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	<title>homesmillbrae.com &#187; Consumer Confidence</title>
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		<title>Burlingame REALTOR® Mary Ann Teixeira says Current Real Estate Market in &#8230;</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2050/burlingame-realtor%c2%ae-mary-ann-teixeira-says-current-real-estate-market-in/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2050/burlingame-realtor%c2%ae-mary-ann-teixeira-says-current-real-estate-market-in/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Mar 2013 13:22:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SF Bay Area News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Burlingame, CA (PRWEB) February 28, 2013 According to the San Mateo Association of Realtors, in January of 2012 there were 1,172 single family homes on market in San Mateo County as compared to January of 2013 there were only 545. &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2050/burlingame-realtor%c2%ae-mary-ann-teixeira-says-current-real-estate-market-in/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="releaseDateline">Burlingame, CA (PRWEB) February 28, 2013 </p>
<p> According to the San Mateo Association of Realtors, in January of 2012 there were 1,172 single family homes on market in San Mateo County as compared to January of 2013 there were only 545. This shows that the market has significantly shifted from a buyers market towards a sellers market including a jump in average sales price of 20% for San Mateo County. </p>
<p>“For the past several months I have experienced buyers confronted with multiple offers resulting in homes selling for substantially over listing price.” says Teixeira. “I really feel that the strength of silicon valley and the increase in jobs growth and stability is what we’re seeing reflected in the boost in the mid-peninsula housing market.”</p>
<p>This trend is shown nationally in the SP/Case Shiller composite index’s numbers of their metropolitan survey of 20 cities that show the largest improvement in residential home prices in December since July of 2006 as well as a significant and moral boosting increase in consumer confidence. </p>
<p>For additional information about the Bay Area real estate or San Francisco Bay Area Peninsula real estate and relocation, call Mary Ann Teixeira at (650) 241-0318, or visit her website at <a href="http://www.maryannt.com">http://www.maryannt.com</a>.</p>
<p>About Mary Ann Teixeira<br />
<br />Mary Ann Teixeira is a licensed REALTOR with McGuire Real Estate in Burlingame, California who specializes in relocation services, homes for sale and luxury homes.  She is a seasoned buyer’s agent who serves the San Francisco Bay Area Peninsula communities of Atherton, Burlingame, Cupertino, Hillsborough, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Los Gatos, Menlo Park, Mountain View, Palo Alto, Portola Valley, Redwood City, San Carlos, San Jose, San Mateo, Santa Clara and Woodside.</p>
<p>Read the full story at <a href="http://www.prweb.com/releases/2013/2/prweb10486539.htm">http://www.prweb.com/releases/2013/2/prweb10486539.htm</a></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.digitaljournal.com/pr/1101611">http://www.digitaljournal.com/pr/1101611</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Foreclosures Fall Due to New Laws</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2009/foreclosures-fall-due-to-new-laws/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2009/foreclosures-fall-due-to-new-laws/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Feb 2013 05:37:17 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Borrowers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[California Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cash Purchases]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Dataquick]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Delinquencies]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Dubious Distinction]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[January 1st]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Laws]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Foreclosure activity fell 28 percent from a year ago nationally, according to a new report from RealtyTrac, but in California, they were down nearly 40 percent. More telling is foreclosure starts, the first notice of a foreclosure filling. In California &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2009/foreclosures-fall-due-to-new-laws/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Foreclosure activity fell 28 percent from a year ago nationally, according to a new report from RealtyTrac, but in California, they were down nearly 40 percent.  More telling is foreclosure starts, the first notice of a foreclosure filling.  In California they fell 62 percent from December and 75 percent from a year ago.  The new law went into effect January 1st, 2013.  </p>
<p>&#8220;I do think some of these delinquent properties will still end up as foreclosures down the road,&#8221; notes Blomquist.  &#8220;But this type of legislation is also forcing lenders to consider other creative ways of disposing of the delinquencies that may not be as difficult as foreclosure has become.&#8221;</p>
<p>That includes short sales, deeds in lieu of foreclosure and a growing trend of selling off bad loans to investors.  The investors, since they are buying at a deep discount, are able to offer more drastic modifications to keep borrowers in their homes.</p>
<p><em>(Read More: Americans Are UsingTheir Houses as ATMs Again)</em></p>
<p>Short sales, when the property is sold for less than the mortgage, are becoming ever more frequent.  Nearly 26 percent of Southern California home sales in January were short sales, according to DataQuick, while just 15 percent were foreclosure sales.  Investor and cash buying was at or near record levels.</p>
<p>&#8220;A lot of today&#8217;s housing demand is fueled not by spectacular job growth and soaring consumer confidence, but by super-low mortgage rates and unusually high levels of investor and cash purchases. Take away any one of those elements and it will matter,&#8221; said John Walsh, DataQuick president.</p>
<p>With legal changes in California, Florida now has the dubious distinction of having the most properties with foreclosure filings in the nation.  One in every 300 homes had a filing in January, according to RealtyTrac.  That is twice the national average.</p>
<p><em>(Read More: Big Banks Told to Review Their Own Foreclosures )</em></p>
<p>States that require a judge in the foreclosure process, like Illinois and New Jersey, saw big January jumps in foreclosure auctions (sales back to the bank or to an investor), but non-judicial states saw the biggest increases in newly started foreclosures.  In Nevada, where new legislation slowed the process dramatically last year, foreclosure starts were up 87 percent from a year ago.</p>
<p>While the numbers can be parsed in many ways, the bottom line is that while fewer borrowers are getting into trouble, an enormous backlog of distress is still moving through the foreclosure system, in some places quite quickly, and in others ever more slowly.  Until the overall numbers come down to a more normal level, any speculation on overall price stability is risky at best.</p>
<p><em>(Read More: Mortgage Mess StillMires US Housing Recovery)</em></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100460456">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100460456</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Mortgage Mess Still Mires US Housing Recovery</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2007/mortgage-mess-still-mires-us-housing-recovery/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2007/mortgage-mess-still-mires-us-housing-recovery/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Feb 2013 11:27:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Applications]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Negative Equity]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/2007/mortgage-mess-still-mires-us-housing-recovery/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mortgage applications to purchase a home dropped more dramatically than did refinances, down 10 percent from the previous week. While one week does not a trend make, rising mortgage rates, coupled with severe inventory shortages, are not the mix needed &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2007/mortgage-mess-still-mires-us-housing-recovery/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mortgage applications to purchase a home dropped more dramatically than did refinances, down 10 percent from the previous week.  While one week does not a trend make, rising mortgage rates, coupled with severe inventory shortages, are not the mix needed for a healthy spring housing market.</p>
<p><em>(Read More: Beware the Escape Hatch in the New Mortgage Rules)</em></p>
<p>&#8220;Many homeowners may simply be deciding to play the market and wait for their home to appreciate before putting it up for sale. Despite the drop in applications, we have seen anecdotal evidence of homes selling very quickly after entering the market,&#8221; says Bob Walters, chief economist at Quicken Loans.</p>
<p>Days on market are shrinking across the nation, but only because supplies are so low.  It&#8217;s not just the former boom to bust to boom markets, like Phoenix and Las Vegas; local Realtor associations show inventories are down dramatically from a year ago in Charlotte (-29 percent), Dallas (-19 percent), Minneapolis (-32 percent), and Washington, DC (-36 percent) to name a few.</p>
<p>&#8220;The low and negative equity of a large number of mortgage holders has kept significant inventory off the market, and many would-be sellers with adequate equity feed into the problem by holding off until they find something to buy,&#8221; says Jonathan Miller of CEO of Miller Samuel Inc.  &#8220;I believe the chronic low inventory phenomenon we are seeing has little to do with lack of consumer confidence and more to do with reasonable access to mortgage financing.&#8221;</p>
<p>President Obama echoed that sentiment in his <a class="inline_asset" href="http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?play=1video=3000147635">State of the Union address</a>Tuesday night.</p>
<p>&#8220;Overlapping regulations keep responsible young families from buying their first home,&#8221; Mr. Obama said.  Not exactly a new sentiment, as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, has said the same thing several times, as have other federal regulators.</p>
<p><em>(Read More: Fewer Behind on Mortgages, but for How Long?)</em></p>
<p>Rising mortgage rates and tight credit standards keep first time-home buyers out, while falling inventories make it more difficult for existing home buyers to move up.  The housing market is therefore still largely in the hands of all-cash investors, looking for distressed properties to buy and then rent out.  Ironically, perhaps for now, more distressed properties coming to market will be what keeps home sales afloat.</p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100456918">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100456918</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Mortgage Mess Still Mires Housing Recovery</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2005/mortgage-mess-still-mires-housing-recovery/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2005/mortgage-mess-still-mires-housing-recovery/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Feb 2013 17:18:54 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/2005/mortgage-mess-still-mires-housing-recovery/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Mortgage applications to purchase a home dropped more dramatically than did refinances, down 10 percent from the previous week. While one week does not a trend make, rising mortgage rates, coupled with severe inventory shortages, are not the mix needed &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2005/mortgage-mess-still-mires-housing-recovery/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mortgage applications to purchase a home dropped more dramatically than did refinances, down 10 percent from the previous week.  While one week does not a trend make, rising mortgage rates, coupled with severe inventory shortages, are not the mix needed for a healthy spring housing market.</p>
<p><em>(Read More: Beware the Escape Hatch in the New Mortgage Rules)</em></p>
<p>&#8220;Many homeowners may simply be deciding to play the market and wait for their home to appreciate before putting it up for sale. Despite the drop in applications, we have seen anecdotal evidence of homes selling very quickly after entering the market,&#8221; says Bob Walters, chief economist at Quicken.</p>
<p>Days on market are shrinking across the nation, but only because supplies are so low.  It&#8217;s not just the former boom to bust to boom markets, like Phoenix and Las Vegas; local Realtor associations show inventories are down dramatically from a year ago in Charlotte (-29 percent), Dallas (-19 percent), Minneapolis (-32 percent), and Washington, DC (-36 percent) to name a few.</p>
<p>&#8220;The low and negative equity of a large number of mortgage holders has kept significant inventory off the market, and many would-be sellers with adequate equity feed into the problem by holding off until they find something to buy,&#8221; says Jonathan Miller of CEO of Miller Samuel Inc.  &#8220;I believe the chronic low inventory phenomenon we are seeing has little to do with lack of consumer confidence and more to do with reasonable access to mortgage financing.&#8221;</p>
<p>President Obama echoed that sentiment in his <a class="inline_asset" href="http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?play=1video=3000147635">State of the Union address</a>Tuesday night.</p>
<p>&#8220;Overlapping regulations keep responsible young families from buying their first home,&#8221; Mr. Obama said.  Not exactly a new sentiment, as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, has said the same thing several times, as have other federal regulators.</p>
<p><em>(Read More: Fewer Behind on Mortgages, but for How Long?)</em></p>
<p>Rising mortgage rates and tight credit standards keep first time-home buyers out, while falling inventories make it more difficult for existing home buyers to move up.  The housing market is therefore still largely in the hands of all-cash investors, looking for distressed properties to buy and then rent out.  Ironically, perhaps for now, more distressed properties coming to market will be what keeps home sales afloat.</p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100456918">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100456918</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1874/pending-home-sales-surge-to-five-year-high/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1874/pending-home-sales-surge-to-five-year-high/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Nov 2012 15:46:19 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Buyers are coming back to the housing market in ever greater numbers, as an industry index measuring contracts to purchase existing homes surged 5.2 percent in October from September. The monthly gauge of pending home sales from the National Association &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1874/pending-home-sales-surge-to-five-year-high/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a name="StoryImage" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/7ece3_sold-home-and-flowers-200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" alt="7ece3 sold home and flowers 200 Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" /><br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Buyers are coming back to the housing market in ever greater numbers, as an industry index measuring contracts to purchase existing homes surged 5.2 percent in October from September. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The monthly gauge of pending home sales from the National Association of Realtors was also revised higher in September and is now up 13.2 percent from October of 2011. This is a forward looking indicator for closed sales one to two months from now. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“We’ve had very good housing affordability conditions for quite some time, but we’re seeing more impact now from steady job creation and rising consumer confidence about home buying now that home prices have clearly turned positive,” wrote Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the NAR in a release. <em>(Read More: </em><a href="/id/49795918/"><em><strong>Could Housing Be the Antidote to the &#8216;Fiscal Cliff&#8217;?)</strong></em></a></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Pending home sales are now at the highest level since March of 2007 and have risen, on a year-over-year basis, for 18 consecutive months. The activity, however, varies from region to region, and the Realtors say the Northeast, which saw a 0.1 percent drop in sales month-to-month- did see some impact from <b><strong><strong>Hurricane Sandy</strong></strong></b>. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Signed contracts also declined in the West, 1.1 percent in October month-to-month and are up just 0.9 percent from a year ago. The West is suffering from a lack of supply, as investors have been scouring the landscape for a decreasing inventory of distressed properties. <em>(Read More: </em><strong><em>Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers</em></strong><b><strong><em>)</em></strong></b>  </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Pending home sales surged in the Midwest, up 15.6 percent month-to-month and up 20 percent from a year ago. They were also higher in the south by 5.5 percent sequentially and by 17.4 percent from a year ago. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Realtors continue to warn that while this housing recovery seems to be gaining steam, changes to the mortgage interest deduction, as well as other potential hits to the economy from the so-called “fiscal cliff,” could derail the momentum. <em>(Read More: </em><strong><em>Housing Still Precarious in Obama’s Second Term</em></strong><em>)</em> </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong><em>SECTOR WATCH: Construction  General Building Materials</em></strong></b></p>
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/7ece3_realtime_icon.gif" title="Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" alt="7ece3 realtime icon Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" /></span>]</a></span></span></li>
<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Lowe&#8217;s Companies </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/7ece3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" alt="7ece3 blank Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/low" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>LOW</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>The Sherwin-Williams Company </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/7ece3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" alt="7ece3 blank Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/shw" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>SHW</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/7ece3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" alt="7ece3 blank Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/dd" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>DD</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Apogee Enterprises </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/7ece3_blank.gif" border="0" title="Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" alt="7ece3 blank Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/apog" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>APOG</span> <br />
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</ul>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /></p>
<p><em>Follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a> <em>or on Facebook at </em><a href="https://editor.msnbc.msn.com/Editor/www.facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC"><u><em>facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC</em> </u></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" alt=" Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49998877?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49998877?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1861/yes-housing-starts-surge-but-rentals-are-the-drivers-2/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1861/yes-housing-starts-surge-but-rentals-are-the-drivers-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Nov 2012 03:16:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cantor Fitzgerald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Confidence Numbers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consensus View]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Confidence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deliveries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Headline Number]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Builder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Builders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[homes millbrae]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Isi]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Rising From The Ashes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Single Family]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The headline number for housing starts was big, exceeding expectations and sending the home builder stocks on yet another tear. Starts hit 894,000 (annualized) in October, over 50,000 more than the analysts forecast. Housing starts are now at their highest &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1861/yes-housing-starts-surge-but-rentals-are-the-drivers-2/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The headline number for housing starts was big, exceeding expectations and sending the home builder stocks on yet another tear. </p>
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<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_new-home-constructions1-200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" alt="65802 new home constructions1 200 Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers"  title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /><br />
<hr noshade="noshade" size="1" />Starts hit 894,000 (annualized) in October, over 50,000 more than the analysts forecast. Housing starts are now at their highest level since July 2008. (<em>Read More: </em><b><strong><a href="/id/49899279/" target="_blank"><strong>Good News Keeps Coming for Housing as Starts Surge</strong></a></strong></b>)
<p>“We expect the builder equities will react positively initially, but then fade through the day once the report is fully digested as &#8216;multifamily&#8217; was the key driver of the results,” warned Stephen East at ISI.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />There is no question that home builders are benefiting from tight supply in the existing home market and overall improved consumer confidence. That was apparent in the home builder confidence numbers released this week, which hit the highest level in six years. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Builders Bump Up Thanks to Drop in Existing Home Supply</strong></strong></b>)</p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Single family housing starts hit historic lows and are now just rising from the ashes. That is why some of the comparisons, like single family starts (up 35 percent from a year ago), sound so monumental and push the stocks higher. But investors need to keep these numbers in perspective. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Housing starts at 894,000 is near where they were at the depths of the 1981 and 1991 recessions and 60 percent below the peak in January 2006,” pointed out Peter Boockvar at Miller Tabak.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The October numbers were driven entirely by multifamily apartment starts, up 10 percent month-to-month and up 63 percent year over year. Why are developers putting up so many more apartments when housing is supposedly recovering? Because there is still big rental demand and low supply.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“The consensus view on supply remains that it is not a threat to apartment fundamentals in the near term. Overall, demand for apartments (driven by household formations) should continue to rise with deliveries, especially in high(er) barrier coastal markets,” analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald said in a note.</p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />There has been a lot of talk of increasing household formation, but what some fail to realize is that household formation can be a single family owner-occupied home or an occupied rental unit. Younger Americans are in fact moving out of their parents’ basements, but many are moving into rental units, and that is also a formed household. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>The Housing Recovery Is Getting Real</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Should investors be concerned about overbuilding in the apartment sector, given these huge jumps in starts coupled with the fledgling single family housing recovery? No.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“We’ve had four years of zero supply,” said David Toti of Cantor Fitzgerald. “There’s still a groundswell of demand. The shift from owning to renting is still moving in favor of the renter.”</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Multifamily starts are now above 10-year averages. In fact they officially crossed them in October, but home ownership levels continue to contract. As for apartment performance? Landlords are raising rents and occupancies, and that does not point to any weakness, for now at least. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Existing Home Sales, Homebuilder Sentiment Rise</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />So why then are the multifamily REITs all down on the starts numbers? They have actually been underperforming all year, as investors seek higher yield in other sectors, like industrial REITs. But another factor could be Archstone Inc., an apartment building owner and developer owned by Lehman Brothers Holdings. It said Monday that it plans to raise up to $3.45 billion in its initial public offering that may happen this year. Investors may be making room for Archstone, pulling out of others to get in to the new player.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick</em></p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>Click on ticker to follow real estate news:</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>US Home Builders</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Toll Brothers </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/tol" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>TOL</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—DR Horton </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/dhi" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>DHI</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Hovnanian Enterprises </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/hov" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>HOV</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—PulteGroup </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/phm" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>PHM</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Ryland Group </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/ryl" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>RYL</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Lennar Corp </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/len" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>LEN</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Beazer Homes USA </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/bzh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>BZH</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Meritage Homes </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/mth" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>MTH</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—KB Home </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/kbh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>KBH</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>Construction  General Building Materials</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—The Home Depot </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/hd" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>HD</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Lowe&#8217;s Companies </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/low" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>LOW</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—The Sherwin-WIlliams Company </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/shw" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>SHW</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/dd" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>DD</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Apogee Enterprises </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/65802_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="65802 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/apog" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>APOG</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /></p>
<p><em>Follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a> <em>or on Facebook at </em><a href="https://editor.msnbc.msn.com/Editor/www.facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC"><u><em>facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC</em> </u></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" alt=" Yes, Housing Starts Surge, but Rentals Are the Drivers" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49901568?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49901568?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1859/yes-housing-starts-surge-but-rentals-are-the-drivers/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1859/yes-housing-starts-surge-but-rentals-are-the-drivers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Nov 2012 09:15:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cantor Fitzgerald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Confidence Numbers]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The headline number for housing starts was big, exceeding expectations and sending the home builder stocks on yet another tear. Starts hit 894,000 (annualized) in October, over 50,000 more than the analysts forecast. Housing starts are now at their highest &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1859/yes-housing-starts-surge-but-rentals-are-the-drivers/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The headline number for housing starts was big, exceeding expectations and sending the home builder stocks on yet another tear. </p>
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<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_new-home-constructions1-200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" alt="e8503 new home constructions1 200 Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers"  title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /><br />
<hr noshade="noshade" size="1" />Starts hit 894,000 (annualized) in October, over 50,000 more than the analysts forecast. Housing starts are now at their highest level since July 2008. (<em>Read More: </em><b><strong><a href="/id/49899279/" target="_blank"><strong>Good News Keeps Coming for Housing as Starts Surge</strong></a></strong></b>)
<p>“We expect the builder equities will react positively initially, but then fade through the day once the report is fully digested as &#8216;multifamily&#8217; was the key driver of the results,” warned Stephen East at ISI.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />There is no question that home builders are benefiting from tight supply in the existing home market and overall improved consumer confidence. That was apparent in the home builder confidence numbers released this week, which hit the highest level in six years. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Builders Bump Up Thanks to Drop in Existing Home Supply</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Single family housing starts hit historic lows and are now just rising from the ashes. That is why some of the comparisons, like single family starts (up 35 percent from a year ago), sound so monumental and push the stocks higher. But investors need to keep these numbers in perspective. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Housing starts at 894,000 is near where they were at the depths of the 1981 and 1991 recessions and 60 percent below the peak in January 2006,” pointed out Peter Boockvar at Miller Tabak.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The October numbers were driven entirely by multifamily apartment starts, up 10 percent month-to-month and up 63 percent year over year. Why are developers putting up so many more apartments when housing is supposedly recovering? Because there is still big rental demand and low supply.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“The consensus view on supply remains that it is not a threat to apartment fundamentals in the near term. Overall, demand for apartments (driven by household formations) should continue to rise with deliveries, especially in high(er) barrier coastal markets,” analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald said in a note.</p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />There has been a lot of talk of increasing household formation, but what some fail to realize is that household formation can be a single family owner-occupied home or an occupied rental unit. Younger Americans are in fact moving out of their parents’ basements, but many are moving into rental units, and that is also a formed household. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>The Housing Recovery Is Getting Real</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Should investors be concerned about overbuilding in the apartment sector, given these huge jumps in starts coupled with the fledgling single family housing recovery? No.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“We’ve had four years of zero supply,” said David Toti of Cantor Fitzgerald. “There’s still a groundswell of demand. The shift from owning to renting is still moving in favor of the renter.”</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Multifamily starts are now above 10-year averages. In fact they officially crossed them in October, but home ownership levels continue to contract. As for apartment performance? Landlords are raising rents and occupancies, and that does not point to any weakness, for now at least. (<em>Read More</em>: <b><strong><strong>Existing Home Sales, Homebuilder Sentiment Rise</strong></strong></b>.)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />So why then are the multifamily REITs all down on the starts numbers? They have actually been underperforming all year, as investors seek higher yield in other sectors, like industrial REITs. But another factor could be Archstone Inc., an apartment building owner and developer owned by Lehman Brothers Holdings. It said Monday that it plans to raise up to $3.45 billion in its initial public offering that may happen this year. Investors may be making room for Archstone, pulling out of others to get in to the new player.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>—By CNBC&#8217;s Diana Olick</em></p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>Click on ticker to follow real estate news:</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>US Home Builders</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Toll Brothers </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/tol" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>TOL</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—DR Horton </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/dhi" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>DHI</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Hovnanian Enterprises </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/hov" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>HOV</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—PulteGroup </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/phm" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>PHM</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Ryland Group </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/ryl" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>RYL</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Lennar Corp </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/len" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>LEN</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Beazer Homes USA </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/bzh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>BZH</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Meritage Homes </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/mth" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>MTH</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—KB Home </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/kbh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>KBH</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>Construction  General Building Materials</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—The Home Depot </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/hd" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>HD</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Lowe&#8217;s Companies </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/low" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>LOW</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—The Sherwin-WIlliams Company </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/shw" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>SHW</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/dd" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>DD</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Apogee Enterprises </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_blank.gif" border="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 blank Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/apog" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>APOG</span> <br />
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/e8503_realtime_icon.gif" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt="e8503 realtime icon Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></span>]</a></span></span></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /></p>
<p><em>Follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a> <em>or on Facebook at </em><a href="https://editor.msnbc.msn.com/Editor/www.facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC"><u><em>facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC</em> </u></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" alt=" Yes, Housing Starts Surge, But Rentals Are the Drivers" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49901568?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49901568?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>What Today&#8217;s Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1826/what-todays-jobs-report-says-about-the-housing-market/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1826/what-todays-jobs-report-says-about-the-housing-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Nov 2012 08:00:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Any jump in jobs is good for housing, and October&#8217;s gain of 171,000 is no different. One of the biggest barriers to entry for potential home buyers, new and move-up, has been uncertainty in employment. So this positive report can &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1826/what-todays-jobs-report-says-about-the-housing-market/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_home_building1.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 home building1 What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /><br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Any jump in jobs is good for housing, and October&#8217;s gain of 171,000 is no different. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />One of the biggest barriers to entry for potential home buyers, new and move-up, has been uncertainty in employment. So this positive report can only add to rising consumer confidence and wealth. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />(Read more: <b><strong><a href="/id/49657529/"><strong>Jobs Report Shows Some Gains.)</strong></a></strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />When you dig down into the numbers, however, you can see where the numbers are not quite as rosy as some would hope for both home buyers and builders.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />While overall construction added 17,000 jobs in October, residential-building construction employment fell by 2,000. Residential specialty contractor jobs increased by 6,700, which speaks to the real root of today&#8217;s housing recovery.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />All-cash investors are leading the gains; they buy distressed properties and then repair and remodel them to turn them into rentals. It&#8217;s no wonder remodelers are seeing greater gains than the home builders. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />An industry index of remodeling finally climbed into the positive in October, making a significant jump to its highest level since the end of 2005. Both current conditions and future expectations saw gains on the National Association of Home Builders&#8217; remodeling index (RMI). The builders claim it is not just investors, but a result of rising home equity. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />(Read More: <b><strong><strong>Homeowners Hit by Sandy May Save Thousands of Dollars</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“The strength of the RMI, especially in owner-occupied properties, shows that home owners are investing in remodels as home prices stabilize,” said NAHB Remodelers Chairman George Moore Jr., a remodeler from Elm Grove, La. “As owners become more confident that investments in housing will hold their value, they are beginning to undertake projects to improve their comfort that they had been putting off.” </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />While any construction is better than no construction, housing analysts focus more on home building than remodeling, as the nation&#8217;s home builders contribute more to the overall economy, with more jobs and materials. Home builders have ramped up production dramatically, as they rise from the ashes of the housing bust.</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Housing starts and permits are up significantly from the bottom, and the public builders are all reporting at least double-digit gains in new orders. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />They still, however, need to see more demand from their historically strong cohort, the first-time home buyer. Those younger Americans are seeing employment gains, but are still proportionally harder-hit than the rest of the work force. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />(Read More: <b><strong><strong>Home Prices Rise, but Analysts See Pressure Ahead</strong></strong></b>)</p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;Among 25-34 year-olds, the prime age group for housing demand, 75.1 percent were employed in October, up from 74.9 percent in September and from 73.6 percent in October 2011,&#8221;" notes Jed Kolko of Trulia.com, a real estate sales and information website. &#8220;For this age group, the unemployment rate was 8.3 percent in October, down from 9.7 percent one year ago – an even bigger drop than for the economy overall. Labor force participation increased for this key group.&#8221; </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The downside in October&#8217;s jobs report, however is that job growth in what Kolko calls “clobbered metros” was just 0.5 percent (annualized rate) through September – behind the national average of 1.6 percent for the same period. (These figures are annualized 3-month growth rates to September, the latest data released for metros.) Kolko defines clobbered metros as the areas with the biggest price declines during the bust and the highest vacancy rates now: &#8220;Job growth there is especially important for housing demand,&#8221; he notes. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>Click on ticker to follow real estate news:</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>US Home Builders</strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Toll Brothers </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_blank.gif" border="0" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 blank What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/tol" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>TOL</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—DR Horton </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_blank.gif" border="0" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 blank What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/dhi" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>DHI</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Hovnanian Enterprises </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_blank.gif" border="0" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 blank What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/hov" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>HOV</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—PulteGroup </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_blank.gif" border="0" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 blank What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/phm" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>PHM</span> <br />
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_realtime_icon.gif" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 realtime icon What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span>]</a></span></span></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Ryland Group </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_blank.gif" border="0" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 blank What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/ryl" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>RYL</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Lennar Corp </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_blank.gif" border="0" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 blank What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/len" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>LEN</span> <br />
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_realtime_icon.gif" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 realtime icon What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span>]</a></span></span></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Beazer Homes USA </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_blank.gif" border="0" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 blank What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/bzh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>BZH</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—Meritage Homes </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_blank.gif" border="0" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 blank What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/mth" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>MTH</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong>—KB Home </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/681e4_blank.gif" border="0" title="What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" alt="681e4 blank What Todays Jobs Report Says About the Housing Market" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/kbh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>KBH</span> <br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /></p>
<p><em>Follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a> <em>or on Facebook at </em><a href="https://editor.msnbc.msn.com/Editor/www.facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC"><u><em>facebook.com/DianaOlickCNBC</em> </u></a></p>
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<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49659431?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49659431?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>In a Twist, Both Home Prices and Rents Rise</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1642/in-a-twist-both-home-prices-and-rents-rise/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1642/in-a-twist-both-home-prices-and-rents-rise/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Aug 2012 00:32:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Home prices across the nation continued their upswing in June, according to a new report from CoreLogic. Including sales of foreclosures and short sales (selling for less than the value of the mortgage), prices rose 2.5 percent from a year &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1642/in-a-twist-both-home-prices-and-rents-rise/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/4c59c_couple_looking_at_house_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="In a Twist, Both Home Prices and Rents Rise" alt="4c59c couple looking at house 200 In a Twist, Both Home Prices and Rents Rise" /><br />
<hr noshade="noshade" size="1" />Home prices across the nation continued their upswing in June, according to a new report from CoreLogic. Including sales of foreclosures and short sales (selling for less than the value of the mortgage), prices rose 2.5 percent from a year ago. That is not quite as high as the annual increases seen in April and May. With the first half of the year now on the books, analysts are asking if prices can sustain.
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;At the halfway point, 2012 is increasingly looking like the year that the residential housing market may have turned the corner,&#8221; said Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic. &#8220;While first-half gains have given way to second-half declines over the past three years, we see encouraging signs that modest price gains are supportable across the country in the second-half of 2012.&#8221; </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Home price gains will continue to be as much a factor of supply as they are of overall consumer confidence. While confidence in the overall economy has slipped slightly, optimism in the housing market remained strong in July, according to a just-released Fannie Mae survey: </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />&#8220;Survey respondents expect home prices to increase 1.7 percent in the next 12 months, down slightly from the survey high of 2.0 percent recorded in June. Eleven percent of respondents – the lowest level recorded since the survey began in June 2010 – believe home prices will drop in the next year. Also, in the highest level seen since the survey&#8217;s inception, 16 percent of consumers say it is a good time to sell.&#8221; </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Still one quarter of respondents, an increase from June, are concerned about losing their jobs, and jobs have been the leading factor in the housing recovery. It is that unemployment uncertainty that has led so many younger Americans in the past few years to rent. That continued demand is pushing rents ever higher. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Asking rents rose in 24 of the 25 largest rental markets from a year ago, according to a new report from online real estate company Trulia. Rents are pushing double digit gains in San Francisco, Miami, Oakland, Denver, Seattle and Boston, and rents are rising faster than asking prices in 21 of the 25 largest rental markets year-over-year. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“For the first time, [home] prices are up year over year in a majority of metros, and asking home prices have increased for six straight months,&#8221; writes Trulia&#8217;s chief economist Jed Kolko in a release. &#8220;Rents, however, are rising even faster than prices in most markets. These price and rent increases, along with declining vacancies, should encourage new construction, which means housing will finally start contributing to the economic recovery.” </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The question remains, where is the tipping point? As it becomes more expensive to rent than buy in more markets, more Americans should turn to buying, but so far they are not. Issues with negative equity, credit and confidence continue to plague home buying. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />And are rents approaching bubble status? Investors continue to flock to the distressed housing market, trying to take advantage of rising rents, specifically in single family. Many of those investors say they are not concerned about a bubble, believing there has been a sea change in attitudes toward home ownership that could last through the decade. Whether it is attitudes or lack of available credit keeping the rental market on a tear, at some point, as happened during the housing bubble, prices will prevail. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong><strong /></strong></b></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="In a Twist, Both Home Prices and Rents Rise" alt=" In a Twist, Both Home Prices and Rents Rise" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48547923?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/48547923?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Buy, Sell or Rent: Americans Rewrite the Dream</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1635/buy-sell-or-rent-americans-rewrite-the-dream/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1635/buy-sell-or-rent-americans-rewrite-the-dream/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Aug 2012 11:55:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[American homes have never been more affordable than they are today. Prices are down dramatically, mortgage rates are at record lows and desperate sellers are willing to make concessions. Still about one third of Americans choose to rent, despite the &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1635/buy-sell-or-rent-americans-rewrite-the-dream/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />American homes have never been more affordable than they are today. Prices are down dramatically, mortgage rates are at record lows and desperate sellers are willing to make concessions. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Still about one third of Americans choose to rent, despite the fact that 85 percent say owning makes more sense financially than renting over the long term, according to a new Fannie Mae study. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Buying is cheaper than renting in most U.S. markets, according to another study from online real estate sale site Zillow. The upfront costs may be higher, but Zillow looked at what it calls the “breakeven horizon,” which is when the cost of owning (including down payment, taxes, fees) meets the cost of renting. While markets will vary neighborhood to neighborhood, the breakeven point in many markets, like Minneapolis, Baltimore, Denver, St. Louis, Chicago and Charlotte, is under three years. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The main barrier to homeownership for many, however, is the mortgage market. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The days of free-wheeling lending are over, and credit worthiness is now king. There are low down payment options, like the FHA, but too many potential buyers don’t meet the credit qualifications either for the great low rates or for the loan itself. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The other half of the equation is attitudes. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Consumer confidence in housing is still in the basement, especially for younger Americans, who make up 46 percent of the rental market, according to Fannie Mae. Younger Americans not only have the highest unemployment rate, but they also don’t have the cash for today’s higher down payments, and in many cases they’ve seen their parents lose massive amounts of home equity. Fannie Mae’s survey found that attitudes played a much bigger role in the decision to buy for some, while demographics played higher for others, and home values, believe it or not, played a very small role: </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Demographics such as income, age, marital status, and employment status are the primary drivers of current homeownership status and the own-rent intention for outright homeowners (those who don’t have a mortgage). However, attitudes are the key drivers of the own-rent intention for renters and homeowners with a mortgage – two groups that account for about 80 percent of housing units in the U.S. Surprisingly, we also found that exposure to default, perceived home value appreciation/depreciation, and self-reported underwater status make minimal incremental contributions to predicting the own-rent intention in the models. </em></p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />While renters have historically been younger, lower wage-earners, nearly 20 percent of renters make between $50,000 and $100,000 a year in income, according to Fannie Mae. Nearly half of those who own a home without a mortgage are over the age of 65. But the renters keep coming, as aging baby boomers downsize and as younger cohorts choose not to fight the mortgage market. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“While we do agree that housing is bottoming, that doesn’t mean we’re coming back strongly,” says Oliver Chang, former head of housing strategy at <b><strong>Morgan Stanley <span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3f1c5_blank.gif" border="0" title="Buy, Sell or Rent: Americans Rewrite the Dream" alt="3f1c5 blank Buy, Sell or Rent: Americans Rewrite the Dream" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/ms" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>MS</span> <br />
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3f1c5_realtime_icon.gif" title="Buy, Sell or Rent: Americans Rewrite the Dream" alt="3f1c5 realtime icon Buy, Sell or Rent: Americans Rewrite the Dream" /></span>]</a></span></span></strong></b>, who just launched Sylvan Road Capital, a new real estate fund which intends to invest $1 billion in the single family rental market over the next two years. “It is still incredibly difficult to get mortgage credit. The lending environment, whether government-backed or private, is still unclear.” </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Despite the recession, the household formation rate has been growing steadily, which means more demand for shelter. Rentals will likely absorb much of that demand, unless and until lending ramps up. It will take several years for many Americans to not only rebuild their credit scores and rebuild their faith in home ownership. </p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
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<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48461343?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/48461343?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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