“People who weren’t sure about whether they were going to buy a house or not are coming back in, and that’s especially true of the affluent buyers,” said Watters. “I know at Chase at least we’ve also put a lot of emphasis on making sure we’re doing what’s best for those affluent buyers, including adding more bankers and working with our chase private client customers to really focus on opportunities in the jumbo space.”

(Read More: Rising Rates Turn Investors From REITs)

Watters admited that investors are still slow to return, as the private label market tries to figure out what securitization standards should be. The complete lack of standards during the housing boom, when securities were issued with bits and pieces of loans and wide ranges of risk, led to the downfall of both the mortgage and the housing markets.

“We are not slicing and dicing any loans. We’re selling loans as whole loan products,” assured Watters. “These are well-underwritten loans, great documentation, great borrowers with strong fico scores, large down payments, so these are great credit products, great investment for people who are looking to get additional yield.”

—By CNBC’s Diana Olick; Follow her on Twitter @Diana_Olick or on Facebook at facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC

Questions? Comments? RealtyCheck@cnbc.com

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100802833

All this could have a significant impact on the housing recovery.

(Read More: Reverse Mortgages Backfiring on Seniors)

“If the investors gets sidelined—along with first-time buyers who are already sidelined—this housing market falls apart quickly,” says Mark Hanson, a California-based housing and mortgage analyst. Hanson points to still-high levels of negative equity, which has kept many homeowners stuck in place.

Connecticut-based Carrington Mortgage Holdings, a hedge fund that had been buying distressed homes, recently stopped.

“We think the market is a little bit too frothy,” said Carrington’s Rick Sharga in an interview last month. Home prices are now up 12 percent from a year ago nationally, according to CoreLogic, but have risen far more greatly in formerly distressed markets where investors originally focused their purchases.

“The general consensus right now is that the bargains are drying up when it comes to buying foreclosed properties,” adds Sharga.

(Read More: Rising Rates Turn Investors From REITs)

That is largely due to a lack of distressed homes for sale. The number of foreclosure sales in the first quarter of this year fell 22 percent from a year ago, according to RealtyTrac, a real estate website. The number of short sales, when the home is sold for less than the value of the mortgage, also fell, as rising prices provided less incentive for banks to agree to such deals. Some claim banks are actually holding onto repossessed homes, waiting for prices to rise higher.

Investors accounted for 19 percent of home sales in April, according to the National Association of Realtors, down from 24 percent in all of 2012. Investors include individual buyers as well as large hedge funds, but the hedge funds have been getting much of the attention, credited with juicing prices in the hardest hit housing markets like Phoenix and Las Vegas. Their so-called REO-to-Rent strategy (Real Estate Owned-to-Rent) has evolved into a new asset class, with two of the companies that engage in the practice going public this year as real estate investment trusts (REITs).

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100799067

“Rising interest rates and increasing cost of new supply will help keep that supply down and will allow us to continue to increase rates on our existing residents,” says Neithercut.

A subset of multi-family, the lesser-watched student housing sector, could also benefit, specifically the largest, American Campus Communities (ACC). Since it has so little competition, it benefits from a cheaper cost of capital.

(Read More: Map: Tracking the US Real Estate Recovery)

“We actually have a very favorable comparison in terms of yields. The development transactions that we’re undertaking typically are 7 to 7.25 yield, a nice spread to multi-family, so we tend to have more cushion in that regard,” says Bill Bayless, CEO of American Campus.

For the overall REIT space, however, analysts are questioning whether this is a long term cyclical change tied to improving gross domestic product. If so, sectors with shorter-term leases, like multi-family, self-storage and health care may fare better than office or industrial, which have longer-term leases.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100793087

(Read More: Apartment Building Bubbles as Single-Family Homes Struggles)

Zelman noted an intentional slowing by home builders, who are strapped by labor and supply shortages and who are looking to gain pricing power as the market recovers, as a key driver of apartment demand.

Rising rents are pushing some tenants to move, but not as many as expected. 11.5 percent of departing residents in April left due to rent increases, according to the report, up from 10.9 percent in 2012 but way down from 17 percent in 2011. In addition, more than half of those moving out remained in the apartment rental market. Thirty percent bought a home, and ten percent rented a single family home; the remaining moved in with family or friends.

The concern for investors in the apartment sector, especially in multi-family REITs (real estate investment trusts), is that there is too much new supply coming on line, just as demand is about to turn. The government numbers for housing starts in April added confusion to that argument, but some say the monthly numbers, especially for new construction, which have a wide margin of error, are just “noise.”

(Read More: Rising Rates Rattle Mortgage Market)

“Multi-family starts plunged 38.9 percent to 23,000 units, but the more important average of March and April was still a solid 321,000 units,” noted Michael Montgomery, an economist at IHS Global Insight.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100746253

(Read More: REITs Return Big as Investors Pour In)

The higher rates cause a drop in mortgage applications. Refinance volume fell 8 percent, while mortgage applications to purchase a home fell 4 percent, according to the MBA report.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100738799

(Read More: REITs Return Big as Investors Pour In)

The higher rates cause a drop in mortgage applications. Refinance volume fell 8 percent, while mortgage applications to purchase a home fell 4 percent, according to the MBA report.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100738799

Renter household formation remains at the strongest level in decades. Roughly 1.32 million new renter households were formed in the past year (including owner conversions), while the number of owner-occupied households declined by 175,000. Resident turnover and move-outs to homeownership remain near historic lows for most operators. Incoming leasing traffic is more than offsetting move-outs while paying higher rates.

The home ownership rate declined yet again in the fourth quarter of 2012, according to a new report from the U.S. Census today. It now stands at 65.4 percent, down from 66 percent a year ago and from a high of 69.2 percent in 2004. If you include the 5.3 million borrowers who are delinquent on their mortgages or in the foreclosure process, per Lender Processing Services, the real home ownership rate is even lower.

“The fact that the housing recovery is being driven principally by investor demand means that the slight decline in the homeownership rate in the fourth quarter is unlikely to be the last,” notes Paul Diggle of Capital Economics.

(Read More: World’s Most Expensive City to Rent Is…)

There is also a tremendous amount of pent-up demand for the rental market, as nearly 23 million young adults, male and female, under age 35 (31 percent of the cohort) are currently classified as ‘living at home’ with parents, according to Raymond James’ analysis. As job growth improves, they will move to rental apartments; the homeownership rate for this group is only 34 percent.

(Read More: Rentals Chip Away at Home Builder Gains)

Investors are also concerned about a 49 percent jump in multi-family construction permits from a year ago, but those permits are still running well below normal levels, and every year about 150,000 units are removed from housing stock for various reasons, like age and damage.

Suffice it to say that the apartment sector and the multi-family REITs will likely see a surprise to the upside in 2013. Rents will still rise, despite housing affordability and growth in the single family market.

(Read More: Real-Estate Tips from a Mega-Broker to the Stars)

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100416547

Renter household formation remains at the strongest level in decades. Roughly 1.32 million new renter households were formed in the past year (including owner conversions), while the number of owner-occupied households declined by 175,000. Resident turnover and move-outs to homeownership remain near historic lows for most operators. Incoming leasing traffic is more than offsetting move-outs while paying higher rates.

The home ownership rate declined yet again in the fourth quarter of 2012, according to a new report from the U.S. Census today. It now stands at 65.4 percent, down from 66 percent a year ago and from a high of 69.2 percent in 2004. If you include the 5.3 million borrowers who are delinquent on their mortgages or in the foreclosure process, per Lender Processing Services, the real home ownership rate is even lower.

“The fact that the housing recovery is being driven principally by investor demand means that the slight decline in the homeownership rate in the fourth quarter is unlikely to be the last,” notes Paul Diggle of Capital Economics.

(Read More: World’s Most Expensive City to Rent Is…)

There is also a tremendous amount of pent-up demand for the rental market, as nearly 23 million young adults, male and female, under age 35 (31 percent of the cohort) are currently classified as ‘living at home’ with parents, according to Raymond James’ analysis. As job growth improves, they will move to rental apartments; the homeownership rate for this group is only 34 percent.

(Read More: Rentals Chip Away at Home Builder Gains)

Investors are also concerned about a 49 percent jump in multi-family construction permits from a year ago, but those permits are still running well below normal levels, and every year about 150,000 units are removed from housing stock for various reasons, like age and damage.

Suffice it to say that the apartment sector and the multi-family REITs will likely see a surprise to the upside in 2013. Rents will still rise, despite housing affordability and growth in the single family market.

(Read More: Real-Estate Tips from a Mega-Broker to the Stars)

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100416547

“We outgrew the last space as soon as we had moved in,” said Edelheit as he weaves through a maze of desks, followed by his panting dog Frankie, to get to his office. There he shows off his stand-up computer work station that he fabricated out of a small shelf from Ikea. Many of his mostly-young employees stand as well, as they search for homes to buy, rent, market, and manage. The energy is palpable.

“In terms of risk and reward, I feel that this is a generational opportunity,” Edelheit noted.

Two similar REITs, Silver Bay Realty Trust and Altisource Residential just went public in December 2012.

Analysts at KBW estimate cash returns on investments in REOs are in the 5-7 percent range, while total returns could reach 15-20 percent. (Read More: Bank of America in $10 Billion Foreclosure Settlement With Fannie Mae)

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100366417

That means self-storage REITs (real estate investment trusts) that have above-average exposure on the eastern seaboard could see a surge in demand ahead. Cantor Fitzgerald expects Extra Space Storage
[EXR 
Loading... 
 
 
()
 
](NYSE: EXR, SELL), Sovran Self Storage
[SSS 
Loading... 
 
 
()
 
] (NYSE: SSS, HOLD), and CubeSmart
[CUBE 
Loading... 
 
 
()
 
](NYSE: CUBE; BUY) will see the bulk of the demand, and that will drive revenue growth in the first half of 2013.

Extra Space Storage which has relatively high exposure in New York and New Jersey, would see the biggest effect, perhaps as much as 33 percent of its portfolio. Sovran comes in second at 24 percent, according to Toti and Mehta.

The play will likely be short-lived, as happened after hurricane Katrina, and there could be a hangover afterward.

“The storage needs generated by hurricane clean-up can last from 6-18 months,” the Cantor Fitzgerald analysts warn, “then recede, which can set the stage for declining occupancies and more competitive pricing.”

The self-storage REIT sector is up 13 percent year-to-date, underperforming compared to the RMZ (overall REIT index), but poised to improve over the next several years. The economic and housing recoveries are a positive for storage demand, as more Americans move and companies begin to hire again. The stock of Extra Space is up 40 percent year-to-date, and Sovran is up 36 percent.

Questions?  Comments?