Tuesday’s SP/Case-Shiller report underscored the rapid run-up in Bay Area home prices, showing that the San Francisco metro area — Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco and San Mateo counties — saw home prices surge 17.5% in January compared to a year ago. That outpaced the national run-up of 8.1 % and was second only to Phoenix.

For a detailed analysis of the numbers and what they mean for the Bay Area, click here.

Bidding wars and multiple offers are the new norm here.

Here’s a look at a San Jose house listed for $1,075,000 that sold for $1,120,000. Redfin agent Ashley Rabello said she had four offers within the first day of listing. The winning offer had no contingencies, a large percentage down, and was significantly higher than the asking price.

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Heavy action at all price points is new — and another harbinger of recovery.

“During the boom and bust, the lower-priced houses had the biggest percentage price increases and then the biggest percentage collapse,” said David Blitzer, chair of the index committee for SP/Dow Jones. That’s because the most-outrageous lending practices — subprime loans, liar loans, no money down — were more concentrated in the low end.

Case-Shiller tracks homes at three price tiers — low (under $383,942), middle ($383,9422 to $681,776) and high (over $681,776). “Until the boom, the three moved together; during the downturn, they spread apart,” Blitzer said. “Now they’re moving in sync again; it’s a sign the market is coming back to normal, behaving a lot less bizarrely than it did before.”

Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. For insights and news on the real estate market, follow her on Twitter: @csaid

Article source: http://blog.sfgate.com/ontheblock/2013/03/27/the-incredible-soaring-bay-area-home-prices/

The report from San Diego’s DataQuick highlights how the foreclosure crisis appears to be subsiding after running rampant for five years.

“For more than a year, the general trend has been down” for legal filings that indicate mortgage distress, said DataQuick analyst Andrew LePage.

There are several reasons that foreclosure activity is trending down. As home values have risen over the past year, fewer homeowners are underwater, which means they can more easily refinance or sell their homes if they have trouble keeping up with their mortgage.

Financial hardship is also diminishing. “The other big factors are the pickup in the economy and the improvements in job growth that keep people from getting in trouble in the first place,” LePage said.

On top of that, various new laws and legal settlements between banks and the government encourage lenders to pursue alternatives to foreclosure, such as loan modifications and short sales (selling for less than is owed on the mortgage).

While LePage noted that the effects of the law and settlements are hard to measure, the net impact is fewer foreclosures.

Most subprimes gone

Moreover, the bulk of risky subprime loans have already gone through foreclosure. Mortgages issued from 2008 “were safer and saner,” LePage said, meaning they are unlikely to have the sharp payment spikes of teaser-rate subprimes.

For the fourth quarter, DataQuick reported that 5,399 households in the Bay Area received default notices, the first step in the foreclosure process. That was down 46.1 percent from the same quarter of 2011. About half of default notices become foreclosures.

Although lenders can file notices of default once borrowers are three months behind, DataQuick said that Californians receiving the notices were a median of eight months in arrears on their primary mortgages.

Statewide, notices of default were down 37.9 percent in the quarter, to 38,212.

Trustee deeds, the final step of foreclosure, were issued for 2,765 Bay Area homes in the fourth quarter. That was down 42.8 percent from the same quarter of 2011.

Statewide, trustee deeds were down 32.4 percent, to 21,127 in the fourth quarter.

Looking at the full year also showed declines. The Bay Area had 30,046 default notices in 2012, down 30.7 percent from 2011. The nine-county region had 1,907 trustee deeds in 2012, a 41.2 percent decline from 2011.

While the numbers are the lowest in six years, many homeowners still struggle to keep their houses.

Oakland’s Peggy Hart, 61, for instance, said income from her day care business took a big hit a few years ago. Three years ago, when she first applied for a loan modification, bank representatives told her to stop paying her mortgage and she complied, she said. Wells Fargo gave her a loan modification early on, but the payments were still too high and she was unable to keep up, she said.

Changes are tough

Now her business and her income have rebounded, but her efforts to get a loan modification have been frustrating and unsuccessful, she said.

“I’m able to pay, I want to pay my mortgage,” she said. “I told (Wells) on the phone, ‘Please let this happen for me.’ “

Hart lives with her two sons, granddaughter and a baby great-grandson in the house, where they also run the day care. She owes about $200,000 on the house, which various real estate sites estimate is worth at least $390,000.

“Wells Fargo continues to work with borrowers on mortgage modifications and other options that may help them remain in their homes and avoid foreclosure when possible,” the bank said in a statement. “We have been working with Ms. Hart for over three years to identify an option that would allow her to retain this home. We were able to provide her with some temporary assistance in September 2009 while we continued to look at home retention options.”

Both foreclosures and notices of default remain more common in lower-cost areas, DataQuick said.

Over the past five years, 1.1 million of California’s 8.7 million houses and condos received a foreclosure notice, it said. Of those, 780,000 were actually lost to foreclosure. The others were either sold or the payments were made current.

At the courthouse auction where the final step of foreclosure takes place, about 42 percent of properties in the fourth quarter were purchased by investors, DataQuick said. That was up from 31.2 percent a year earlier.

Fewer foreclosures

Fewer people in the Bay Area and California lost homes to foreclosure in the fourth quarter compared with a year earlier; and fewer received notices that they were behind in payments. For the full year, both notices of default (the first step in the foreclosure process) and trustee deeds (the final step of foreclosure) were down compared with 2011.

Notices of Default

Houses and condos, fourth quarter

Trustee deeds recorded

Houses and condos, fourth quarter

Sources: DataQuick, DQNews.com

Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. E-mail: csaid@sfchronicle.com

Article source: http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Foreclosures-drop-in-Bay-Area-California-4218858.php

“California’s economy is actually healthier than popular or pundit opinion would suggest,” says Christopher Thornberg, president of Beacon Economics. Despite the unacceptably high 11.7 percent unemployment rate – 2 million Californians still out of work – the economic trend line is up. “Considering that employment is a lagging indicator of overall health, it is clear that California is solidly in a new growth phase,” Thornburgh says in his firm’s latest employment analysis.

Stephen Levy, director of the Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy, notes that California has added close to 250,000 jobs in the past year, a bigger percentage gain – albeit a paltry 1.7 percent – than the nation as a whole.

“The industry pattern is positive for the future with gains in professional, technical, scientific and information services, and a rebound in manufacturing activity and continuing export gains,” says Levy.

Nationally, chimes in Ken Rosen, chairman of the Fisher Center for Real Estate Urban Economics at UC Berkeley‘s Haas School of Business, “employment growth will be stronger than thought.” In his annual Economic and Real Estate Outlook presented last week, Rosen forecasts a net gain of 1.6 million jobs in 2012.

And which urban areas lead the pack, employment-wise? San Francisco and San Jose (Silicon Valley). Despite an 8.1 percent unemployment rate, “San Francisco is No. 1 in the country for job growth,” thanks largely to the latest tech boom.

But, the recovery remains “slow and choppy,” said Rosen, and can be derailed by, for example, Europe’s debt crisis.

And it’s not working for those who aren’t in the professions Levy mentions above, or for the millions caught in the jaws of the mortgage meltdown. (More than a quarter of the subprime loans out there are 30 days or more delinquent, according to Rosen’s report.)

“This has become a bifurcated economy,” and we need people in Washington who will honestly step up and help fix it,” he said.

Yes, the flip side of this year’s Thanksgiving.

Help needed: Natural Resources, the well-known and much appreciated pregnancy and early parenting resource center on San Francisco’s Valencia Street, is in trouble.

Voted this year’s “Best Shop for Parents To Be” by Bay Guardian readers, the 25-year-old center is on the verge of going out of business. Tough economic times have taken their toll and attempts to get new financial partners or even sell the business have failed. So the owners have turned elsewhere for help in getting $45,000 by 11:59 p.m. Monday to keep the doors open.

As of Wednesday afternoon, a community fundraising drive had raised $33,246. If the goal is not reached by the deadline, I’m told Natural Resources will return all the donations received ( www.naturalresources-sf.com).

Merit badges: Every year since 2000, the Consumer Electronics Association has inducted inventors and industry leaders into its Hall of Fame. Thomas Edison and Alexander Graham Bell were among the first, along with Bay Area alums, including the late Philo T. Farnsworth, Atari founder Nolan Bushnell and Ray Dolby of San Francisco’s Dolby Systems.

Steve Jobs made it into the hall in 2009, five years after Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak.

Joining that illustrious company this year are two more from the Bay Area – retired SanDisk CEO Eli Harari and Sam Runco, a pioneer of large-screen video projectors, whose company, Runco International, trademarked the name “home theater.”

“His namesake company became the most innovative and highly respected projection television makers in the world,” said the association.

Harari, co-founder of SanDisk, a multinational company headquartered in Milpitas, came up with a precursor to flash memory and “helped launch the flash memory revolution to become the global leader in flash memory cards,” the organization said.

One other inductee with Bay Area connections is Robert Metcalfe, who, with fellow computer scientist David Boggs, invented the Ethernet while working at Xerox PARC in Palo Alto in 1973. Metcalfe later went on to found 3Com.

Blogging: www.sfgate.com/columns/bottomline. Facebook page: sfg.ly/doACKM. Tweeting: @andrewsross. E-mail: bottomline@sfchronicle.com.

This article appeared on page D – 1 of the San Francisco Chronicle

Article source: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/11/26/BUR61M3K5M.DTL