When Robert Shiller, co-creator of the SP/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices , speaks, he tends to make headlines, and yesterday was no different.

Claiming that he wasn’t making any predictions, he predicted that home prices could fall another 25 percent.

“That wouldn’t surprise me at all,” he hedged. And there was the headline, tragic as it is.

I happened to be at the conference yesterday where he said that. In fact, I was a speaker/panelist at the Standard and Poors “Housing Summit 2011: Boom, Bust and Beyond.” And, no offense, but that wasn’t the headline. What really struck me was what he said right before that.

“Statisticians deal with things that repeat themselves. This housing boom and bust is so historic and unprecedented, you can’t forecast the future because you have no comparison.”

That was not only the headline, but the theme of the conference, as I sat on a panel with economists from SP, Experian and Columbia Business School. Chip Case was there as well, disagreeing with Shiller on several points.

Audience members, largely from the finance industry, kept asking the same question in different ways, ‘When is this all going to get better??’

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According to the Fannie Mae 30-Yr MBS, mortgage rates are lower by about 5 basis points, thanks to the rally in US Treasurys, which produced a drop in yields.

Bankrate.com’s overnight on the 30-Yr fell to 4.81 percent from 4.87 percent last week.

Given the uncertainty in Japan, rates now get tricky:

This from Peter Boockvar at Miller Tabak:

“On one hand the news in Japan may lead to slower global growth and therefore a bid to US Treasurys/drop in yields, but on the other hand, Japan is the 2nd biggest foreign holder of US Treasurys and may elect to sell in order to repatriate funds back home. That may lead to upward pressure on US yields.”

Questions?  Comments?  RealtyCheck@cnbc.com And follow me on Twitter @Diana_Olick

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It’s not like we didn’t already know the banks were opposed to forgiving principal on troubled loans, even though they claim they are doing a little of that now. But today CNBC’s Melissa Francis got an earful from JPMorgan Chase’s [ JPM 45.53  -1.03 (-2.21%) ] Charlie Scharf, CEO of Retail Financial Services.

“We’ve got to be very careful that we don’t create an environment where we encourage people not to pay, and that’s the danger you have when you get into broad based principal forgiveness,” said Scharf.

This is all in reaction to the big push on principal reduction by state attorneys general, meeting in Washington DC this week. While the head of the 50-state investigation into so-called “Robo-signing” foreclosure paperwork issues, Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller, did not put forth a fine or penalty fund in his first settlement proposal, the expectation is that banks will be subject to such a fine that would be used for banks to write down mortgage principal.

Already, Senate republicans are blasting any payment.

Sen. Richard Shelby, the top republican on the Senate Banking Committee, at a hearing today put the number to be “extracted” from banks at $30 billion.

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