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	<title>homesmillbrae.com &#187; Mortgage Finance</title>
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		<title>Forget easing prices, new homes are up, up, up</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2403/forget-easing-prices-new-homes-are-up-up-up/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2403/forget-easing-prices-new-homes-are-up-up-up/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Sep 2013 20:03:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Association Of Realtors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Case Shiller Index]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/2403/forget-easing-prices-new-homes-are-up-up-up/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Existing home price gains decelerated in July on the Case-Shiller index, likely due to the sharp jump in mortgage rates, but the gains were still sizable and unlikely to abate much. That&#8217;s due simply to lack of supply. The number &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2403/forget-easing-prices-new-homes-are-up-up-up/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>  Existing home price gains decelerated in July on the Case-Shiller index, likely due to the sharp jump in mortgage rates, but the gains were still sizable and unlikely to abate much. That&#8217;s due simply to lack of supply. The number of for-sale homes continues to drop across the nation.   </p>
<p>  (<em>Read more</em>: Map: Tracking the recovery) </p>
<p>  While inventories improved slightly in August on a national basis, up 0.4 percent month-to-month, they are still down 6.3 percent from a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors.</p>
<p>  While home sales were higher in August, the Realtors said it was, &#8220;the last hurrah,&#8221; as several indicators showed buyer traffic slowed dramatically at the end of the summer. </p>
<p>  &#8220;The sharpest falloff in the HousingPulse Homebuyer Traffic Indexes was seen among current homeowners, the largest group of home purchasers in this year&#8217;s housing market. The first-time homebuyer group also saw a decline in its traffic index,&#8221; according to a new report from Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance. </p>
<p>  The fall and winter months are traditionally the slowest in the housing business, and weaker demand will affect prices. Sales of newly built homes have not exactly been gangbusters, and new orders at both Lennar and KB Home were weaker than expected. Make no mistake, underlying demand exists, it&#8217;s just a question of when it emerges in force.  </p>
<p>  So far, even weak demand has pushed prices higher, again, due to historically low supply. </p>
<p>  (<em>Read more</em>: Real estate&#8217;s new frontier: Crowdfunding)</p>
<p>  &#8220;Construction of single-family homes has been depressed since late 2007, while the U.S. population has increased by more than 12 million over that time,&#8221; said economist Patrick Newport of IHS Global Insight. &#8220;Since underlying demand is, by our estimate, running at a rate nearly twice that of housing completions, the shortages are likely to get larger before getting smaller.&#8221;  </p>
<p>  This means that home-price gains, as measured by the Case-Shiller indexes, are likely to remain strong for some time, even if they retreat some from the current pace.&#8221;  </p>
<p>  —<em>By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick. Follow her on Twitter <a class="inline_asset" href="http://twitter.com/diana_olick" target="_blank">@Diana_Olick</a>.</em> </p>
<p>  <em>Questions?Comments? <a class="inline_asset" href="https://www.facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC" target="_blank">facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC</a>.</em></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/101058777">http://www.cnbc.com/id/101058777</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Private mortgage insurers back in black post-crash</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2357/private-mortgage-insurers-back-in-black-post-crash/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2357/private-mortgage-insurers-back-in-black-post-crash/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Aug 2013 23:02:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Keefe Bruyette Woods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Delinquencies]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Private Insurers]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/2357/private-mortgage-insurers-back-in-black-post-crash/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There are now six private mortgage insurers, which together wrote nearly $49 billion in new business in the second quarter, up 27 percent from the first quarter, according to data from Inside Mortgage Finance. Of the publicly traded insurers, MGIC, &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2357/private-mortgage-insurers-back-in-black-post-crash/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>  There are now six private mortgage insurers, which together wrote nearly $49 billion in new business in the second quarter, up 27 percent from the first quarter, according to data from Inside Mortgage Finance. </p>
<p>Of the publicly traded insurers, <a class="inline_quotes" href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/MTG" target="_self">MGIC</a>, <a class="inline_quotes" href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/GNW" target="_self">Genworth</a> and United Guaranty (part of <a class="inline_quotes" href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/AIG" target="_self">AIG</a>), reported positive income, with <a class="inline_quotes" href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/RDN" target="_self">Radian</a> still trying to break out of negative territory. Privately held Essent Guaranty, a newbie, is coming on strong, with $10 billion in new business through the first half, versus $3.6 billion in the year-earlier period, according to IMF.</p>
<p>  &#8220;Delinquencies are down, and the companies have recapitalized,&#8221; said Bose George, an analyst at Keefe Bruyette  Woods. &#8220;At the same time, FHA is reducing its role in the market, so this has given them significant growth opportunities. &#8230; The companies have reversed their position and are starting to show modest profitability.&#8221;</p>
<p>  (<em>Read more</em>: Mortgage delinquencies take a sharp turn up)</p>
<p>  The private insurers have also benefited from the government housing bailout—the refinance program for underwater borrowers as well as the Home Affordable Modification Program. Both help borrowers make their monthly payments and stay current on their loans, although HAMP has come under fire recently as a report from the Troubled Asset Relief Program&#8217;s inspector general found the program had a high re-default rate.</p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100956144">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100956144</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Rising Rates Scare Borrowers Into Action</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2258/rising-rates-scare-borrowers-into-action/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2258/rising-rates-scare-borrowers-into-action/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Jun 2013 01:13:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Finance]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Refinances]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/2258/rising-rates-scare-borrowers-into-action/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Roughly 10 million refinances took place over the past two years, although that may include borrowers who have refinanced more than once, according to Inside Mortgage Finance. From mid-2011 to mid-2012, rates dropped by 100 basis points, making it worthwhile &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2258/rising-rates-scare-borrowers-into-action/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>  Roughly 10 million refinances took place over the past two years, although that may include borrowers who have refinanced more than once, according to Inside Mortgage Finance. From mid-2011 to mid-2012, rates dropped by 100 basis points, making it worthwhile for some to refinance more than once.In addition to low rates, the government&#8217;s refinance program, called HARP, for underwater borrowers with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans, helped juice refinances as well.  </p>
<p>  In the first three months of this year, there were nearly 1.4 million refinances on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages alone, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Of those, 22 percent were through HARP, which was recently extended through 2015. More than 2.4 million borrowers so far have taken advantage of that program.  </p>
<p>  For borrowers who don&#8217;t have government-backed loans and therefore don&#8217;t qualify for that program, rising home prices have helped allow more of them to qualify for refinances. Among borrowers, 850,000 rose above water on their mortgages, moving into a positive equity position in the first three months of this year, according to a new report from <a class="inline_quotes" href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/CLGX" target="_self">CoreLogic</a>. While nearly 10 million are still underwater, the more that rise above, the more refinances can happen. </p>
<p>  <strong>More From CNBC.com<br /></strong>Investors Sue Over Fannie, Freddie Stock<br />Big Banks Bet on Jumbo Mortgages Again<br />Tracking the US Real Estate Recovery<strong><br /></strong> </p>
<p>  &#8220;We are still far below peak home price levels, but tight supplies in many areas coupled with continued demand for single family homes should help us close the gap,&#8221; said Anand Nallathambi, the CEO of CoreLogic.</p>
<p>  Rising prices, however, are a double-edged sword, especially in a rising interest rate environment. Potential buyers are losing purchasing power every day, just as demand is surging. </p>
<p>  <em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick. </em><em>Follow her on </em><em>Twitter <a class="inline_asset" href="http://twitter.com/diana_olick" target="_self">@Diana_Olick</a> or on Facebook at <a class="inline_asset" href="https://www.facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC" target="_self">facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC</a>.</em></p>
<p>  <em>Questions? Comments? <a class="inline_asset" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/17588138/device/rss/rss.xml" target="_self"> </a></em><em><a class="inline_asset" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/17588138/device/rss/rss.xml" target="_self">RealtyCheck@cnbc.com</a>.</em> </p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100810389">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100810389</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Jumbo Mortgage Divide Starts Shrinking</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2070/jumbo-mortgage-divide-starts-shrinking/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2070/jumbo-mortgage-divide-starts-shrinking/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Mar 2013 21:42:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Basis Point]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;The jumbo market has heated up, as tight lending guidelines have drastically reduced consumer late payments, strategic defaults, and foreclosures,&#8221; wrote Julian Hebron, a mortgage banker in California and author of the blog The Basis Point. &#8220;This gives investors confidence &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2070/jumbo-mortgage-divide-starts-shrinking/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>  &#8220;The jumbo market has heated up, as tight lending guidelines have drastically reduced consumer late payments, strategic defaults, and foreclosures,&#8221; wrote Julian Hebron, a mortgage banker in California and author of the blog The Basis Point. &#8220;This gives investors confidence to buy jumbos again, which means lower rates for consumer borrowers. These borrowers can count on lending guidelines remaining tight, but all that means is a bit more paperwork when getting a loan.&#8221; </p>
<p>  (<em>Read More</em>: Housing Recovery Leaves Some Behind)</p>
<p>  The jumbo securitization market is tiny, however, as most jumbo loans are still held on bank balance sheets. There are so far just two players in jumbo securitizations, <a class="inline_quotes" href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/RWT">Redwood Trust Inc.</a> and very recently <a class="inline_quotes" href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/CSGN-CH">Credit Suisse Group AG</a>, although others, including <a class="inline_quotes" href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/JPM">JPMorgan Chase</a>, are preparing to join them.   </p>
<p>  There were no jumbo securitizations at all between 2008 and 2010. When Redwood dipped its toes in, securitizations totaled less than $1 billion in 2010-2011. By 2012 they hit $3.5 billion, according to Inside Mortgage Finance, and are already at $2 billion so far for 2013. Hebron believes they could surge dramatically in the very near future. </p>
<p>  The rebirth of jumbo securitizations is being driven not just by investor confidence, but by growth in jumbo originations, which increased after the conforming loan limit was lowered. Originations of non-agency jumbo mortgages jumped by over 19 percent in 2012 from 2011, according to Inside Mortgage Finance.  </p>
<p>  So why is the conforming-jumbo spread shrinking? Not because jumbo rates are falling but because conforming rates are rising due in part to government intervention. </p>
<p>  &#8220;Congress keeps raiding the guarantee fees (g-fees) Fannie and Freddie charge lenders in the securitization process for other purposes, like funding payroll tax cuts,&#8221; noted Hebron. &#8220;For each 10 basis point hike in g-fees, we&#8217;ve seen consumer rates rise about 0.125 percent. </p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100543189">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100543189</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Americans Are Using Their Houses as ATMs Again</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1997/americans-are-using-their-houses-as-atms-again/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1997/americans-are-using-their-houses-as-atms-again/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Feb 2013 04:29:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[With home prices up 8 percent year-over-year in December, according to the latest reading from CoreLogic, homeowners are regaining home equity at a fast clip—1.4 million borrowers rose above water on their mortgages through the end of September. That number &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1997/americans-are-using-their-houses-as-atms-again/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With home prices up 8 percent year-over-year in December, according to the latest reading from CoreLogic, homeowners are regaining home equity at a fast clip—1.4 million borrowers rose above water on their mortgages through the end of September. That number likely increased as price appreciation accelerated toward the end of the year.  </p>
<p>Does this mean a return to the reckless equity withdrawals of the housing bubble?  Likely not.  </p>
<p>&#8220;I would guess that most of the current home equity line borrowing is quite prudent. We know that it is being very conservatively underwritten with plenty of equity,&#8221; said Guy Cecala, editor of Inside Mortgage Finance. </p>
<p>(<em>Read More</em>: Housing Already Shows Signs of a New Bubble.)</p>
<p>While it is too early to say exactly what borrowers are spending this new cash on, anecdotal evidence shows borrowers are largely sinking the money back into their homes.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are seeing more responsible uses today, like home improvements, education expenses or other major expenses that would be a more responsible use of a customer&#8217;s home equity,&#8221; Blackwell said.</p>
<p>The average home equity line in October of 2012 was just below $90,000 compared to October 2006, when lines averaged just over $100,000, according to Equifax.  </p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100446233">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100446233</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First-Time Buyers</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1869/housing-recovery-is-leaving-behind-first-time-buyers/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Nov 2012 09:41:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Current homeowners are finally moving up, and distressed sales are making up less of the overall market—all signs of much-needed improvement in housing. Current homeowners accounted for 54 percent of October’s non-distressed market, up from 50 percent in June, according &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1869/housing-recovery-is-leaving-behind-first-time-buyers/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Current homeowners are finally moving up, and distressed sales are making up less of the overall market—all signs of much-needed improvement in housing.</p>
<p><a name="StoryImage" />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Current homeowners accounted for 54 percent of October’s non-distressed market, up from 50 percent in June, according to a new survey by Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />This as the share of non-distressed sales surged to 64.7 percent, up from 55.7 percent as recently as February. </p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Unfortunately, first-time home buyers are seeing just the opposite, largely left out of this surge in sales and prices. Their share of the market, usually up in the 40 percent range historically, fell to 34.7 percent in October, the lowest in the Campbell/IMF survey’s three-year history. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The National Association of Realtors put their share even lower, at 31 percent. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Either way, they are the only group of buyers that have not seen their share of non-distressed home purchases rise over the past five months. The mortgage of choice for these buyers, FHA-insured loans, are increasingly tough to obtain. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><a href="/id/49901568/"><strong>Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers</strong></a></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Financing of first-time homebuyers with low down payments threatens to become a significant problem in the U.S. housing market,” wrote Thomas Popik, research director for Campbell Surveys. “Fifty percent of first-time homebuyers use FHA financing, but FHA insurance premiums are increasing and underwriting is becoming more strict. Private mortgage insurance has started to fill the gap, but the long-term status of private mortgage insurance is in question pending the publication of the Qualified Residential Mortgage regulation resulting from Dodd-Frank.” (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Builders Bump Up Thanks to Drop in Existing Home Supply</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Real estate agents answering this latest survey also noted that the recent hike in FHA mortgage insurance premiums is hitting first-time buyers harder because some sellers are refusing to accept offers that include FHA financing. Adding insult to injury, the FHA, after reporting a major shortfall in its insurance reserve funds, announced it would raise premiums yet again, another 10 basis points early next year. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>To Stem Losses, FHA Mortgages Get More Expensive</strong></strong></b>)</p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Lower priced, distressed properties, like foreclosures and short sales, would seem like the best answer for first time buyers, but hungry, all-cash investors are proving to be too much competition. Investors purchased one fifth of all homes that sold in October, up from 18 percent the previous month, and all-cash buyers (largely investors) made up 29 percent of all sales, according to the Realtors. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>How &#8216;Fiscal Cliff&#8217; Could Affect Mortgage Interest Deduction</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />This is why, despite increasing household formation, rental occupancies continue to fall and rents to rise. Would-be first time home buyers are either choosing or are forced to rent. </p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>Click on ticker to follow real estate news:</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>Commercial Real Estate Firms</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—CBRE </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/cbg" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>CBG</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Jones Lang LaSalle </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/jll" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>JLL</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Grubb and Ellis </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/bgcp" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>BGCP</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>US-Based REITS</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Host Hotels  Resorts </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/hst" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>HST</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Simon Property Group </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/spg" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>SPG</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Equity Residential </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/eqr" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>EQR</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Apartment Investment  Management Co </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/aiv" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>AIV</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Vornado Realty Trust </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/vno" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>VNO</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Boston Properties </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/bxp" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>BXP</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—FelCor Lodging Trust </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/fch" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>FCH</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Avalonbay Communities </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/avb" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>AVB</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—American Capital Agency Corp </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/agnc" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>AGNC</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—UDR, Inc </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/udr" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>UDR</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Camden Property Trust </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/87c82_blank.gif" border="0" title="Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" alt="87c82 blank Housing Recovery Is Leaving Behind First Time Buyers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/cpt" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>CPT</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /></p>
<p><em>Follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a> <em>or on Facebook at </em><a href="https://editor.msnbc.msn.com/Editor/www.facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC"><u><em>facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC</em> </u></a></p>
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<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49966254?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49966254?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1787/home-prices-rise-but-analysts-see-pressure-ahead/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1787/home-prices-rise-but-analysts-see-pressure-ahead/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Oct 2012 13:39:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bumpy Road]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Distressed Properties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Distressed Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Downward Pressure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[homes millbrae]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Las Vegas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Metro Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Moving Average]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Percentage Points]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phoenix]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Precipitous Drop]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Processing Services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reo Properties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Repeat Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Respondents]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sales Index]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[While sales of existing homes are still on a bumpy road to recovery, home prices are seeing steady gains.  Nationally, prices rose 2.6 percent in August, according to a repeat sales index from Lender Processing Services. Prices are up an &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1787/home-prices-rise-but-analysts-see-pressure-ahead/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />While sales of existing homes are still on a bumpy road to recovery, home prices are seeing steady gains.  </p>
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<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/573b3_house_for_sale_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" alt="573b3 house for sale 200 Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead"  title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /><br />
<hr noshade="noshade" size="1" />Nationally, prices rose 2.6 percent in August, according to a repeat sales index from Lender Processing Services. Prices are up an even stronger 4.6 percent from the beginning of 2012.  Much of the gains are due to big drops in sales and volumes of distressed properties (foreclosures and short sales).
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />(<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><a href="/id/49553171/" target="_blank"><strong>Why September&#8217;s Housing Report Spooked Investors</strong></a></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The share of distressed properties in total home sales fell to a record low of 38.6 percent in September according to an index from Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance. That is based on a three-month moving average. The “Housing Pulse” index is down 10 percentage points from the near-record-high 48.7 percent recorded in February of this year.</p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“The precipitous drop in the share of distressed properties in the housing market is largely attributable to fewer foreclosed properties or real estate owned (REO) being put up for sale by banks,” according to the report.  “HousingPulse respondents reported in October that major banks appear to be keeping many REO properties off the market this year. But they also suggest banks may be looking to unload significant amounts of REO next year — a move that could put downward pressure on home prices.”</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The impact the the dwindling number of foreclosed properties is having on home prices is most obvious in markets like Phoenix, where distressed sales made up the bulk of the market for the last few years. Prices there are up 17 percent from a year ago, although still down 41 percent from their peak in 2006, according to LPS.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />(<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Cities With the Most Affordable Homes</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Las Vegas home prices are up nearly 9 percent year-over-year, and many California metro markets are seeing similar gains. The trouble, again, is that sales are dropping off precipitously in those markets, due to a lack of supply. Investors had been fueling distressed home sales, but are now having a smaller impact because there is so little available. Prices always lag sales, and there is no reason to believe that will change.</p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Further weighing on future home price gains are coming changes in the mortgage market, which we noted on Wednesday. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Home Builders Need Mortgage Bankers to Keep Recovery Alive</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Now another study is making dramatic claims about the impact of those new regulations. The authors, from the center-to-right-leaning American Action Forum think tank, claim that lending standards will get tighter and borrowing will get more expensive:</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“We find using conservative economic assumptions that the bottom line effects of proposed Dodd-Frank and Basel III regulations may include up to 20 percent fewer loans, resulting in 600,000 fewer home sales.  In turn, the resulting tightened lending and reduced sales are estimated to cost up to 1,010,000 housing starts, 3.9 million fewer jobs, and a loss of 1.1 percentage points from <b><strong><strong>GDP</strong></strong></b> growth over the next three years.”</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Others have already expressed concern over where the mortgage market is heading in 2013, as thousands of mortgage bankers met at an annual convention in Chicago this week.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“We’ve got some very major regulatory issues that need to be resolved and clear in people’s minds before you get a really vibrant rebound in the market,” said Bradley Shuster, President and CEO of National Mortgage Insurance.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Home prices and credit cost/availability go hand in hand. Record low mortgage rates are a stimulus, but they have now been around for so long that even a slight rise will have a direct effect on home buying. Potential buyers already complain of too-tight standards and too-high down payments. If those increase as well, home prices could easily take a turn back down.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick</em></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong><em>Click on ticker to follow real estate news:</em></strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>US Home Builders</strong></b></p>
<ul>
<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Toll Brothers </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/573b3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" alt="573b3 blank Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/tol" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>TOL</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>DR Horton </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/573b3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" alt="573b3 blank Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/dhi" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>DHI</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Hovnanian Enterprises </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/573b3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" alt="573b3 blank Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/hov" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>HOV</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>PulteGroup </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/573b3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" alt="573b3 blank Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/phm" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>PHM</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Ryland Group </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/573b3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" alt="573b3 blank Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/ryl" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>RYL</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Lennar Corp </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/573b3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" alt="573b3 blank Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/len" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>LEN</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Beazer Homes USA </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/573b3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" alt="573b3 blank Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/bzh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>BZH</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Meritage Homes </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/573b3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" alt="573b3 blank Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/mth" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>MTH</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>KB Home </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/573b3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" alt="573b3 blank Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/kbh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>KBH</span> <br />
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</ul>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /></p>
<p><em>Follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a> <em>or on Facebook at </em><a href="https://editor.msnbc.msn.com/Editor/www.facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC"><u><em>facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC</em> </u></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" alt=" Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49569786?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49569786?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Regulator Claims New Rules Will Loosen Mortgage Lending</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1703/regulator-claims-new-rules-will-loosen-mortgage-lending/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1703/regulator-claims-new-rules-will-loosen-mortgage-lending/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Sep 2012 10:39:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Mortgage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Scores]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Demarco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Downpayments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[False Representations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fannie Freddie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fannie Mae]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fannie Mae And Freddie Mac]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fhfa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Freddie Mac]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Gun Shy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[homes millbrae]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Finance Agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lowest Mortgage Interest Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Interest Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Lending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Representations And Warranties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tight Credit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/1703/regulator-claims-new-rules-will-loosen-mortgage-lending/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Ask any real estate agent, home builder or home buyer what is the biggest barrier to entry in today’s housing market, and the likely answer will be: tight credit. The lax lending of the latest housing crash is no more, &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1703/regulator-claims-new-rules-will-loosen-mortgage-lending/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Ask any real estate agent, home builder or home buyer what is the biggest barrier to entry in today’s housing market, and the likely answer will be: tight credit.</p>
<p><a name="StoryImage" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/b26f6_house_for_sale_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" alt="b26f6 house for sale 200 Regulator Claims New Rules Will Loosen Mortgage Lending"  title="Regulator Claims New Rules Will Loosen Mortgage Lending" /><br />
<hr noshade="noshade" size="1" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The lax lending of the latest housing crash is no more, but some claim the pendulum has swung too far in the other direction. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />High credit scores and large downpayments are often required to get the lowest mortgage interest rates, and that is knocking many would-be home owners out of the game.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />While some argue that we have just returned to the days of responsible lending, banks are clearly more gun shy due to the billions of dollars’ worth of bad loans that they have been forced to repurchase from <b><strong>Fannie Mae</strong></b> and <b><strong>Freddie Mac</strong></b>. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The two mortgage giants have claimed false “representations and warranties” on thousands of loans sold to them by lenders. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><a href="/id/48703505/?Wind_Down_of_Fannie_Freddie_Positive_for_Housing" target="_blank"><strong>&#8216;Wind Down of Fannie, Freddie: &#8216;Positive for Housing&#8217;?</strong></a></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The representations and warranties are basically what the lender tells Fannie and Freddie about the loans and the borrowers.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Through the first half of 2012, lenders have had to repurchase a total of $41.95 billion in mortgages from Fannie and Freddie. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Fannie Mae COE: &#8216;Comfortable&#8217; With Decision Not to Slash Mortgage Balances.</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />That covers loans made before 2005 and through the second quarter of 2012, according to Inside Mortgage Finance. Actual GSE (Fannie/Freddie) repurchase requests or demands are about double that amount. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Given that, it is no surprise that the banks have tightened lending.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“For the market to reclaim the strength it once had, and to provide a cornerstone for the mortgage market of the future, it is vital we consider ways to improve the representation and warranty model,” said Edward DeMarco, acting director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s regulator, in a speech to the American Mortgage Conference in North Carolina Monday night.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />To that end, the FHFA has released new guidelines that will go into effect on new loans starting the first of next year. Part of the new “framework,” is relief for lenders from mortgage repurchase obligations on loans where the borrower has made on-time monthly payments for 36 consecutive months. On refinances through the government’s Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP), that term would be knocked down to 12 months. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Why Millions of Americans Still Can&#8217;t Refinance Their Mortgage</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The new framework also provides faster and more in-depth monitoring of loans by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Apparently new data-collection systems will allow for that. This is an improvement because usually the loans are reviewed only after they have defaulted.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“To the extent that a lender controls the origination process, they determine whether or not they are delivering a quality loan,” said a source close to the matter. “Their behavior will determine whether they get relief.”</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Banks have been asking for more clarity in the whole repurchase process, and the FHFA is promising that new framework. This all covers new loans, however, and does nothing to address the still thousands of bad loans in the system made during the housing boom. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Big Banks Pushed to Outsource Mortgages</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“The FHFA is trying to get banks to lend, take more risk when they sell these loans to the GSE’s,” said FBR’s Paul Miller. “There is a huge problem with people with lower FICO scores not getting access to credit, so the GSE’s have come under a lot of criticism.”</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Will it work? </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“This will have minimal impact,” claimed Miller, who points to still huge put-backs in process on legacy loans from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHA. Put-back risk is one of, if not the top reason lenders are not loosening mortgage credit availability.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><br />
<strong /> </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Our concern remains that these initial [loan] reviews could cause lenders to further tighten underwriting standards for fear of running afoul of FHFA’s standards,” added Jaret Seiberg of Guggenheim Partners, who said today’s announcement of the standards only adds to his worries of a credit crunch in 2013.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Still the FHFA claims lenders asked for more clarification on quality controls and asked for earlier monitoring of loans, and that is what they’re getting.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Ultimately, better quality loan originations and underwriting, along with consistent quality control, will help maintain liquidity in the mortgage market while protecting the Enterprises from loans not underwritten to prescribed standards,” DeMarco said.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The trouble is, this is not the only issue keeping credit tight. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>US Home Builders Begin to See Credit Thaw</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The future existence of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac themselves are still in question, and banks are also facing new regulations under the <b><strong>Dodd-Frank (learn more)</strong></b> law that could complicate lending further and heighten lenders’ exposure to risk.  For the mortgage lending business, it is still an uncertain future.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick</em></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Regulator Claims New Rules Will Loosen Mortgage Lending" alt=" Regulator Claims New Rules Will Loosen Mortgage Lending" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48988843?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/48988843?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>How Investors Are Skewing Home Price Recovery</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1677/how-investors-are-skewing-home-price-recovery/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1677/how-investors-are-skewing-home-price-recovery/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Aug 2012 02:57:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apartment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Association Of Realtors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blitzer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Case Shiller]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[National Association Of Realtors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Survey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Popik]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Research Director]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S David]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sales Pace]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seasonality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spring And Summer]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/1677/how-investors-are-skewing-home-price-recovery/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Home prices finally appear to be catching up with the increase in overall sales pace. That is usually the case, as prices lag sales on the way up and on the way down.  The latest reading from SP/Case-Shiller, which employs &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1677/how-investors-are-skewing-home-price-recovery/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Home prices finally appear to be catching up with the increase in overall sales pace. That is usually the case, as prices lag sales on the way up and on the way down.  </p>
<p><a name="StoryImage" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/08a87_home_for_sale_AP.standard.gif" border="0" align="Left" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="How Investors Are Skewing Home Price Recovery" alt="08a87 home for sale AP.standard How Investors Are Skewing Home Price Recovery" /><br />
<hr noshade="noshade" size="1" />The latest reading from SP/Case-Shiller, which employs a three month running average, shows home prices in June posted positive annual growth rates nationally and for the top ten and top 20-city composites. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><a href="/id/48811038/" target="_blank"><strong>Home Prices Rose in All Major US Cities in June: Case-Shiller</strong></a></strong></b>.)
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“I think this is a very strong report,” said SP’s David Blitzer in an interview on CNBC. “I think this is a clear sign we’ve turned around.”</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The summer months are usually stronger for home prices historically, due to the mix of homes that are selling. Larger, more expensive homes sell in the spring and summer, so that families can move without disrupting school. Still, the gains are showing not just month-to-month, but year-over-year, so seasonality should not play too much of a role.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />What is playing a strong role is a combination of investor activity in the market and supply, both of which have been falling. Listed inventory in July was down nearly 24 percent from a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors. Investor activity in the market fell to 21.9 percent of all transactions in July, according to a new survey by Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance. That’s down from 23.5 percent in June and a two-year peak of 25.3 percent in May. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>As Housing Boom Recovers, Will Apartment Boom End?</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />From the survey:</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Real estate agents responding to the HousingPulse survey indicated that recent price increases caused the sharp reversal in investor interest. “Investors are dropping out due to the increase in prices,” reported an agent in California. “Prices are too high here for investors,” added an agent in Massachusetts.</em></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Thomas Popik, research director for Campbell Surveys, claims the drop in investor share is not just due to a rise in overall home sales and fewer distressed sales.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Overall homebuyer demand and home price appreciation is being driven by historically low interest rates,” Popik said. “But savvy investors are the canaries in the coal mine—they are warning that if rates rise, the high proportion of distressed properties could once again push home prices down.”</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Foreclosures have been falling steadily, with 58,000 completed in July, down from 69,000 in July of 2011, according to CoreLogic. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Cautious Moves on Foreclosures Haunting Obama</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;Completed foreclosures were down again in July, this time by 16 percent versus a year ago, as servicers increasingly rely on alternatives to the foreclosure process, such as short sales and modifications,&#8221; said Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Given the unprecedented nature of the recent housing crash, there is not a lot of historical perspective to help us gauge if this is in fact a real recovery in home prices or a temporary bump due to a slowdown in distressed supply and a pull-back by investors. Seasonal factors will likely come into play in the fall, tempering home price gains. (<em>Read More</em>:<b><strong> Cities With the Most Affordable Homes</strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />There is still too much noise in the numbers, however, to draw any firm conclusions yet. Nearly 12 percent of all homeowners with a mortgage are either delinquent in their payments or already in the foreclosure process, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Banks are still sitting on thousands of already-foreclosed properties, while the government looks to unload even more foreclosures through bulk deals. Record-low mortgage rates are beginning to rise again, and new rules governing the mortgage market that could further affect those rates are in the works. Too much noise.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick</em></p>
<p><strong><strong><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></strong></strong><img width="100%" height="0" title="How Investors Are Skewing Home Price Recovery" alt=" How Investors Are Skewing Home Price Recovery" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48813075?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/48813075?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Wells Fargo Bankers Toting Guns Aim at 40% of Market: Mortgages</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Jun 2012 12:58:08 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[In mid-January, sales managers in Wells Fargo Co. (WFC)’s mortgage unit, the largest in the U.S., gathered at a hotel south of San Francisco dressed as cowboys, six shooters strapped to their hips. The invitation said “40% or BUST!!” The &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1530/wells-fargo-bankers-toting-guns-aim-at-40-of-market-mortgages/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In mid-January, sales managers in<br />
<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/WFC:US" title="Get Quote" class="web_ticker">Wells Fargo  Co. (WFC)</a>’s mortgage unit, the largest in the U.S.,<br />
gathered at a hotel south of San Francisco dressed as cowboys,<br />
six shooters strapped to their hips. </p>
<p>The invitation said “40% or BUST!!” The goal: A bigger<br />
share of the business than they already control &#8212; about 34<br />
percent of all U.S. home lending and 13 percent of mortgages for<br />
purchases in the first quarter. About a dozen managers urged the<br />
audience of 500 loan officers to lend more, according to two<br />
attendees who asked their names not be used because they aren’t<br />
authorized to speak publicly. Onstage, the men had fake<br />
mustaches and wore red-flannel shirts and jeans, the women long<br />
dresses like those in a movie western, one of the people said. </p>
<p>Chief Executive Officer <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/john-stumpf/">John Stumpf</a> has said the bank<br />
doesn’t have market-share goals, even as it held the <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/san-francisco/">San<br />
Francisco</a> rally and encouraged salespeople in New York and<br />
Atlanta. Regulators such as Edward J. DeMarco, acting director<br />
of the <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/federal-housing-finance-agency/">Federal Housing Finance Agency</a>, have expressed concern<br />
about increasing concentration in lending, and analysts say the<br />
housing market has become too tied to the San Francisco-based<br />
lender since it successfully navigated the 2008 credit crisis. </p>
<p>“The part that amazes me is that back in the early days<br />
Wells Fargo said, ‘we don’t want as much market share,’ ” said<br />
<a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/david-lykken/">David Lykken</a>, a managing partner at Austin, Texas-based Mortgage<br />
Banking Solutions, who has more than 37 years of mortgage-<br />
industry experience. “Now, in many ways, they are the market.” </p>
<h2>Record Share </h2>
<p>Wells Fargo’s first-quarter market share for all mortgages,<br />
including new homes and refinancings, equal to $130 billion, is<br />
the most on record and more than triple the closest competitor,<br />
<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/JPM:US" title="Get Quote" class="web_ticker">JPMorgan Chase  Co. (JPM)</a>, according to Inside Mortgage Finance, a<br />
trade journal. It’s up from 30.1 percent in the preceding three<br />
months and 13.3 percent in 2006. </p>
<p>Mortgage originations and sales accounted for 24 percent of<br />
the lender’s fee-based revenue in the quarter, with another 2<br />
percent coming from servicing, according to an April 13<br />
presentation. The lender reported $2.9 billion in income from<br />
mortgage banking as the <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/federal-reserve/">Federal Reserve</a> pushed down borrowing<br />
costs and government refinancing programs encouraged lending. </p>
<p>The bank wants more. The Jan. 19 sales rally at the San<br />
Francisco Airport Marriott Waterfront hotel in Burlingame, about<br />
15 miles south of San Francisco, was billed as a “Purchase<br />
Stampede” in a memo e-mailed to employees, a copy of which was<br />
obtained by Bloomberg News. The invitation featured six horses<br />
pulling a stagecoach, the bank’s traditional logo, and trailing<br />
a banner with the words: “40% or BUST!!” </p>
<p>One man wore chaps and showed off a lasso, while some women<br />
wore corsets, one of the people said. </p>
<h2>Motivating Salespeople </h2>
<p>The rally was aimed at motivating salespeople to lend more<br />
for new-home purchases, national sales manager Greg Gwizdz said<br />
in a June 8 telephone interview. Wells Fargo doesn’t have a<br />
“stated market-share goal” and if its portion grows it’s “a<br />
result of customers choosing us,” he said. </p>
<p>The bank’s retail channel controlled 13.3 percent of the<br />
market for loans to buy a house in the first quarter, according<br />
to data compiled by Inside Mortgage Finance. The rally didn’t<br />
focus on other types of originations, including refinancings<br />
completed by Wells Fargo salespeople, or correspondent and<br />
wholesale channels, where the bank buys loans from other<br />
lenders, Gwizdz said. </p>
<p>“We are almost backing into this,” Gwizdz said. “If we<br />
had some crazy high market share number, in order to get that<br />
number a lot of people came here to get their mortgage and they<br />
came here to get their mortgage because we’re doing something<br />
right.” </p>
<h2>Skits, Discussions </h2>
<p>The event gathered salespeople for a day of motivational<br />
speeches, skits and discussions about ways to gain a greater<br />
slice of the market, the people said. </p>
<p>Senior mortgage executives attended the rally. Drew<br />
Collins, billed on the invitation as a “special guest,” is a<br />
division sales manager and senior vice president based in the<br />
Sacramento area, according to Vickee Adams, a spokeswoman.<br />
Arlene Allert, a retail regional sales manager and vice<br />
president based in the Bay Area, also attended, according to the<br />
people. Continental breakfast was served and the coffee ran dry,<br />
one person said. </p>
<p>Adams declined to make Collins and Allert available for<br />
interviews. </p>
<p>Salespeople elsewhere are receiving a similar message. In<br />
<a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/new-york/">New York</a>, loan officers are encouraged to reach for 40 percent<br />
or more, according to a person familiar with the strategy. In<br />
Atlanta, they’re induced with prize drawings to file more<br />
applications and meet more real-estate agents, according to<br />
another person, who described the efforts as aggressive. </p>
<h2>Customers’ Needs </h2>
<p>Stumpf has repeatedly said he doesn’t care about Wells<br />
Fargo’s market share, and is more concerned with serving the<br />
needs of customers. When pressed by analysts to comment on the<br />
lender’s growing investment bank, and its high growth rate and<br />
steady progress up the league tables, Stumpf said in January he<br />
couldn’t “care less.” He reiterated that view May 31, when<br />
asked by Sanford C. Bernstein  Co. analyst John E. McDonald<br />
about the company’s growing command of the mortgage market. </p>
<p>“I don’t care if we’re 20 percent of the market or 10<br />
percent or 30 percent,” Stumpf said. </p>
<p>Wells Fargo executives have said it wasn’t their goal for<br />
the company to become the largest lender. Refinancings have<br />
bolstered market share, according to Chief Financial Officer<br />
Timothy Sloan. These will account for about 68 percent of the<br />
market, or $870 billion this year, according to projections from<br />
the <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/mortgage-bankers-association/">Mortgage Bankers Association</a>. </p>
<h2>Market Position </h2>
<p>“If we’re talking about the business two years ago, I<br />
don’t think we would have imagined that our market share would<br />
be where it would be today,” Sloan said during a May 1 investor<br />
conference. “We’re going to continue to be focused in the<br />
business. We’re going to continue to want to grow it.” </p>
<p>In every investor presentation except one since the<br />
beginning of 2011, Wells Fargo has included an early slide<br />
listing the businesses where it holds a No. 1, No. 2 or No. 3<br />
market position. </p>
<p>“I’ve never been a big believer of market share for market<br />
share’s sake,” said <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/ralph-cole/">Ralph Cole</a>, a senior vice president of<br />
research at Portland, Oregon-based Ferguson Wellman Inc., which<br />
manages $3.1 billion, including Wells Fargo shares. “If their<br />
underwriting standards are dropping to achieve it, that’s what<br />
would worry us as investors.” </p>
<h2>Standards Maintained </h2>
<p>There aren’t signs those standards are slipping, said Cole<br />
and Lykken, as well as Clifford Rossi, a former risk manager and<br />
managing director at <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/C:US" title="Get Quote" class="web_ticker">Citigroup Inc. (C)</a> who’s now at the University<br />
of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business, and analysts<br />
including <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/paul-miller/">Paul Miller</a> at FBR Capital Markets in Arlington,<br />
Virginia. About 90 percent of Wells Fargo’s originations are<br />
sold to <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/fannie-mae/">Fannie Mae</a>, <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/freddie-mac/">Freddie Mac</a> or Ginnie Mae, <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/mike-heid/">Mike Heid</a>, the<br />
Des Moines, Iowa-based head of the mortgage business, said May<br />
22. </p>
<p>Wells Fargo shouldn’t be blamed for its dominance since<br />
it’s a function of rivals’ retreat and not its own actions,<br />
Pacific Investment Management Co.’s <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/scott-simon/">Scott Simon</a> said May 7 at a<br />
Mortgage Bankers Association conference in New York. </p>
<p>“It’s not Wells Fargo’s fault they got so big,” said<br />
Simon, the mortgage-debt head at Newport Beach, California-based<br />
Pimco. “If Wells Fargo went back to 20 percent, tried to cut<br />
themselves back more, it’d be hugely restrictive on credit.” </p>
<p>Regulators have taken notice of the concentration. DeMarco, acting director of FHFA, the overseer of Fannie and<br />
Freddie, has said he’d like to see a more diverse mortgage<br />
market. </p>
<h2>Origination, Servicing </h2>
<p>“We have seen a great deal of concentration in mortgage<br />
origination and in mortgage servicing in recent years,” DeMarco<br />
said May 15 at a speech in Washington. “Policymakers need to<br />
think hard about where and how regulatory requirements<br />
contribute to this growing concentration in the marketplace, and<br />
what might be done to reverse this.” </p>
<p>At a May 31 conference, Bernstein’s McDonald asked Stumpf<br />
whether the company was perhaps “getting too big.” It also<br />
raises questions about Wells Fargo’s status as a too-big-to-fail<br />
lender whose collapse could imperil the U.S. housing market,<br />
according to Mark Calabria, a director of financial regulation<br />
studies at the <a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/cato-institute/">Cato Institute</a> in Washington. </p>
<p>“The more concentrated anybody is in a specific market is<br />
worth watching,” Calabria said in a phone interview. “This<br />
potentially increases the possibility that they are looked at as<br />
too big to fail. Were they to get into a lot of trouble the<br />
government would have to do something” to keep credit flowing<br />
to U.S. homebuyers, he said. </p>
<h2>Too Good </h2>
<p>Cole said Wells Fargo’s history of avoiding many of the<br />
mortgage pitfalls that felled rivals earns them “the benefit of<br />
the doubt.” In 2010, the Securities and Exchange Commission<br />
showed that Paulson  Co. had rejected subprime mortgage bonds<br />
from Wells Fargo when it was trying to find assets that the<br />
hedge fund could bet against because the quality of the<br />
underlying loans was too good. The bank hasn’t posted an annual<br />
loss for at least a decade. </p>
<p>Wells Fargo is the most creditworthy of the large U.S.<br />
lenders, according to credit-default swap prices and its stock<br />
is up 18 percent over the last 12-months, outpacing all lenders<br />
in the <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BKX:IND" title="Get Quote" class="web_ticker">KBW Bank Index (BKX)</a> except for U.S. Bancorp. </p>
<p>Executives highlight the share they relinquished when firms<br />
such as Countrywide Financial Corp. offered cheaper pricing on<br />
loans with fewer document requirements and zero down payments.<br />
Heid pointed to the four-year period last month with a graphic<br />
titled “Industry leading market share.” Three arrows pointed<br />
to the years of 2004 to 2007 on a bar chart with the note:<br />
“Market share forgone when industry didn’t adhere to<br />
responsible lending principles.” </p>
<h2>Countrywide Fate </h2>
<p>Countrywide was the largest U.S. mortgage lender as<br />
recently as 2007 before billions of dollars in soured loans<br />
prompted its sale to <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BAC:US" title="Get Quote" class="web_ticker">Bank of America Corp. (BAC)</a> Countrywide’s losses<br />
have continued to plague the Charlotte, North Carolina-based<br />
lender, leading to more than $40 billion in losses and its<br />
retreat from the market. The bank held 4.2 percent of the market<br />
in the first quarter, according to Inside Mortgage Finance. </p>
<p>Wells Fargo is the only mortgage company with a top-5<br />
ranking in originations and servicing each year since 1994,<br />
according to the bank. </p>
<p>“It will be harder for institutions to get by with a<br />
sizeable market share gain because regulators are watching these<br />
guys carefully,” Rossi said. “I’m less concerned than I would<br />
be if we were back in the days when they had all these other<br />
products. It’s the edgier stuff that got us all in trouble.” </p>
<p>For now, Wells Fargo will continue to motivate salespeople<br />
to expand the business: another rally is scheduled for June 21. </p>
<p>To contact the reporter on this story:<br />
Dakin Campbell in San Francisco at<br />
dcampbell27@bloomberg.net </p>
<p>To contact the editors responsible for this story:<br />
<a href="http://topics.bloomberg.com/david-scheer/">David Scheer</a> at<br />
dscheer@bloomberg.net;<br />
Rob Urban at<br />
robprag@bloomberg.net. </p>
<p>                    <a class="enlarge_image" rel="#193498" href="/photo/wells-fargo-bankers-toting-guns-aim-at-40-of-market-/193498.html" target="_blank"><br />
                    <span>Enlarge image</span><br />
                    <img alt="58342 i7oBc3apr7B0 Wells Fargo Bankers Toting Guns Aim at 40% of Market: Mortgages" class="small_img img_keep_size" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/58342_i7oBc3apr7B0.jpg" title="Wells Fargo Bankers Toting Guns Aim at 40% of Market: Mortgages" /></a></p>
<h3 class="image_title">Wells Fargo Bankers Toting Guns Aim at 40% of Market </h3>
<p>                      <img alt="69e03 ify9792VyVNI Wells Fargo Bankers Toting Guns Aim at 40% of Market: Mortgages" class="img_keep_size" height="427" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/69e03_ify9792VyVNI.jpg" width="640" title="Wells Fargo Bankers Toting Guns Aim at 40% of Market: Mortgages" /></p>
<p class="photographer_attr">Scott Eells/Bloomberg</p>
<p class="caption_only">Pedestrians walk past a Wells Fargo  Co. bank in New York.</p>
<p class="caption">Pedestrians walk past a Wells Fargo  Co. bank in New York. Photographer: Scott Eells/Bloomberg </p>
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