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	<title>homesmillbrae.com &#187; Stimulus</title>
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		<title>Housing recovery rides rate roller coaster</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2330/housing-recovery-rides-rate-roller-coaster-2/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2330/housing-recovery-rides-rate-roller-coaster-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Jul 2013 09:31:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Fundamentals]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/2330/housing-recovery-rides-rate-roller-coaster-2/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;Last week mortgage rates retreated from a 23-month high as the Fed sought to reassure markets that the wind-down of the stimulus program would be gradual, and contingent upon strong improvement in economic fundamentals,&#8221; said Erin Lantz, director of Zillow &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2330/housing-recovery-rides-rate-roller-coaster-2/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>  &#8220;Last week mortgage rates retreated from a 23-month high as the Fed sought to reassure markets that the wind-down of the stimulus program would be gradual, and contingent upon strong improvement in economic fundamentals,&#8221; said Erin Lantz, director of Zillow Mortgage Marketplace.  </p>
<p>  &#8220;This coming week, market participants will be focused on Friday&#8217;s jobs report as an indicator of whether the economic recovery is strong enough to withstand an earlier-than-expected withdrawal of Fed stimulus.&#8221; </p>
<p>  Mortgage rates are up about a full percentage point from where they were at the beginning of May. That translates into about a 15 percent jump in monthly payments for the average home buyer, or 15 percent less purchasing power, depending on how you look at it. That can certainly be make or break for some buyers, especially first-time home buyers who may have been stretching in the first place.   </p>
<p>  &#8220;Applications for new home purchases have continued to move sideways over the last month, but that may be people are rushing to buy or lock in mortgage rates before rates move even higher,&#8221; said Michelle Girard of RBS Securities.  &#8220;It may be that there is going to a bit of a lag effect. I still think rates are historically low, and we are in an improving economy, although a gradual one, the  recovery can continue, maybe the pace will moderate—but I do not think the back up in mortgage rates is going to derail the housing recovery.&#8221; </p>
<p></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100862969">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100862969</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Apartments reap rewards of rising rates</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2313/apartments-reap-rewards-of-rising-rates/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2313/apartments-reap-rewards-of-rising-rates/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Jul 2013 15:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;I am scared, in part due to the fact that my father and mother had a lot of problems with their mortgage and due to the job market,&#8221; said Charles Desanpedro Jr., a renter in Northern New Jersey. (Read More: &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2313/apartments-reap-rewards-of-rising-rates/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>  &#8220;I am scared, in part due to the fact that my father and mother had a lot of problems with their mortgage and due to the job market,&#8221; said Charles Desanpedro Jr., a renter in Northern New Jersey.  </p>
<p>  (<em>Read More</em>: Map: Tracking the US Real Estate Recovery) </p>
<p>  Fear and financing have kept the apartment rental market strong for the past several years, with rising rents and falling vacancies. Rents rose yet again in the second quarter of this year, according to a new report from Reis, up more than 2 percent from a year ago. But rents and vacancies have been stabilizing of late, as buyers return to the market.  </p>
<p>  Mark Sadaka and his wife are looking to buy a home in New Jersey. </p>
<p>  &#8220;It&#8217;s hard to get a mortgage, but now things have apparently lightened up. I don&#8217;t know, we&#8217;re exploring that now,&#8221; said Mark. </p>
<p>  Mortgage credit is easing up slightly, according to a new index from the Mortgage Bankers Association. The increase was driven by a small uptick in the number of jumbo, investor and cash-out products as well as those with higher loan-to-value ratios. All those are riskier loans. </p>
<p>  But while credit is easing slightly, mortgage rates are rising. The 30-year fixed hit 4.41 percent on the Zillow Mortgage Marketplace, up 24 basis points from a week ago.That&#8217;s the highest in two years. Rates could move higher after Wednesday&#8217;s release of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes and more clues to the easing of federal stimulus in the mortgage market. </p>
<p>  (<em>Read More</em>: Rising Rates Sour Housing Market Plans)</p>
<p>  Rising rates have already taken away considerable purchasing power for potential buyers. Fewer consumers now think it&#8217;s a good time to buy compared with just a month ago, according to a survey from Fannie Mae. </p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100874193">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100874193</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Housing Recovery Rides Rate Roller Coaster</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2296/housing-recovery-rides-rate-roller-coaster/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2296/housing-recovery-rides-rate-roller-coaster/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Jul 2013 02:27:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/2296/housing-recovery-rides-rate-roller-coaster/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;Last week mortgage rates retreated from a 23-month high as the Fed sought to reassure markets that the wind-down of the stimulus program would be gradual, and contingent upon strong improvement in economic fundamentals,&#8221; said Erin Lantz, director of Zillow &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2296/housing-recovery-rides-rate-roller-coaster/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>  &#8220;Last week mortgage rates retreated from a 23-month high as the Fed sought to reassure markets that the wind-down of the stimulus program would be gradual, and contingent upon strong improvement in economic fundamentals,&#8221; said Erin Lantz, director of Zillow Mortgage Marketplace.  </p>
<p>  &#8220;This coming week, market participants will be focused on Friday&#8217;s jobs report as an indicator of whether the economic recovery is strong enough to withstand an earlier-than-expected withdrawal of Fed stimulus.&#8221; </p>
<p>  Mortgage rates are up about a full percentage point from where they were at the beginning of May. That translates into about a 15 percent jump in monthly payments for the average home buyer, or 15 percent less purchasing power, depending on how you look at it. That can certainly be make or break for some buyers, especially first-time home buyers who may have been stretching in the first place.   </p>
<p>  &#8220;Applications for new home purchases have continued to move sideways over the last month, but that may be people are rushing to buy or lock in mortgage rates before rates move even higher,&#8221; said Michelle Girard of RBS Securities.  &#8220;It may be that there is going to a bit of a lag effect. I still think rates are historically low, and we are in an improving economy, although a gradual one, the  recovery can continue, maybe the pace will moderate—but I do not think the back up in mortgage rates is going to derail the housing recovery.&#8221; </p>
<p></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100862969">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100862969</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>How &#8216;Fiscal Cliff&#8217; Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1853/how-fiscal-cliff-could-affect-mortgage-interest-deduction/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1853/how-fiscal-cliff-could-affect-mortgage-interest-deduction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Nov 2012 15:00:41 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[It is arguably one of the most popular U.S. tax deductions, and for some it is the necessary stimulus to buy a home. The mortgage interest deduction, however, is now at risk, due to negotiations over the so-called “fiscal cliff”—the &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1853/how-fiscal-cliff-could-affect-mortgage-interest-deduction/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />It is arguably one of the most popular U.S. tax deductions, and for some it is the necessary stimulus to buy a home.</p>
<p><a name="StoryImage" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_mortgage_loan_statement_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a mortgage loan statement 200 How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /><br />
<hr noshade="noshade" size="1" />The mortgage interest deduction, however, is now at risk, due to negotiations over the so-called “<b><strong><a href="/id/49464221/" target="_blank"><strong>fiscal cliff</strong></a></strong></b>”—the year-end deadline for large spending cuts and the expiration of tax cuts.
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />While it is impossible at this point to know what the outcome will be, it is certainly worth running through the possibilities.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />First, let’s do a primer on the deduction as it stands now:</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The deduction lets homeowners reduce their taxable income by the amount of interest paid on their mortgage. This can be on the principal residence or a second home, but not on mulitple investment properties. Taxpayers are eligible for this deduction only if they itemize. Finally, the interest deduction is capped at $1 million of your mortgage.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />This deduction, which is the largest housing-related subsidy in the U.S. tax code, reduced income-tax revenue by $79.9 billion in fiscal year 2007, according to the Office of Management and Budget. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Could Housing Be the Antidote to the &#8216;Fiscal Cliff&#8217;?</strong></strong></b>) </p>
<p></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />So what is that in real cash savings to taxpayers? Number crunchers at the Wharton business school did the math:</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />For those making less than $40,000 a year, the average tax savings is about $100. But in that bracket less than one-quarter of homeowners itemize deductionsl, so most don’t get anything.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />For those earning up to $250,000, the average savings, based on average mortgage amounts, would be $1,200-$2,600 a year. For those earning more than $250,000, and 100 percent of them itemize, the average savings is $5,400 a year.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Now to the proposals—and they are many.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />One, released by the Simpson-Bowles commission, would cap the mortgage interest deduction at $500,000 of the home’s value and limit the deduction to primary residences. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Fiscal Cliff: Complete Coverage</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />A bipartisan plan from Domenici-Rivlin would limit the deduction to just $25,000 worth of mortgage interest.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Other proposals include eliminating the deduction only for taxpayers earning $250,000 or more, ending the benefit for second homes, ending the deduction entirely or limiting the amount of all itemized deductions to $25,000. That last one was advocated by Mitt Romney, but apparently some Democrats on Capitol Hill are starting to espouse it. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Democrats Like Romney Idea on Income Tax</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Without one proposal leading the pack, again, it is impossible to boil down the real cost to homeowners, but suffice it to say that anyone in the business of home ownership is opposed to reducing the mortgage interest deduction.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“It’s chilling the market,” said Jerry Howard, CEO of the National Association of Home Builders.  “Whenever there is uncertainty surrounding the value of an American home, why would you expect people to go out and buy a home? Or, just as much to the point, when there’s uncertainty about the value of a home why would someone put their house on the market to sell it, that’s why this whole debate to me is counter-productive and is only retarding the nation’s economic recovery.”</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“The mortgage interest deduction is vital to the stability of the American housing market and economy, and we will remain vigilant in opposing any future plan that modifies or excludes the deductibility of mortgage interest,&#8221; said Gary Thomas, president of the National Association of Realtors. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>How Will the &#8216;Fiscal Cliff&#8217; Hurt You? Depends What You Earn</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Whatever the arguments for or against the mortgage interest deduction, two things are indisputable.  Going over the fiscal cliff will kill the housing recovery, but said recovery is already so tenuous that yet another barrier to entry will hurt.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick<br />—Realty Check producer Stephanie Dhue contributed to this report. </em></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>Click on ticker to follow real estate news:</strong></b> </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>US Home Builders</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Toll Brothers </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_blank.gif" border="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a blank How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/tol" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>TOL</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—DR Horton </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_blank.gif" border="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a blank How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/dhi" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>DHI</span> <br />
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_realtime_icon.gif" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a realtime icon How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span>]</a></span></span></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Hovnanian Enterprises </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_blank.gif" border="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a blank How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/hov" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>HOV</span> <br />
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_realtime_icon.gif" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a realtime icon How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span>]</a></span></span></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—PulteGroup </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_blank.gif" border="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a blank How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/phm" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>PHM</span> <br />
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_realtime_icon.gif" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a realtime icon How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span>]</a></span></span></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Ryland Group </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_blank.gif" border="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a blank How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/ryl" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>RYL</span> <br />
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_realtime_icon.gif" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a realtime icon How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span>]</a></span></span></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Lennar Corp </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_blank.gif" border="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a blank How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/len" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>LEN</span> <br />
		<span>Loading...</span> <br />
		<span /> <br />
    <span><span /> <br />
		<span class="WSODQ_CHGSHOW">(<span />)<span /></span></span><br />
	 <br />
	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_realtime_icon.gif" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a realtime icon How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span>]</a></span></span></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Beazer Homes USA </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_blank.gif" border="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a blank How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/bzh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>BZH</span> <br />
		<span>Loading...</span> <br />
		<span /> <br />
    <span><span /> <br />
		<span class="WSODQ_CHGSHOW">(<span />)<span /></span></span><br />
	 <br />
	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_realtime_icon.gif" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a realtime icon How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span>]</a></span></span><b><strong> </strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Meritage Homes </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_blank.gif" border="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a blank How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/mth" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>MTH</span> <br />
		<span>Loading...</span> <br />
		<span /> <br />
    <span><span /> <br />
		<span class="WSODQ_CHGSHOW">(<span />)<span /></span></span><br />
	 <br />
	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_realtime_icon.gif" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a realtime icon How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span>]</a></span></span></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—KB Home </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_blank.gif" border="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a blank How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/kbh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>KBH</span> <br />
		<span>Loading...</span> <br />
		<span /> <br />
    <span><span /> <br />
		<span class="WSODQ_CHGSHOW">(<span />)<span /></span></span><br />
	 <br />
	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/5075a_realtime_icon.gif" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt="5075a realtime icon How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></span>]</a></span></span></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /></p>
<p><em>Follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a> <em>or on Facebook at </em><a href="https://editor.msnbc.msn.com/Editor/www.facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC"><u><em>facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC</em> </u></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" alt=" How Fiscal Cliff Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49822678?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49822678?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Will Fed&#8217;s Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1710/will-feds-mortgage-buying-juice-the-housing-recovery-3/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1710/will-feds-mortgage-buying-juice-the-housing-recovery-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Sep 2012 22:56:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/1710/will-feds-mortgage-buying-juice-the-housing-recovery-3/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Home prices are stabilizing, and new construction is bouncing back, but apparently the U.S. Federal Reserve isn&#8217;t buying a bullish housing recovery.  Its announcement Thursday that it would buy up to $40 billion in agency mortgage-backed securities every month, with &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1710/will-feds-mortgage-buying-juice-the-housing-recovery-3/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Home prices are stabilizing, and new construction is bouncing back, but apparently the U.S. Federal Reserve isn&#8217;t buying a bullish housing recovery.  </p>
<p><a name="StoryImage" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/0f605_house_money_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" alt="0f605 house money 200 Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" />Its announcement Thursday that it would buy up to $40 billion in agency mortgage-backed securities every month, with no clear finish line, says loud and clear that the Fed thinks housing needs more stimulus. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><a href="/id/49018964/" target="_blank"><strong>Fed Pulls Trigger, to Buy Mortgages in Effort to Lower Rates</strong></a></strong></b>.)
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Mortgage rates are already hovering near record lows, but mortgage applications, especially to purchase a home, have been weak. So many have refinanced already at low rates, and so many more are unable to refinance because of lack of home equity or high fees.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />As for home buying, the real growth in that area this year has been among investors on the low end, largely using all cash.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Supplies of foreclosed properties have been shrinking dramatically, as those investors swarm auctions and bid on bulk deals. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>How Investors Are Skewing Home Price Recovery</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The hot and still heating rental market offers potentially more rewards than the volatile stock market.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />In turn, all that activity on the distressed end is pushing up home prices. While overall foreclosure activity is falling, we could see volumes of bank-owned properties for sale rising over the next few months, as banks look to take advantage of rising demand and prices.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />We are already seeing spikes in foreclosures activity in states where these cases had been backed up in the courts. </p>
<p />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Bucking the national trend, deferred foreclosure activity boiled over in several states in August,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac. “In judicial states such as Florida, Illinois, New Jersey and New York, this was a continuation of a trend we’ve been seeing for several months now. The increases in Florida and Illinois pushed foreclosure rates in those states to the two highest in the country — supplanting the non-judicial states of Arizona, California, Georgia and Nevada. Previous to August, the nation’s top two state foreclosure rates have been from those four non-judicial states every month since December 2010.&#8221;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />As more of these properties come to market, investors will likely prevail, despite many potential owner occupants looking to get in on good deals. Again, this is because investors have the cash advantage. Even low mortgage rates won&#8217;t help some potential buyers, because<b><strong> Fannie Mae</strong></b> and <b><strong>Freddie Mac</strong></b> are still increasing guarantee fees, which push rates higher. They could, however, mitigate some of the fee hikes.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;For everyday homeowners, QE3 should work to suppress mortgage rates at a time when they&#8217;re artificially increasing. QE3 will offset the majority of the FHFA&#8217;s new g-fees, and will help keep FHA loans affordable despite rising mortgage insurance premiums,&#8221; argued Dan Green of Waterstone Mortgage.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />But there is also plenty of uncertainty about the future of mortgage financing, depending on the outcome of the November election, not to mention action the current administration is taking to shrink Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. (<em>Read More</em>: <strong>&#8216;Wind Down&#8217; of Fannie, Freddie: &#8216;Positive for Housing&#8217;?</strong>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;One new wrinkle is the recent announcement that Fannie and Freddie will be required to shrink their own retained MBS portfolios faster than expected,&#8221; noted Guy Cecala of Inside Mortgage Finance. &#8220;This could slightly dilute the impact of the Fed&#8217;s action since its increased purchases may be offset by less GSE purchases.&#8221;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />To see the low interest rates are not the housing cure-all, one need look no further than weekly mortgage applications numbers, which have been lackluster of late to say the least. The one benefit could be in the refinance segment of the market, especially as there is a new push to broaden the administration&#8217;s current refinance program for underwater borrowers. More refinances mean more money in consumers&#8217; pockets. Unfortunately the Democrat-led effort is unlikely to make its way into reality, given the rising Republican opposition as election day nears.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />No question more and more Americans will be turning to the housing market this fall, as home ownership is now cheaper than renting in all of the 100 largest U.S. markets, &#8220;by a wide margin,&#8221; according to a new report from Trulia.com. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>As Housing Recovers, Will Apartment Boom End?</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />What remains to be seen is how many potential buyers will be able to take advantage of these low rates, given the still tight lending standards that rule today&#8217;s market.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick</em></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong><strong /></strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" alt=" Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49018526?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49018526?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Will Fed&#8217;s Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1708/will-feds-mortgage-buying-juice-the-housing-recovery/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Sep 2012 22:56:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank Owned Properties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank Owned Properties For Sale]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finish Line]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreclosed Properties]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/1708/will-feds-mortgage-buying-juice-the-housing-recovery/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Home prices are stabilizing, and new construction is bouncing back, but apparently the U.S. Federal Reserve isn&#8217;t buying a bullish housing recovery.  Its announcement Thursday that it would buy up to $40 billion in agency mortgage-backed securities every month, with &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1708/will-feds-mortgage-buying-juice-the-housing-recovery/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Home prices are stabilizing, and new construction is bouncing back, but apparently the U.S. Federal Reserve isn&#8217;t buying a bullish housing recovery.  </p>
<p><a name="StoryImage" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/b7ad4_house_money_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" alt="b7ad4 house money 200 Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" />Its announcement Thursday that it would buy up to $40 billion in agency mortgage-backed securities every month, with no clear finish line, says loud and clear that the Fed thinks housing needs more stimulus. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><a href="/id/49018964/" target="_blank"><strong>Fed Pulls Trigger, to Buy Mortgages in Effort to Lower Rates</strong></a></strong></b>.)
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Mortgage rates are already hovering near record lows, but mortgage applications, especially to purchase a home, have been weak. So many have refinanced already at low rates, and so many more are unable to refinance because of lack of home equity or high fees.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />As for home buying, the real growth in that area this year has been among investors on the low end, largely using all cash.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Supplies of foreclosed properties have been shrinking dramatically, as those investors swarm auctions and bid on bulk deals. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>How Investors Are Skewing Home Price Recovery</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The hot and still heating rental market offers potentially more rewards than the volatile stock market.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />In turn, all that activity on the distressed end is pushing up home prices. While overall foreclosure activity is falling, we could see volumes of bank-owned properties for sale rising over the next few months, as banks look to take advantage of rising demand and prices.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />We are already seeing spikes in foreclosures activity in states where these cases had been backed up in the courts. </p>
<p />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Bucking the national trend, deferred foreclosure activity boiled over in several states in August,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac. “In judicial states such as Florida, Illinois, New Jersey and New York, this was a continuation of a trend we’ve been seeing for several months now. The increases in Florida and Illinois pushed foreclosure rates in those states to the two highest in the country — supplanting the non-judicial states of Arizona, California, Georgia and Nevada. Previous to August, the nation’s top two state foreclosure rates have been from those four non-judicial states every month since December 2010.&#8221;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />As more of these properties come to market, investors will likely prevail, despite many potential owner occupants looking to get in on good deals. Again, this is because investors have the cash advantage. Even low mortgage rates won&#8217;t help some potential buyers, because<b><strong> Fannie Mae</strong></b> and <b><strong>Freddie Mac</strong></b> are still increasing guarantee fees, which push rates higher. They could, however, mitigate some of the fee hikes.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;For everyday homeowners, QE3 should work to suppress mortgage rates at a time when they&#8217;re artificially increasing. QE3 will offset the majority of the FHFA&#8217;s new g-fees, and will help keep FHA loans affordable despite rising mortgage insurance premiums,&#8221; argued Dan Green of Waterstone Mortgage.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />But there is also plenty of uncertainty about the future of mortgage financing, depending on the outcome of the November election, not to mention action the current administration is taking to shrink Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. (<em>Read More</em>: <strong>&#8216;Wind Down&#8217; of Fannie, Freddie: &#8216;Positive for Housing&#8217;?</strong>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;One new wrinkle is the recent announcement that Fannie and Freddie will be required to shrink their own retained MBS portfolios faster than expected,&#8221; noted Guy Cecala of Inside Mortgage Finance. &#8220;This could slightly dilute the impact of the Fed&#8217;s action since its increased purchases may be offset by less GSE purchases.&#8221;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />To see the low interest rates are not the housing cure-all, one need look no further than weekly mortgage applications numbers, which have been lackluster of late to say the least. The one benefit could be in the refinance segment of the market, especially as there is a new push to broaden the administration&#8217;s current refinance program for underwater borrowers. More refinances mean more money in consumers&#8217; pockets. Unfortunately the Democrat-led effort is unlikely to make its way into reality, given the rising Republican opposition as election day nears.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />No question more and more Americans will be turning to the housing market this fall, as home ownership is now cheaper than renting in all of the 100 largest U.S. markets, &#8220;by a wide margin,&#8221; according to a new report from Trulia.com. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>As Housing Recovers, Will Apartment Boom End?</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />What remains to be seen is how many potential buyers will be able to take advantage of these low rates, given the still tight lending standards that rule today&#8217;s market.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick</em></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong><strong /></strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" alt=" Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49018526?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49018526?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Will Fed&#8217;s Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Sep 2012 22:56:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank Owned Properties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank Owned Properties For Sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Continuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Finish Line]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreclosed Properties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreclosure Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Backed Securities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Trend]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Construction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rates Mortgage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Realtytrac]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Spikes]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/1709/will-feds-mortgage-buying-juice-the-housing-recovery-2/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Home prices are stabilizing, and new construction is bouncing back, but apparently the U.S. Federal Reserve isn&#8217;t buying a bullish housing recovery.  Its announcement Thursday that it would buy up to $40 billion in agency mortgage-backed securities every month, with &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1709/will-feds-mortgage-buying-juice-the-housing-recovery-2/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Home prices are stabilizing, and new construction is bouncing back, but apparently the U.S. Federal Reserve isn&#8217;t buying a bullish housing recovery.  </p>
<p><a name="StoryImage" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/b7ad4_house_money_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" alt="b7ad4 house money 200 Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" />Its announcement Thursday that it would buy up to $40 billion in agency mortgage-backed securities every month, with no clear finish line, says loud and clear that the Fed thinks housing needs more stimulus. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><a href="/id/49018964/" target="_blank"><strong>Fed Pulls Trigger, to Buy Mortgages in Effort to Lower Rates</strong></a></strong></b>.)
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Mortgage rates are already hovering near record lows, but mortgage applications, especially to purchase a home, have been weak. So many have refinanced already at low rates, and so many more are unable to refinance because of lack of home equity or high fees.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />As for home buying, the real growth in that area this year has been among investors on the low end, largely using all cash.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Supplies of foreclosed properties have been shrinking dramatically, as those investors swarm auctions and bid on bulk deals. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>How Investors Are Skewing Home Price Recovery</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The hot and still heating rental market offers potentially more rewards than the volatile stock market.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />In turn, all that activity on the distressed end is pushing up home prices. While overall foreclosure activity is falling, we could see volumes of bank-owned properties for sale rising over the next few months, as banks look to take advantage of rising demand and prices.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />We are already seeing spikes in foreclosures activity in states where these cases had been backed up in the courts. </p>
<p />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Bucking the national trend, deferred foreclosure activity boiled over in several states in August,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac. “In judicial states such as Florida, Illinois, New Jersey and New York, this was a continuation of a trend we’ve been seeing for several months now. The increases in Florida and Illinois pushed foreclosure rates in those states to the two highest in the country — supplanting the non-judicial states of Arizona, California, Georgia and Nevada. Previous to August, the nation’s top two state foreclosure rates have been from those four non-judicial states every month since December 2010.&#8221;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />As more of these properties come to market, investors will likely prevail, despite many potential owner occupants looking to get in on good deals. Again, this is because investors have the cash advantage. Even low mortgage rates won&#8217;t help some potential buyers, because<b><strong> Fannie Mae</strong></b> and <b><strong>Freddie Mac</strong></b> are still increasing guarantee fees, which push rates higher. They could, however, mitigate some of the fee hikes.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;For everyday homeowners, QE3 should work to suppress mortgage rates at a time when they&#8217;re artificially increasing. QE3 will offset the majority of the FHFA&#8217;s new g-fees, and will help keep FHA loans affordable despite rising mortgage insurance premiums,&#8221; argued Dan Green of Waterstone Mortgage.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />But there is also plenty of uncertainty about the future of mortgage financing, depending on the outcome of the November election, not to mention action the current administration is taking to shrink Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. (<em>Read More</em>: <strong>&#8216;Wind Down&#8217; of Fannie, Freddie: &#8216;Positive for Housing&#8217;?</strong>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;One new wrinkle is the recent announcement that Fannie and Freddie will be required to shrink their own retained MBS portfolios faster than expected,&#8221; noted Guy Cecala of Inside Mortgage Finance. &#8220;This could slightly dilute the impact of the Fed&#8217;s action since its increased purchases may be offset by less GSE purchases.&#8221;</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />To see the low interest rates are not the housing cure-all, one need look no further than weekly mortgage applications numbers, which have been lackluster of late to say the least. The one benefit could be in the refinance segment of the market, especially as there is a new push to broaden the administration&#8217;s current refinance program for underwater borrowers. More refinances mean more money in consumers&#8217; pockets. Unfortunately the Democrat-led effort is unlikely to make its way into reality, given the rising Republican opposition as election day nears.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />No question more and more Americans will be turning to the housing market this fall, as home ownership is now cheaper than renting in all of the 100 largest U.S. markets, &#8220;by a wide margin,&#8221; according to a new report from Trulia.com. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>As Housing Recovers, Will Apartment Boom End?</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />What remains to be seen is how many potential buyers will be able to take advantage of these low rates, given the still tight lending standards that rule today&#8217;s market.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick</em></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong><strong /></strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" alt=" Will Feds Mortgage Buying Juice the Housing Recovery?" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49018526?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49018526?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Home Prices Are Not Rebounding as Fast as You Think</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Sep 2012 21:56:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Association Of Realtors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank Owned Reo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Borrowers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chief Economist]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Home prices are rising faster than expected so far this year, or are they? Prices nationwide in July rose 3.8 percent year-over-year, according to the latest reading from CoreLogic. This includes prices of distressed properties and is the biggest annual &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1687/home-prices-are-not-rebounding-as-fast-as-you-think/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a name="StoryImage" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/fb206_sold_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" alt="fb206 sold 200 Home Prices Are Not Rebounding as Fast as You Think"  title="Home Prices Are Not Rebounding as Fast as You Think" />Home prices are rising faster than expected so far this year, or are they?
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Prices nationwide in July rose 3.8 percent year-over-year, according to the latest reading from CoreLogic. This includes prices of distressed properties and is the biggest annual jump since August of 2006. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />This is also the fifth consecutive month that home prices have increased both year-over-year and month-to-month. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“The housing market continues its positive trajectory with significant price gains in July, and our expectation of a further increase [4.6 percent] in August,” notes CoreLogic’s chief economist Mark Fleming in a press release. “While the pace of growth is moderating as we transition to the off-season for home buying, we expect a positive gain in price levels for the full year. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Home prices nationally are in real recovery, but the factors pushing those numbers may not be real organic strength in the housing market, but rather stimulus and simple comparisons. This summer the market saw a huge drop in the number of distressed homes for sale, as banks tried to modify more borrowers or opted for short sales, which is when the home is sold for less than the value of the mortgage. Short sales often garner higher prices than bank-owned (REO) sales. Investors, especially big money bulk buyers, flooded the market, pushing prices up on the higher end and causing a severe drop in supplies. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><a href="/id/48826211/"><strong>Pending Home Sales Beat Expectations in July</strong></a></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Now to comparison, which reveals a striking truth in home prices. They are definitely higher, but not nearly as high as we think. We have to remember that 2011 was what some have deemed the “hangover year” from the government’s home buyer tax credit. The tax credit offered first-time home buyers in 2009 and the first half of 2010 an $8000 credit. That may not sound like much, but the median price of a home in 2009 was $172,500 according to the National Association of Realtors. That means the credit was a full 5 percent of the price of a home…or a full quarter of a 20 percent down payment. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The home buyer tax credit juiced home sales and prices by a lot, but prices then dropped precipitously in 2011. Home prices dropped a full 4 percent from 2010 to 2011 on both the CoreLogic and the Realtors’ index. The SP/Case Shiller national home price index was down 5 percent from Q2 2010 to Q2 2011. In addition to recovery from a hangover, this year mortgage rates are a full percentage point lower than they were in July of 2011, which creates much more purchasing power/stimulus, thereby skewing the comparison even more. (<em>For More</em>: <b><strong><a href="http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000112324play=1"><strong>Home Prices on the Rise</strong></a></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Bottom line, when you un-adjust, normalize, handicap, overlay stimulus periods, and analyze &#8212; based on the massive increase in rates driven purchase power, the distressed mix shift positive skew, pulled-forward effect, and the overwhelmingly more positive sentiment &#8212; the June year-over-year Case-Shiller indices only up 0.1 percent and 0.5 percent respectively and July CoreLogic Home Price Index only up 3.8 percent can be viewed as ‘net’ house price depreciation…and should be very disappointing for those looking for ‘escape velocity’ and a ‘durable recovery,’” says housing analyst Mark Hanson. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />We are comparing home prices now to the double dip in home prices that we saw last year. On SP/Case Shiller, the national home price index in Q2 2012 is actually down, just under 1 percent from Q2 2009, which was just when the tax credit began but hadn’t fully affected price readings yet. DataQuick shows home median prices at the end of July up 7 percent from a year ago, but up just 4.6 percent from three years ago. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />None of this is to say that we are not seeing recovery in housing. It is just important to keep this recovery in perspective, especially when mortgage rates and distressed homes still play such a large role in these monthly numbers. Any shift in either of those categories could have a material effect on the numbers that we watch so closely each month and which play such a critical role in overall housing sentiment. </p>
<p><strong><strong /></strong>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Home Prices Are Not Rebounding as Fast as You Think" alt=" Home Prices Are Not Rebounding as Fast as You Think" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48895286?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/48895286?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>New FHA Foreclosures Spike</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1510/new-fha-foreclosures-spike/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1510/new-fha-foreclosures-spike/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jun 2012 05:43:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Page 1 of 2 &#124; Next PageShow Entire Article As lenders continue to try to modify delinquent mortgages or offer foreclosure alternatives, like short sales or deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure, the number of loans entering the foreclosure process are falling. So-called &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1510/new-fha-foreclosures-spike/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>            Page 1 of 2 | Next Page<br />Show Entire Article
<p />
<p>As lenders continue to try to modify delinquent mortgages or offer foreclosure alternatives, like short sales or deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure, the number of loans entering the foreclosure process are falling. </p>
<p>So-called “foreclosure starts” were down 2.6 percent in April from the previous month, according to a new report from Lender Processing Services. </p>
<p>But it’s not all good news. </p>
<p>FHA loans, those insured by the federal government, saw a huge spike in foreclosure starts, up 73 percent during the month, according to the LPS report. Loans originated in 2008 and 2009 are primarily to blame, although all FHA vintages did see some, albeit far smaller, increases. </p>
<p>“In 2008, when the loan origination market virtually dried up, the FHA stepped in to fill the void,” explained Herb Blecher, senior vice president for LPS Applied Analytics. “FHA originations tripled that year, and increased to five times historical averages in 2009. High volumes like that, even with low default rates, can produce larger numbers of foreclosure starts.” </p>
<p>Still the numbers mean a big hit to the FHA, which is already operating at well below its congressionally mandated two percent capital reserve ratio. “The 2008 vintage alone represents some $14 billion of unpaid balances in foreclosure, and the overall FHA foreclosure inventory continues to rise,” adds Blecher. </p>
<p>Page 1 of 2 | Next Page<br />Show Entire Article  </p>
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		<title>Homebuilders Face New Hurdles</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/824/homebuilders-face-new-hurdles/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2011 13:59:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Page 1 of 3 &#124; Next PageShow Entire Article Builders are on track to construct the fewest single family homes in history this year. Total housing starts in July were down 1.7 percent, month to month, which may not sound &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/824/homebuilders-face-new-hurdles/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>            Page 1 of 3 | Next Page<br />Show Entire Article
<p />
<p>Builders are on track to construct the fewest single family homes in history this year. <strong><strong>Total housing starts in July</strong> </strong>were down 1.7 percent, month to month, which may not sound like a lot, but when you break the number down, you see the problem. </p>
<p>Single family starts were down 4.9 percent, while multifamily starts rose 6.3 percent. Rental demand continues to rise, as consumer confidence in homeownership was decimated yet again by the recent debt turmoil in the economy. </p>
<p>I am reporting these numbers from a construction site. Mid-Atlantic Builders of Rockville, Md., is putting up the last phase of a large single-family development out in Bowie, Md., which is about 15 minutes outside the D.C. Beltway. They are a midsized builder, about 40 to 50 homes a year, which is about a third of the business they did just five years ago. </p>
<p>They are now smaller, leaner, but surviving thanks to their location near D.C., where unemployment is low, relative to the rest of the country. Business was even starting to pick up last winter, according to executive vice president Stephen Paul. </p>
<p>&#8220;We started what we call the spring market in February. We started out very strong, we had a good February, March, even into April,&#8221; he said. &#8220;What started to cause consumer confidence to wane was the escalation of gas prices, the debt issue with the government, and what&#8217;s going on in Europe.&#8221; </p>
<p>In other words: Confidence. </p>
<p>Page 1 of 3 | Next Page<br />Show Entire Article  </p>
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