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	<title>homesmillbrae.com &#187; Oakland Real Estate</title>
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		<title>Rising home values push more Bay Area homes above water, Zillow says &#8211; Alameda Times</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2022/rising-home-values-push-more-bay-area-homes-above-water-zillow-says-alameda-times/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Feb 2013 06:20:30 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Rising prices pushed thousands of Bay Area homes back above water last year, according to a report released Wednesday, another sign that the region&#8217;s housing crisis is easing as the economy recovers. The report, by the housing website Zillow, shows &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2022/rising-home-values-push-more-bay-area-homes-above-water-zillow-says-alameda-times/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span />
<p class="bodytext">Rising prices pushed thousands of Bay Area homes back above water last year, according to a report released Wednesday, another sign that the region&#8217;s housing crisis is easing as the economy recovers.</p>
<p>The report, by the housing website Zillow, shows drops across the region in the number of homes that are underwater &#8212; worth less than the value of their mortgages.</p>
<p>More than 56,826 homes bobbed back above water across seven counties of the Bay Area in 2012, Zillow reported. That still leaves 205,986 homes with a total negative equity of $31.5 billion.</p>
<p>And that negative equity is keeping thousands of homes off the market, forcing buyers to compete for whatever comes up for sale.</p>
<p>A dozen wealthy Silicon Valley and Peninsula communities from Belmont to Los Gatos have already returned to pre-crash home prices, the company said.</p>
<p>Zillow is forecasting continued growth in prices this year, followed by a leveling off in 2014. </p>
<p>The company uses a proprietary formula to calculate home values. </p>
<p>In the last three months of 2012, a little more than one-third of Contra Costa County&#8217;s homes that had mortgages were underwater, Zillow reported. That was down from 41.3 percent a year earlier. </p>
<p>The figure for Alameda County was 25.4 percent, down from 31 percent a year earlier, while Santa Clara dropped to 15 percent from 22 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011. San Mateo County had 15 percent of its homes with mortgages </p>
<p>underwater,¿¿ down from 20.7 percent a year earlier.
<p>Nearly every part of the Bay Area is seeing a surge in home prices, with the areas that saw the biggest drops following the subprime bubble&#8217;s burst having the biggest price increases.</p>
<p>Oakland real estate agent Mark Biggins of Redfin Realty said that in some parts of the East Bay, frenzied bidding has caused prices to soar.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s crazy in parts of Oakland and Berkeley,&#8221; Biggins said. </p>
<p>One of his clients just lost out on a home listed at $729,000 that sold for more than $900,000 with 23 offers. &#8220;There were five offers over $900,000 for this property. In 2005, that same property sold for $940,000. I think it just sold pretty much for that or more today,&#8221; Biggins said. </p>
<p>&#8220;Eastern Contra Costa County was dramatically overpriced&#8221; before the crash, said Bryce Ellsworth, broker at Windermere Ellsworth and Associates in Brentwood. &#8220;Now it&#8217;s underpriced, but that&#8217;s not going to last for long.&#8221;</p>
<p>The Silicon Valley corridor extending from Atherton and Menlo Park through Sunnyvale to Los Gatos is essentially back above water, Zillow reported, with median home values what they were before the crash. Many of those communities lost less in the crash and had less to regain.</p>
<p>&#8220;Those that have dropped the least have come back the quickest,&#8221; said Rick Turley, San Francisco Bay Area president of Coldwell Banker Residential.</p>
<p>&#8220;I would say the sweet spot would be that whole upper Silicon Valley and Peninsula area,&#8221; he said. &#8220;It probably lost the least amount in the downturn and has come back to new peak highs the quickest.&#8221;</p>
<p>San Jose, which fell sharply on large numbers of subprime loans, is still more than 20 percent below its pre-crash peak. But recovery also depends on when a person bought the home.</p>
<p>Real estate agent David Contreras, who specializes in condos in San Jose, said the recovery has gone so fast in San Jose that one client who wanted to short-sell her house for around $160,000 six months ago is now above water and planning to stay.</p>
<p>&#8220;Her home shot up easily to $235,000 within the span of about six months,&#8221; said Contreras.</p>
<p>But that&#8217;s not the case everywhere. </p>
<p>Contra Costa County median home values are still about 48 percent below their peak. Alameda County is 30 percent below, while Santa Clara County is 13.5 percent from its peak and San Mateo is 15.1 percent below it, Zillow said.</p>
<p>San Francisco was the county closest to a return to peak prices, with only slightly more than 3 percent to go.  </p>
<p>Contact Pete Carey at 408-920-5419 Follow him on <a href="http://Twitter.com/petecareyg">Twitter.com/petecareyg</a></p>
<p>uneven recovery
<p>
A sampling of Bay Area cities and the percentage they are below their peak home prices reached between 2006 and 2007<br />
City                       Change from peak<br />
Hayward            -48.6 percent<br />
Oakland             -38.8 percent<br />
Livermore           -30.1 percent <br />
El Cerrito &#8230;&#8230;&#8230;..-26 percent<br />
San Jose            -20.6 percent<br />
San Ramon&#8230;&#8230;..-18.4 percent<br />
San Mateo&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;.-15.1 percent<br />
Berkeley&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;..-12.5 percent<br />
Redwood City&#8230;&#8230;- 5.7 percent<br />
Menlo Park             0.0 percent<br />
Sunnyvale             0.0 percent<br />
Source: Zillow</p>
<p><span /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.insidebayarea.com/breaking-news/ci_22632191/rising-home-values-push-more-bay-area-homes">http://www.insidebayarea.com/breaking-news/ci_22632191/rising-home-values-push-more-bay-area-homes</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Maxwell Drever talks real estate strategy</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1656/maxwell-drever-talks-real-estate-strategy/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Aug 2012 13:33:37 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[On a recent August day, real estate investor Maxwell Drever strode through a scene of pandemonium on his 9-acre waterfront estate in Tiburon, as workers scrambled to set up for a charity garden party. He fielded phone calls about where &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1656/maxwell-drever-talks-real-estate-strategy/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On a recent August day, <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/">real estate</a> investor Maxwell Drever strode through a scene of pandemonium on his 9-acre waterfront estate in Tiburon, as workers scrambled to set up for a charity garden party. He fielded phone calls about where to deliver supplies, shook hands with volunteers and offered a snack of almond butter to one of the exhibiting artists.</p>
<p>Drever, 71, has made a career of seeking opportunities in unusual places and times. At age 7, he set up a mushroom farm in the basement of his family&#8217;s Geneva, Ill., house &#8211; an enterprise his parents quashed when he started hauling in manure. So he started a business painting house numbers on curbs. </p>
<p>As an Oakland real estate agent in the 1960s, he noticed a glut of neglected apartment buildings. That spurred him to find nine partners to join him in putting up $5,000 each for a dilapidated triplex in Sausalito. He and one partner renovated the building, subdivided and sold the land, and the investors made a 400 percent return. </p>
<p>That launched his career of buying run-down apartment buildings in distressed markets nationwide, and reinvigorating them. At one point, he was Houston&#8217;s largest landlord. </p>
<p>He has sold off his portfolios a couple of times over the decades. Now, as chairman of Drever Capital Management, he has embarked on a new buying spree. </p>
<p>Drever pumps iron and swims almost daily in the chilly bay outside the 100-year-old boathouse that he&#8217;s converted into his office. His son Noah, 29, one of seven children ages 25 to 53, has followed him into the business as a managing director. </p>
<p>This interview has been edited for length and clarity.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>You are known as a contrarian investor. What&#8217;s an example?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong>In 2004, we told people to keep their powder dry (meaning don&#8217;t invest in real estate). We turned back $100 million in commitment (funds) to GE (Capital Real Estate); no one could believe we said we didn&#8217;t want their money. Most of my peers loaded up (on properties) and those things turned to mud. Now we&#8217;re buying what they overpaid for in that 2008 era.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>What are you buying now?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> Right now we are targeting lenders with problem loans on multifamily buildings. It&#8217;s not the glamour part. This is supplying garden <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/rentals">apartments</a> to the nurses and schoolteachers and service people. We started doing it way back when, and didn&#8217;t even realize we were being socially responsible.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>Will you provide workforce housing in San Francisco or elsewhere in the Bay Area?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> The housing need here is so critical, but prices in San Francisco have gone so crazy that you cannot develop workforce housing right now. You just can&#8217;t do it. We are not interested in competing in $3,000 rental apartments. We would go to the outlying parts of the Bay Area, challenged areas.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>Where specifically? Pittsburg, Antioch, Vallejo, Fairfield are areas that had huge bubble-fueled run-ups and now have been hard hit by the housing downturn.</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> All of those are of interest.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>But what about the core Bay Area? There are lots of service workers in San Francisco and Silicon Valley who need affordable housing. Don&#8217;t you want to be socially responsible in helping them?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> Investment capital has no heart. Our first obligation is to maximize returns for our partners.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>What is the market like for purchasing distressed apartment buildings now?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> We have closed at least a dozen transactions in the past year or so (in places like Clearwater, Fla.; Houston and San Antonio; Evanston, Ill.). This is the most opportunistic time I&#8217;ve ever seen in my life, for three reasons. One, there is such a shortage of housing. Two, a tremendous number of nonperforming loans were written in the heady, go-go years from 2005 to 2008. It is very difficult for owners to service those loans. When they come due, they can&#8217;t be refinanced because the properties are underwater. Three, interest rates are under 4 percent, which will probably last another year.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>What kind of discount do you seek?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> For example, we just bought the loan on a senior housing facility in South Carolina for 50 cents on the dollar of what it cost them to build it in 2008.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>How much money do you have to spend?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> The institutional war chest is topping out at $300 million; we have (investments from) some big life-insurance companies and pension funds. We just started a parallel fund for high-net-worth families and are shooting to raise $100 million to $300 million.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>What is demand like for rental units now?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> Instead of homeownership, we have renters by necessity. We think this will continue on for another five years at least. The (pool of) Millennial/Gen Y renters is huge. There has been so much doubling up (grown children living with their parents) and now as the economy improves (and those children want their own places), it puts increasing pressure on housing.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>Describe the kind of housing you provide.</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> Our average rent across 10,000 units is $793. We provide really nice housing for that. Buying challenged apartment buildings is something many people shy away from, even in our industry. We (specialize in) turning problematic properties into well-run, attractive places to live; where people not only move in but stay. That&#8217;s where we make money: When people stay, it cuts your costs down.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>At one troubled complex, you offered prominent apartments at reduced rents to police officers so they&#8217;d park their patrol <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/autos/">cars</a> out front, deterring criminal activity. What are other ways you transform apartment complexes?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> We always try to make the street scene look attractive. We spend significant money enhancing the entry to a property and we also fix up the inside of the apartments. They call it &#8220;Dreverizing&#8221; in the industry. By the time we&#8217;re done, it looks like a Four Seasons hotel. We create a resort atmosphere, which is unusual for workforce housing; a pool area with cabanas and a barbecue. My pool house out here has a barbecue set-up to die for. You go to one of our apartment projects, you&#8217;ll see the same set-up. That&#8217;s a real magnet. That&#8217;s why when families move in, they stay.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>What do you think of the growing interest by major investors in buying multiple foreclosed homes in certain cities, rehabbing them and renting them out, trying to treat these scattered homes as if they were a multiunit building?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> I think it&#8217;s an excellent concept. I also think the best opportunities are gone in that arena. There&#8217;s an overload of investors looking for that product.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>What kinds of missteps have you made?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> We bought a property in Austin, and the highway department came in (shortly afterward) and made the front into a construction staging area. It blocked our entrance entirely. It was supposed to be one year, but they were there for five years. It was a disaster. But we were able to work with the lender. The construction finally ended and we were able to restructure the loan and now it&#8217;s a solid asset. It turned out to be lemonade.</p>
<p><strong>Q:</strong> <strong>What is your exit strategy? Do you sell entire buildings, do condo conversions, hold onto them for many years?</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong>A:</strong> All of the above. In this cycle I could see a prolonged hold with long-term cash-flow benefits. But we&#8217;ve sold to REITS and done a lot of condo conversions that worked out really well.</p>
<p class="dtlcomment">Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. E-mail: csaid@sfchronicle.com</p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Maxwell-Drever-talks-real-estate-strategy-3787290.php">http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Maxwell-Drever-talks-real-estate-strategy-3787290.php</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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