A total of 9,339 new and resale houses and condos changed hands in the nine-county Bay Area in July – up 13.3 percent from July 2012, said DataQuick, a San Diego real estate research firm. The median paid was $562,000, a 33.5 percent increase from the same time last year.

Pent-up buyer demand, an improving regional economy and low interest rates have propelled home prices upward for many months. But a dearth of homes for sale meant the number being sold fell on a year-over-year basis every month since January. That trajectory reversed course in July.

“It was a really strong month,” said Andrew LePage, a DataQuick analyst.

Rising inventory shows the real estate market regaining equilibrium.

“Sellers want to jump on the train by putting their properties on the market, which levels supply and demand,” said Tanja Beck, an agent with Zephyr Real Estate in San Francisco.

Fewer bids

More inventory, as well as rising interest rates, should soon rein in the sharp price increases. Although bidding wars still occur, many agents say multiple offers now are measured in smaller numbers – perhaps three bids instead of a dozen.

While San Francisco is the nation’s most competitive market, with 80.5 percent of successful home buyers facing other bids, multiple offers in the city dropped nearly 10 percent from June to July, according to a report from real estate firm Redfin.

Nationwide, fewer bidding wars “points toward the strong sellers’ market beginning to shift toward more balance, giving frustrated home buyers a bit of relief,” Redfin said.

Distress sales are down sharply, another sign of a return to normal. Foreclosure resales were under 5 percent of the total – their lowest level since August 2007, before the credit crunch hit. In February 2009, foreclosure resales were 52 percent of the market, DataQuick said. Their historic monthly average in the Bay Area is about 10 percent of sales.

Short sales – properties sold for less than is owed on the mortgage – were 10 percent of July resales, down from 23.7 percent a year earlier.

Fewer distress sales also mean that people who sell their homes are likely to turn around and buy another property, creating a positive upward spiral.

“There was a time when more than half the sales were the lender pocketing money (in a foreclosure resale) so they just ended there,” LePage said. “Now a greater and greater percentage are traditional sellers, who will move up and buy from someone who themselves will move up.”

Upward mobility

Jessica and Josh Rowe exemplify that move-up buyer. The couple, along with their toddler and two French bulldogs, wants to move from San Francisco to the South Bay to live closer to their jobs. They listed their condo in Haight-Ashbury, a three-bedroom remodeled Victorian, at $949,000. It’s likely to go for well above asking price.

“To go from being sellers to being buyers, your confidence gets crazy-hacked,” said Jessica Rowe. “As a seller, you’re on top of the world, you make all this money – but as a buyer you can’t afford to get (something comparable) to what you just sold.”

The Haight condo itself illustrates the market turnaround. When the Rowes bought it three years ago – near the market’s bottom – the previous owners were on the brink of foreclosure. After unsuccessfully listing it at $799,000 for a month, they slashed the price to $755,000, which is what the Rowes paid.

The Bay Area’s median price is now 15.5 percent off the $665,000 peak it reached in summer 2007, LePage said. During the downturn, its nadir was $290,000 in March 2009.

The median represents the middle value of homes sold, meaning half sold for more and half for less. DataQuick said about three-quarters of the median’s increase stems from rising home values, the remainder from a shift in market mix.

More high-end homes and fewer inexpensive ones sold in July. Just over half (51 percent) of sales had mortgages above the old jumbo limit of $417,000, compared with 38.6 percent a year earlier and the low point of 17.1 percent in January 2009.

Federal Housing Administration loans, mostly used by first-time buyers, were 10.6 percent of purchase mortgages in July, down from 16 percent a year earlier. First-time home buyers consistently report getting squeezed out by investors and others paying all cash.

All-cash sales continued to be a strong force, accounting for 24 percent of July purchases, DataQuick said. In February, they peaked at 32.3 percent of sales.

Absentee buyers, who are mainly investors, snapped up 20.9 percent of Bay Area homes in July. Their market share also peaked in February, at 28.7 percent.

Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. E-mail: csaid@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @csaid

Article source: http://www.sfgate.com/business/article/Bay-Area-home-prices-sales-climb-in-July-4736589.php

Mortgage applications to purchase a home are rising for two reasons: Buyer demand is increasing, and those buyers are afraid rates will go up dramatically, so they want to lock in fast.

(Read More: Depression Begone! Home Prices Set Record in April)

Alicia and Ryan Diederichs say they are in a race against time. A job transfer recently sent them and their three young children to Oceanside, Calif. Now crammed into a small rental apartment, they are hoping to buy a house quickly.

“I’m afraid we’re going to miss the boat,” said Alicia Diederichs. “I feel like we might get priced out of the market in a few months, and just depending on the mortgage payment whether we could afford it if the interest rates go up more.”

The Diederichs need a large house to fit their family, but home prices are rising fast on the California coast, and they have not yet locked in a mortgage rate.

“Ideally we would do a 30-year fixed, but it’s all going to be dependent on the end mortgage payment, what we can afford, so we would have to look at an ARM potentially if rates continue to rise,” she said.

(Read More: Mortgage Cop: Four Top Banks Fail Consumers)

The combination of sharply higher home prices and rising rates is squeezing buyers who are already facing tighter underwriting standards. In order to qualify for loans, they must fit into strict debt-to-income calculations, and those calculations change with every increase in mortgage rates.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100845777

San Francisco’s luxury homes are in high demand.

Mark Calvey
Senior Reporter- San Francisco Business Times

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Luxury home values in the Bay Area hit their highest level since the fourth quarter of 2008, with the latest figures marking the fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year gains.

The value of luxury homes rose 8.7 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier and are up 3.2 percent from last year’s fourth quarter, according to the First Republic Prestige Home Index.

The average luxury home in the Bay Area is worth $2.82 million.

Los Angeles area values rose 7.1 percent from a year ago and 1.9 percent from the fourth quarter of 2012. The average luxury home in Los Angeles is worth $2.1 million.

San Diego posted more modest gains, with luxury home values there rising 2.8 percent from a year ago and 3.6 percent from the fourth quarter. The average home value in San Diego is $1.7 million.

“Luxury home prices rose strongly in the San Francsico Bay Area and Los Angeles, and continued to recover in San Diego,” said Katherine August-deWilde, president and chief operating officer at First Republic Bank, (NYSE: FRC) which produces its report on luxury home prices every quarter with Fiserv CSW, a provider of property valuation services to the banking industry.

“Limited inventory exists in many areas, and buyer demand is accelerating for properties in the most desirable neighborhoods. Many homes have received multiple offers and are selling over the asking prices,” August-deWilde said.

Those hallmarks of the Bay Area housing market was captured in a Financial Times report last week, looking at all the tech wealth flowing into real estate.

Janis Stone of TRI Coldwell Banker in San Francisco sees strong demand from cash buyers, looking for homes in the $3 million to $6 million range.

Mark Calvey covers banking and finance for the San Francisco Business Times.

Article source: http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/2013/06/san-francisco-luxury-homes-real-estate.html

“I think for the short term the people who have the cash will have the advantage. Over the longer haul, I think it will even out. I think the recovery is uneven,” says Howard.

(Read More: Is Multi-Family HomeConstruction Overheating?)

The first builder to report Monday is Virginia-based NVR, with Ryland, Pulte and D.R. Horton continuing through the week. Analysts say Texas-based D.R. Horton, whose stock has recently outperformed its peers, is the one to watch, a bell weather for the group.

“They are the largest builder in terms of the number of closings, and they are in the most markets, so they will probably be able to tell us not only about orders, but also about other things that are important to folks now, like what are material prices doing, how are you negotiating with suppliers,” notes Megan McGrath, an analyst at MKM Partners.

Most of the big builders have seen dramatic growth in new orders, as first time home buyers slowly come back to the market. These buyers are facing stiff competition from all-cash investors in the existing home market, and are therefore looking to new builds. D.R. Horton is an entry-level builder, but has been able to shift product to move-up buyers when the demand is there. Move-up buyers have been moving out of the market of late, despite the overall housing recovery and rising values.

“I think the recovery we’re seeing right now is first-time buyer and the very high end of the market. The move-up buyer has not really shown up as of yet, and if you want to see a very strong recovery in housing we need to see the move-up buyer playing a more prominent role than they are today,” says Richard Smith, Chairman and CEO of Realogy Holdings Corp.

Monthly readings on new and existing home sales are also out next week and will offer more insights into the current strengths and weaknesses of the housing recovery in this crucial Spring season.

(Read More: What’s Holding Up City Home Prices? Boomers)

“In a worst-case scenario, confidence could weaken further and housing starts could mark time,” says Paul Diggle of Capital Economics. “But by far and away the most likely outcome is that the construction industry’s growing pains are overcome and homebuilders break ground on many more sites over the next few years.”

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100656470

“Drum-tight inventory, lower (interest) rates than most people alive have ever seen, and in some areas record levels of investor purchases (created) an unusual environment,” said Andrew LePage, analyst at San Diego’s DataQuick, which produced the report.

Another big factor – “unleashing of pent-up (buyer) demand,” he said. During the downturn, “for years, some people sat on the sidelines, afraid to buy. Now there’s been a shift in psychology in the past year with people switching from fearing prices might fall more, to fearing they will go up, so they want to buy now.”

An improving economy and job growth – factors that are stronger here than elsewhere in the country – also feed buyer demand.

“The San Francisco Bay Area is the hottest market in the country right now,” said Errol Samuelson, president of Realtor.com, the online marketplace for the National Association of Realtors.

February’s sales median for the nine-county region was $405,000, compared with $325,000 in February 2012. It was the fourth straight month in which prices rose more than 20 percent compared with the prior year, and the ninth consecutive month of double-digit increases, DataQuick said.

The same dearth of inventory that amped up prices caused the volume of sales to slump 6.1 percent compared with a year earlier. A total of 5,404 new and resale homes and condos changed hands in the region in February, DataQuick said.

Return of bidding wars

Realtors around the area report that tight inventories are spurring ferocious bidding wars over properties – a phenomenon that holds true at all price points.

In Berkeley, John and Judith Ratcliffe of the Grubb Co. sold three homes in recent weeks that listed for more than $1 million and went for substantial amounts above asking. One architecturally distinctive home was listed at $1.295 million but sold for $1.8 million, all cash – more than half a million dollars, or 39 percent, above the asking price.

“Everything in our market is getting multiple offers,” Judith Ratcliffe said. “We need more inventory.”

At a different point on the scale, Annie Brown, an agent with ZipRealty in the East Bay, recently took an investor client to tour a $399,000 four-bedroom tract home in Dublin.

“We drove up and saw all these people in a line,” she said. “I was thinking, ‘What the hey?’ and then I realized it was to get in this particular house. It’s human nature; if people think they can’t get something, they want it more. We stood in line for over an hour to get in.”

Her client offered $92,000 over asking and lost out to another investor who bid $100,000 more than the list price, she said. There were 40 offers.

“It’s an investor’s market right now,” Brown said. “Our first-time home buyers … are having a really hard time getting an offer accepted. It’s hard for them to compete with investors.”

Absentee buyers

Indeed, investors continued to be powerful forces in the market. Absentee buyers accounted for an all-time high of 28.2 percent of February sales, DataQuick said. All-cash buyers also hit a record, representing 31.9 percent of February sales. Historically, cash transactions have been about 12.9 percent of sales.

Realtor.com data show that listings here are being snapped up much more quickly than elsewhere in the nation. In Alameda County, for instance, listings go into escrow on average within 14 days of hitting the market. Nationwide, it takes 98 days for houses to sell.

Around the Bay Area, inventories of for-sale homes are about half what they were a year ago, Realtor.com shows. By contrast, nationwide, inventories are down about 16 percent compared with last year, Samuelson said.

That’s true in many micro-markets as well. Take San Francisco’s Nob Hill, for instance. A year ago, it had 30 homes for sale. Now it has just 15, according to Redfin.

Kiesha Stephens, a listing specialist with Redfin, is preparing a two-bedroom Nob Hill condo – a remodeled unit that retains its early 1900s character, including stained glass windows, wood wainscoting and two fireplaces – to hit the market next week for $799,000, a relative bargain in that neighborhood.

She’s already had six agents ask if they could make pre-emptive offers.

“There’s so little inventory that things are definitely skewed in sellers’ favor,” she said. “Right now there seems to be a surge of buyers.”

Fewer distress sales

DataQuick said that changes in the market mix, such as fewer bargain-priced distress sales and more high-end homes, account for about half of the median’s increase. In other words, all Bay Area home values did not jump 25 percent in February, although values definitely are rising across the board. Distress sales – foreclosures and short sales, both often sold at a discount – are still above their historic norms but are declining.

About a third of February’s existing-home sales were distressed; a year ago more than half (53.4 percent) were foreclosures or short sales, DataQuick said. Just 13.6 percent of resales were foreclosures in February, the lowest level since November 2007.

At their peak in February 2009, foreclosures accounted for 52 percent of all resales. Short sales also declined, but not as much. They were 21.4 percent of resales, versus 27.0 percent a year ago.

The number of homes selling for more than $500,000 rose 27.7 percent compared with last year, while those less than $500,000 fell 14.4 percent, DataQuick said.

Prices, which went into free fall during the downturn, are still far off their peaks. The Bay Area median reached a high of $665,000 in summer 2007 and a low of $290,000 in March 2009. DataQuick said that if the current rate of increase holds up, the Bay Area prices will be halfway back to their peak this spring or summer.

Carolyn Said is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. E-mail: csaid@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @csaid

Article source: http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Bay-Area-home-prices-up-24-6-over-2012-4356658.php

A: This is a concern that often leads sellers to sit on the sidelines rather than call their Realtor and put that “For Sale” sign in front of their house.

There is a logjam of sorts in our market right now. The number of homes for sale remains far less than needed to adequately meet current buyer demand. Until sellers gather the courage they need to move forward this is likely to be the case for the foreseeable future.

NOW is a great time to sell, because:

1. It has become evident in the past 10 years or so that the real estate market is as volatile as the stock market. Its temperature is related to a number of factors (health of the stock market, employment figures, etc.). As it becomes more challenging to predict future market strength, making decisions about when to sell (or to buy) becomes more about what the real estate market is doing now.

4. If by chance you do not find your new home before you must move, there are good interim housing options, including short-term rentals, available. It is certainly true in my experience, that when a seller takes a leap of faith, with focus and intention, putting their homes on the market, even though they are uncertain about where they will land, the next “right” home for them appears just at the right time.

Article source: http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/article/Sound-Off-What-to-consider-in-a-seller-s-market-4321772.php

North Beach San Francisco

Right now cash is king. Homes are consistently going for over list price with multiple offer scenarios being commonplace.

San Francisco, CA (PRWEB) January 31, 2013

The San Francisco market is seeing a great seller’s market. Multiple offer situations, cash in hand, and homes going to market earlier to meet buyer demand.

Business Insider reports, “Going into 2013, home prices are expected to rise 6 percent driven by steady demand, lower bank-owned (REO) sales, and lower inventory of unsold homes. This is according to CoreLogic’s latest report. The CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI) increased 6.3 percent in 2012, the largest increase and highest level since 2006. And year-over-year home price increases were more widespread. This increase in home prices across a broader geographic spread is expected to continue in 2013.”

“Right now cash is king. Homes are consistently going for over list price with multiple offer scenarios being commonplace. Cash buyers who don’t have to deal with the financing world are winning.” Says Dahle. “A 6% increase for the year is a very promising number and we’re looking forward to a great 2013.”

Only the most informed real estate professionals can guide you through the ups and downs of the San Francisco Bay Area real estate market, and Kirk Dahle has been doing just that for buyers and sellers for several years. A relentless advocate for his clients, Kirk is constantly networking with real estate professionals to find the best listings and to bring a property to market. Contact Kirk directly at sfkirk(at)gmail(dot)com or call 415.203.8638.

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Article source: http://www.prweb.com/releases/2013/1/prweb10386770.htm

San Francisco, CA (PRWEB) January 31, 2013

The San Francisco market is seeing a great seller’s market. Multiple offer situations, cash in hand, and homes going to market earlier to meet buyer demand.

Business Insider reports, “Going into 2013, home prices are expected to rise 6 percent driven by steady demand, lower bank-owned (REO) sales, and lower inventory of unsold homes. This is according to CoreLogic’s latest report. The CoreLogic Home Price Index (HPI) increased 6.3 percent in 2012, the largest increase and highest level since 2006. And year-over-year home price increases were more widespread. This increase in home prices across a broader geographic spread is expected to continue in 2013.”

“Right now cash is king. Homes are consistently going for over list price with multiple offer scenarios being commonplace. Cash buyers who don’t have to deal with the financing world are winning.” Says Dahle. “A 6% increase for the year is a very promising number and we’re looking forward to a great 2013.”

Only the most informed real estate professionals can guide you through the ups and downs of the San Francisco Bay Area real estate market, and Kirk Dahle has been doing just that for buyers and sellers for several years. A relentless advocate for his clients, Kirk is constantly networking with real estate professionals to find the best listings and to bring a property to market. Contact Kirk directly at sfkirk(at)gmail(dot)com or call 415.203.8638.

For the original version on PRWeb visit: http://www.prweb.com/releases/prweb2013/1/prweb10386770.htm

Article source: http://www.sfgate.com/business/prweb/article/San-Francisco-Real-Estate-Market-Shows-Home-Price-4241718.php

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It’s one thing to jump on the bandwagon when things are getting better, it’s quite another to jump off of it when everyone around you, not to mention your own company’s earnings, would seem to confirm that sentiment. But that’s just what Donald J. Tomnitz, CEO of D.R. Horton

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“I still don’t see a lot of jobs being created,” he told an earnings conference call, sending his company’s stock down when it should have been riding higher on a 24 percent year-over-year jump in new orders for homes. He is concerned about the future of this fledgling housing recovery, and he has reason to be. Mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures are driven by unemployment.

The homebuilders are rising from the ashes, after overbuilding and a credit crash sent sales and construction to levels not seen economists began counting all those numbers; they are rising, but not necessarily thriving. While overall buyer demand has been weak, distressed properties (foreclosures and short sales) have stood as the greatest competition, as many of those homes are in fact relatively new construction.

The good news is that mortgage delinquencies are falling, down to 5.41% of all mortgages outstanding in Q3 of 2012 from 5.88% a year ago, according to a new report from TransUnion.

“Continued declines in mortgage delinquency rates are a welcome sign and reflect that relatively more homeowners are able and willing to make their mortgage payments each month,” said Tim Martin, group vice president of U.S. Housing in TransUnion’s financial services business unit. “However, we still have a long way to go to reach more ‘normal’ conditions of a delinquency rate in the 1-2 percent range for the U.S. average.”

(Read More: Let Real Estate Help Pay for Retirement)

The recovery, like all real estate, is becoming increasingly local, with the hardest hit markets, like Arizona and California recovering faster than New Jersey and Illinois. One disturbing finding from TransUnion: 49 percent of metropolitan areas saw quarterly improvement in their mortgage delinquency rates in Q3, down from 76 percent in Q2 and 73 percent in Q1.

The reason areas in Arizona, Nevada and California are improving so dramatically is because of high investor demand. Investors have driven supplies of distressed properties there so low that those markets are now seeing double digit home price increases. Even those higher prices are not driving investors away because there is still so much rental demand that rents are rising.

“Nationally, rental leasing volumes were up sequentially every month during the last two years,” according to CoreLogic’s November ‘MarketPulse’ report. “Over this same period, an average of 42,000 rentals were added to the stock of rental homes each month. This is more than twice the average flow that the U.S. was experiencing prior to the housing recovery.”

This investor-fueled recovery helps in the short term, but in the long term housing needs to be driven by a healthier economy, income growth and consumption and rising home prices, according to CoreLogic.

(Read More: Home Depot Raises Outlook as Housing Market Improves)

“We are in the second inning,” said Ara Hovnanian, CEO of Hovnanian Enterprises
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Too much uncertainty in the economy lies ahead, and housing lies in the balance.

Sector Watch: U.S. Homebuilders

—Toll Brothers
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—DR Horton
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—Hovnanian Enterprises
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—PulteGroup
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—Ryland Group
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—Lennar Corp
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—Beazer Homes USA
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—Meritage Homes
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—KB Home
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Questions?  Comments?