Typically when rents go up, more renters turn to home buying.

When home prices go up, more turn to renting, but today’s housing market is anything but typical.

Rents were up 3 percent nationally in January, year-over-year, according to a soon-to-be released new rental index from Zillow.com. Home prices, however, were down 4.6 percent annually.

When you look locally, the numbers are more dramatic.

In some markets, rents rose almost as much as home values fell. Take Chicago, for example, where rents were up just over 9 percent annually while home values were down just over 10 percent. The same is true for Minneapolis, where the divide is nearly the same. In San Francisco and Detroit, rents are up around 5 percent while home prices are down the same. It begs the question, as the rent vs. own divide grows, will the rental bubble suddenly burst?

Right now investors are rushing to get in on cheap foreclosures, hoping to turn them around for quick rental income. The regulator of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the FHFA, is in the midst of a pilot program to sell 2500 foreclosed properties to investors as rentals. The bulk of these properties are already rented, which means buyers get a turn-key investment with instant returns.

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Not to sound like a broken record, but only when we work through the vast inventory and shadow inventory of foreclosed properties, can home prices bottom and housing recover overall. Obviously certain markets are more burdened by the distress than others, but it’s a universal truth.

In April, however, the percentage of investors and all-cash buyers in the market dropped a bit. Investors have been buying the lion’s share of foreclosures, as first-time home buyers continue to play a very small role in housing’s recovery. First-time buyers should be about 40 percent of the market, but realtors say they are now about 36 percent. They made up nearly half of the market last Spring, but that was all thanks to the home buyer tax credit.

In addition to a tough job and mortgage market, first-time buyers are also looking at a lot of work when buying a foreclosed property.

I found this survey from Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance particularly interesting this month:

For the month of April, 45% of foreclosed properties were damaged and not inhabitable without renovation. Because mortgage financing is generally not available for foreclosed properties that need major repairs, investors often buy these properties for cash. Fifty-five percent of damaged foreclosed properties were bought by investors in the month of April, while only 27% were bought by first-time homebuyers.

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With all the turmoil and unknown in the markets, investors today may be searching for a safe-haven. U.S. real estate wouldn’t exactly sit at the top of the list for most, given the still uncertain state of the housing and credit markets, but there is one sector that seems to have fundamentals and sentiment on its side: Apartments.

We’re in Boston, MA today for day two of the Spring Realty Check: Opportunity Knocks. Boston is home to Avalon Bay, one of the largest apartment REITs in the nation. It’s revenues were up 8 percent year over and shares are up 34 percent from a year ago. It’s the upside to the downturn in housing. Many people who lost their homes to foreclosure have been forced to the rental market, others who are unable to get a mortgage are doing the same, and still others who would have headed toward home ownership have been scared away from the market by still falling prices. In turn, apartment vacancies are down, rents are up and REITs are reaping the rewards.

We interviewed a young couple in Boston, fiancées, and I think their insights are indicative of so many around the country.

“A lot of people are scared to buy just because if they have to move or things change, you lose money on the house and you might not be able to sell it. In my mind it’s just easier and more safe to rent.”

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