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		<title>Is There a Housing Shortage?</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1773/is-there-a-housing-shortage/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Oct 2012 01:16:35 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[It’s hard to imagine, given that the nation’s housing market is still digging itself out of an epic foreclosure crisis, that there just are not enough homes available to buy. That, apparently, is the case, according to the National Association &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1773/is-there-a-housing-shortage/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_sold_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" alt="3dd68 sold 200 Is There a Housing Shortage?"  title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" />
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />It’s hard to imagine, given that the nation’s housing market is still digging itself out of an epic foreclosure crisis, that there just are not enough homes available to buy. That, apparently, is the case, according to the National Association of Realtors, who blame a <b><strong><a href="/id/49476821/"><strong>drop in home sales</strong></a> </strong></b>on an “acute lack of supply” in certain formerly hot markets. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Recent price increases are not deterring buyer interest,” notes Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “Rather, inventory shortages are limiting sales, notably in parts of the West.” </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />A little perspective. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The housing recovery has largely been driven by investors on the low end of the market. Cities like Phoenix, Las Vegas and Sacramento, CA, where the foreclosure crisis hit hardest and where home prices fell the most, were swarmed by these investors, who were looking to convert this distress into rental rewards. Witness, sales of homes priced under $100,000 in the West are down 47 percent from a year ago, according to the Realtors. This after investors drove prices notably higher. Distressed sales made up just 24 percent of total home sales in September, while they had been making up over one third of sales for the past two years. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>(Read More: <b><strong><strong>Home Prices Find New Peaks in Dozens of Cities</strong></strong></b>)</em></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />So where is all this distressed supply, given that there are still 5.45 million homes with mortgages that are either delinquent or in the foreclosure process (per LPS Applied Analytics)? Banks are doing more foreclosure alternatives, like short sales, but they are also making more aggressive loan modifications.<b><strong> Bank of America</strong></b> <span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_blank.gif" border="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 blank Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/bac" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>BAC</span> <br />
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	<span><img border="0" src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_realtime_icon.gif" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 realtime icon Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span>]</a></span></span> this week announced that in the past five months it has reduced principal on 30,000 troubled loans, with an average reduction of $145,000. This as part of the mortgage servicing settlement signed early this year. Loan modifications with reduced principal have a much lower re-default rate. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Yun suggests that builders need to really ramp up production in order for home sales to recover more. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Housing starts for single family homes in September were up 43 percent from a year ago and building permits up 27%, but the real volumes are still about half the normal level. New homes are popular with first-time home buyers, who are only making up 32 percent of the market, whereas they normally represent about 45 percent. That is due to still tight credit conditions. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>(Read More: <b><strong><strong>Is Housing Recovering as Much as Everyone Thinks</strong></strong></b>?)</em></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The biggest problem is that regular home sellers are not putting their homes on the market at a high enough rate to offset the drop in distressed volumes. Why? Part of it is still a lack of confidence in the market, but most of it that, as of August, about 15 million homeowners still owed more on their mortgages than their homes were worth, according to Zillow. That’s 31 percent of homes with a mortgage. Negative equity and near negative equity is largely what is holding the market back now, even as distressed homes slowly move out of the system. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>(Read More: <b><strong><strong>Apartment Demand Ebbs as ‘Avalanche’ of New Units Open</strong></strong></b>)</em></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Given the huge drops in sales and inventory out West, which had been driving much of the gains in the overall market, some analysts predict deeper sales drops in the coming months. While sales of higher priced homes are up considerably from a year ago, they still make up a very small share of the total market. About 65 percent of the market is made up of homes priced lower than $250,000. These are a lot of numbers to digest, but they add up to a still bumpy recovery ahead for housing. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><b><strong><em>Sector Watch: US Home Builders &#8211; <strong>Click on Ticker to Follow Real Estate News:</strong></em></strong></b></p>
<ul>
<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Toll Brothers </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_blank.gif" border="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 blank Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/tol" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>TOL</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>DR Horton </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_blank.gif" border="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 blank Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/dhi" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>DHI</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Hovnanian Enterprises </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_blank.gif" border="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 blank Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/hov" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>HOV</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>PulteGroup </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_blank.gif" border="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 blank Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/phm" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>PHM</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Ryland Group </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_blank.gif" border="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 blank Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/ryl" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>RYL</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Lennar Corp </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_blank.gif" border="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 blank Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/len" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>LEN</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Beazer Homes USA </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_blank.gif" border="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 blank Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/bzh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>BZH</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>Meritage Homes </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_blank.gif" border="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 blank Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/mth" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>MTH</span> <br />
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<li class="textBodyBlack"><b><strong>KB Home </strong></b><span><span><span class="cboq_div"><span class="cbo_qwrpr"><br /><span><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/3dd68_blank.gif" border="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt="3dd68 blank Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></span></span></span></span><span><a href="http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/kbh" class="black_no_change"><span>[</span><span>KBH</span> <br />
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</ul>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Is There a Housing Shortage?" alt=" Is There a Housing Shortage?" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/49476348?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/49476348?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Pending Home Sales Fall in June Due to ‘Fewer Listings’</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1619/pending-home-sales-fall-in-june-due-to-%e2%80%98fewer-listings%e2%80%99/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1619/pending-home-sales-fall-in-june-due-to-%e2%80%98fewer-listings%e2%80%99/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jul 2012 23:07:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Home buyers signed fewer contracts to buy existing homes in June, despite renewed optimism in the overall housing recovery. The pending home sales index from the National Association of Realtors fell 1.4 percent from May. It is up 9.5% from &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1619/pending-home-sales-fall-in-june-due-to-%e2%80%98fewer-listings%e2%80%99/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/0f317_homes_for_sale2_200.jpg" border="0" align="Left" height="150" width="200" vspace="0" hspace="0" title="Pending Home Sales Fall in June Due to ‘Fewer Listings’" alt="0f317 homes for sale2 200 Pending Home Sales Fall in June Due to ‘Fewer Listings’" /><br />
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<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Home buyers signed fewer contracts to buy existing homes in June, despite renewed optimism in the overall housing recovery. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The pending home sales index from the National Association of Realtors fell 1.4 percent from May. It is up 9.5% from June of 2011. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Signed contracts are a forward-looking indicator for existing home sales, but given mortgage and appraisal issues plaguing today&#8217;s housing market, final sales have not tracked the pending index as closely as they have historically. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Buyer interest remains strong but fewer home listings mean fewer contract signing opportunities,” said the NAR&#8217;s chief economist Lawrence Yun. “We’ve been seeing a steady decline in the level of housing inventory, which is most pronounced in the lower price ranges popular with first-time buyers and investors.” </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Investors have been rushing to buy distressed properties, seeking to take advantage of today&#8217;s hot rental market, but those inventories have been declining precipitously, especially in some of the hardest hit markets, like Phoenix and <b><strong><a href="/id/48324812/"><strong>parts of California</strong></a></strong></b>. So much of the recent sales activity has been on the low end, so a drop in this supply really shows just how dependent this market is on distressed sales. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />“Any bank-owned properties that have been held back in markets with inventory shortages should be released expeditiously to help meet market demand,” Yun said. “Housing starts will likely need to double over the next two years to satisfy the pent-up demand for both rentals and ownership.” </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /></p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />While most investor purchases are all-cash, the mortgage market continues to plague home sales, as banks are overwhelmed with refinance applications and are therefore taking longer to process all mortgage applications. Despite a nearly 6 percent jump in the pending home sales index in May, existing home sales fell 5.4 percent in June. New home sales, which are measured by signed contracts, not closings, fell 8.4 percent compared to the previous month. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />The Realtors note that there is buyer interest out there, but sellers are still reluctant to list their homes. This despite new evidence that home prices have stabilized in many of the nation&#8217;s markets. Lackluster job growth and negative equity continue to keep many potential buyers on the sidelines. Mortgage rates are at record lows, but home purchase applications have been flat over the past month, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. </p>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span />Regionally the Pending Home Sales Index in the Northeast fell 7.6 percent from May but is 12.2 percent higher than a year ago. In the Midwest the index slipped 0.4 percent but is 17.3 percent above June 2011. Pending home sales in the South declined 2.0 percent but are 8.8 percent above a year earlier. In the West the index rose 2.6 percent from May and is 3.0 percent higher than June 2011. </p>
<p><strong><strong>
<ul class="ll_bullet">
<li class="ll_bullet cFont cf11 clr">Million-Dollar Homes</li>
<li class="ll_bullet cFont cf11 clr">More Foreclosures Ahead? </li>
<li class="ll_bullet cFont cf11 clr">Home Sales Disappoint Twice</li>
<li class="ll_bullet cFont cf11 clr">Home Price Bottom or Bubble?</li>
</ul>
<p></strong></strong>
<p class="textBodyBlack"><span /><em>Questions?  Comments?  </em><em /><em>And follow me on </em><a href="http://twitter.com/diana_Olick"><em>Twitter @Diana_Olick</em></a></p>
<p><img width="100%" height="0" title="Pending Home Sales Fall in June Due to ‘Fewer Listings’" alt=" Pending Home Sales Fall in June Due to ‘Fewer Listings’" /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48335711?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS">http://www.cnbc.com/id/48335711?__source=RSS*blog*&amp;par=RSS</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>San Francisco Real Estate Company, Zephyr Realty Advises Timely Real Estate &#8230;</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1172/san-francisco-real-estate-company-zephyr-realty-advises-timely-real-estate/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1172/san-francisco-real-estate-company-zephyr-realty-advises-timely-real-estate/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2011 21:52:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/1172/san-francisco-real-estate-company-zephyr-realty-advises-timely-real-estate/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Real estate agent Tim Gullicksen of Zephyr Realty advises the public to purchase real estate now before prices are pushed higher when the rental market saturates. San Francisco, CA (PRWEB) December 23, 2011 The fourth quarter of 2011 is seeing &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1172/san-francisco-real-estate-company-zephyr-realty-advises-timely-real-estate/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Real estate agent Tim Gullicksen of Zephyr Realty advises the public to purchase real estate now before prices are pushed higher when the rental market saturates.</i></p>
<p class="releaseDateline">San Francisco, CA (PRWEB) December 23, 2011 </p>
<p> The fourth quarter of 2011 is seeing a rising trend in the San Francisco rental market, and Zephyr Realty agent Tim Gullicksen, one of the firm&#8217;s top <a href="http://www.realestatesanfranciscoarea.com" title="Tim Gullicksen Zephyr Realty">real estate agents</a>, advises would-be renters and others looking for space in the Bay Area that purchasing property now is a viable alternative.</p>
<p>&#8220;Rents are soaring and vacancy rates are shrinking, making the rental market in San Francisco more brutal and competitive than ever. The spillover effect has driven many would-be renters into the purchase market,&#8221; Gullicksen said. &#8220;So far this has not resulted in increased housing prices, but if this pressure on the sales market is sustained then it will inevitably lead to increased purchase prices.&#8221;</p>
<p>This spike in the rental market is largely due to the influx of highly paid high-tech and bio-tech workers employed in the area by gigantic corporations, such as Google, Apple and Genentech, which have started running private shuttles from San Francisco to their offices. The decreasing supply of available rental spaces has caused rents to rocket, leaving some people opting to buy homes instead.</p>
<p>At the moment, purchasing <a href="http://www.realestatesanfranciscoarea.com" title="Tim Gullicksen Zephyr Realty">real estate in San Francisco</a> presents both a practical and secure option for even a <a href="http://www.realestatesanfranciscoarea.com" title="Tim Gullicksen Zephyr Realty">first-time home buyer</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;Interest rates on 30-year fixed loans are still at a historic low, and with FHA loans allowing buyers to put as little as 3.5 percent down, the time has never been better to get into the real estate market,&#8221; Gullicksen said.</p>
<p>To learn more about housing trends in the Bay Area or to seek advice from a top-rate realtor who has a concrete understanding of the area, call Tim Gullicksen at 415-674-6500, view him on the web at <a href="http://www.timgullicksen.com"></a><a href="http://www.timgullicksen.com">www.timgullicksen.com</a>, or contact him personally at Zephyr Real Estate&#8217;s Pacific Heights Office at 2523 California St., San Francisco, CA 94115.</p>
<p>About Zephyr Realty</p>
<p>Zephyr Realty has been one of San Francisco&#8217;s best real estate firms for more than 30 years. It is the largest and most successful independent real estate firm, and its longevity has equipped Zephyr Realty with an in-depth knowledge of the San Francisco market. Zephyr Real Estate features real estate experts and more than 200 reliable agents working in six neighborhood locations.</p>
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<p>For the original version on PRWeb visit: <a href="http://www.prweb.com/releases/prwebreal-estate/san-francisco/prweb9062305.htm"></a><a href="http://www.prweb.com/releases/prwebreal-estate/san-francisco/prweb9062305.htm">www.prweb.com/releases/prwebreal-estate/san-francisco/prweb9062305.htm</a></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2011/12/23/prweb9062305.DTL">http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2011/12/23/prweb9062305.DTL</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Bay Area Sales See Summer Slip</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/821/bay-area-sales-see-summer-slip/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2011 01:51:49 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[SF Bay Area News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/821/bay-area-sales-see-summer-slip/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[San Francisco and the surrounding area experienced a sharper dip in home sales in July than what DataQuick analysts expected for the month. Buyer interest usually slows during this time of year, and the 13.9% drop is attributed to a &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/821/bay-area-sales-see-summer-slip/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>San Francisco and the surrounding area experienced a sharper dip in home sales in July than what DataQuick analysts expected for the month. Buyer interest usually slows during this time of year, and the 13.9% drop is attributed to a dysfunctional market, an unpredictable economy and a more unpredictable price bracket. Observers note that sales for homes priced above $500,000 were hit hardest due in part to the discretionary nature of spending at that level. Buyers of more expensive real estate can afford to take it or leave it, and low consumer confidence coupled with low investor expectations are encouraging potential purchasers in the nine-county area to hold on to their money.  For more on this continue reading the following article from <a href="http://www.thestreet.com" target="_blank">The Street</a>. </i></p>
<p>After posting a strong month-to-month sales gain in June, the Bay Area housing  market took a breather in July as potential buyers and sellers watched the  strange political show in Washington D.C. and pondered a rising tide of dreary  economic reports.</p>
<p>Sales fell more than usual from June &#8211; especially for homes above $500,000 &#8211;  but edged higher than July last year, which was 2010&#8242;s first month to lose the  full force of homebuyer tax credits, a real estate information service reported.</p>
<p>A total of 6,887 new and resale houses and condos sold in the nine-county Bay  Area last month. That was down 13.9% from 7,998 in June and up 1.7% from 6,773  in July 2010, according to San Diego-based <a href="http://www.dataquick.com/" rel="nofollow" target="blank">DataQuick</a>.</p>
<p>A decline from June to July is normal for the season, with that dip averaging  6.8% since 1988, when DataQuick&#8217;s statistics begin. July sales have varied from  a low of 6,666 in July 1995 to 14,258 in 2004. Last month&#8217;s sales were the  third-lowest on record for a July, behind July last year and in 1995, and fell  26.8% below the average July sale tally.</p>
<p>&#8220;Last year&#8217;s tax credits were by and large gone by July, so last month&#8217;s  year-over-year comparison is pretty much apples and apples. We&#8217;re still looking  at a dysfunctional market. Distribution curves are lopsided, bottom-feeding is  still prevalent and the lending market is just plain weird. We&#8217;re off bottom by  all metrics, but far from anything resembling normal,&#8221; said John Walsh,  DataQuick president.</p>
<p>Last month&#8217;s sales fell harder in the higher price ranges: The number of  $500,000-plus homes sold dropped 25.4% month-to-month and 19.2% year-over-year,  while sales below $500,000 fell 17.1% month-to-month and increased 3.5% from a  year ago.</p>
<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s certainly a lot more discretionary buying in the higher price  ranges,&#8221; Walsh said. &#8220;A lot of those buyers have the option to just take it or  leave it and, lately, it looks like more have been leaving it. There was a lot  of uncertainty out there over the economy, home prices and the nation&#8217;s future.  And that was before the stock market turbulence hit in early August.&#8221;</p>
<p>The median price paid for all new and resale houses and condos sold in the  Bay Area last month was $374,000, down 1.0% from $377,750 in June and down 7.0%  from $402,000 in July 2010. The June median was the highest this year, while the  July median was the second-highest.</p>
<p>The median&#8217;s low point during the current real estate cycle was $290,000 in  March 2009. The peak was $665,000 in June/July 2007. Around half of the median&#8217;s  peak-to-trough drop was the result of a decline in home values, while the other  half reflects a shift in the sales mix.</p>
<p>Foreclosure resales &#8211; homes that had been foreclosed on in the prior 12  months &#8211; accounted for 26.6% of resales in July. Last month&#8217;s figure was up  slightly from a revised 26.1% in June and up from 25.3% a year ago. Foreclosure  resales peaked at 52.0% in February 2009. The monthly average for foreclosure  resales over the past 15 years is about 9%.</p>
<p>Short sales &#8211; transactions where the sale price fell short of what was owed  on the property &#8211; made up an estimated 18.8% of Bay Area resales last month.  That was up from an estimated 17.9% in June, 17.2% a year earlier, and 14.4% two  years ago.</p>
<p>Last month 35.3% of Bay Area sales were for $500,000 or more, down from 37.7%  in June and down from 41.1% in July 2010. The all-time low for the current cycle  was in January 2009, when just 22.7% of sales crossed the $500,000 threshold.  Over the past 10 years, a monthly average of 47.3% of homes sold for  $500,000-plus.</p>
<p>Fueling many lower-end transactions are low-down-payment, government-insured  FHA home purchase loans, a popular choice among first-time buyers. They  accounted for 22.4% of all Bay Area home purchase mortgages in July, up from  20.6% in June and down from 23.1% a year earlier.</p>
<p>One indicator of mortgage availability that has seen improvement this year  dropped in July. Last month 14.2% of the Bay Area&#8217;s home purchase loans were  adjustable-rate mortgages, a drop from June&#8217;s 16.8, which was the highest  portion since 20.7% in August 2008. The average monthly ARM rate over the past  10 years is 45.3%. ARMs hit a low of 3.0% in January 2009.</p>
<p>Jumbo loans, mortgages above the old conforming limit of $417,000, remain  relatively hard to get but accounted for 32.7% of last month&#8217;s purchase lending,  down from 36.8% in June and 36.4% a year ago. Jumbo use hit a low for this cycle  of 17.1% in January 2009. Before the credit crunch struck in August 2007, jumbos  accounted for nearly 60% of the Bay Area purchase loan market.</p>
<p>Last month absentee buyers &#8211; mostly investors &#8211; purchased 21.2% of all Bay  Area homes sold, up from 20.0% in June and 17.4% a year ago. The peak was 23.4%  in February this year, while the monthly average since 2000 is 13.8%. Absentee  buyers paid a median $236,000 in July, up from $235,000 in June but down from  $269,250 a year ago.</p>
<p>Buyers who appeared to have paid all cash &#8211; meaning no corresponding purchase  loan was found in the public record &#8211; accounted for 26.3% of sales in July, up  from 26.0% in June and up from 25.1% a year ago. The record was 30.5% this  February, while the monthly average is 11.9% since 1988. Cash buyers paid a  median $230,000 in July, down from $248,000 in June and $270,000 a year earlier.</p>
<p>San Diego-based DataQuick monitors real estate activity nationwide and  provides information to consumers, educational institutions, public agencies,  lending institutions, title companies and industry analysts. Because of late  data availability, sales were estimated in Alameda and San Mateo counties.</p>
<p>The typical monthly mortgage payment that Bay Area buyers committed  themselves to paying last month was $1,525, up from $1,533 in June and down from  $1,641 a year ago. Adjusted for inflation, last month&#8217;s payment was 44.7% below  the typical payment in spring 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. It  was 59.1% below the current cycle&#8217;s peak in July 2007.</p>
<p>Indicators of market distress continue to move in different directions.  Foreclosure activity remains high by historical standards but below peak levels  reached over the last three years. Financing with multiple mortgages is low,  down payment sizes are stable, and non-owner occupied buying is above average,  DataQuick reported.</p>
<p><i>This article was republished with permission from </i><a href="http://www.thestreet.com/story/11222067/1/san-francisco-home-sales-dip-deeper-than-usual.html" target="_blank"><i>The Street</i></a><i>.</i></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.nuwireinvestor.com/articles/bay-area-sales-see-summer-slip-57651.aspx">http://www.nuwireinvestor.com/articles/bay-area-sales-see-summer-slip-57651.aspx</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>San Francisco luxury home prices plunge to 2004 level</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/642/san-francisco-luxury-home-prices-plunge-to-2004-level/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/642/san-francisco-luxury-home-prices-plunge-to-2004-level/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 May 2011 08:43:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[San Francisco’s luxury home values dropped in the first quarter to their lowest point since the first quarter of 2004, when the region was clawing its way back from the dot-com bust. San Francisco Bay Area luxury home values lost &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/642/san-francisco-luxury-home-prices-plunge-to-2004-level/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>                        <!-- Begin DFP Block --></p>
<p> <a href="http://ad.doubleclick.net/jump/bzj.sanfrancisco/article_page;at=daily;pageid=5335691;template=article_page;tile=2;pos=c1;kw=sanfrancisco;page=5335691;vs=banking_and_financial_services;vs=residential_real_estate;sz=300x250;ord=1306226623.1316.6.19246?" target="_blank"><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/4df47_article_page%3Bat%3Ddaily%3Bpageid%3D5335691%3Btemplate%3Darticle_page%3Btile%3D2%3Bpos%3Dc1%3Bkw%3Dsanfrancisco%3Bpage%3D5335691%3Bvs%3Dbanking_and_financial_services%3Bvs%3Dresidential_real_estate%3Bsz%3D300x250%3Bord%3D1306226623.1316.6.19246" width="300" height="250" border="0" title="San Francisco luxury home prices plunge to 2004 level" alt=" San Francisco luxury home prices plunge to 2004 level" /></a></p>
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<p>San Francisco’s luxury home values dropped in the first quarter to their lowest point since the first quarter of 2004, when the region was clawing its way back from the dot-com bust.</p>
<p>San Francisco Bay Area luxury home values lost 4.3 percent from the fourth quarter of 2010 and were down 1.9 percent from the first quarter of 2010, according to a quarterly survey produced by San Francisco-based First Republic Bank. (NYSE: FRC)</p>
<p>“Prices fell as sales activity declined,” said <strong>Katherine August-deWilde</strong>, president and chief operating officer at First Republic.</p>
<p>Luxury home values also fell in Los Angeles and San Diego.</p>
<p>In Los Angeles, they dipped 0.5 percent from the fourth quarter and were down 0.9 percent from last year’s first quarter.</p>
<p>In San Diego, luxury home values plunged 4.6 percent from the fourth quarter and 5.1 percent from last year’s first quarter.</p>
<p>The First Republic Prestige Home Index is produced quarterly with Fiserv CSW, (NASDAQ: FISV) a provider of property valuation services and home-price data to the nation’s financial institutions. The survey defines luxury homes as those valued at more than $1 million, which typically feature three to six bedrooms and a comparable number of bathrooms in 3,000 to 6,000 square feet.</p>
<p>“First quarter sales reflected the price discounting that took place in the second half of 2010. We had a buyer’s market in the final two quarters of last year,” said <strong>Stephen Gomez</strong> of Gomez  Patton Real Estate in San Francisco. “Now we’re starting to see the window to the buyer’s market close.”</p>
<p>One factor fueling buyer interest is the flood of capital pouring into the region’s tech sector, generating buying power for those looking to purchase on the Peninsula.</p>
<p>“I see tons of buyers with money, but inventory is the issue,” said <strong>Geoffrey Nelson</strong> of McGuire Real Estate in Burlingame.</p>
<p>Buyer hesitation was on full display in the East Bay.</p>
<p>“There are actually a few buyers out there, but they are unwilling to commit,” said <strong>Sharon Dare</strong> of J. Rockliff Realtors in Danville.</p>
<hr />
<blockquote><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/04fac_CalveyMark.jpg" align="left" hspace="10" title="San Francisco luxury home prices plunge to 2004 level" alt="04fac CalveyMark San Francisco luxury home prices plunge to 2004 level" /><img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/0b596_whitePixel.jpg" width="10" height="72" align="left" title="San Francisco luxury home prices plunge to 2004 level" alt="0b596 whitePixel San Francisco luxury home prices plunge to 2004 level" /><a href="http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/search/results?q=Mark+Calvey">Mark Calvey</a> covers banking and finance for the <a href="http://sanfrancisco.bizjournals.com/">San Francisco Business Times</a>. <br />Contact him at mcalvey@bizjournals.com or (415) 288-4950.<br />Read his blog postings at <a href="http://sanfrancisco.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/">Bay Area BizTalk</a>.</p></blockquote>
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<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/news/2011/05/23/san-francisco-home-prices-first-republic.html">http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/news/2011/05/23/san-francisco-home-prices-first-republic.html</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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