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		<title>McMansions Return: Big Houses Are Coming Back</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1907/mcmansions-return-big-houses-are-coming-back/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Dec 2012 17:40:46 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The average size of a newly built home increased 3.7 percent in 2011 from 2010, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That was the first annual increase since 2007 and indicates that home builders are seeing demand for larger spaces. &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1907/mcmansions-return-big-houses-are-coming-back/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The average size of a newly built home increased 3.7 percent in 2011 from 2010, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That was the first annual increase since 2007 and indicates that home builders are seeing demand for larger spaces. The demand, however, is not where it used to be. Home buyers are less willing to head out to the so-called &#8220;ex-urbs&#8221; to get their larger space,&#8221; according to the latest findings from the American Institute of Architects. (<em>Read More</em>: Best US Housing Markets for Buyers and Sellers)</p>
<p>&#8220;In many areas, we are seeing more interest in urban infill locations than in remote exurbs, which is having a pronounced shift in neighborhood design elements,&#8221; said AIA Chief Economist, Kermit Baker.  &#8220;And regardless of city or suburban dwellers, people are asking more from their communities in terms of access to public transit, walkable areas and close proximity to job centers, retail options and open space.&#8221;</p>
<p>Half of residential architecture firms highlight demand for multi-generational housing, up from 44 percent in 2011. Fifty-nine percent said access to public transportation is key, up from 47 percent a year ago. (<em>Read More</em>: New Nightmare for Home Builders: Not Enough Skilled Workers)</p>
<p>More homeowners are also upsizing what they have, with 58 percent of architects reporting improvement in additions and alterations, up from just 35 percent a year ago; kitchen and bath, as usual, top the must-have list.</p>
<p>During the last housing boom, extravagance drove new construction and remodeling. Now, the trends are more practical, with energy efficiency and the need to accommodate growing families driving the gains. Home owners are also looking to builders to help them use the space they have more efficiently, especially Baby Boomers. </p>
<p>&#8220;They have a lot of desires for the home, and we&#8217;re hearing this group say they want functionality and smartly-designed homes without wasted space,&#8221; said Meyer, who adds that this doesn&#8217;t necessarily translate into smaller homes. While these findings bode well for the home builders, they may also add optimism to the upper end of the market, and all those so-called &#8220;McMansions,&#8221; many of which lost significant value during the housing crash. (<em>Read More</em>: Pending Home Sales Surge to Five Year High)</p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100321206">http://www.cnbc.com/id/100321206</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Bay Area new-home construction rebounds</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1789/bay-area-new-home-construction-rebounds/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1789/bay-area-new-home-construction-rebounds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Oct 2012 07:41:42 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[SF Bay Area News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Construction of new homes around the Bay Area is on an upswing this year, showing signs of a return to normal following its surge during the housing boom and its dismal retrenchment during the downturn. The increased activity mirrors what&#8217;s &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1789/bay-area-new-home-construction-rebounds/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Construction of new homes around the Bay Area is on an upswing this year, showing signs of a return to normal following its surge during the housing boom and its dismal retrenchment during the downturn.</p>
<p>The increased activity mirrors what&#8217;s happening nationally, as builders ramp up after a long hibernation that saw home starts plunge to record lows. </p>
<p>A Chronicle analysis of Census Bureau data on housing permits &#8211; a strong indicator of future construction as 86 percent become housing starts within one month &#8211; shows that this year the core Bay Area counties are on track for more-robust home building. </p>
<p>The home construction market is returning to normal as it recovers from the &#8220;boom and bust carnage,&#8221; said Robert Denk, senior economist at the National Association of Home Builders.</p>
<p>&#8220;We definitely see that we&#8217;re on our way up off the bottom,&#8221; said Gary Mayo, group president for Northern California and Nevada at Toll Brothers, one of the nation&#8217;s largest home builders. &#8220;The market is improving across the country, with Northern California among the stronger areas. In the Bay Area, sales started to dramatically improve in January. Our sales in the Bay Area on the same (housing developments) as last year are up 100 percent this year.&#8221;</p>
<h3 class="subhead">Models not even done</h3>
<p>Toll has luxury developments in Brisbane and Sunnyvale &#8211; each of which has sold more than a dozen homes without even completing a model house.</p>
<p>&#8220;We have a sales trailer out in the middle of the raw land where we&#8217;re putting in the site improvements. It shows the strength of the market: People are buying off of the blueprints and our reputation,&#8221; he said. Another new site in Pleasanton opened a week ago and has taken six deposits. Existing developments around the bay in Hayward, San Ramon, Dublin and elsewhere are suddenly finding a ready coterie of buyers, he said. </p>
<p>Kenny and Rena Tan will pay about $1 million for a five-bedroom home in Toll&#8217;s Brisbane development called the Ridge, which will be ready in about a year. For now, they put down a nonrefundable $9,000 deposit, accounting for about half of the structural options they requested, such as converting the downstairs library to a bedroom, putting in a kitchen island and a adding a sink to the laundry room. </p>
<p>They like the location, near San Francisco and the airport, and picked a site with hill views, he said. </p>
<p>At 52, Tan said they were looking ahead to their senior years. </p>
<p>&#8220;We wanted a home we can retire in, with a downstairs bedroom so we don&#8217;t have to climb stairs as we get older,&#8221; he said. </p>
<p>As a <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/">real estate</a> lawyer, he&#8217;s very familiar with the market, Tan said. </p>
<p>&#8220;I know that the worst is over; especially in San Francisco and the Peninsula there is such a strong demand for homes that it is a very resilient market,&#8221; he said. &#8220;I waited until now; no way would I have jumped in two years ago.&#8221;</p>
<p> What caused the turnaround? </p>
<p>Richard Green, director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, said that a growing population&#8217;s demand had caught up with the existing supply, making it time for new homes to be built. </p>
<p>&#8220;We went a long time, basically five years, with almost no new construction to speak of,&#8221; he said. &#8220;In the post-World War II era we&#8217;ve never seen anything like this before, so it had to turn around.&#8221;</p>
<p>Biggest of all, Denk said: stabilization of the overall housing market. &#8220;Nobody will buy a house if they expect it to lose value,&#8221; he said. &#8220;The bottoming out of house prices is a critical factor enabling the turnaround.&#8221;</p>
<h3 class="subhead">Low interest rates</h3>
<p>Overall economic conditions, with growing consumer confidence and record-low interest rates, is another factor.</p>
<p>&#8220;I think people are tired of waiting,&#8221; Mayo said. &#8220;They&#8217;ve been sitting on the sidelines for five years wanting a new home but didn&#8217;t feel the dynamics were right. Employment didn&#8217;t feel solid. Now (they see) low interest rates, a strengthening economy and (more) equity in their existing homes, so they can sell them.&#8221;</p>
<p>Consider this: In both 2005 and 2006, builders pulled permits for about 15,000 new homes a year in the San Francisco metropolitan area (the counties of Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco and San Mateo), a little more than half of them being single-family houses and the rest <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/rentals">apartments</a> or condos. In 2009, just 3,550 permits were issued. By 2011 it was up to about 5,800. </p>
<h3 class="subhead">Soaring past last year</h3>
<p>As of August, builders have already taken out about 5,800 permits this year &#8211; as many as in all of last year &#8211; putting them on track to exceed last year&#8217;s total by 50 percent. </p>
<p>The San Jose metro area (the counties of Santa Clara and San Benito) had an even deeper plunge, going from roughly 6,000 new permits a year to only 1,100 in 2009. This year, it is on track for about 5,800 permits &#8211; almost back to its boom-time levels.</p>
<p>Home construction is an economic indicator that packs a hefty wallop. Building a house creates the equivalent of three full-time yearlong jobs, according to the National Association of Home Builders. About half of them are construction &#8211; the folks who swing the hammers and install the plumbing and electricity &#8211; while the other half are everything from real estate agents, mortgage brokers and lawyers to sellers of concrete, brick, masonry, steel, furniture and other goods. </p>
<p>The United States &#8220;was hovering at 1.4 million single-family houses being built a year, and that dropped to 400,000,&#8221; Denk said. &#8220;With 1 million fewer housing starts, that meant 3 million jobs that weren&#8217;t there because we weren&#8217;t building at a normal pace.&#8221;</p>
<p>From 2007 to 2011, more than 2.1 million construction workers lost their jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Since then, only about a quarter of a million have gone back to work in the industry.</p>
<p>&#8220;In a normal year, housing construction is 5 percent of GDP,&#8221; Green said. The downturn &#8220;shaved 3 percent off the GDP. When we get back to normal &#8211; and we&#8217;re still not there yet &#8211; that&#8217;s another 3 percent back of GDP, which I think everyone will welcome.&#8221;</p>
<h3 class="subhead">Exurbia building</h3>
<p>Some people predicted that post-downturn new homes would be leaner than the boom-time McMansions, but that doesn&#8217;t seem to be holding true. </p>
<p>&#8220;There is more building in exurbia, where land is relatively cheap,&#8221; Green said. &#8220;Developers make bigger margins on bigger houses, so that&#8217;s probably what we&#8217;re going to see.&#8221;</p>
<p>Patrick Duffy, principal at home-building consultant Metro Intelligence Real Estate Advisors, said he predicts that next year will see builders break ground on 800,000 to 1 million new homes nationwide, following this year&#8217;s projected 600,000. </p>
<p>&#8220;House building has a big multiplier effect&#8221; on the economy, he said. &#8220;That&#8217;s why we&#8217;ve been dragging along. Now housing is starting to pick up; that&#8217;s a nice annual bump. It&#8217;s really hopeful, but there&#8217;s still some economic uncertainty out there. &#8220;</p>
<p class="dtlcomment">Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. E-mail: csaid@sfchronicle.com</p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Bay-Area-new-home-construction-rebounds-3986773.php">http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Bay-Area-new-home-construction-rebounds-3986773.php</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>LA beats Bay Area on gender gap in pay</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1735/la-beats-bay-area-on-gender-gap-in-pay/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Sep 2012 05:51:30 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Before we officially declare the &#8220;End of Men,&#8221; as Hanna Rosin&#8216;s much discussed book would have it, there&#8217;s a bit of unfinished business out there. That would be unequal pay, or what Rosin &#8211; who sees the 21st century service-oriented &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1735/la-beats-bay-area-on-gender-gap-in-pay/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Before we officially declare the &#8220;End of Men,&#8221; as <strong>Hanna Rosin</strong>&#8216;s much discussed book would have it, there&#8217;s a bit of unfinished business out there.</p>
<p>That would be unequal pay, or what Rosin &#8211; who sees the 21st century service-oriented economy playing more to women&#8217;s strengths &#8211; calls &#8220;the last artifacts of a vanishing age.&#8221; </p>
<p>How are those artifacts doing? Nationally, for every dollar paid to men, working women are getting 77 cents, according to 2011 figures from the U.S. Census Bureau. Working women in California are doing relatively better, earning 85 cents for every dollar paid to men. But if you think women in the progressive Bay Area are doing the best of all, you&#8217;d be wrong. </p>
<p>The four congressional districts where women&#8217;s median pay equals or exceeds men&#8217;s are in and around Los Angeles, suggesting there&#8217;s more equality in the entertainment world than in high tech or finance. </p>
<p>The southern part of Silicon Valley, including San Jose, comes close, with women there making 97 percent of men&#8217;s pay. But in another Silicon Valley congressional district, including Santa Clara, Los Altos and Cupertino, women are paid just 73 cents for every dollar made by a man &#8211; below the national and state averages, and equivalent to an annual wage gap of $21,000, according to an analysis of the Census Bureau report by the <strong>National Partnership for Women  Families</strong>, an advocacy group in Washington, D.C.</p>
<p>San Francisco, represented by House Minority Leader <strong><a href="http://www.sfgate.com/nancy-pelosi/">Nancy Pelosi</a></strong>, also has a ways to go, with women here making 85 percent of men&#8217;s median pay &#8211; an annual wage gap of $9,800. Alameda, San Mateo and Marin counties do better than San Francisco. Contra Costa lags, with a wage gap of up to $20,000. </p>
<p>Other studies suggest the gender gap may be smaller &#8211; as low as 5 cents on the dollar, according to one produced for the U.S. Labor Department in 2009 &#8211; but it&#8217;s still there, as the Equal Pay Act of 1963 approaches its 50th anniversary.</p>
<p><strong>Scofflaw watch: </strong>It&#8217;s that time of year again, when the state Board of Equalization puts out its quarterly list of the top 500 tax delinquents.</p>
<p>Many of the names will be familiar to those keeping tabs on California&#8217;s biggest offenders; for example, <strong>C  JD USA Inc</strong>., a shipping firm in Oakland, has owed $16.9 million since at least 2010.</p>
<p>One new name did catch our eye, though: <strong>Siebel Systems</strong>, co-founded by billionaire entrepreneur <strong>Thomas Siebel</strong>, owes the state $1,371,765 in back taxes, and has a lien placed on the company&#8217;s listed headquarters in San Mateo.</p>
<p>One of America&#8217;s largest customer relationship management software companies, Siebel Systems was acquired by <strong>Oracle</strong> for $5.8 billion in 2006, and a Wikipedia entry labels the company &#8220;defunct.&#8221; Its listed telephone number was disconnected. </p>
<p>So who is actually on the hook for the money, and how far back do the unpaid taxes go? Oracle, when contacted, declined to comment. Oracle continues to market Siebel-branded products, including Siebel CRM Public Sector 8.2.2, released in December. </p>
<p>Siebel, a former Oracle executive, is currently chairman of <strong>First Virtual Group</strong>, a holding company headquartered in Palo Alto, and of <strong>C3 Energy</strong>, an enterprise management software company in Redwood City. Calls and e-mails to both companies were not returned on Monday.</p>
<p>Citing confidentiality rules, the Board of Equalization says it could not provide details of the date or dates of the unpaid taxes, but referred me to published information about the tax lien, first dated March 7, 2012. </p>
<p>Are there cases of companies or business owners being cited for unpaid taxes dating back several years? Yes, said board spokesmen. </p>
<p><strong>Going begging: </strong>The state of California has $6.1 billion to give away. That&#8217;s the amount of unclaimed property it&#8217;s collected on behalf of 17 million individuals and organizations, according to the controller&#8217;s office.</p>
<p>No, not <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/">real estate</a>; these are bank accounts, safety deposit box contents, cashier&#8217;s checks, money orders, stocks, mutual funds, CDs, matured insurance policies and more that owners, or their heirs, have forgotten to collect. </p>
<p>They&#8217;re being held under California&#8217;s Unclaimed Property Law, designed to prevent institutions like banks and insurance companies from pocketing the uncollected money for themselves. </p>
<p>Feeling lucky? Check out the controller&#8217;s unclaimed property page at <a href="http://scoweb.sco.ca.gov/UCP">scoweb.sco.ca.gov/UCP</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Back to the table: </strong>The <strong>California Public Employees&#8217; Retirement System </strong>must be feeling luckier than the last time it dabbled heavily in real estate.</p>
<p>CalPERS recently announced a $530 million investment in Chinese real estate funds, despite rumblings of a bubble in that country&#8217;s real estate market. </p>
<p>&#8220;Income growth and urbanization remain the key themes for growth in China,&#8221; said <strong>Joe Dear</strong>, the pension fund&#8217;s chief investment officer. &#8220;China&#8217;s office and retail sectors offer stable rental income and potential for capital value growth.&#8221;</p>
<p>Previous investments in Chinese real estate have done well for CalPERS, earning a 19.2 percent return for the year ending March 31. On the other hand, CalPERS&#8217; real estate investments have taken a shellacking at home, losing almost half their value in 2009 when the U.S. bubble burst. </p>
<p>Not to worry, though.</p>
<p>&#8220;We believe foreign investment in the Chinese real estate market will continue to grow over time, notwithstanding near-term challenges and some price volatility along the way,&#8221; <strong>Moses Song</strong>, head of <strong>ARA Asset Management</strong>, which is handling CalPERS money, told the English-language <strong>China Daily</strong> last week.</p>
<p class="dtlcomment">Andrew S. Ross is a San Francisco Chronicle columnist. E-mail: bottomline@sfchronicle.com Blog: <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/columns/bottomline">www.sfgate.com/columns/bottomline</a> Twitter: <a href="http://twitter.com/andrewsross">@andrewsross</a> Facebook: <a href="http://sfg.ly/doACKM">sfg.ly/doACKM</a></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/business/bottomline/article/L-A-beats-Bay-Area-on-gender-gap-in-pay-3890940.php">http://www.sfgate.com/business/bottomline/article/L-A-beats-Bay-Area-on-gender-gap-in-pay-3890940.php</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Renter Nation Rages On</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1623/renter-nation-rages-on/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Jul 2012 11:25:13 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[The supply of empty homes for rent is falling, and the nation’s homeownership rate is hovering near a fifteen year low. How can that be when the housing market is finally turning around and more homes are selling? The answer &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1623/renter-nation-rages-on/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/67061_77805457_opt.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="Renter Nation Rages On" alt="67061 77805457 opt Renter Nation Rages On" /><br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The supply of empty homes for rent is falling, and the nation’s homeownership rate is hovering near a fifteen year low. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />How can that be when the housing market is finally turning around and more homes are selling? </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The answer is simple: Investors. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The nation’s home ownership rate ticked up a statistically insignificant basis point, from 65.5 percent in the first quarter of this year to 65.6 percent in the second quarter, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Q1 was the lowest home ownership rate since 1997 and is down from the peak of 69.4 percent in 2004. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Given that home sales improved significantly during the first half of this year, you would think that home ownership rate should have surged higher, but the rate is calculated using only owner-occupied homes. If an investor buys one home or 100 homes, those homes are not even put into the calculation because they owner doesn’t live in the homes. Realtors estimate around 20 percent of homes sales are currently to investors, but given bulk deals offered by the government and banks on foreclosed properties, that percentage is likely higher. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“The very modest increase in the homeownership rate in Q2 does not persuade us to alter our view that the share of the population who own their home will fall further over the next couple of years,” writes Paul Diggle of Capital Economics. “Meanwhile, supply conditions in the rental market are tightening, with a falling proportion of single and multi-family rental homes vacant.” </p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Rental vacancies in fact fell to their lowest rate since 2001. That is why so many investors are rushing in to buy distressed properties. The rental market his hot and getting hotter. Average asking rent rose 5 percent from a year ago, though they are down slightly from the previous quarter. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Since the peak of home ownership in 2004, six and a half million additional U.S. households are renting, which Diggle calculates is equivalent to 90 percent of the increase in total household numbers over that time. He estimates home ownership will fall to 64 percent over the next two years. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />An investor-driven recovery in home sales is certainly positive and is helping to clear the huge backlog of distressed properties on the low end; investors are necessary now, but until real owner-occupants, including the all-important first-time home buyer, return, a robust recovery in all price tiers of the market will remain out of reach. </p>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Renter Nation Rages On" alt=" Renter Nation Rages On" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48354027?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/48354027?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Census: Blacks leaving urban core for East Bay suburbs</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/482/census-blacks-leaving-urban-core-for-east-bay-suburbs/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/482/census-blacks-leaving-urban-core-for-east-bay-suburbs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Mar 2011 17:21:07 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[SF Bay Area News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[African Americans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Antioch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bishop O Dowd High School]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brentwood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Census Bureau]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Contra Costa County]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[East Bay Suburbs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[East Palo Alto]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[homes millbrae]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Job Opportunities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manteca]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mixed Race]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Agent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Single Mom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Square Foot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Total Population]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U S Census]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U S Census Bureau]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Urban Core]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[West Oakland]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In early 2008, moving from West Oakland to Antioch was a deal Felicia Duncan couldn&#8217;t refuse. &#8220;I had purchased a house, the kind of house I was able to get out there but I couldn&#8217;t get here for the price,&#8221; &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/482/census-blacks-leaving-urban-core-for-east-bay-suburbs/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p>In early 2008, moving from West Oakland to Antioch was a deal Felicia Duncan couldn&#8217;t refuse.</p>
<p>&#8220;I had purchased a house, the kind of house I was able to get out there but I couldn&#8217;t get here for the price,&#8221; said the real estate agent and single mom. She moved into an almost-3,000-square-foot, four-year-old house that would have cost two or three times more in Oakland.</p>
<p>Today Duncan is renting out both her West Oakland and Antioch homes while living in an apartment in Oakland&#8217;s Adam&#8217;s Point section; she returned in early 2010 because Antioch didn&#8217;t offer an adequate public or private education for her daughter, now a sophomore at Oakland&#8217;s Bishop O&#8217;Dowd High School, and she couldn&#8217;t hack the commute.</p>
<p>She&#8217;s an exception, in that she came back. Many African Americans quit Bay Area cities for good in favor of lower housing prices, job opportunities, better schools or other draws elsewhere, according to data released Tuesday by the U.S. Census Bureau.</p>
<p>To some extent it&#8217;s a statewide phenomenon. The 2010 census &#8220;Black or African American alone&#8221; category, including  black people who don&#8217;t identify as mixed-race but including those who also identify as Latino, now accounts for 6.2 percent of California&#8217;s total population, down from 6.7 percent in 2000.</p>
<p>The change has been precipitous in the Bay Area&#8217;s historically black cities: Oakland&#8217;s and Richmond&#8217;s black populations each dropped by 23 percent from 2000 to 2010. That means black people accounted for </p>
<p>35.7 percent of Oakland&#8217;s population at the decade&#8217;s start and 27.3 percent at its end; in Richmond, blacks went from being 36.1 percent to 25.9 percent of the city&#8217;s population.
<p>Elsewhere, Berkeley&#8217;s black population decreased by 20 percent, San Francisco&#8217;s by 19 percent, and East Palo Alto&#8217;s by 31 percent.</p>
<p>Many people moved to the suburbs. Antioch, in Contra Costa County&#8217;s eastern reaches, saw its black population double while nearby Brentwood&#8217;s almost quintupled. Manteca&#8217;s black population more than doubled, Tracy&#8217;s by 91 percent, Stockton&#8217;s by 30 percent. And further inland, Sacramento suburbs such as Carmichael, Elk Grove and Roseville saw significant black population increases.</p>
<p>The reason for the flight to the suburbs?</p>
<p>&#8220;From what I&#8217;ve observed over the past 10 years, I think it&#8217;s redevelopment and violence,&#8221; said the Rev. Andre Shumake, the Richmond Improvement Association&#8217;s president.</p>
<p>Urban redevelopment has not met &#8220;the double bottom line&#8221; of providing good returns for investors while also benefiting the affected communities, he said. Redevelopment projects often displaced low- and moderate-income African-Americans and &#8220;many wind up not coming back, or they couldn&#8217;t afford to come back   taking their talents and skills elsewhere, and it leaves an incredible drain on the communities and the neighborhoods,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;The gentrification and displacement is alive and well in Richmond,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;As it relates to violence, I believe the devastation that many of these families have experienced and continue to experience meant families that could move away did move away   to what they believed would be a safer environment.&#8221; </p>
<p>Many times, he said, he has heard Richmond residents wish &#8220;if only I could just get out of here, take my family somewhere else.&#8221;</p>
<p>Some have stayed and organized against crime, he said, while some &#8220;decided they were just going to pack up and leave.&#8221;</p>
<p>Reggie Moore became Antioch&#8217;s first African-American elected leader, a city councilman, in 2006. He said most of the black community&#8217;s growth there seems to be in the city&#8217;s newer southeast section &#8212; an area in which he had advocated for slower, more limited development while serving as a city planning commissioner a decade ago.</p>
<p>Moore said most African-Americans probably moved to Antioch for the same reason he did in 1990, from Hayward. &#8220;You can buy a brand-new big home and triple your lot size for less than say a 60-year-old house in Oakland. The weather is warmer, there&#8217;s just a lot of opportunity,&#8221; Moore said.</p>
<p>Some might have brought their urban attitudes with them, Moore said, and the city has felt some culture shock. Moore said he has witnessed some racial insensitivity, which surprises him given the overall Bay Area&#8217;s progressive nature.</p>
<p>&#8220;There are times I&#8217;ve been taken aback, even shocked,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>A Cal State University academic saw a very old trend in the population shift.</p>
<p>This week&#8217;s data reveals market forces that have been shaping America&#8217;s cities for 150 years, perhaps exacerbated by the now-burst housing bubble, said Benjamin Bowser, emeritus professor and former chairman of the Sociology and Social Service Department at California State University, East Bay.</p>
<p>&#8220;African-American communities have generally been at the bottom of the housing pool in terms of price, cost and generational inheritance,&#8221; he said. &#8220;After other groups have settled communities and moved on, African-Americans have found that&#8217;s where they can buy into.&#8221;</p>
<p>Property values in historically black neighborhoods of Oakland, Richmond and other cities dipped to a point where they looked like bargains to more affluent people hoping to live near major urban centers. Many blacks suddenly saw their housing values rise, even if most of the rest of their economic outlook had not improved.</p>
<p>&#8220;And all of a sudden someone wants to give them obscene amounts of money for their property. That results in people selling and then taking that money and buying into newer, roomier, &#8216;better&#8217; properties in their interpretation   away from the Bay,&#8221; Bowser said. &#8220;These are going to be the new black communities for the next couple of decades, and the old black communities will be transitioned into new uses.&#8221;</p>
<p>This is producing a model more like European cities such as London and Paris, he said, in which poorer people of all ethnicities live in a ring around the urban center, commuting in to work. Better enforcement of ordinances that require new urban housing development to include space for low- and moderate-income households could ease this, he said, but ultimately &#8220;if values go up and you&#8217;re sitting on that, you get moved, and you get moved to places where values have gone down. That&#8217;s the nature of the market and of the economy.&#8221;</p>
<p>Another expert generally agreed with one reason for minorities moving to the suburbs, but cautioned that the housing crisis might be affecting the data.</p>
<p>With Oakland and other local cities hit hard by a foreclosure crisis that occurred during the census count, &#8220;that means the population of the community is in flux at that time&#8221; and so becomes harder to accurately count, said Steve Spiker, research director for the Oakland-based Urban Strategies Council.</p>
<p>For example, people who have lost their homes and moved in temporarily with relatives or friends might not be fully accounted for, he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s a lot of big social churning that&#8217;s happening right around the census time   so it&#8217;s hard to intricately trust the data.&#8221;</p>
<p>Staff Writers Paul Burgarino and Lisa Vorderbrueggen contributed to this report. Read the Political Blotter at <a href="http://IBAbuzz.com/politics">IBAbuzz.com/politics</a>. Follow Josh Richman at <a href="http://Twitter.com/josh_richman">Twitter.com/josh_richman</a>.</p>
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<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_17577468">http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_17577468</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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