2020 Voter Guide for SF Bay Area: What you need to know for November election

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Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/projects/2020/voter-guide/

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Rent falling fast in Bay Area cities during pandemic

High costs, remote work and shuttered bars, restaurants and shops have taken a toll on city living in the Bay Area.

And during the covid pandemic, it’s showing up in plummeting Bay Area rents since March, according to a new study by Apartment List. Monthly rent dropped 17.8 percent in San Francisco, the steepest decline in the nation, 9.5 percent in San Jose, 7.9 percent in Oakland and 6.3 percent in Fremont.

The four Bay Area cities were among the top 10 cities in the country with declining rents. They also remain atop the list of most expensive cities in the U.S., according to Apartment List.

“The short answer is coronavirus,” said Igor Popov, chief economist at Apartment List. But he added that other factors, including the recession and remote work, have driven down demand and prices in the Bay Area and other cities with tech hubs.

Overall since March, rents are down in 41 of the 100 largest U.S. cities, according to Apartment List. Other cities that have seen big drops are New York (down 11.6 percent), Seattle (off 9.9 percent) and Washington, D.C. (down 8 percent).

Remote work has reduced the need for apartments near tech and professional offices and increased demand for more home space for video conferencing and the ever-elusive balance between job and home. The recession has hurt service workers and others unable to work from home, causing some to leave the Bay Area to move back with family or cheaper spaces.

Bay Area rents remain high. The median price for an apartment in San Francisco is $2,590, while the median is $2,170 in San Jose and $2,090 in Oakland.

Many Bay Area apartments are offering discounts, including periods of free rent or first-month reductions to fill vacant units, agents and public listings show.

For example, a vacant two-bedroom, two-bathroom unit near the Panhandle in San Francisco was initially listed on Zillow in June for $4,490 and was relisted in September for $500 less. A two-bedroom walk up in Hayes Valley listed for $3,600 in August 2019 is now being offered for $2,795 with a $1,000 discount on the first month’s rent.

The Rosewalk Apartments, a 450-unit complex in San Jose, is offering a $1,500 move-in discount.

Omar Maissen, an agent at FM Partners in San Francisco, said sales of apartment buildings and investment condos have fallen as pandemic movers have searched for more space. Small apartment buildings, he added, are “getting crushed.”

Some of the movers from San Francisco are looking to buy in the suburbs, Maissen said. “Some people were priced out and are seeing this as an opportunity,” he said.

Apartment List has seen a strong demand to remain in the Bay Area through an analysis of its search data, Popov said. But fewer outsiders are looking at moving into the area. Silicon Valley apartment hunters are also looking to Sacramento — a cheaper housing alternative but still within striking range for an occasional commute to the office.

The prices of apartments in smaller, more affordable cities have risen during the pandemic. Boise, Idaho, Reno, Nev., and North Las Vegas have all seen jumps.

Popov expects cities to regain their vibrancy as the health crisis recedes and restaurants and shops re-open to pre-coronavirus levels. But most tech companies and major employers have not made permanent decisions on remote work.

“Ultimately,” he said, “it feels like a bit of a moving target.”


Article source: https://www.mercurynews.com/rent-falling-fast-in-bay-area-cities-during-pandemic

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Has San Francisco real estate lost it?

Don and Laura Zapata grew up in San Francisco, attended public schools, raised their two daughters in the city and, until August 31, lived their entire lives there.

The appeal of being close to their family and jobs waned after years of paying up to $3,000 a month in rent and disappeared with COVID-19. The couple toured houses for months during the pandemic, finally finding a dream home 70 miles away in Tracy.

“It was time to just change our life,” said Laura Zapata, 37, a hair restoration stylist. “It was time to go.”

The Zapatas joined a procession from San Francisco this summer that has sent rents plummeting, home inventory soaring and chilled home and condo prices in what remains the most expensive city in the nation.

Outside of San Francisco, the Bay Area COVID-19 real estate market has been red-hot, with few homes for sale, quick deals, cash transactions and high-end, spacious properties selling for a premium.

Zillow economist Jeff Tucker said San Francisco is running contrary to national trends as well.

In fact, only Manhattan and San Francisco among major U.S. cities have seen a growth in home listings and falling prices during the first several months of the pandemic, according to Zillow. The number of homes for sale in San Francisco nearly doubled during that time, and list prices in the city dropped about 5 percent, tilting ever-so-slightly toward a buyer’s market.

“It’s not a mass sell-off. You’re not getting fire-sale prices,” Tucker said. “I don’t see anything that says San Francisco is going to be a ghost town anytime soon.”

San Francisco rents have fallen faster than any other city, according to listing site Zumper. The median price for a two-bedroom plummeted 20 percent in October from the previous year, although the monthly rate of $3,800 remained the highest in the nation.

Strong markets in rural and resort communities, such as Lake Tahoe and Sierra foothill towns, suggest Bay Area buyers are willing to move or purchase a second home once they get the green light from their employers. Major Silicon Valley tech companies and other white-collar businesses have extended remote work into 2021. “Everyone has been waiting to get guidance from their employers,” Tucker said. “The resort towns are a pretty good compromise.”

Bay Area brokers say clients are fleeing their urban condos and flats for suburban space. As offices, restaurants, bars and theaters have closed, San Francisco’s social and community failings have taken center stage.

Property crime, drug use and a growing homeless population are central concerns for many leaving the pandemic-struck city. In a January survey conducted for the Silicon Valley Leadership Group and this news organization, 96 percent of San Francisco residents said homelessness was the most serious problem facing their community.

In tech-popular neighborhoods downtown, Mission Bay and SoMa have seen condo listings roughly triple from the previous summer, according to San Francisco Redfin agent Gabrielle Bunker.

The pandemic has dulled the appeal of condos for many buyers. The close proximity to neighbors and workers in hallways, stairways and elevators creates a health scare. And many of the amenities pitched to buyers — community spaces, gyms and pools — have closed during shelter-in-place restrictions.

Bunker said many buildings have refused to lower homeowner fees, which can range from several hundred to a few thousand dollars a month for luxury units, despite diminished service and amenities during the crisis.

Marc Dickow, president of the San Francisco Association of Realtors, said the growing inventory of condos has been driven by investors who have seen renters leaving the city as work-from-home routines have stretched into months.

Strong renter protections and a softening market have made the decision easier for many investors, he said. “They were not their homes anyway, so they’re putting them on the market,” he said. Generally, SoMa and South Beach have seen the most for-sale listings, he said.

But, Dickow said, homes in desirable neighborhoods are still selling.

Silicon Valley agents say many clients retreating from the city are already familiar with the suburbs — they grew up there. Compass agent Mark Wong in Saratoga said his office has had several inquiries from buyers leaving urban condos for more space in the South Bay. They’re searching for workspaces called Zoom-rooms and “Zoom-ios” — patios for video conferencing

Wong said a lot of tech couples have family in the Bay Area suburbs and are coming back to be closer to family and friends. “It’s their roots,” he said.

Some former San Francisco residents are returning to more distant roots.

Jennifer Spoerri, a communications professional, is leaving the Bay Area after more than three decades, including the last 14 in San Francisco.

Spoerri, her husband and teenage son are packing up their rent-controlled apartment near Nob Hill and moving near her family in her hometown of Lexington, Mass. She’s been ready for a while, after suffering a mediocre public school experience, safety issues of raising a teenager in the city, and the diminishing chances of ever buying a home in San Francisco. The pandemic health risks finally convinced her husband to leave.

A recent apocalyptic day — the sky orange with ash, the air heavy and toxic — felt like a sign. It was time to go home, Spoerri said. “It just reminded us what’s important.”

The Zapatas moved to Tracy Hills, a growing planned community. Their new, 2,500-square-foot home has ample space for their family and remote work, and fit their $600,000 budget.

They will miss the restaurants and theater in San Francisco, but “these are all things the pandemic took away from us,” said Don Zapata, 38, who works in sales and finance for a software company. “We really wanted to own.”


Article source: https://www.mercurynews.com/has-san-francisco-real-estate-lost-it

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Bay Area co-living startup HubHaus implodes, stranding renters and homeowners

HubHaus, a venture-backed startup in the burgeoning new field of “dorms for grownups,” has imploded, stranding hundreds of renters and homeowners, mainly in the Bay Area.

The 4-year-old Los Altos company, which had raised $13.4 million, is undergoing “a closure and liquidation process, commencing Sept. 23, 2020,” it wrote in emails to homeowners and tenants. It’s laid off all employees, the letter said, blaming the coronavirus pandemic’s severe impact on housing. Several renters and landlords provided copies of the emails to The Chronicle.

“The company is unable to pay October rent,” the emails said, suggesting that landlords use security deposits to cover it. The emails said that tenants’ leases were being transferred to the homeowners.

HubHaus, like several other “co-living” startups, corporatized the long-standing tradition of group houses. It leased large houses, furnished the common areas, and then sublet bedrooms to young professionals in the Bay Area, Los Angeles and Washington, D.C. It had several hundred homes, the majority in the Bay Area.

Its pitch to homeowners was that it was a trusted property manager providing reliable income. To tenants, it promoted the idea of affordable living space where they could find friends, handle repairs and problems via its online tools, and have amenities such as a cleaning service and reliable Wi-Fi.

“It seemed like a cool way to meet new people,” said Zack Tobin, who moved into a Redwood City HubHaus two years ago and then transferred to one in San Jose called Magellan Haus. “That can be a little challenging in the Bay Area sometime because people are really into their careers here.”

Many landlords who had rented their homes to HubHaus said in interviews and on a Facebook group that it had already slashed the rent it was paying them in recent months, leaving them tens of thousands of dollars in the hole. Several said they were stunned to discover that it had also stopped paying utilities months ago. (Because of the pandemic, utility companies are not cutting off service for nonpayment.)

 Bay Area co living startup HubHaus implodes, stranding renters and homeowners

Meanwhile, tenants were taken aback, although some had noticed recent changes, such as the end of housecleaning services — even though they were still paying for them — and increasingly slow responses to maintenance issues.

“I don’t know where to go from here, who to talk to, how this could affect my credit score,” said Chang Lee, who pays $1,130 for a room in the Loge Haus in San Jose. “It seems as if all tenants and homeowners have been left to fend for themselves.”

“It’s been one of the most nightmarish experiences I’ve had,” said Stephen Wolfe, who was paying $1,580 a month for a large room in a Victorian-style home in the Oakland hills. He doesn’t know whether the home’s owners, who live in Australia, will allow him and his four housemates to continue renting.

HubHaus tenants said they signed yearlong leases, which started at varying times, and paid security deposits of about one month’s rent. The emails said the deposits will be used for October rent. If there is any excess, it said the homeowners would give them credit for it.

The emails to tenants and lawyers said HubHaus is now run by Diablo Management Group, whose website says it helps “troubled corporations … increase the value of (their) assets.” Diablo, as well as several former HubHaus board members and investors, did not reply to requests for comments. Shruti Merchant, who co-founded HubHaus and was CEO until March, declined to comment.

Rachel Borego, who pays about $1,400 for a room in a San Francisco HubHaus, said she discovered her landlord has been receiving only a quarter of the rent. As a pet owner, she has trouble finding affordable housing, but only two of the house’s five bedrooms are currently occupied, “so my last roommate and I have to find at least two new people soon, or else move, as the landlord doesn’t want to rent the rooms individually,” she said.

There is similar dismay among landlords.

In November 2019, Oakland resident Darcey O’Callaghan leased HubHaus her former residence in Washington, where the company had recently expanded. It now owes her $19,000 in back rent, she said.

“While COVID amplified the problems, HubHaus failed because of poor management,” O’Callaghan said. “Everything was weird about the interactions.” For instance, HubHaus tried to change a signed contract, and it charged her for repairs but didn’t perform them, she said.

 Bay Area co living startup HubHaus implodes, stranding renters and homeowners

Tobin, the San Jose HubHaus tenant, said the company seemed to run “in panic mode.” He started working for it part time in May 2018 to give prospective renters tours of its Bay Area houses, making $40 per tour and $50 if the renter moved in.

“As an employee, it was really rough,” he said. “They would routinely pay me less than what I’d earned, or pay it late. I’d call and they’d be like, ‘Sorry, it won’t happen again.’” Eventually this happened almost every week, he said, so he gave up the job after a year.

There were similar financial problems with rent. Tobin said that he and other tenants who had auto-pay set up saw double rent taken from their accounts in January. “That put a lot of people in a spot; they couldn’t get gas or groceries,” he said. HubHaus apologized and refunded the money.

HubHaus sent O’Callaghan and other landlords a letter in late March saying it needed to defer rents “based on hardship due to the coronavirus …. (because) the livelihoods of some rent-paying tenants have been significantly impacted.” It referred to legislation to safeguard housing during the pandemic. Several landlords provided copies of the letter.

But she — as well as other landlords interviewed — heard from her tenants that they were still paying their full rent to HubHaus. “The emergency legislation was put in place to protect renters who lost their jobs — not to save companies that are suffering from bad management,” she said.

Ryan Hernandez rented his family’s Oakland home to HubHaus when they moved to Montreal two years ago. “They started underpaying the rent back in May,” he said. “It’s been touch and go since then; they owe a bit over $15,000 in rent.”

On top of that, he soon discovered “thousands of dollars in unpaid utilities” that he could be liable for. In addition, the company stopped having the house cleaned months ago.

He wants to ensure the tenants aren’t left high and dry, although at the same time he’s racking up losses on the house.

HubHaus asked landlords last month to sign an agreement that they would assume the subtenants’ leases. It included numerous clauses that they would not pursue HubHaus for any damages.

“I read it, and my jaw dropped,” Hernandez said. “They’re asking us to sign off on a complete release of all past and future responsibility.” He will not sign it, and said other landlords he’s talked to agreed.

 Bay Area co living startup HubHaus implodes, stranding renters and homeowners

Jim Lucey, a tenants’ attorney at Tobener Ravenscroft in San Francisco, said that neither tenants nor landlords are likely to recover losses.

“The property owners are in a no-win situation,” he said. “Their claims would be based on contract law, which won’t be covered by insurance.”

As for tenants, HubHaus’ emails said they are not being evicted. “If they’re not being kicked out, but turned over to the owner, I don’t think there’s an actionable claim to be made,” he said.

Lucey pursued HubHaus a year ago on behalf of tenants in a San Francisco house whom it evicted with little notice or communication. The company’s commercial insurance policy covered a settlement, he said.

Clara Arroyave, who founded and was CEO of a smaller co-living startup in Boston called PlaceMe, shed some light on what may have happened during the pandemic.

“Similar to everyone else (who runs corporate group homes), in the middle of March, we saw 40% of our revenue disappear in a matter of five days,” she said, as renters who were now working from home left the city.

The drain continued. “By the middle of June 60% of people had left, which was not enough for us to cover obligations,” she said. Arroyave’s company returned some properties to landlords and turned others over to a management firm to run.

Bungalow, a San Francisco co-living startup with $118 million in backing and properties in the Bay Area, San Francisco, New York and Washington, is also struggling, as the Information first reported.

“We have seen substantial declines in the residential real estate market in our major cities,” Bungalow CEO and co-founder Andrew Collins said in an email. “Rents are down between 15% and 25%. … We are asking a majority of homeowners to reformat our leases in a way that enables us to get through these difficult times together and provides additional upside for landlords once the markets rebound.”

Still, Collins implied that Bungalow will continue, saying it is “in a meaningfully better position than HubHaus today.”

O’Callaghan, the Oakland owner of the Washington home, plans to file in small claims court, where the damage limit is $10,000, half what she’s owed.

“I honestly don’t think I’ll see a penny, but I really wanted some sort of legal record of what they did,” she said. “It needs to be addressed more broadly when a company goes under that has millions in venture backing from millionaires and billionaires. I don’t even have a job right now.”

Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: csaid@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @csaid

Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/business/article/Bay-Area-co-living-startup-HubHaus-implodes-15617470.php

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Opponents of S.F. real estate tax measure raise over $2 million. Here’s why

Opponents have raised more than $2 million to defeat a proposal to double San Francisco’s real estate transfer tax on sales of $10 million or more. It’s the biggest chunk of money spent on any San Francisco race this year, making Proposition I one of the most contentious local measures on November’s ballot.

Voters likely will begin seeing an onslaught of mailers, door hangers, TV commercials and social media ads against the measure Thursday. It’s an all-out campaign largely organized by the San Francisco Chamber of Commerce — which often opposes new taxes — to defeat a measure that critics say will be passed through to some tenants and hurt housing production in the city by making development sites more costly to buy.

Supervisor Dean Preston, author of the measure, said the opposition campaign is “absurd,” and that the tax increase will hit only those who can afford it. He said the money will go toward critically needed affordable housing production and to those who can’t pay rent due to the coronavirus pandemic — though there’s no guarantee because the money will go to the general fund.

The donors to the opposition campaign are “a who’s who of big speculators from around the state,” he said. “I’m not surprised that they don’t want to pay their fair share in taxes.”

Donors include major developers like Equity Residential, Essex Property Trust and Kilroy Realty Corp., along with the California Association of Realtors.

The proposal, which must pass with a simple majority, comes amid great economic uncertainty for San Francisco, as the coronavirus continues to upend livelihoods and ravage the economy. According to the city assessor, real estate sales activity has fallen, which could diminish the tax’s potential revenue boost.

Ted Egan, the city’s chief economist, warned in a recent report that the tax would have a “negative impact” on San Francisco’s economy by discouraging property investment and increasing the cost of building new housing. The transfer tax is already a volatile revenue source for the city, and the tax increase, if approved, likely will cause it to fluctuate even more, according to the report.

Oz Erickson, chairman of Emerald Fund, a longtime San Francisco housing developer, said the tax will make new projects more expensive and kill jobs for people who build both market-rate and affordable housing, outcomes cited in Egan’s report.

“This is an economic disaster for the city,” Erickson said. “And when construction stops, it’s not Donald Trump that’s on the street and begging with a cup. It’s construction workers who are without jobs.”

If passed, the tax would double the property transfer tax rate on transactions valued at more than $10 million and less than $25 million from 2.75% to 5.5%. For those properties selling for over $25 million, the rate would rise from 3% to 6%. The tax on sales to nonprofits would cap out at 0.75%. The transfer tax for sales below $10 million ranges from 0.5% to 2.25%.

Between 2010 and 2016, 51% of properties sold for more than $10 million were office buildings, followed by hotels at 16% and multi-family apartment buildings at 10%. Single-family homes make up a small fraction of such sales, at 3%.

In the past economic cycle from 2008 to 2020, City Controller Ben Rosenfield estimated that the tax would have generated an average of $196 million per year. If it passes, Rosenfield estimates it would generate $10 million for the remainder of the fiscal year and $100 million for the following year.

The lower expected return coincides with a plunge in sales activity during the pandemic. A total of 83 San Francisco properties worth $2.5 million or more have sold for a combined $1.9 billion so far in 2020, according to Real Capital Analytics, a real estate data firm. For comparison, in the first three quarters of 2019, 172 properties worth $2.5 million or more sold for a combined $8 billion.

Two blockbuster deals agreed upon during the early stages of the pandemic — the sale of the Transamerica Pyramid and the sale of the partially built Oceanwide Center project — have yet to be completed, according to property records.

Carmen Chu, the city’s assessor-recorder, said the city is heavily dependent on large transactions over $10 million, and the tax would increase that dependency. In the past fiscal year, 1.7% of sales accounted for 67% of transfer tax revenue.

The city’s average monthly transfer tax revenue has dropped from $33 million in the spring to $12 million in the summer. It has shown signs of recovery, but the outlook remains uncertain, said Chu, who is neutral on the tax.

Jay Cheng, policy director for the Chamber of Commerce, said the tax could also trickle down to small businesses through tax pass-throughs, such as for retail tenants in large office buildings. He is also skeptical about where the money will be spent as the city faces a $1.5 billion deficit that requires a different ballot measure tax to be passed.

“You really think the revenue will actually be dedicated to affordable housing, or will it go to filling the deficit?” he said.

The Board of Supervisors passed a non-binding resolution this summer that said the money would go toward affordable housing and rent relief. Preston said the money will go into a fund, which the board plans to vote on next week to create. He said an oversight board will track how the money is spent.

“I don’t see any reason to think that the board would deviate from that when it comes to budget time,” Preston said.

Five seats are up for grabs in the November election, which means the board could look dramatically different in January from the one that voted on the resolution this summer.

Supporters say any money for 100% affordable housing is needed more than ever as the pandemic pushes more people toward poverty.

“It’s not guaranteed but it is an additional source that can make a difference,” said Norma Paz García, policy director for Mission Economic Development Agency, a nonprofit that builds affordable housing. “We have to look at the cumulative impact of this policy over time, and not just from one year to the next.”

García said she sees the personal impact that affordable housing can have on families and in a neighborhood. She pointed to two recently completed 100% affordable housing projects in the Mission, where people are going to be able to start moving in soon.

Peter Cohen, co-director of the Council of Community Housing Organizations, whose members are nonprofit housing developers, said it is important for those who can afford it to contribute to helping solve the city’s crippling housing crisis.

“When it comes to who is going to pony up money so we can have more affordable housing, everyone retreats to their own self-interests,” Cohen said. “It’s disappointing to see the level of opposition and hyperbole.”

The transfer tax is one of several measures on the November ballot that would target big businesses in the city, which include a tax on companies with highly paid CEOs. Mayor London Breed is frustrated at the number of taxes that the board placed on the ballot this year, arguing that competing taxes will diminish support for passing a business tax overhaul that she said is key for balancing the city’s $1.5 billion budget deficit.

“There are, unfortunately, a lot of measures on the ballot in San Francisco, and there is a concern that voters will be overwhelmed by the number of taxes they are being asked to support during an economic recession,” a spokesman said.

Trisha Thadani and Roland Li are San Francisco Chronicle staff writers. Email: tthadani@sfchronicle.com, roland.li@sfchronicle.com, Twitter: @TrishaThadani @rolandlisf

Article source: https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/Opponents-of-S-F-real-estate-tax-measure-raise-15610790.php

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