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	<title>homesmillbrae.com &#187; Skilled Workers</title>
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		<title>Higher-End Homes Finally Selling Again</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1914/higher-end-homes-finally-selling-again/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Dec 2012 17:59:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/1914/higher-end-homes-finally-selling-again/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;While there&#8217;s still a risk that the fiscal cliff will derail the housing recovery, the balance between supply and demand suggests that, if anything, the risks around our forecast of a 5 percent increase in house prices next year are &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1914/higher-end-homes-finally-selling-again/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;While there&#8217;s still a risk that the fiscal cliff will derail the housing recovery, the balance between supply and demand suggests that, if anything, the risks around our forecast of a 5 percent increase in house prices next year are on the upside,&#8221; notes Paul Diggle of Capital Economics.</p>
<p>The shift in the sales mix is also largely due to a drop in the number of distressed homes for sale.  Foreclosures and short sales made up just 22 percent of home sales in November, according to the Realtors, the lowest share in five years.  Much of that is due to a lack of supply on the distressed side, as investors continue to compete for these properties to take advantage of the still-lucrative rental market.</p>
<p>The Realtors claim the distressed share of sales will continue to decline in 2013, due to fewer seriously delinquent loans, but banks are now ramping up foreclosures of long-delayed delinquent loans, so there could be another bump in that supply before it finally falls dramatically.  <strong>Bank repossessions</strong>jumped 11 percent month-to-month in November and saw the first annual increase since 2010, according to RealtyTrac.</p>
<p>Overall, the supply of all homes nationally is at its lowest level in 7 years,, just 4.8 months&#8217; worth at the current sales pace.</p>
<p><em>(Read More: Best US HousingMarkets for Buyers and Sellers)</em></p>
<p>&#8220;With the homebuyer affordability index near multi-decade highs combined with decent job creation at the same time renting has gotten more expensive &#8212; all lead to a continued improvement in sales,&#8221; writes Peter Boockvar of Miller Tabak.  &#8220;This said, sales are still 30 percent below the bubble highs and are still where they were in 1998, both pointing to the degree of possible improvement ahead but also evidence of the damage that was done where historically the pace of recovery takes time.&#8221;</p>
<p><em>(Read More: New Nightmare forHome Builders: Not Enough Skilled Workers)</em></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100331527">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100331527</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Housing&#8217;s Recovery Means Fewer Can Afford Homes</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1897/housings-recovery-means-fewer-can-afford-homes/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1897/housings-recovery-means-fewer-can-afford-homes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Dec 2012 11:14:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Rising home prices are not the only factors hitting home affordability. Fees charged to lenders by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (known as &#8220;guarantee fees&#8221; for bundling and selling mortgages) began rising dramatically in the past month and are now &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1897/housings-recovery-means-fewer-can-afford-homes/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rising home prices are not the only factors hitting home affordability.  Fees charged to lenders by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (known as &#8220;guarantee fees&#8221; for bundling and selling mortgages) began rising dramatically in the past month and are now at a high of 46 basis points, according to Capital Economics.  These fees are passed on to borrowers in higher interest rates.  This is one of the reasons why rates, still at historic lows, are not as low as the Federal Reserve had hoped when it announced another round of purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities.</p>
<p><em><strong>(</strong>Read More:<strong> </strong>Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First-Time Buyers<strong>)</strong></em></p>
<p>Congress raised guarantee fees in 2011 to pay for a payroll tax cut.  There is yet another plan to raise fees further to fund immigration reform, although the bill is widely expected to fail.</p>
<p>&#8220;Dipping back into the housing piggybank to pay for unrelated policy items on the backs of America&#8217;s homebuyers ends the wrong message at a time when the housing market is starting to show signs of recovery,&#8221; wrote David Stevens, President and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association in a statement last month.</p>
<p><em>(Read More: <strong>Big Money Is Making Big Bets on a Housing Rebound )</strong></em></p>
<p>Raising guarantee fees is another way for government to wind down the two mortgage giants it still backs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but that comes at a cost to borrowers who are already hampered by stricter underwriting standards.  </p>
<p>&#8220;G-fees will continue to increase as a way to run down the GSEs&#8217; role in the mortgage market,&#8221; writes Paul Diggle of Capital Economics.  &#8220;Stronger mortgage demand suggests that would-be buyers are growing in confidence.  Nevertheless, mortgage lending will continue to be held back by tight credit.&#8221;</p>
<p><em><strong>(</strong>Read More<strong>: Home Builders Beg for Skilled Workers)</strong></em></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100301299">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100301299</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>New Nightmare for Home Builders: Not Enough Skilled Workers</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1889/new-nightmare-for-home-builders-not-enough-skilled-workers/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Dec 2012 22:40:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Linda Thomas]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Housing starts are finally coming off their lows of barely a half a million in 2009, and are now surging quickly up in to a rate of around 800,000 annualized, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce. While this is &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1889/new-nightmare-for-home-builders-not-enough-skilled-workers/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Housing starts</strong> are finally coming off their lows of barely a half a million in 2009, and are now surging quickly up in to a rate of around 800,000 annualized, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce.  While this is still about half the pace of a normal housing market, it still means builders are looking for workers, especially skilled workers.</p>
<p>&#8220;About two weeks ago we started getting calls, like 7 or 8 a day, and we&#8217;ve been asked to bring students to work sites,&#8221; says Linda Thomas, an employment liaison for Job Corps.  &#8220;They said look just bring them with their resumes, we&#8217;ve got work, we&#8217;re pushing more contracts now. Business is doing well, building is doing extremely well in the area.&#8221;</p>
<p><em><strong>(</strong><strong>Read More:</strong><strong> </strong>Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year Highh<strong>)</strong></em></p>
<p>This is a drastic change from just six months ago, when Thomas was still finding herself the beggar, not the chooser with home builders.  Her main concern is that all this new momentum will come to a grinding halt should the nation&#8217;s economy go over the so-called &#8220;fiscal cliff.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;A contractor, once he sets up a job, then he has to get money for that job because he has to buy the materials and so forth, so if a bank is a little scary or his lender is a little scary, a private lender, he may not have the funds to start the project, therefore we won&#8217;t have the jobs.&#8221;</p>
<p><em><strong>(</strong>Read More<strong>: </strong>Top Destination States for Jobs<strong>)</strong></em></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100271485">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100271485</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Are Construction Job Losses All About Pay?</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1693/are-construction-job-losses-all-about-pay/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Sep 2012 22:15:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Despite rising demand for newly built homes, construction employment in August remained flat, stuck at the same paltry pace for the past four months. The numbers don’t make a lot of sense at face value, given that housing starts are &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1693/are-construction-job-losses-all-about-pay/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/acc95_home_building3.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="Are Construction Job Losses All About Pay?" alt="acc95 home building3 Are Construction Job Losses All About Pay?" /><br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Despite rising demand for newly built homes, construction employment in August remained flat, stuck at the same paltry pace for the past four months. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The numbers don’t make a lot of sense at face value, given that housing starts are up in both single and multi-family, and builders are reporting big jumps in new orders for homes. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Since the ‘official’ end of the recession in June 2009, construction employment has fallen 8.2 percent, even though overall employment is up 2.1 percent,” notes Trulia.com’s Jed Kolko. “The share of national jobs in construction (4.14 percent) is at the lowest level since 1946.” </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Yesterday we reported on how certain builders in Dallas, TX claimed there were not enough skilled workers to fill the construction jobs they have open. The story garnered a huge response, with most claiming that was impossible, but others noting that it is all about the pay scale. (<em>Read the story:</em><b><strong><a href="/id/48926517/"><strong>Home Builders Don&#8217;t Have Enough Workers to Meet New Demand</strong></a></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Only about 20 million out of work construction workers in the country. I think what they really mean is they can’t find enough workers who will do hard construction work for 8 dollars an hour,” wrote one respondent on the blog. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />I&#8217;m a sub-contractor in South Florida,” wrote another. “The problem here is, the big builders are paying sub-contractors less than what they paid in 1998. On top of that there are more city and OSHA rules to abide by. There is no way for me to employ a crew and pay them what they need to support their families. The only crews that are working are illegals, and the only reason they can survive on these wages is because there living with 2 families in 1 bedroom apartments. That&#8217;s not my idea of job creation.” </p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Builders will argue that the rising cost of construction materials is making it harder for them to raise wages, not to mention that they are still competing with large supplies of cheaper, distressed properties, many of which are relatively new construction. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Here locally, we’ve measured that the average price of a house has gone up 1.7 percent from last year, which is not nearly enough to cover the 9 percent increase in costs that has occurred since 1st of the year, so it’s coming right out of the margin,” says Stephen Brooks, CEO of Dallas-based Grand Homes. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The argument quickly turns to immigration policies, given that so many construction workers are not U.S. citizens, but it is also a matter of investment in the work force, which we see in so many sectors, like the auto industry, as reported by <b><strong><strong>CNBC’s Phil LeBeau</strong> </strong></b>today. Apparently their aren’t enough skilled engineers to do the necessary work on cars. (<b><strong><a href="http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000114536play=1"><strong>Help Wanted: Engineers</strong></a></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Says another blogger: “I’m thinking these folks need to rescrew on their heads on what it will take to grow their businesses, like maybe invest some resources to bring new folks on board and work with them to make sure they have those skills they want long term.” </p>
<p><strong><strong /></strong>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Are Construction Job Losses All About Pay?" alt=" Are Construction Job Losses All About Pay?" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48940258?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/48940258?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Home Builders Don&#8217;t Have Enough Workers to Meet New Demand</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1691/home-builders-dont-have-enough-workers-to-meet-new-demand/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Sep 2012 04:13:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[After losing 70 percent of their business in the housing crash, the nation&#8217;s home builders are breaking ground again. New orders for homes are rebounding strongly, and housing starts have shown sustained growth over the past year. The demand is &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1691/home-builders-dont-have-enough-workers-to-meet-new-demand/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<hr noshade="noshade" size="1" />After losing 70 percent of their business in the housing crash, the nation&#8217;s home builders are breaking ground again. New orders for homes are rebounding strongly, and housing starts have shown sustained growth over the past year. The demand is there; unfortunately, in some areas, the workers to build these homes are not.
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;This industry has had a tough time in the last five years, and lot of people have left it and I guess gone into other things. We need ‘em back,&#8221; says Dallas, home builder Don Dykstra, president of Bloomfield Homes. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Dykstra sees buyers taking advantage of low interest rates and low home prices. He is building about forty houses a month now, but says he would build sixty if he had enough labor and contractor support. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><a href="/id/48208989/?Homebuilders_Most_Confident_in_More_Than_5_Years"><strong>Homebuilders Most Confident in More Than 5 Years</strong></a></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />It&#8217;s the same for Stephen Brooks, CEO of Grand Homes, also in Dallas. The shortage of skilled workers is hitting his bottom line. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“The cost of housing going up very, very fast,” says Brooks. &#8220;You sell a house, and you typically could deliver it within 6 months; now the cycle time, today, with the shortage of labor it takes 9 months. Instead of being 6 months of overhead, now your overhead is 9 months overhead for the same the house, so not only has the increased cycle time effect your margin, but the increase in labor cost effects your margin.” </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Labor prices in some markets have increased as high as 10 percent with the median hike at 4 percent, according to Ted Wilson of Residential Strategies. He did a survey of Dallas/Ft. Worth builders. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;We lost over half of our production builder companies, and the subcontractors were enormously gutted as well,&#8221; notes Wilson. It’s not like these guys are waiting by the phone. It’s been six years. These guys have moved on and found other jobs.&#8221; </p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Many former construction workers moved on to facilities maintenance work or remodeling, or whatever jobs they could find. Replacing them is difficult because today&#8217;s market demands highly skilled workers, and there is simply no available base. In the past, builders would hire workers and train them on the job. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>US Home Builders Begin to See Credit Thaw</strong></strong></b>) </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;They don’t have the luxury of that now,&#8221; says John Courson, CEO of the Home Builders Institute, an industry training group. &#8220;They want workers that are available to them, that come out trained with a skill, and ready to hit the ground working. They don’t want the expense of on the job training.” </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Home construction technology has changed dramatically just in the past decade, as builders must adhere to green building standards. Dykstra says it is especially important that his homes be built with the latest energy-efficient features because that gives him a leg up on his biggest competition, which is cheaper, foreclosed homes. Due to that competition, he can&#8217;t raise his prices much. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;Charging higher prices is a challenge because it can be difficult to get appraised values right now, so there’s a lot of pressure between being able to raise prices versus the need to increase what we are paying the labor,&#8221; says Dykstra. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The shortage is across the spectrum, but especially in need are framers, concrete workers, plumbers, roofers and painters. The shortage is also felt most in areas where housing is coming back strongest, and permitting is easiest, like Texas and much of the West. The situation is not nearly as dire in the Northeast, where home building volume is smaller, and it can take years to get a project off zoned and ready to build. Still, as construction across the nation pulls itself off life support, the bitter irony persists. After years of nobody knocking on the door, suddenly this industry is struggling to meet demand. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />-<em>Realty Check producer Stephanie Dhue contributed to this report</em></p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Home Builders Dont Have Enough Workers to Meet New Demand" alt=" Home Builders Dont Have Enough Workers to Meet New Demand" /></p>
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