Yet most credible experts who track the complex world of office square footage contend that the region’s future looks promising.

How to explain that contradiction?

“I get that question from friends and business folks every day. I can’t get through a day without hearing it,” said John Frisch, regional managing director of commercial real estate brokerage firm Cornish Carey Commercial Newmark Knight Frank.

Last month, Cornish Carey reported that the Sacramento region’s office vacancy rate in this year’s first quarter hit an all-time high of 23.74 percent, equating to nearly 16 million square feet of vacant space. In 2002, the rate for the whole year was 12 percent.

The first-quarter numbers are the echo of the recessionary hammer that smashed the area’s commercial real estate market in 2008.

However, Frisch cheerfully expects “the office market to get better as the year unfolds.”

And Encino-based Marcus Millichap Real Estate Investment Services’ 2012 annual report also projects an office market turnaround in Sacramento this year.

The optimism lies in the ocean of numbers that’s an industry staple and the sometimes agonizingly slow pace of completing office building/leasing deals.

“We have not seen a tangible improvement in the region in years,” Frisch said. “However, the precursor to any changing in the vacancy rate is leasing activity in the market.

“And right now, we’re seeing better activity in the market than we were seeing six or 12 months ago.”

Frisch explained that it’s not unusual for deals to take six to nine months ? a timetable starting with prospective tenants looking around and ending when they finally move in. As a result, the recent bump up in office leasing might not show up on the region’s statistical radar for another year.

While the process is slow, Frisch said: “I don’t know if there is a better indicator for our local economy than office space vacancy. ? It’s pretty basic. When vacancy is high, things are bad. When it’s low, you have almost full employment.”

Local brokers also stress that it’s a mistake to view the Sacramento region as a monolith. Submarkets in the region are seeing widely varying degrees of progress, or disappointment.

Voit Real Estate Services’ first-quarter regional report for 2012 showed an office vacancy rate of 50.2 percent in the Rio Linda/North Highlands submarket. In downtown Sacramento, it was 10.1 percent.

There are also variations within the submarkets.

Robb Osborne, a senior vice president leading a team of brokers in Voit’s Roseville office, noted that the first-quarter vacancy rate in the Roseville/Rocklin market was 27.4 percent, but that number was affected by a 40-percent-plus vacancy rate along the Highway 65 corridor.

Prior to the recession, numerous high-end office buildings were built along Highway 65, reflecting the area’s economic boom. In the recession, much of that office space went empty.

The high percentage of office vacancies is an advantage for businesses looking to lease or buy.

“We have lost (clients) if they are price-sensitive,” Osborne said. “And right now, everybody is price-sensitive. They’re looking for the best deal.”

Cole Sweatt, an assistant vice president and broker in Voit’s Roseville office, said cost now outweighs all other factors: “In downtown Sacramento, parking has long been an issue, but now, everybody is looking for cheaper rent.”

Osborne and Sweatt characterized Roseville as a microcosm of the local office industry’s ups and downs.

The Voit team marketed the recent sale of the Eureka Corporate Center at 1544 Eureka Road in Roseville ? a modern-looking complex of gleaming offices with panoramic views. The complex wanted for tenants and was taken over by its lender.

Expansive second-floor offices that once housed Orange County-based John Laing Homes ? which filed for bankruptcy protection in 2009 ? lie empty. Sweatt expects the new buyer to fill the empty space with attractive lease offerings.

By contrast, a short drive away are twin office buildings at 3721/3741 Douglas Blvd. Of the 90,000 square feet of deals made by real estate firm Hines last year, about 50,000 were in the 3721/3741 buildings. Hines, which has offices at 400 Capitol Mall in Sacramento, owns about 850,000 square feet of space it’s looking to lease on the busy Douglas Boulevard corridor.

In 2011, Osborne’s Voit team completed 20 office sales totaling 186,000 square feet and 31 office lease transactions comprising 110,103 square feet.

Still, Osborne and Sweatt characterized the current environment as tough ? Osborne believes brokers will be swimming uphill for another year or so ? yet both see indicators of improvement.

Sweatt pointed to a rejuvenated San Francisco/Bay Area business/tech market: “We’re hoping that some of those (companies) will expand or relocate here.”

Osborne said a bump up in residential real estate in and around Roseville was a good sign “that if people are buying a home, they’re probably looking to stay in business.”

Osborne said dovetailing trends in the residential real estate and office markets are producing similar results: Buyers are picking up troubled assets for a comparative song, helped by low interest rates. Those picking up office buildings for a low price can better afford to “undercut” the market to lure tenants, charging square-footage rates well under competitors’ rates.

This creates another trend: Tenants being poached from other buildings with attractive offers.

Frisch said it’s all part of the game: “When Class A space drops to Class B levels, it’s a great opportunity to move up. When prices get really, really good, people who want to get into whatever trophy building there is can afford to move up.”

Frisch said attractive pricing is likewise contributing to leasing activity.

“Now for the first time in years, we are seeing people considering expanding instead of just hunkering down for a year or two to see which way the wind blows,” he said.

Frisch said that includes his own Cornish Carey firm.

“For the last four years, we have extended our lease two years at a time,” he said. “Now, we’re seriously considering expanding and relocating next year.”

Cornish Carey has two local offices ? about 7,500 square feet in Sacramento and 4,500 square feet in Roseville.

© Copyright The Sacramento Bee. All rights reserved.

Call The Bee’s Mark Glover, (916) 321-1184.

? Read more articles by Mark Glover

Article source: http://www.sacbee.com/2012/05/27/4517394/sacramento-area-office-brokers.html

San Francisco, CA (PRWEB) December 23, 2011

The fourth quarter of 2011 is seeing a rising trend in the San Francisco rental market, and Zephyr Realty agent Tim Gullicksen, one of the firm’s top real estate agents, advises would-be renters and others looking for space in the Bay Area that purchasing property now is a viable alternative.

“Rents are soaring and vacancy rates are shrinking, making the rental market in San Francisco more brutal and competitive than ever. The spillover effect has driven many would-be renters into the purchase market,” Gullicksen said. “So far this has not resulted in increased housing prices, but if this pressure on the sales market is sustained then it will inevitably lead to increased purchase prices.”

This spike in the rental market is largely due to the influx of highly paid high-tech and bio-tech workers employed in the area by gigantic corporations, such as Google, Apple and Genentech, which have started running private shuttles from San Francisco to their offices. The decreasing supply of available rental spaces has caused rents to rocket, leaving some people opting to buy homes instead.

At the moment, purchasing real estate in San Francisco presents both a practical and secure option for even a first-time home buyer.

“Interest rates on 30-year fixed loans are still at a historic low, and with FHA loans allowing buyers to put as little as 3.5 percent down, the time has never been better to get into the real estate market,” Gullicksen said.

To learn more about housing trends in the Bay Area or to seek advice from a top-rate realtor who has a concrete understanding of the area, call Tim Gullicksen at 415-674-6500, view him on the web at www.timgullicksen.com, or contact him personally at Zephyr Real Estate’s Pacific Heights Office at 2523 California St., San Francisco, CA 94115.

About Zephyr Realty

Zephyr Realty has been one of San Francisco’s best real estate firms for more than 30 years. It is the largest and most successful independent real estate firm, and its longevity has equipped Zephyr Realty with an in-depth knowledge of the San Francisco market. Zephyr Real Estate features real estate experts and more than 200 reliable agents working in six neighborhood locations.

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For the original version on PRWeb visit: www.prweb.com/releases/prwebreal-estate/san-francisco/prweb9062305.htm

Article source: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2011/12/23/prweb9062305.DTL

The Federal Reserve Board’s Beige Book released Dec. 1 certainly offers proof with nearly all of the 12 districts reporting less than significant increases in market activity. 

Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, Cleveland, Dallas, Kansas City, Mo.,  Minneapolis, New York, Philadelphia, Richmond, Va., San Francisco and St. Louis make up the Fed’s districts. 

In Boston, office leasing activity was roughly steady at a moderate pace, although tenants reportedly lack a sense of urgency to sign deals. Areas such as Hartford noted vacancy rates hovered around 20% and leasing demand remained muted due to a flat labor market.  

Rent rates continued to climb in New York as office vacancy rates also ticked up in October in both midtown and downtown Manhattan, the Fed reported. While commercial construction activity has picked up slightly it continues to remain sluggish with credit availability a restraining factor for the market.

New construction in Philadelphia is mostly limited to institutional, life sciences, multifamily and warehousing sectors in select markets, according to the Fed. Contributing to the weak demand for retail space is regulatory red tape for permits and financing barriers. 

Cleveland reported steady or slow improvement in nonresidential construction activity. While the number of inquiries has picked up recently, the biggest challenge facing builders at this time is adding backlog. Incubation period for public infrastructure projects can be as long as five years, the Fed noted. With construction contracts coming mainly in education, manufacturing, energy, and research and development, Cleveland said it is expecting modest CRE growth over the next six months.  

The Richmond district reported a mix of highs and lows in CRE and construction. Smaller projects were being built faster due to abundant labor availability. Contractors reported that refurbishing of commercial properties was up in both Maryland and the Carolinas, but no one was adding new capacity. Commercial and federal work has dried up in most areas of Virginia with Washington capturing much of what little work there is. North Carolina is prepping for several new manufacturing projects.

The majority of the Atlanta district’s CRE contacts noted modest improvement in nonresidential construction and leasing activity. Brokers reported that vacancy rates declined and that rents have begun to stabilize across much of the district. Contractors cited a small improvement in construction activity from earlier in the year. Still, most anticipate commercial real estate conditions to remain largely unchanged over the next several quarters.

Article source: http://www.cutimes.com/2011/12/11/commercial-real-estate-market-has-few-bright-spots?ref=hp