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	<title>homesmillbrae.com &#187; First Timers</title>
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		<title>Beyond the Numbers, Confidence Returns to Housing</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2096/beyond-the-numbers-confidence-returns-to-housing/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2096/beyond-the-numbers-confidence-returns-to-housing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Mar 2013 06:59:07 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Case Shiller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cnbc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Confidence Returns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Defying Gravity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Diana Olick]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[First Timers]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/2096/beyond-the-numbers-confidence-returns-to-housing/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While first-timers are getting more interested, current homeowners are getting less interested, according to the Campbell survey. Meanwhile investor interest in housing rose to a four-month high, accompanied by a rise in sales of distressed properties. Investors, who largely buy &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2096/beyond-the-numbers-confidence-returns-to-housing/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>  While first-timers are getting more interested, current homeowners are getting less interested, according to the Campbell survey.  Meanwhile investor interest in housing rose to a four-month high, accompanied by a rise in sales of distressed properties.  Investors, who largely buy all in cash, have been the main competition for regular home buyers, and as big hedge funds and private equity purchase lower end, distressed homes in bulk, that pushes prices drastically higher.  Witness a 23 percent jump in Phoenix home prices in January, according to the latest reading from SP/Case-Shiller.  </p>
<p>  While the number of distressed homes is falling, the remnants of the housing crash are still weighing on the recovery.  There are still 5.1 million properties where the owner is either delinquent on the mortgage or the home is already in the foreclosure process, according to a new report from Lender Processing Services.  As banks ramp up the foreclosure process, following delays due to processing fraud over the past few years, more distressed properties will come to the market.  That may ease some of the price gains, although investors, still reaping rental rewards, seem ready for all of it. </p>
<p>  <em>(Read More: No Money? No Worries. Home Lenders Ease Rules)</em> </p>
<p>  What remains to be seen is for how long those rents will stay strong?  With more Americans looking to buy and souring on renting, rent rates could start to come down.  In addition, new supply of rental apartment buildings will be hitting the market in force over the next two years, as developers have been increasing multi-family housing construction. </p>
<p>  <em>(Read More: Defying Gravity: Miami Condos Soar Again)</em> </p>
<p>  <em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick; </em><em>Follow her on </em><em>Twitter <a class="inline_asset" href="http://twitter.com/diana_olick" target="_blank">@Diana_Olick</a> or on Facebook at <a class="inline_asset" href="https://www.facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC" target="_blank">facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC</a></em></p>
<p>  <em>Questions? Comments? <a class="inline_asset" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/17588138/device/rss/rss.xml" target="_blank"> </a></em><em><a class="inline_asset" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/17588138/device/rss/rss.xml" target="_blank">RealtyCheck@cnbc.com </a></em> </p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100592690">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100592690</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Why Drop in Foreclosures Is Bad for Housing Market</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1608/why-drop-in-foreclosures-is-bad-for-housing-market/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Jul 2012 16:35:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/1608/why-drop-in-foreclosures-is-bad-for-housing-market/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In a normal housing market, lack of supply is generally considered a good thing. When demand outweighs supply, home prices rise and homeowners gain equity. Like so many things in this historic economic recovery, that premise doesn’t exactly apply. This &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1608/why-drop-in-foreclosures-is-bad-for-housing-market/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />In a normal housing market, lack of supply is generally considered a good thing. When demand outweighs supply, home prices rise and homeowners gain equity. Like so many things in this historic economic recovery, that premise doesn’t exactly apply.</p>
<p><a name="StoryImage" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/417e9_foreclosure_home_for_sale_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" alt="417e9 foreclosure home for sale 200 Why Drop in Foreclosures Is Bad for Housing Market"  title="Why Drop in Foreclosures Is Bad for Housing Market" /><br />
<hr noshade="noshade" size="1" />This housing market has been running on distress for the past year, as investors rush to buy foreclosed properties in order to take advantage of today’s hot rental market. Sales of millions of foreclosed homes pushed home sales higher, off the bottom in fact. 
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Now that supply of distressed properties is drying up, and pulling overall home sales down with it. Sales of <b><strong><a href="/id/48240330/" target="_blank"><strong>existing homes</strong></a></strong></b> dropped unexpectedly in June, down 5.4 percent from the previous month, according to a new report from the National Association of Realtors.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Home sales were particularly hard hit out West, where there is the largest concentration of delinquent mortgages and foreclosed properties. Overall sales out West were down 3.6 percent in June from a year ago according to the Realtors, but in the $0-100,000 price range, they were down nearly 36 percent.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“More than 50 percent of all existing home sales have been to &#8220;investors&#8221; and &#8220;first timers&#8221; — thin and volatile cohorts relative to repeat buyers — looking for low-end properties to rehab and occupy or rehab and rent/flip respectively. These two cohorts have carried the market for three years,” California-based mortgage analyst Mark Hanson noted.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The distressed share of home sales fell to 25 percent, while it had been running at a third for much of the past year. The first-time home buyer share also fell to 32 percent, down from 34 percent the previous month and from a normal range of 40-45 percent. First-timers are having particular trouble obtaining home loans.</p>
<p />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />So why is the supply of foreclosures so low when there are so many hungry investors waiting to pounce? There should be plenty to go around, given that the total U.S. delinquency rate is at 7.2 percent, representing 5.57 million loans either delinquent or in the foreclosure process, according to Lender Processing Service’s June Mortgage Monitor.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The answer is the process.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />This from Fannie Mae’s most recent quarterly report: </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Our foreclosure rates remain high: however, foreclosure levels were lower than they would have been during the first quarter of 2012 due to delays in the processing of foreclosures caused by continuing foreclosure process issues encountered by our servicers and changing legislative, regulatory and judicial requirements.”</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong><strong>New laws in Nevada</strong></strong></b>, criminalizing faulty foreclosure processing ground that state’s foreclosure machinery to a near halt. Foreclosure filing there down 61 percent annually in the first half of this year according to RealtyTrac.  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong><strong>California</strong></strong></b> just passed a new law requiring mortgage servicers to prove they have the right to foreclose by showing title of the loan. That is sure to create huge delays, as many of these distressed loans were sliced and diced and sold off in strips to investors during the housing boom. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun also noted that many foreclosure transactions are either getting delayed or not clearing at all due to title issues, a new phenomenon.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“This is due to increasing legal risk,” said Yun, noting a 10-15 percent fallout rate, up from a negligible rate just months ago.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />In addition, major bank servicers are now complying with a <b><strong><strong>$25 billion mortgage servicing settlement</strong></strong></b> with the U.S. Department of Justice and state attorneys general. Part of that is offering principal reduction modifications to delinquent borrowers. <b><strong><strong>Bank of America</strong> <span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/417e9_blank.gif" border="0" title="Why Drop in Foreclosures Is Bad for Housing Market" alt="417e9 blank Why Drop in Foreclosures Is Bad for Housing Market" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/bac" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>BAC</span> <br />
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    <span><span /> <br />
		<span class="WSODQ_CHGSHOW">(<span />)<span /></span></span><br />
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/417e9_realtime_icon.gif" title="Why Drop in Foreclosures Is Bad for Housing Market" alt="417e9 realtime icon Why Drop in Foreclosures Is Bad for Housing Market" /></span>]</a></span></span></strong></b> alone put 200,000 delinquent loans on hold while it sends out letters offering to slash loan balances.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />A lack of supply, even of distressed homes, should help settle this housing market, but the trouble is that regular buyers, move-up buyers, are, in large part, unable to participate in this recovery.  Negative equity (including second liens) and near negative equity (less than 5 percent equity) is trapping an estimated 30 million potential repeat buyers in their homes, according to Hanson.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>— By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick<br />— CNBC Producer Stephanie Dhue contributed to this report.</em></p>
<p><strong><strong><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></strong></strong><img width="100%" height="0" title="Why Drop in Foreclosures Is Bad for Housing Market" alt=" Why Drop in Foreclosures Is Bad for Housing Market" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48243400?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/48243400?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>First-timers drove San Francisco&#8217;s housing market in July &#8211; U</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/825/first-timers-drove-san-franciscos-housing-market-in-july-u/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/825/first-timers-drove-san-franciscos-housing-market-in-july-u/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Aug 2011 13:59:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SF Bay Area News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Sales of San Francisco Bay area luxury homes declined in July, while more first-time homebuyers were making moves, according to a recent DataQuick report. Bay Area home sales dipped more than usual between June and July, falling 13.9 percent, compared &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/825/first-timers-drove-san-franciscos-housing-market-in-july-u/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>      Sales of San Francisco Bay area luxury homes declined in July, while more first-time homebuyers were making moves, according to a recent DataQuick report.
<p>Bay Area home sales dipped more than usual between June and July, falling 13.9 percent, compared to an average decline of 6.8 percent for the Northern California market, the report shows. Sales dropped most sharply in the high-end real estate market, with $500,000-plus transactions down 25.4 percent on a month-over-month basis.</p>
<p>Luxury home sales were strong during the early summer in Marin County, San Francisco and the Napa Valley, Coldwell Banker reported. John Walsh, DataQuick president, attributes the fall-off in this sector to overall economic uncertainty caused by the debt ceiling debate.</p>
<p>While high-end buyers sat on the sidelines, first-time homeowners accounted for more sales in July than June, as measured by the proportion of government-insured Federal Housing Authority loans used to finance purchases. FHA loans, often secured by first-time buyers, were used in 22.4 percent of all Bay Area July purchases, compared to 20.6 percent in June.</p>
<p>San Francisco is not a budget housing market, with a median sales price of $550,000, according to the National Housing Conference. However, the annual income needed to finance a median-priced home in San Francisco declined 7 percent between 2010 and 2011, NHC recently reported. 
      </p></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.upack.com/press/article/real-estate-news/first-timers-drove-san-franciscos-housing-market-in-july-800578613">http://www.upack.com/press/article/real-estate-news/first-timers-drove-san-franciscos-housing-market-in-july-800578613</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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