Buying ain’t easy. First prices soar, then they slow down, but rising interest rates make up the difference.

Blanca Torres
Reporter- San Francisco Business Times

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The rapid rise of home prices may be slowing, but too bad interest rates are now creeping up.

In the Bay Area, home prices are still growing, but not as fast, according to Trulia, the San Francisco-based online real estate marketplace.

The firm found that while home prices jumped 17.2 percent in the month of July compared with July 2012, price growth slowed down during the last six months. From January to March, prices rose by 6.5 percent and from April to June, they went up 3 percent.

“The biggest price slowdowns have come to some of the hottest local markets,” said Jed Kolko, Trulia’s chief economist. “California and Nevada remain the Wild West for asking home prices, with some of the sharpest drops during the bust, strongest rebounds over the past year, and now biggest slowdowns in the past quarter.”

Nationwide, asking home prices dropped slightly— 0.3 percent — in July compared with the previous month. It’s the first time since November 2012 that prices didn’t go up.

They are still up 11 percent for the month of July compared with the same month last year.

One major factor deflating home prices is rising interest rates during the past six months.

In the past couple of years, historically low interest rates boosted sales and skyrocketing price growth, but higher rates are now dampening the mood.

“Asking home prices are now starting to lose steam as mortgage rates rise, inventory expands and investor demand declines,” said Trulia in a recent market report.

A year ago, a buyer could afford to pay a higher asking price because interest rates were low. Now, buyers may end up paying the same per month, but more of their payment will go toward interest versus the principal value on the loan.

So even if prices level off or go down in the months to come, buying a home in the Bay Area will still be just as costly if not more.

Blanca Torres covers East Bay real estate for the San Francisco Business Times.

Article source: http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/real-estate/2013/08/bay-area-home-price-growth-leveling-off.html

Hanson is particularly concerned about cancellations among the home builders.

(Read More: Home Builder Sales at Risk Due to Rising Mortgage Rates)

Buyers of new construction often sign contracts for homes that will not be delivered for three to nine months, and therefore the buyers do not lock in mortgage rates at the time of purchase. A buyer who signed a deal the first week in May without a mortgage is now facing a far higher potential monthly payment, perhaps an unaffordable one.

The hangover effect could be much like the drop in home sales after the expiration of the home buyer tax credit. Prices dropped as well. This, as millions more borrowers were finally coming out from underwater on their loans, thanks to increased home equity. The number of borrowers owing more on their mortgages than their homes are currently worth fell by 47 percent in the first three months of this year from a year ago, according to Lender Processing Services. Some 7.2 million mortgages are still underwater, but that’s down from a high of 17 million in 2011.

Increased home equity has helped to push mortgage delinquencies down. They dropped 15 percent in May from Jan. 1, the biggest drop in 11 years, according to LPS. If home price gains stall or if prices turn lower, that trend will reverse. Rising home equity has allowed more borrowers to sell homes they don’t want or can’t afford.

(Read More: Map: Tracking the US Real Estate Recovery)

While home sales may surge in the short term on fears of rising rates and falling affordability, the longer term may be a different story. One telling sign from the Fannie Mae survey, 56 percent of respondents expect rents to rise. That’s up 8 percentage points in one month to a survey high.

—By CNBC’s Diana Olick. Follow her on Twitter @Diana_Olick or on Facebook at facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC.

Questions? Comments? RealtyCheck@cnbc.com.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100870112

Hanson is particularly concerned about cancellations among the home builders.

(Read More: Home Builder Sales at Risk Due to Rising Mortgage Rates)

Buyers of new construction often sign contracts for homes that will not be delivered for three to nine months, and therefore the buyers do not lock in mortgage rates at the time of purchase. A buyer who signed a deal the first week in May without a mortgage is now facing a far higher potential monthly payment, perhaps an unaffordable one.

The hangover effect could be much like the drop in home sales after the expiration of the home buyer tax credit. Prices dropped as well. This, as millions more borrowers were finally coming out from underwater on their loans, thanks to increased home equity. The number of borrowers owing more on their mortgages than their homes are currently worth fell by 47 percent in the first three months of this year from a year ago, according to Lender Processing Services. Some 7.2 million mortgages are still underwater, but that’s down from a high of 17 million in 2011.

Increased home equity has helped to push mortgage delinquencies down. They dropped 15 percent in May from Jan. 1, the biggest drop in 11 years, according to LPS. If home price gains stall or if prices turn lower, that trend will reverse. Rising home equity has allowed more borrowers to sell homes they don’t want or can’t afford.

(Read More: Map: Tracking the US Real Estate Recovery)

While home sales may surge in the short term on fears of rising rates and falling affordability, the longer term may be a different story. One telling sign from the Fannie Mae survey, 56 percent of respondents expect rents to rise. That’s up 8 percentage points in one month to a survey high.

—By CNBC’s Diana Olick. Follow her on Twitter @Diana_Olick or on Facebook at facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC.

Questions? Comments? RealtyCheck@cnbc.com.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100870112