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		<title>Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2196/bay-area-housing-recovery-spreads-from-silicon-valley-to-east-bay/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 09 May 2013 08:48:24 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[SF Bay Area News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Click photo to enlarge The Bay Area&#8217;s overheated housing market is restoring thousands of homes to their pre-crash peak values in a ZIP-code-by-ZIP-code recovery that is rapidly spreading from Silicon Valley to the East Bay. Thirty-four of 185 ZIP codes &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2196/bay-area-housing-recovery-spreads-from-silicon-valley-to-east-bay/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="articleEmbeddedViewerBox"><span class="clicktoenlargephoto">Click photo to enlarge</span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/c3cec_20130425__0426recover%7E1_VIEWER.JPG" width="200" height="134" title="Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" alt=" Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" /><span class="footer" /><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/c3cec_20130425__0426recover%7E1_VIEWER.JPG" title="Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" alt=" Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" /><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/c3cec_20130425__0426recover%7E2_VIEWER.JPG" title="Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" alt=" Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" /><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/c3cec_20130425__0426recover%7E3_VIEWER.JPG" title="Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" alt=" Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" /><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/72596_20130425__0426recover%7E4_VIEWER.JPG" title="Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" alt=" Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" /></span><span /><span /><span />
<p class="bodytext">The Bay Area&#8217;s overheated housing market is restoring thousands of homes to their pre-crash peak values in a ZIP-code-by-ZIP-code recovery that is rapidly spreading from Silicon Valley to the East Bay.</p>
<p>Thirty-four of 185 ZIP codes in five counties have regained or surpassed their bubble-era peak home value or are less than 1 percent from it, according to this newspaper&#8217;s analysis of February median values for all homes from online real estate site Zillow. </p>
<p>Another 49 ZIPs are within 15 percent of their previous highs, including 18 in the East Bay. A year ago, only part of leafy Palo Alto had regained the value it lost after Bay Area home values crested in 2006-07.</p>
<p>&#8220;Seven or eight years ago, there was really a bubble,&#8221; said Richard Green, director of the Lusk Center for Real Estate at the University of Southern California. &#8220;Now it&#8217;s just good real estate where values are returning to near past peaks.&#8221;</p>
<p>Every part of the Bay Area has seen  gains in the past year, with Silicon Valley leading the way. But parts of Contra Costa and Alameda counties, where subprime lending was heavy, are still far below their peaks.</p>
<p>The recovery has pulled many homeowners out from underwater &#8212; when houses are worth less than the mortgage &#8212; and convinced others it may finally be time to sell and move to bigger homes. They&#8217;re diving into a fast-moving market in which homes can sell in a day for more than the asking price.</p>
<p>Mike and Lois Lee </p>
<p>sold their Danville home for $780,000 in two days this month, after their real estate agent, Mark Kennedy of Empire Realty, told them their house was again worth more than they paid for it. They made $10,000 on the sale, the result of the past year&#8217;s rise in home values.
<p>&#8220;I had no idea the market had corrected that much,&#8221; Mike Lee said.</p>
<p>Kennedy said the couple tried to sell in 2011 but there were no takers, and it might have resulted in a short sale. &#8220;I would say that in a year they went from losing money to making money,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>In one Sunnyvale ZIP code that surpassed its bubble-era peak in December, Greg and Daisy Biggers decided in January it was time to make a move. Their family &#8212; four children &#8212; was outgrowing the home and the market timing looked right. In fact, it couldn&#8217;t have been better.</p>
<p>The Biggers family sold their home in less than a week, with all offers above asking price. Then they bought a home in Orinda, paying above the asking price. The whole process, from the decision to move to the purchase of the Orinda home, took eight weeks. Both homes are in escrow, and agents declined to reveal the sales prices before closing. </p>
<p>&#8220;When we started looking at the market, we picked up on this </p>
<p><span class="articleImage"><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/72596_20130425__0426recover%7E5_300.JPG" width="300" height="200" alt=" Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" border="0" title="Bay Area housing recovery spreads from Silicon Valley to East Bay" /></span><br />
Daisy Biggers, left, her husband, Greg, and son, Jeffrey, 11, pack some of their belongings that were stored in the garage of the house they recently sold in Sunnyvale on Tuesday, April 23, 2013. They sold their house in less than a week, and bought one in Orinda. The whole process, from the decision to sell, took only eight weeks. Housing values have staged a big comeback and are rapidly accelerating around the Bay Area, with the biggest recovery so far in the Peninsula and Silicon Valley. (Patrick Tehan/Bay Area News Group)<br />
 (<br />
Patrick Tehan<br />
)up-trend in prices,&#8221; Biggers said. &#8220;We quickly decided that if we&#8217;re going do it, now is the time. We had much higher demand than we had hoped for, which is great. And things are moving really, really quickly.&#8221;
<p>Some pricier parts of Berkeley, Pleasanton, Oakland and Orinda are 10 percent or less below their earlier peaks. Not far behind are San Ramon, Moraga, Alameda, Danville and Fremont.</p>
<p>&#8220;Property in Dublin is selling at prices you would more commonly associate with some parts of the Peninsula,&#8221; said Lanny Baker, president and chief executive of ZipRealty. Baker said prices should hold even as more homes come on the market.</p>
<p>The market is so hot that sales in a week are not unusual. According to the real estate company Redfin, 24 percent of Alameda County listings in March were pending in a week; the numbers were 32 percent in Contra Costa County, 19 percent in San Mateo County and 26 percent in Santa Clara County.</p>
<p>Ally Yang bought a home in Mountain View in a day after losing another home to a higher offer. Her agent, Mark Wong of Alain Pinel Realty, &#8220;sent me the listing. I said let&#8217;s go check it out. I walked in, it&#8217;s a single family, I know the value, I think it&#8217;s a good deal.&#8221; </p>
<p>She made an offer of $705,000 that afternoon, and it was accepted. &#8220;I think in this kind of market you just have to know what you want and go after it,&#8221; she said.</p>
<p>Up the Peninsula in a Burlingame ZIP code that surpassed its bubble-era peak in August, Dianna Herrmann decided it was time to downsize and put her historic, 6,000-square-foot home on the market for $3.98 million. </p>
<p>&#8220;I watch the real estate market a lot,&#8221; Herrmann said. In February, she called her real estate broker. &#8220;I said things are overheated, inventory is low, prices are moving up and rates are low. Is this a good time to sell?&#8221; </p>
<p>The answer was yes.</p>
<p>Fifteen days later, the house was sold in an all-cash deal for over the asking price.</p>
<p>&#8220;The market is faster than ever,&#8221; said Burlingame broker Jennifer Tasto. &#8220;When a place sells, there&#8217;s one person who gets it and two other people replacing that buyer.&#8221; </p>
<p>The recovery is in full bloom in San Francisco. The Mission Bay neighborhood, where new luxury condominiums are about all that&#8217;s for sale, edged past its prior peak in January, and other parts of the city are nearing their previous highs.</p>
<p>&#8220;San Francisco has recovered incredibly,&#8221; said Leslie Bauer, an agent who specializes in the South Beach, Yerba Buena and Mission Bay districts. &#8220;I would say we&#8217;re recovered beyond when the market fell.&#8221;</p>
<p>But the data also reflects the stark contrast between the tech-heavy South Bay and Peninsula, where many areas are surpassing their pre-crash peak values, and the far reaches of the East Bay, where home values in some places are 50 percent or more below peaks that were inflated by subprime lending.</p>
<p>Antioch, Pittsburg, Richmond and a ZIP code in East Oakland have a long climb ahead of them. There, values still hover near their bottoms.</p>
<p>Fifteen ZIP codes in Contra Costa County and three in Alameda County are more than 50 percent below their peak median home value, according to Zillow&#8217;s data. In one Antioch ZIP, the median value of a home was $177,700, only 18 percent up from an October 2009 bottom of $149,800 and 62 percent below its peak of $473,400 in January 2006.</p>
<p>&#8220;We have a ways to go before we recover,&#8221; said Luis Salas, a real estate agent in Antioch. &#8220;We&#8217;re far from the city and there was so much construction the prices went down a lot in Antioch &#8212; in some cases more than 50 percent from the peak. But it&#8217;s recovering.&#8221; </p>
<p>As prices rise in Antioch, some short sales are drawing offers over asking price and becoming regular equity sales, according to Joy Di Ricco, an Antioch real estate agent who has specialized in short sales since the market crash.</p>
<p>She said one client&#8217;s home was $100,000 below the amount of the mortgage six months ago. </p>
<p>&#8220;I told them hold off,&#8221; Di Ricco said. &#8220;Sure enough, I think in another 30 days we may have an equity sale.&#8221; </p>
<p class="taglinejb">Contact Pete Carey at 408-920-5419 Follow him at <a href="http://Twitter.com/petecarey">Twitter.com/petecarey</a>.</p>
<p><span /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_23107869/bay-area-housing-recovery-spreads-from-silicon-valley">http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_23107869/bay-area-housing-recovery-spreads-from-silicon-valley</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Bay Area home prices projected to surge</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Feb 2013 18:10:27 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Almost every corner of the Bay Area is poised for robust home-price appreciation this year in a surge that will outpace projected national growth, according to a forecast from real-estate information site Zillow.com. Looking at 245 Bay Area ZIP codes, &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2018/bay-area-home-prices-projected-to-surge/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Almost every corner of the Bay Area is poised for robust home-price appreciation this year in a surge that will outpace projected national growth, according to a forecast from real-estate information site Zillow.com.</p>
<p>Looking at 245 Bay Area ZIP codes, Zillow projects that 244 will see home values ratchet up by significant margins in 2013, with 27 ZIPs seeing double-digit appreciation. Only one of the ZIPs analyzed &#8211; 94515 in Calistoga &#8211; is forecast to see values recede, by a modest 1.4 percent. </p>
<p>&#8220;The forces of supply and demand seem to be exacerbated here right now,&#8221; said Svenja Gudell, senior economist with Zillow in Seattle. &#8220;We&#8217;re happily surprised by how well (the market) is doing and how much it&#8217;s picking up steam.&#8221;</p>
<p>Strikingly, some of the strongest percentage increases are likely to happen in both the cheapest and the priciest areas in the nine-county region, Zillow predicts. Low-end Solano County markets such as Vacaville, Fairfield, Dixon and Suisun City, where values plunged during the real-estate downturn and are still half off their peaks, should see values bump up by more than 14 percent &#8211; admittedly easier to do off a low base. </p>
<p> At the same time, Portola Valley, Atherton and Palo Alto &#8211; with million-dollar-plus median values that now exceed their boom-time heights &#8211; should see appreciation above 12 percent, Zillow said. </p>
<p>Popular San Francisco neighborhoods such as Noe Valley, the Castro, Twin Peaks, the Mission and Bernal Heights are poised for double-digit appreciation, along with Menlo Park, Larkspur, Palo Alto, Alameda and North Berkeley, Zillow predicts. </p>
<h3 class="subhead">Regaining value</h3>
<p>One major way that the low-cost and high-end markets diverge is in where values are now relative to their peak. Zillow shows 25 ZIP codes where values have regained all the value lost during the downturn and then some. All are in pricey Silicon Valley or San Francisco neighborhoods where the median price is around $1 million. Meanwhile, about 100 ZIP codes are still 30 percent or more below their peaks &#8211; all in hard-hit, lower-end communities in Solano, Alameda and Contra Costa counties. </p>
<p>For the San Francisco metropolitan area (the counties of San Francisco, San Mateo, Marin, Alameda and Contra Costa), Zillow projects that that values will rise 7.3 percent this year, more than double its predicted 3.3 percent national increase. The San Jose metro area (Santa Clara and San Benito counties) should rise 6.6 percent, it said. </p>
<p>&#8220;That is a really great number in the San Francisco metro,&#8221; Gudell said. &#8220;It is rather special compared to the U.S. as a whole.&#8221;</p>
<p>Zillow&#8217;s projections take into account both long-term historical trends back to 1997, as well as current data on how markets have behaved in recent months. It also factors in information on employment, income and other economic factors to predict what housing values might do, she said. </p>
<h3 class="subhead">Can&#8217;t meet demand</h3>
<p>Every market around the Bay Area &#8211; whether low-end, high-end or somewhere in the middle &#8211; now has one outstanding characteristic that is driving up prices: too few homes for sale to meet buyer appetite. </p>
<p>&#8220;There is no place where we see a steeper decline in listed homes (for sale) than the Bay Area,&#8221; said Lanny Baker, CEO of ZipRealty in Emeryville, which has agents throughout the Bay Area and the country. &#8220;This time last year there were 13,000 homes listed here. Today we see about 5,000 homes &#8211; a 60 percent reduction.&#8221;</p>
<p>Moreover, the mix of homes being sold has changed dramatically, something that particularly affects lower-end markets such as Solano County. Far fewer bargain-priced, bank-owned foreclosures are on the market. </p>
<p>In the low-cost markets, investors waving fistfuls of cash are snapping up properties, usually to keep as <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/rentals">rentals</a>, sometimes to flip. In the high-end markets, it&#8217;s tech millionaires &#8211; armed with far bigger wads of cash &#8211; who are jostling to live in homes in Silicon Valley or San Francisco. </p>
<p>&#8220;As soon as something new hits the market, it&#8217;s snapped up,&#8221; said Sandy Rainsbarger, an agent with ZipRealty in Vacaville. That town&#8217;s 95688 ZIP, where the median value is now $287,900, is projected by Zillow to see values rise 17.1 percent this year &#8211; the biggest price appreciation in the Bay Area. &#8220;There are multiple offers on every single property.&#8221; </p>
<h3 class="subhead">Buyers pushed aside</h3>
<p>Meanwhile, &#8220;regular&#8221; buyers, especially first-time home buyers who are relying on Federal Housing Administration mortgages, are finding themselves shoved aside time after time in frenzied bidding wars. </p>
<p>&#8220;The Bay Area is one of the fastest-moving markets in the country,&#8221; Baker said. &#8220;We see houses sell on average in 26 days here. One statistic we look at is what percentage of homes sell in just seven days; that&#8217;s like a red alert. If it gets to 15 percent, we know we&#8217;re in a zany market. In the Bay Area, it&#8217;s at 13 percent. In Sacramento, 25 percent of homes sell in less than seven days.</p>
<p>&#8220;I think throughout this year, we&#8217;ll see Bay Area markets continue to be very, very strong,&#8221; Baker said. &#8220;On the lower end, the specter of foreclosures and &#8216;Gosh, nobody&#8217;s ever going to want to live this far out&#8217; has washed away, and there is more confidence in values recovering.</p>
<p>&#8220;On the high end, we&#8217;ve got Silicon Valley and the tech economy doing really well.&#8221;</p>
<p class="dtlcomment">Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. E-mail: csaid@sfchronicle.com</p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Bay-Area-home-prices-projected-to-surge-4288392.php">http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Bay-Area-home-prices-projected-to-surge-4288392.php</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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