All three components of the index rose in July. Current sales conditions rose five points to 60—the highest level since early 2006. The component gauging sales expectations in the next six months gained seven points to 67, and the component gauging traffic of prospective buyers rose five points to 45—marking the strongest readings for each since late 2005.

“Builders are seeing more motivated buyers coming through their doors as the inventory of existing homes for sale continues to tighten,” noted NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “Meanwhile, as the infrastructure that supplies home building returns, some previously skyrocketing building material costs have begun to soften.”Sales of newly built homes rose just over 2 percent from May to June. Single family housing starts were flat. But permits, considered a more reliable indicator, gained 1.3 percent month-to-month.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100889688

(Read More: Pending Home Sales Soar Despite Rough Winter)

Banks are making more of an effort to do short sales instead of taking a home to foreclosure, and new federal guidelines are streamlining the process. That led to a 15 percent drop in sales of bank-owned homes and a 6 percent increase in short sales. This has helped home prices because short sales on average sell for a higher price than do bank-owned homes, because they are usually neither abandoned nor vandalized.

“Although foreclosure-related sales represent a shrinking share of total sales, primarily because of fewer bank-owned purchases, distressed sales are still a disproportionately high portion of the overall housing market,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac. “And while distressed properties — whether bank-owned, pre-foreclosure or short sales not in foreclosure — are still selling at a significant discount compared to non-distressed properties, average distressed property prices are increasing in many markets thanks to strong demand and limited inventory.”

(Read More: Housing May Not Be as Healthy as It Looks: NAHB Pro)

Limited inventory continues to be the key in today’s housing market, driving prices higher than most analysts expected. This is surprising, as distress in the market has not simply vanished. There are currently 1.7 homes in the foreclosure process and 1.5 million more seriously delinquent loans (90 days without a payment), according to a new report from Lender Processing Services. Banks are being more aggressive with loan modifications and principal forgiveness, but many of these homes will inevitably end up going back to the banks.

“Inventories continue to be low because non-distressed sellers are largely absent from the market, apparently waiting for prices to increase even more before they decide to sell,” noted Blomquist. “I think we are seeing signs of the shadow [foreclosure] supply hitting, but more on a market-by-market basis and often in the form of short sales as opposed to REO [bank-owned] sales — although REO sales are starting to show signs of life in judicial foreclosure markets with bigger backlogs.”

(Read More: Homeowners Rise Above Water on Mortgages)

Strong investor demand for these properties is pushing prices higher, even creating bubbles in some of the formerly hardest hit markets, like Phoenix and Las Vegas. If prices get too high, however, and investors can’t reap the returns they need, then supplies could grow. So far that has not happened, but home prices are rising far faster than anyone predicted.

(Read More: Taking The Real Estate Recovery Local)

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100503223

(Read More: Pending Home Sales Soar Despite Rough Winter)

Banks are making more of an effort to do short sales instead of taking a home to foreclosure, and new federal guidelines are streamlining the process. That led to a 15 percent drop in sales of bank-owned homes and a 6 percent increase in short sales. This has helped home prices because short sales on average sell for a higher price than do bank-owned homes, because they are usually neither abandoned nor vandalized.

“Although foreclosure-related sales represent a shrinking share of total sales, primarily because of fewer bank-owned purchases, distressed sales are still a disproportionately high portion of the overall housing market,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac. “And while distressed properties — whether bank-owned, pre-foreclosure or short sales not in foreclosure — are still selling at a significant discount compared to non-distressed properties, average distressed property prices are increasing in many markets thanks to strong demand and limited inventory.”

(Read More: Housing May Not Be as Healthy as It Looks: NAHB Pro)

Limited inventory continues to be the key in today’s housing market, driving prices higher than most analysts expected. This is surprising, as distress in the market has not simply vanished. There are currently 1.7 homes in the foreclosure process and 1.5 million more seriously delinquent loans (90 days without a payment), according to a new report from Lender Processing Services. Banks are being more aggressive with loan modifications and principal forgiveness, but many of these homes will inevitably end up going back to the banks.

“Inventories continue to be low because non-distressed sellers are largely absent from the market, apparently waiting for prices to increase even more before they decide to sell,” noted Blomquist. “I think we are seeing signs of the shadow [foreclosure] supply hitting, but more on a market-by-market basis and often in the form of short sales as opposed to REO [bank-owned] sales — although REO sales are starting to show signs of life in judicial foreclosure markets with bigger backlogs.”

(Read More: Homeowners Rise Above Water on Mortgages)

Strong investor demand for these properties is pushing prices higher, even creating bubbles in some of the formerly hardest hit markets, like Phoenix and Las Vegas. If prices get too high, however, and investors can’t reap the returns they need, then supplies could grow. So far that has not happened, but home prices are rising far faster than anyone predicted.

(Read More: Taking The Real Estate Recovery Local)

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100503223

Rising rents and increased demand for rental apartments has fueled the theory that from young Millenials to downsizing Baby Boomers, the recent housing crash has changed the way Americans want to live, shifted attitudes toward home ownership and created a strong new desire for big-city living. Rising gas prices have also pushed more home buyers closer to city centers.

(Read More: Why Women are Driving the Demand for Rental Apartments)

While 23 percent of survey respondents categorically reject the idea of living in a city center, others could be swayed if, again, offered the right amenities. These include walking/jogging trails, nearby parks and an outdoor swimming pool. That bodes well for planned, gated communities.

The age of the McMansion may be over, as money spent on space is reallocated to energy efficiency and home technology. Builders today will look to do more with less space, and buyers who can now afford to be picky about amenities, certainly will be.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100491599

In their most recent quarterly statements, all of the largest public home builders reported large annual jumps in the average prices of their homes sold. Pulte’s prices jumped 6 percent to $287000, for Lennar it was a seven percent surge to 261,000 and Meritage led the group with a 17 percent annual jump in average sale prices to $323,000.

(Read More: Soaring Housing Stocks in Perspective)

“New home prices are advancing faster than existing home prices because demand has increased and, as Kim did admit, the mortgage filter is allowing only higher income or at least higher net worth people through the application net, and they are purchasing higher valued homes. But that is true of existing purchases as well,” argues David Crowe, chief economist for the NAHB.

Crowe also makes the argument that new home prices are dictated by costs and demand. Both, he says are rising.

(Read More: New Housing Fears:Home Prices Are Rising Too Fast)

“Lumber and other building material prices have risen very rapidly recently. Shortages of lots and labor supply are beginning to show up, and I expect as new household formations begin to recover, that shortage will expand to more markets. The way to get more resources back into the housing market is to raise the price paid, i.e., wages and land prices,” says Crowe.

Builder profits, he notes, among the small private builders (who still control 70 percent of the market), have been negligible for several years.

“They will have to raise prices to compensate for their efforts, risks and, at least for a short time, being the only ones left,” adds Crowe

(Read More: Is the Refi ‘Apocalypse’ Really Upon Us?)

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100439451

(Read More: Homeowners With No Mortgage Offer Clues to Recovery)

“House price improvement has been the biggest reason we’ve seen more confidence improving in general, and prices are taking a stronger hold out West,” said David Crowe, NAHB’s chief economist, who notes that monthly regional moves can be more dramatic. A three-month running average, however, still puts the West ahead of the rest of the nation.

Builders out West have also been heartened by a huge drop in distressed properties, thanks to an influx of large-scale investors looking to reap the rewards of a growing single-family rental market. As supplies of homes for sale drop there precipitously, the builders are moving in again.

(Read More: Banks Pay Big for Robo-Signing…Again.)

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100384154

Sales of existing homes are recovering slowly, but a drop in supplies of those homes is pushing confidence among the new home builders to a six year high.

There are just 2.1 million existing homes for sale, which is a 22 percent drop from a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Much of this is due to a drop in foreclosed and distressed homes, as lenders try to modify troubled loans more aggressively.

“In view of the tightening supply and other improving conditions, many potential buyers who were on the fence are now motivated to move forward with a purchase in order to take advantage of today’s favorable prices and interest rates,” wrote Berry Rutenberg, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders in a release Monday.

That pushed home builder sentiment up 5 points in November on the NAHB’s monthly survey. It now stands at 46, just 4 points shy of the line between positive and negative sentiment. Last year sentiment was around 19. The component of the index gauging current sales jumped 8 points, and sales expectations jumped 2 points, the only component now in the positive range. Again, much of that is due to a lower overall supply of homes on the market, as distressed homes fell to 24 percent of all sales, down from nearly 40 percent at the worst of the housing crash.

(Read More: Existing Home Sales, Homebuilder Sentiment Rise)

The nation’s five largest banks report that since March 1 of this year they have extended more than $26 billion in mortgage relief to more than 300,000 borrowers. $6.339 billion of that is in the form of principal reduction on first or second liens. All of this is in accordance with the National Mortgage Settlement signed this year by those banks with 49 state attorneys general and federal agencies over so-called “robo-signing” fraud.

While lenders are also pushing foreclosures that cannot be saved through the system more quickly, there is a ready cadre of investors waiting to buy. Investors made up 20 percent of buyers in October, according to the NAR. Since investors largely use cash, regular owner-occupants who largely need to use mortgages, can’t compete. 29 percent of existing home buyers used all-cash.

(Read More: Let Real Estate Help Pay for Retirement)

First-time home buyers, who usually make up 40 percent of the market, are still down at just 31 percent. So add up first timers and owner-occupants using a mortgage, and that is where you get the jump in demand for new construction. Home builders are clearly seeing this, with many of the big public companies seeing huge jumps in net new orders.

Sector Watch: U.S. Home Builders

—Toll Brothers
[TOL 
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—DR Horton
[DHI 
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—Hovnanian Enterprises
[HOV 
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—PulteGroup
[PHM 
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—Ryland Group
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—Lennar Corp
[LEN 
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—Beazer Homes USA
[BZH 
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—Meritage Homes
[MTH 
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—KB Home
[KBH 
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