In its monthly report on housing prices, the SP/Case-Shiller Home Price Index — considered to be the leading measure of home prices across the country — said Tuesday the average selling price for a home in the San Francisco area jumped 23.9 percent over a 12-month period ending in April.

Jed Kolko, Trulia’s chief economist, told SFBay home prices in the East Bay showed even more dramatic increases:

“Trulia’s Price Monitor, which is a forward-looking indicator of price trends based on asking prices and reports the San Francisco and Oakland areas separately, showed prices up 31 percent in the East Bay year-over-year, the biggest increase among the 100 largest metros in the country.”

Kolko said home prices in other Bay Area counties also increased, but not as much as the East Bay:

“Prices in our San Francisco metro area, which includes San Mateo and Marin counties, were up 20 percent year-over-year, which is also a very steep increase but not as steep at the East Bay gain.”

Though the housing market is rebounding in most cities, a tight inventory of homes across the Bay Area and one of the fastest job growth rates in the nation is helping to boost home prices locally.

And as Kolko points out, home prices in the East Bay saw prices fall sharply during the bust, creating bargains for home buyers.

SP/Case-Shiller says nationwide prices the average price for a home during that same period of time ending in April jumped 12.1 percent — setting a monthly record.

David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at SP Dow Jones Indices said the housing recovery is looking strong:

“Atlanta, Las Vegas, Phoenix and San Francisco posted year-over-year gains of over 20 percent in April. San Francisco was the highest at 23.9 percent. … Recent economic data on home sales and inventories confirm the housing recovery’s strength.”

Behind San Francisco in showing strong growth was Las Vegas, which saw prices climb  22.3 percent and Phoenix, which saw prices rise by 21.5 percent.

Article source: http://sfbay.ca/2013/06/25/housing-boom-sends-bay-area-home-prices-soaring/

“I think the higher stock market and low rates is a function of the Fed [Federal Reserve] just pumping liquidity into the system,” said Paul Miller of FBR. “What you see, I believe, is some of that liquidity is leaking into the stock market, which is resulting in higher valuations for stocks. But the bond market is still flush with liquidity, and that is keeping mortgage rates low.”

Should the Fed start winding down its asset purchases later this year, mortgage rates will rise. That would make home buying more expensive in an already rising price environment. But is that enough to stop housing’s momentum? Perhaps not.

(Read More: What’s Really Behind Home Price Gains)

“For mortgage payments to return to their long-term average of 22 percent of disposable income, 30-year fixed rates would have to rise all the way to 9 percent,” noted Paul Diggle of Capital Economics. “Accordingly, we’re optimistic that the nascent improvement in mortgage applications will be sustained.”

In any case, it hasn’t been the rates holding borrowers back, but the availability of mortgage credit. That may be easing as well.

Nearly 10 percent of senior loan officers surveyed by the Federal Reserve in April reported easing their lending standards for low-risk mortgages. That’s an increase from the previous quarter. Banks were not, however, more willing to lend to borrowers with lower credit scores. This as 44 percent of loan officers surveyed reported demand for “prime” mortgages was moderately stronger.

(Read More: Old Ills Still Hit Big Banks)

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100720364

Tuesday’s SP/Case-Shiller report underscored the rapid run-up in Bay Area home prices, showing that the San Francisco metro area — Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco and San Mateo counties — saw home prices surge 17.5% in January compared to a year ago. That outpaced the national run-up of 8.1 % and was second only to Phoenix.

For a detailed analysis of the numbers and what they mean for the Bay Area, click here.

Bidding wars and multiple offers are the new norm here.

Here’s a look at a San Jose house listed for $1,075,000 that sold for $1,120,000. Redfin agent Ashley Rabello said she had four offers within the first day of listing. The winning offer had no contingencies, a large percentage down, and was significantly higher than the asking price.

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Heavy action at all price points is new — and another harbinger of recovery.

“During the boom and bust, the lower-priced houses had the biggest percentage price increases and then the biggest percentage collapse,” said David Blitzer, chair of the index committee for SP/Dow Jones. That’s because the most-outrageous lending practices — subprime loans, liar loans, no money down — were more concentrated in the low end.

Case-Shiller tracks homes at three price tiers — low (under $383,942), middle ($383,9422 to $681,776) and high (over $681,776). “Until the boom, the three moved together; during the downturn, they spread apart,” Blitzer said. “Now they’re moving in sync again; it’s a sign the market is coming back to normal, behaving a lot less bizarrely than it did before.”

Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. For insights and news on the real estate market, follow her on Twitter: @csaid

Article source: http://blog.sfgate.com/ontheblock/2013/03/27/the-incredible-soaring-bay-area-home-prices/

Overall, U.S. home prices registered their biggest annual climb since summer 2006, rising 8.1 percent compared with last year, according to the SP/Case-Shiller composite index. Every one of the 20 major metropolitan areas Case-Shiller tracks posted year-over-year gains. The annual gains accelerated in 19 of the markets, with Detroit the only exception.

“The number that jumps off the page is San Francisco’s 17.5 percent increase in the past 12 months,” David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee for SP Dow Jones Indices, said. “That’s pretty big. Only one city, Phoenix (with a 23.2 percent increase), did better. Compared to the low points, you’re way up there, about 25 percent over the low. It’s a strong comeback.”

Resale homes

Case-Shiller defines the San Francisco metro area as Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco and San Mateo counties. The index tracks sales of the same single-family houses over time, comparing changes with a base value of 100, which represents values as of January 2000.

The San Francisco index is now 147.45, meaning that prices are 47.45 percent above their January 2000 level. The region’s index peaked at 218.37 in May 2006 and hit a low of 117.74 in March 2009 – so prices are still 32.5 percent below their peak, according to the index.

Several forces propel the upward trend, notably an improving economy, low interest rates, tight inventory and fewer foreclosures.

The San Francisco area “is the second-leading place in the country in job creation (after Houston), and doesn’t build a lot of houses, so supply is very tight,” said Ken Rosen, chairman of the Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics at UC Berkeley. “We added 210,000 jobs to the Bay Area in the past 2 1/2 years – that’s a lot of people.”

Similar forces are driving the rental market, which is also experiencing big price run-ups. Exacerbating that situation, the tight for-sale inventory “is forcing a lot of people who want to be buyers to remain as renters,” Rosen said.

Rosen and others said Case-Shiller actually understates the turnaround – prices have risen even more than the index can capture. In part, that’s because it has a long lag time, measuring prices in January. Real estate service DataQuick, for instance, reported that February median sales prices in the nine-county Bay Area were up 24.6 percent compared with the same time in 2012.

“I would say Case-Shiller under-represents,” said Charmaine Frank, Redfin real estate’s area manager for San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara and Marin counties. “The market has taken a pretty dramatic turn since January.”

Cash is the fuel

Like agents throughout the Bay Area, she said there are “enormous bidding wars going on. We see upwards of 40 to 60 offers on some properties; typically the top five to eight will be all-cash buyers.”

The numerous cash sales help fuel price appreciation, she said, because buyers skip getting an appraisal since they don’t have a mortgage. Appraisals, which rely on recent comparable sales, would moderate the rapid run-up.

“There’s a huge shortage of homes on the market right now,” said Cindi Hagley, a broker with the Hagley Group at Prudential California Realty in San Ramon. “For example, there are only 12 single-family homes for sale in Dublin right now. Ordinarily there should be 100 to 150 homes for sale there.”

Patrick Newport, U.S. economist with market analyst Global Insight, said that the rising home prices should help boost the economy further. “They stimulate new construction, and they also help consumer spending because they raise the value of people’s homes,” he said.

With multiple bids and properties selling well above asking price, could another real estate bubble be forming?

“Not yet,” said Rosen. “If they keep (interest) rates this low for two more years, the answer is yes.”

“This time, rapidly rising prices are a good thing,” Newport said. “A lot of homeowners are underwater; this helps them come out of that.”

Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. E-mail: csaid@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @csaid

Article source: http://www.sfgate.com/business/article/Home-prices-in-Bay-Area-up-17-5-in-January-4386974.php