult to predict,” Colliers stated in its report about San Mateo County. “Uncertainty over the length of business shutdowns and the challenges companies will face in returning to work will cast a shadow on a reboot of the leasing market.”

One potential bright spot: the resilience of the tech sector in Silicon Valley and the Peninsula.

“A tech industry that seems to be weathering the storm better than many corners of the economy, Colliers stated in its report, “may mitigate the impact on office leasing.” Colliers added, however, that “The next several quarters are certain to be volatile.”


Article source: https://www.mercurynews.com/coronavirus-economy-office-leasing-slump-bay-area-real-estate-tech-development

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The Newsroom @Home: What’s the coronavirus pandemic doing to the Bay Area real estate market?

On June 25, 2020, Bay Area News Group housing reporter Louis Hansen spoke with real estate professionals about market trends, historical precedents, and home buying and selling with coronavirus pandemic restrictions. Zillow senior principal economist Skylar Olsen gave details on the Bay Area market and how the real estate industry has been affected by COVID-19 and also how it differs from the 2008/9 recession. When the conversation transitioned to the broker end of real estate Ramesh Rao, Seniors Real Estate Specialist and realtor for Coldwell Banker Realty, and Sandy Jamison, broker and owner of Tuscana Properties, explained how one can buy or sell a home during this time. They explained that Silico Valley might not be the most popular kid in class anymore and that working from home orders have played a role in the shifting real estate business.

What is The Newsroom @Home?

For the past year, we have been holding In Real Life events where readers get the chance to meet some of our journalists in person. Since this is not possible with limits on large gatherings and social distancing, we created The Newsroom @ Home to bring you discussions and insights virtually as we all figure out how to navigate the coronavirus pandemic.

Over the past few months, we have brought our readers discussions about restaurants in the Bay Area dealing with COVID-19, diving into the behind-the-scenes stories of how our photojournalists shot some of their favorite photos, a candid conversation with author Robin Sloan and more. To see upcoming events or catch up on any you missed, go to MercuryNews.com/Events, EastBayTimes.com/Events or MarinIJ.com/Events.


Article source: https://www.mercurynews.com/the-newsroom-home-whats-the-coronavirus-pandemic-doing-to-the-bay-area-real-estate-market

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