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		<title>Plan Bay Area could spark housing development boom. Or not</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2344/plan-bay-area-could-spark-housing-development-boom-or-not/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Aug 2013 10:16:13 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[This is what the future of the bulk of the Bay Area&#8217;s housing development looks like: higher-density multi-family projects near transit. In this case, Developer, BHV CenterStreet Properties LLC, is working on a 178-unit project called the Landing on 1.78 &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2344/plan-bay-area-could-spark-housing-development-boom-or-not/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p>                    <a href="http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/real-estate/2013/07/plan-bay-area-a-boon-for-housing.html?s=image_gallery" class="ct"><br />
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<p class="caption">This is what the future of the bulk of the Bay Area&#8217;s housing development looks like: higher-density multi-family projects near transit. In this case, Developer, BHV CenterStreet Properties LLC, is working on a 178-unit project called the Landing on 1.78 acres adjacent to the Walnut Creek BART Station.</p>
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<p>           <img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/fcfd9_Torres%2CBlanca_v2.jpg" width="56" title="Plan Bay Area could spark housing development boom. Or not" alt="fcfd9 Torres%2CBlanca v2 Plan Bay Area could spark housing development boom. Or not" /><br />
          Blanca Torres<br />
              Reporter- <em>San Francisco Business Times</em></p>
<p>              Email<br />
                   | <a href="https://twitter.com/SFBIZbtorres" target="_blank">Twitter</a><br />
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                   | LinkedIn</p>
<p>With much-debated, frequently derided Plan Bay Area now approved, our region is officially on notice that it needs close to 200,000 new housing units over the next few decades. Next question: Who&#8217;s going to build it all?</p>
<p>Planning for new housing is great and all, but only time will tell if developers bite and actually build the housing the way the plan advises — high-density and near transit.</p>
<p>Plan Bay Area sets out growth and development guidelines to accommodate a 30 percent population increase, 2.1 million new residents, and 33 percent more or 1.1 million job increase in the Bay Area through 2040. The plan’s goals involve steering away from sprawl, building housing for all income levels and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.</p>
<p>“Theoretically, (Plan Bay Area) is a good idea,” said Paul Menzies, founder of Laconia Development, a multi-family developer. “The issue with the plan is that bureaucrats are imposing rules on the rest of us who are trying to be creative and trying to make money.”</p>
<p>Development is a business, he said, but one that involves input from the developer, the community and city officials, so the better the cooperation, the better the project and the better cities and regions become.</p>
<p>Plan Bay Area could be a boon for development, Menzies said, if the policies make it easier and less expensive to develop projects either by streamlining the entitlement process or providing some financing tools.</p>
<p>The plan’s main backers, the Metropolitan Transportation Commission and Association of Bay Area Governments, along with congestion management agencies have about $28 million to fund local planning efforts such as creating specific plans that guide development for a neighborhood or environmental impact reports. In some cases, cities establish plans and zoning to comply up front with California Environmental Quality Act regulations.</p>
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<blockquote><p>Blanca Torres covers East Bay real estate for the San Francisco Business Times.</p></blockquote>
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<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/real-estate/2013/07/plan-bay-area-a-boon-for-housing.html">http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/real-estate/2013/07/plan-bay-area-a-boon-for-housing.html</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>A Bay Area Plan for Development and Displacement &#8211; Jul 29</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2342/a-bay-area-plan-for-development-and-displacement-jul-29/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2342/a-bay-area-plan-for-development-and-displacement-jul-29/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Jul 2013 22:07:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SF Bay Area News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/2342/a-bay-area-plan-for-development-and-displacement-jul-29/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On July 18 the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) and the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) approved a thirty-year Smart Growth regional plan. Most notably, the plan seeks to steer the majority of the regions real estate development into specified &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2342/a-bay-area-plan-for-development-and-displacement-jul-29/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On July 18 the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) and the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) approved a thirty-year Smart Growth regional plan.  Most notably, the plan seeks to steer the majority of the regions real estate development into specified locations including most of San Franciscos eastern neighborhoods&#8211;despite projections that the strategy will displace tens of thousands and a finding by a state agency that it is in violation of state law.
<p>
Under the plan entitled <a href="http://www.mtc.ca.gov/planning/plan_bay_area/draftplanbayarea/">Plan Bay Area</a>, San Francisco is expected to grow its population by over 35%, to over 1,080,000 by 2040 (by comparison, Marin is asked to accommodate a 13% increase).  Eleventh hour amendments spearheaded by progressives may eventually mitigate or at least soften some of the negative impacts but these broadly stated amendments to the plan leave their outcomes uncertain.  And even as amended, the adopted plan fails to incorporate the primary recommendations of an alternative plan proposed by environmental and social equity advocates that would have distributed regional growth more evenly and yielded environmental and social equity outcomes ranked as superior even by the standards set by MTC/ABAGs own researchers.</p>
<p><a name="more" />Although it is too early to assess the full implications of Plan Bay Area it is already clear that if state regulators allow MTC/ABAG to proceed, this plan will have consequences unlike the regions vision statements of the past.  Plan Bay Area is literally a road map for public and private investment. </p>
<p>
For the first time, this plan knits together land use planning with long term transportation investmentsmore than $280 Billion in roads, highways, and transit programs over the life of the plan.  Where those investments go, private developers will follow with the blessings of regional planners.   The plans selected transit accessible target communities and neighborhoods for that intensive growth, known as Priority Development Areas (PDAs), will then be expected to accommodate more than 60% of the regions growth in jobs and 70% of the new housing.</p>
<p>
In the abstract, concentrating future development near transit comes across as sensible Smart Growth.  And for some relatively undeveloped PDAs, there will be few negative consequences. </p>
<p>
But as <a href="http://www.mtc.ca.gov/planning/plan_bay_area/draftplanbayarea/">critics have noted</a>, many PDAs include existing mostly working class neighborhoods with high concentrations of renters.  As a result of refocusing growth in these older urban communities, by MTC/ABAGs own very conservative estimates, the PDA strategy will put tens of thousands of families and seniors of modest means at greater risk of displacement, including most of the <a href="https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B5vVf48ILGvqVVd5dG8xbXpRWGM/edit?usp=sharing">eastern third of San Francisco</a> where a majority of lower income minority residents live and where many also work.  </p>
<p>
Some of the locations considered to be the best targets for smart growth today are those urban neighborhoods with transit reliant communities that persevered through decades of disinvestment from middle class suburban flight.  </p>
<p>
How do the regional agencies rationalize how their plan will put tens of thousands of existing Bay Area residents at risk of displacement?   First, in their environmental impact analysis the agencies assert that although there will be local displacement at the community/neighborhood level, their plans for overall regional housing production will offset that loss by providing another place in the Bay Area for that displaced family to land.  They also reference to San Franciscos rent control as a policy that will control for local displacement.  And finally, they assert that the benefits of improving neighborhoods will outweigh the impacts of displacement. </p>
<p>
The inadequacies of the latter two claims are obvious to San Franciscans who have witnessed the gentrification of formerly economically diverse neighborhoods throughout the City.  But the slight-of-hand logic of the first claim deserves additional attention.  </p>
<p>
Although the Plan Bay Area claims that it will house 100% of the regions projected growth, the plan fails to explain how that housing will be affordable to anyone but the upper middle class and very wealthy.  For decades, ABAG has been setting goals for housing production for cities and counties in the region, including goals for housing affordable to lower and moderate income households.  </p>
<p>
But the only goals that have ever been met entirely have been for market rate housing affordable only for upper income households.  MTC and ABAG could have set more rigorous standards to achieve these affordability goals in Plan Bay Area.   They could have also followed their staff recommendations to dedicate anticipated future revenue from the states cap and trade program to affordable housing.  But MTC and ABAG commissioners rejected those options.  Instead, Plan Bay Areas claim to address the risk of local displacement by promising affordable housing regionally remains based upon its mythical affordable housing goals.</p>
<p>
But those goals have been called into question by the states Department of Housing and Community Development .  The state agency has challenged the core policy of Plan Bay Area which allows cities and counties in the region to in effect reduce how much housing they will produce by failing to designate PDAs (shortly before the approval of the plan, Marin withdrew its PDA designations apparently for this purpose).  </p>
<p>
State law requires that all localities accommodate their fair share of a regions need for housing production.   In June, <a href="https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B5vVf48ILGvqMUVKRG9ydzA4TzQ/edit?usp=sharing">HCD found</a> the PDA policy violates that law and instructed ABAG to revise the policy and adjust its goals.   But ABAG disregarded HCDs instructions and approved the unrevised housing goals on July 18 along with the adoption of Plan Bay Area.  HCDs response has not yet been announced.   Whatever the states next move, the survival of  the regions economically and ethnically diverse communities is likely to require a concerted effort to divert Plan Bay Area from its present  path towards unequal development and increased displacement. </p>
<p>
Gen Fujioka is the public policy manager at Chinatown Community Development Center.  For further supporting documentation see this <a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1MsHcjbU5ktMfsSjzAQzmSf3DsA25CBYaO1WlhokaSgc/edit?usp=sharing">link</a>. </p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.beyondchron.org/articles/A_Bay_Area_Plan_for_Development_and_Displacement_11633.html">http://www.beyondchron.org/articles/A_Bay_Area_Plan_for_Development_and_Displacement_11633.html</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>A Bay Area Plan for Development and Displacement</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/2340/a-bay-area-plan-for-development-and-displacement/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/2340/a-bay-area-plan-for-development-and-displacement/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Jul 2013 15:59:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SF Bay Area News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://homesmillbrae.com/2340/a-bay-area-plan-for-development-and-displacement/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On July 18 the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) and the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) approved a thirty-year Smart Growth regional plan. Most notably, the plan seeks to steer the majority of the regions real estate development into specified &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/2340/a-bay-area-plan-for-development-and-displacement/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On July 18 the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) and the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) approved a thirty-year Smart Growth regional plan.  Most notably, the plan seeks to steer the majority of the regions real estate development into specified locations including most of San Franciscos eastern neighborhoods&#8211;despite projections that the strategy will displace tens of thousands and a finding by a state agency that it is in violation of state law.
<p>
Under the plan entitled <a href="http://www.mtc.ca.gov/planning/plan_bay_area/draftplanbayarea/">Plan Bay Area</a>, San Francisco is expected to grow its population by over 35%, to over 1,080,000 by 2040 (by comparison, Marin is asked to accommodate a 13% increase).  Eleventh hour amendments spearheaded by progressives may eventually mitigate or at least soften some of the negative impacts but these broadly stated amendments to the plan leave their outcomes uncertain.  And even as amended, the adopted plan fails to incorporate the primary recommendations of an alternative plan proposed by environmental and social equity advocates that would have distributed regional growth more evenly and yielded environmental and social equity outcomes ranked as superior even by the standards set by MTC/ABAGs own researchers.</p>
<p><a name="more" />Although it is too early to assess the full implications of Plan Bay Area it is already clear that if state regulators allow MTC/ABAG to proceed, this plan will have consequences unlike the regions vision statements of the past.  Plan Bay Area is literally a road map for public and private investment. </p>
<p>
For the first time, this plan knits together land use planning with long term transportation investmentsmore than $280 Billion in roads, highways, and transit programs over the life of the plan.  Where those investments go, private developers will follow with the blessings of regional planners.   The plans selected transit accessible target communities and neighborhoods for that intensive growth, known as Priority Development Areas (PDAs), will then be expected to accommodate more than 60% of the regions growth in jobs and 70% of the new housing.</p>
<p>
In the abstract, concentrating future development near transit comes across as sensible Smart Growth.  And for some relatively undeveloped PDAs, there will be few negative consequences. </p>
<p>
But as <a href="http://www.mtc.ca.gov/planning/plan_bay_area/draftplanbayarea/">critics have noted</a>, many PDAs include existing mostly working class neighborhoods with high concentrations of renters.  As a result of refocusing growth in these older urban communities, by MTC/ABAGs own very conservative estimates, the PDA strategy will put tens of thousands of families and seniors of modest means at greater risk of displacement, including most of the <a href="https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B5vVf48ILGvqVVd5dG8xbXpRWGM/edit?usp=sharing">eastern third of San Francisco</a> where a majority of lower income minority residents live and where many also work.  </p>
<p>
Some of the locations considered to be the best targets for smart growth today are those urban neighborhoods with transit reliant communities that persevered through decades of disinvestment from middle class suburban flight.  </p>
<p>
How do the regional agencies rationalize how their plan will put tens of thousands of existing Bay Area residents at risk of displacement?   First, in their environmental impact analysis the agencies assert that although there will be local displacement at the community/neighborhood level, their plans for overall regional housing production will offset that loss by providing another place in the Bay Area for that displaced family to land.  They also reference to San Franciscos rent control as a policy that will control for local displacement.  And finally, they assert that the benefits of improving neighborhoods will outweigh the impacts of displacement. </p>
<p>
The inadequacies of the latter two claims are obvious to San Franciscans who have witnessed the gentrification of formerly economically diverse neighborhoods throughout the City.  But the slight-of-hand logic of the first claim deserves additional attention.  </p>
<p>
Although the Plan Bay Area claims that it will house 100% of the regions projected growth, the plan fails to explain how that housing will be affordable to anyone but the upper middle class and very wealthy.  For decades, ABAG has been setting goals for housing production for cities and counties in the region, including goals for housing affordable to lower and moderate income households.  </p>
<p>
But the only goals that have ever been met entirely have been for market rate housing affordable only for upper income households.  MTC and ABAG could have set more rigorous standards to achieve these affordability goals in Plan Bay Area.   They could have also followed their staff recommendations to dedicate anticipated future revenue from the states cap and trade program to affordable housing.  But MTC and ABAG commissioners rejected those options.  Instead, Plan Bay Areas claim to address the risk of local displacement by promising affordable housing regionally remains based upon its mythical affordable housing goals.</p>
<p>
But those goals have been called into question by the states Department of Housing and Community Development .  The state agency has challenged the core policy of Plan Bay Area which allows cities and counties in the region to in effect reduce how much housing they will produce by failing to designate PDAs (shortly before the approval of the plan, Marin withdrew its PDA designations apparently for this purpose).  </p>
<p>
State law requires that all localities accommodate their fair share of a regions need for housing production.   In June, <a href="https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B5vVf48ILGvqMUVKRG9ydzA4TzQ/edit?usp=sharing">HCD found</a> the PDA policy violates that law and instructed ABAG to revise the policy and adjust its goals.   But ABAG disregarded HCDs instructions and approved the unrevised housing goals on July 18 along with the adoption of Plan Bay Area.  HCDs response has not yet been announced.   Whatever the states next move, the survival of  the regions economically and ethnically diverse communities is likely to require a concerted effort to divert Plan Bay Area from its present  path towards unequal development and increased displacement. </p>
<p>
Gen Fujioka is the public policy manager at Chinatown Community Development Center.  For further supporting documentation see this <a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1MsHcjbU5ktMfsSjzAQzmSf3DsA25CBYaO1WlhokaSgc/edit?usp=sharing">link</a>. </p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.beyondchron.org/news/index.php?itemid=11633">http://www.beyondchron.org/news/index.php?itemid=11633</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Officials float San Francisco Bay area mileage tax</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1607/officials-float-san-francisco-bay-area-mileage-tax/</link>
		<comments>http://homesmillbrae.com/1607/officials-float-san-francisco-bay-area-mileage-tax/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jul 2012 22:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[OAKLAND, Calif. &#8212; San Francisco Bay area officials will study a proposal to charge motorists a tax on every mile they drive in the nine-county region as a way to raise money for roads and public transit while reducing traffic &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1607/officials-float-san-francisco-bay-area-mileage-tax/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>			<span class="dateline">OAKLAND, Calif. &#8212; </span>			San Francisco Bay area officials will study a proposal to charge motorists a tax on every mile they drive in the nine-county region as a way to raise money for roads and public transit while reducing traffic and pollution from car emissions.</p>
<p>Members of the Metropolitan Transportation Commission and the Association of Bay Area Governments approved going forward with further study of a possible Vehicle Miles Traveled tax on Thursday night, as part of a broader environmental review of several transportation options.</p>
<p>Under a proposal still in its early stages, drivers could be required to install GPS-like odometers or other devices in their vehicles and pay from less than a penny to as much as a dime for every mile driven. The idea could take a decade or more to be launched.		</p>
<p>
			Commission spokesman Randy Rentschler acknowledged such a concept ultimately could prove a hard sell with Bay Area residents, who would likely resist both the travel tax and the government-mandated tracking devices.</p>
<p>&#8220;The last thing we&#8217;re interested in is where you go and what you do,&#8221; Rentschler said Thursday, after the vote. &#8220;What we&#8217;re trying to do is get people to figure out a way to raise revenue that they could support.&#8221;</p>
<p>Mileage taxes already have been subjected to pilot studies in Atlanta and several communities in Oregon and Washington state. Drivers who were given a sum of money and then had amounts deducted based on how much they drove logged fewer miles, according to the San Jose Mercury News ( http://bit.ly/Q4NbSP).</p>
<p>Based on current Bay Area driving patterns, a mileage tax could raise up to $15 million a day, the Mercury News said.</p>
<p>The two regional agencies are considering the tax as part of a broader, 25-year transportation and land-use plan to accommodate the 2.1 million new residents who are expected to reside in the Bay Area and to curb greenhouse gases.</p>
<p>Other ideas floated so far include raising bridge tolls during rush hour, creating more carpool lanes and funding public transportation options in counties north and east of San Francisco.</p>
<p>The draft environmental review is scheduled to be completed in January and the tax, as well as many other alternatives, will be presented for a vote in April, Rentschler said.	</p>
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<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.sacbee.com/2012/07/19/4642827/officials-float-san-francisco.html">http://www.sacbee.com/2012/07/19/4642827/officials-float-san-francisco.html</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Ever-Changing Population Predictions Frustrate Bay Area Smart &#8230;</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1559/ever-changing-population-predictions-frustrate-bay-area-smart/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jun 2012 02:12:47 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[State, regional forecasts vary widely, generating uncertainty about long-term housing needs State and regional planning agencies have produced differing predictions of how many people will migrate to the Bay Area in coming decades. The disagreement is frustrating efforts to forge &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1559/ever-changing-population-predictions-frustrate-bay-area-smart/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><em><span>State, regional forecasts vary widely, generating uncertainty about long-term housing needs</span></em></strong></p>
<p>State and regional planning agencies have produced differing predictions of how many people will migrate to the Bay Area in coming decades. The disagreement is frustrating efforts to forge a consensus on how many hundreds of thousands of new homes to build across the region, and where.</p>
<p class="p3">In May, the California Department of Finance took a fresh look at economic forecasts and officially backed away from its prediction that 9.5 million people would live in the Bay Area in 2040. The state now says it is likely to be closer to 8.4 million.</p>
<p class="p3">But the Association of Bay Area Governments pegged the population for the same 2040 target date at a robust 9.3 million. The agency is charged with developing Plan Bay Area, an ambitious agenda to reshape the sprawling region by building 660,000 new homes in the urban image of walkable, transit-friendly San Francisco.</p>
<p class="p3">Population prediction is an inexact science, and previous regional forecasts that relied on overly optimistic job-growth estimates proved to be wildly wrong — some by more than 50 percent. Planners say they are doing the best they can with the mathematical tools they have and are constantly adjusting the numbers as the economic reality changes.</p>
<p class="p3">The complexity of these calculations has created tension within the regional association itself — between board members and professional planners, who break down the numbers and assign growth to specific cities. The group’s elected chairman, Mark Luce, confessed in a recent interview that to him, “the numbers just aren’t making sense at all.”</p>
<p class="p3">At stake in the population debate is the credibility of the Bay Area’s “smart growth” vision — compact, energy-efficient communities that encourage people to spend less time in their cars.</p>
<p class="p3">The move is a key component of the state’s goal to cut California’s per capita greenhouse gas emissions by 15 percent in a little more than two decades.</p>
<p class="p3">Planning agencies, led by the Association of Bay Area Governments, seek to build enough housing to prevent the expected population explosion from creating an ecological and sociological disaster zone.</p>
<p class="p3">While state demographers see relatively meager economic growth for years to come, the regional association’s assessment assumes that an improving job market will attract 1.2 million more jobs in a little less than three decades. Right now there are about 3.4 million jobs in a region of 7.2 million people.</p>
<p class="p3">While demographics play a role in the predictions, current trends in the real estate market also affect their models.</p>
<p class="p3">By some measures, the region’s housing market is rebounding. Numbers released June 5 by the online real estate directory Trulia show increasing demand for rentals across the Bay Area and especially in San Francisco. Over the previous year, the average rental asking price in the city is up 14.4 percent, the sharpest increase in cities among the nation’s top 25 rental markets. Oakland and San Jose saw rent increases of 11.4 percent and 9.1 percent, respectively.</p>
<p class="p3">Nonetheless, critics say the regional agency’s projections for both population growth and the resulting housing needs are way too high. The uncertainty has spurred objections from the region’s 110 cities and counties.</p>
<p class="p3">Many of these objections come from relatively wealthy communities that have long resisted providing the expected level of low- and moderate-income housing to house their lower-wage workforce.</p>
<p class="p3">But some argue that they would waste resources by rezoning their neighborhoods for more development than they need.</p>
<p class="p3">“Are they creating problems for the state by having such a high expected growth rate, and then using that to encourage more house building than might be appropriate?” asked Greg Schmid, a city councilman in Palo Alto. He is an economist and consultant for corporations and the city of San Francisco and a former Federal Reserve researcher.</p>
<p class="p3">Schmid questions the economic assumptions behind the regional agency’s population forecasts, citing recent examples in which some of the smartest professional planners turned out to be dead wrong when actual census figures were published at the start of each decade.</p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1"><b>CLIMATE PLAN AT STAKE</b></span></p>
<p class="p2">The Association of Bay Area Governments has not ignored the criticism from Palo Alto and more than a dozen other city and county governments.</p>
<p class="p3">The current plan, announced in March, is to add 660,000 new homes by 2040. But that was a radical revision from the previous estimate of 903,000 homes. Planners now acknowledge that they had not sufficiently accounted for the hundreds of thousands of suburban houses seized by banks or abandoned by owners in the foreclosure crisis that began in 2008.</p>
<p class="p3">The loss of credibility for Plan Bay Area could add to criticism that the whole endeavor is not worthwhile.</p>
<p class="p3">Planners say that underestimating housing needs could lead to more unplanned housing sprawl, worsening the region’s carbon footprint.</p>
<p class="p3">But overestimating could also have economic consequences for the 200 planned “priority development areas” in about 60 communities if it causes them to make bad infrastructure investments.</p>
<p class="p3">If Plan Bay Area were to fall short, the state would need to re-examine its climate-change strategy, which relies on regionwide land-use changes to reduce carbon emissions from cars.</p>
<p class="p3">Planners acknowledge that shifting economic realities might undercut their cause. The current plan, as ambitious as it is, reaches only 9 percent greenhouse gas savings per capita, according to regional agencies’ own estimates, and there is no clear path to reaching the state’s goal of 15 percent.</p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1"><b>FUZZY MATH</b></span></p>
<p class="p2">Overestimating population growth is a common complaint, planners say. And as the fluctuating numbers show, California has been anything but clairvoyant.</p>
<p class="p3">The state finance department, for instance, has consistently overestimated growth in California for the past two decades. The department’s projections for 2000–2010 overshot Bay Area growth rates by about 56 percent. (The prediction error for the entire state’s growth was 48 percent.)</p>
<p class="p3">Private think tanks and universities also make off-the-mark population predictions. In 2005, the Public Policy Institute of California compiled a five-year “consensus” forecast that aggregated the work of academic and government researchers. That figure turned out later to be 50 percent higher than the state’s actual population growth.</p>
<p class="p3">The component studies — from the Department of Finance, UC Berkeley’s planning school, the UCLA Anderson Forecast and others — on average forecast a 15 percent population increase. But the actual growth, the 2010 census figures showed, was 10 percent.</p>
<p class="p3">“Population projections for California are especially difficult,” the institute noted in a report. “In addition to overweighting contemporary trends, forecasters are notoriously bad at predicting fundamental demographic shifts.”</p>
<p class="p3">One piece of advice from the Public Policy Institute: “Planners should consider alternative population scenarios.”</p>
<p class="p3">Part of the problem with California is that it has historically had a “fairly volatile” growth pattern with a lot of in- and out-migration, said Hans Johnson, the Public Policy Institute’s research director. The point of the report, he said “was to say that it’s dangerous to put all your eggs in one basket with a set of projections because they are uncertain. It’s best to try to make your plans at least flexible enough to accommodate alternative future scenarios.”</p>
<p class="p3">While Plan Bay Area relies on one set of projections for now, plans will be updated every few years.</p>
<p class="p3">This can be done, he said, by presenting a range of high, medium and low projections. Plans should then be based on the average and there should be contingency plans “that would allow you to accommodate potential changes.”</p>
<p class="p3">But California does not routinely produce alternative scenarios, he said. Those have to be generated by regional agencies themselves, including the Association of Bay Area Governments.</p>
<p class="p3">“Recognizing the uncertainty of projections is something that makes planning very hard,” Johnson said. “It’s a tremendous challenge for ABAG and for people who are trying to plan housing.”</p>
<p class="p4"><b>CITIES REVOLT</b></p>
<p class="p6">Some critics of Plan Bay Area, especially among officials in cities that will have to plan for significant growth, see a pattern of overly aggressive growth predictions.</p>
<p class="p3">Palo Alto has officially questioned Plan Bay Area’s methodology, while protesting the designation of a portion of its downtown and a stretch of El Camino Real as priority development areas. The plan currently requires the city to make room for 7,130 new housing units by 2040.</p>
<p class="p3">Officials from Contra Costa, Marin and other Bay Area counties are also skeptical about the numbers.</p>
<p class="p3">The Contra Costa County Transportation Authority, one of the regional agencies protesting the plan, has complained in writing that projections “remain at the high end of remotely plausible outcomes for the forecast period.”</p>
<p class="p3">The Marin County Board of Supervisors has called for the projections to be peer reviewed.</p>
<p class="p3">After the Marin city of Corte Madera criticized figures in the plan’s initial vision scenario, the association cut the housing projection by nearly 50 percent, to 270 units. Yet the city’s leaders voted unanimously in March to pull out of the association because they were still skeptical.</p>
<p class="p3">Other citizens’ groups, including the Novato Community Alliance and Save Orinda, have also expressed misgivings about the numbers.</p>
<p class="p3">“As they make their projection into the future, the numbers seem consistently higher than the trends that have been established in the Bay Area over the last two decades,” said Schmid, the Palo Alto councilman.</p>
<p class="p3">“I think the new Department of Finance numbers are more practical and reasonable,” he said. “ABAG should let communities decide whether they want to be aspirational or practical. That’s just good policy when facing the uncertainties of the future.”</p>
<p class="p4"><b>ACKNOWLEDGING FLAWS</b></p>
<p class="p6">Luce, of the Association of Bay Area Governments, is clearly frustrated by the political tumult around the growth predictions. “Every time we come up with these numbers, there’s a lot of heartburn,” he said. “It’s the least favorite activity ABAG goes through.”</p>
<p class="p3">As the regional land use planning agency for the nine-county San Francisco Bay Area, the association must produce a “regional housing needs allocation” every eight years, assigning the number of housing units, in different levels of affordability that, each community must plan for.</p>
<p class="p3">Determining the total housing need for the region is the job of the California Department of Housing and Community Development. Luce said his agency then merely tries to sensibly spread the burden of that growth across the region.</p>
<p class="p3">Here’s how it works: The state’s housing agency looks at the finance department’s population projections, checks the current housing stock and calculates how many more homes California will need over eight years. Then it divvies them up across the state based on the population predictions. Regional agencies can ask for those numbers to be revised, though state housing officials have final say.</p>
<p class="p3">“So ABAG is in the middle,” said Luce, who is also a Napa County supervisor. The association’s board consists of elected officials from Bay Area cities and counties.</p>
<p class="p3">“It’s a state law — you’re going to get an allocation whether you’re part of ABAG or not,” Luce said. “But with 101 cities and nine counties, somebody is not going to be happy with what you’re trying to do.”</p>
<p class="p3">Regional planning is hard enough, but to further complicate things, it must now meet state environmental targets for transportation efficiency and sustainable growth. Plan Bay Area is designed to comply with a 2008 state law, Senate Bill 375, which calls for steep reductions California’s transportation-related greenhouse gas emissions from cars.</p>
<p class="p3">Under the law, every region needs its own “sustainable communities strategy” to put new housing close to public transportation. In the Bay Area the task falls to Luce’s agency, as well as the Metropolitan Transportation Commission, the Bay Area Air Quality Management District and the Bay Conservation and Development Commission.</p>
<p class="p3">The plan aims to expand housing not just to accommodate a growing population but also to use housing growth as a tool to “create jobs to maintain and expand” the regional economy.</p>
<p class="p3">That sounds backward, said Schmid, the Palo Alto councilman: “ABAG’s job is to distribute housing mandates, not allocate jobs.”</p>
<p class="p3">While Luce defends the regional planning agency he leads, he also is fighting for his own Napa County turf. He said he was particularly upset with the housing allocation of 5,640 units for the largely rural county, though he expected the agency eventually to lower that number.</p>
<p class="p3">Giving out housing targets to cities and counties, he said, is a thankless task.</p>
<p class="p3">“Sometimes what happens is you get in this rut of, ‘OK, the state has given us an allocation, you got to distribute it,’” he said, “and lose sight of what we’re really trying to do. That’s where you have to step back and hope that there was some planning in this whole process.”</p>
<p class="p3">That kind of talk hints at deep divisions between the professional staff at the Association of Bay Area Governments and its directors, many of whom appear to be dubious that what they are doing adds up to a coherent regional strategy.</p>
<p class="p3">The agency’s planning director, Ken Kirkey, defended the staff’s efforts. “What we do is long-range planning,” he said. “Thinking forward to 2040, you can’t be stuck in the mindset of 2012, which is really hard.”</p>
<p class="p4"><b>A MOVING TARGET</b></p>
<p class="p6">Some experts in the field of population prediction said the concern with quantifying future growth is overblown.</p>
<p class="p3">Housing targets for as far off as 2040 are hardly something to get worked up about, said economist Stephen Levy, director of the Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy, a research group in Palo Alto. Levy has been helping the Bay Area planning agencies tackle the job growth calculations based on national and regional economic trends.</p>
<p class="p3">“These projections are long term in nature and have a self-correcting mechanism in place,” he said. “If trends change, the growth projections will change. But right now there’s every indication that ABAG’s projections are low. We used fairly modest numbers,” he said.</p>
<p class="p3">Other urban planners maintain that the population projections are not a problem because to a certain extent the region can influence the size and shape of its own growth by setting a target.</p>
<p class="p3">“What’s a reasonable number?” asked Egon Terplan, the regional planning director at the San Francisco Planning and Urban Research Association. “Nobody has a crystal ball for the future. It’s easy to be skeptical of any number that comes up. I would be skeptical of someone who says these numbers don’t feel right.”</p>
<p class="p3">Terplan said that while job growth may have slowed in recent decades, the Bay Area was in “a pretty good place economically” and would continue to add population.</p>
<p class="p3">“The main future impediments to that growth are, frankly, land use policies that are restrictive of growth, and particularly the ability or inability to add significant amounts of housing,” he said. “I think that what’s important is having a number that encourages places to plan.”</p>
<p class="p3">Terplan said he hoped that higher population growth projections would end up encouraging economic growth. But if the region sets housing needs too low, he warned, communities would not make the big planning and zoning adjustments they would need when growth returned. They would have no impetus to prepare for the eventual economic boom.</p>
<p class="p3">“Let’s just think about the long-term goal for a moment, getting back to what are we trying to do,” he said. “It’s not producing a report. It’s not a fight about numbers on a piece of paper. It’s to change the way we do business.”</p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://sfpublicpress.org/news/2012-06/ever-changing-population-predictions-frustrate-bay-area-smart-growth-planning">http://sfpublicpress.org/news/2012-06/ever-changing-population-predictions-frustrate-bay-area-smart-growth-planning</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Dick Spotswood: Sinking those toll dollars into SF real estate &#8211; Marin Independent</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/1197/dick-spotswood-sinking-those-toll-dollars-into-sf-real-estate-marin-independent/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Jan 2012 16:56:16 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[EACH YEAR available funds for basic governmental service decrease. In Marin, police, fire, schools, sewers, public transit and social services all have to make do with less. Part of the cause is too much tax revenue ends up paying for &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/1197/dick-spotswood-sinking-those-toll-dollars-into-sf-real-estate-marin-independent/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span />
<p class="dropcap3raggedright">EACH YEAR available funds for basic governmental service decrease. In Marin, police, fire, schools, sewers, public transit and social services all have to make do with less. Part of the cause is too much tax revenue ends up paying for needless bureaucracies and their gold-plated trappings. </p>
<p class="bodytextragright"> The best government professionals understand the new and permanent reality that their agencies need to become lean and efficient. Others still don&#8217;t get it.</p>
<p> Exemplifying the clueless are regional agencies led by the Metropolitan Transportation Commission who late last year voted to spend $167 million in bay bridges toll money to buy and remodel a 1940s-era eight-story office building in San Francisco&#8217;s booming South of Market district. </p>
<p>Moving in with MTC are the Bay Area Air Quality Control District and the Bay Conservation and Development Commission. The rationale is that all of these agencies need more space for their ever-increasing staffs. The financial justification is that during the next 20 years, earnings from renting excess space in the building at 390 Main Street will reap substantial profits that will more than pay the structure&#8217;s initial cost. </p>
<p> Trust that and you rely on the Tooth Fairy to fund your dental work.</p>
<p> The MTC will move from Oakland&#8217;s Joe Bort Metrocenter, which it shares with the Association of Bay Area Governments. Presumably, ABAG, with its own growing staff, is delighted to </p>
<p>take over the building.
<p> This is a Marin issue just as much as it relates to any of the Bay Area&#8217;s nine counties. </p>
<p>These regional bureaucracies stay under the radar because they aren&#8217;t responsible to any one county. Allegedly, they are responsible to the whole region. Effectively, they are responsible to no one. </p>
<p>Marin&#8217;s veteran MTC representative is Supervisor Steve Kinsey. He&#8217;s a key player at every step backing MTC&#8217;s publicity-shy honcho Steve Heminger. </p>
<p>Moving MTC from Oakland was a fight. Oakland is a troubled city that relies on high-paying government jobs to create its middle class. Oakland&#8217;s struggling downtown is chock-a-block with vacant 1940s-era office buildings. Many can be rented for a song, with owners delighted to make tenant improvements in return for long-term leases. </p>
<p> Purchasing 70-year-old 390 Main St. was decided on a 8-6 vote, with Kinsey standing with the majority.</p>
<p> When pondering why three regional agencies would need to purchase a 497,204-square-foot building to house their expanding staff, the question necessarily arises as to what it costs to pay these folks. </p>
<p> Check its employment numbers: MTC has 220 employees costing $30.5 million including &#8220;salaries and benefits&#8221; plus &#8220;other expenses.&#8221; That doesn&#8217;t include $39.8 million in &#8220;professional fees&#8221; </p>
<p>  The Bay Area Air Quality Management District of &#8220;Spare the Air on Christmas&#8221; fame has an astounding 321 employees. Its annual staff expenditures total $46.7 million, averaging $145,482 per employee, including pensions and health care. That&#8217;s plus $11.2 million for consultants. Monitoring chimneys is expensive. </p>
<p>The new edifice will house 580 full-time employees, whose annual earnings  total  $81.1 million. </p>
<p>What does the public get in return? Paper-pushers expert at mission creep. </p>
<p>That&#8217;s the definition of a project going well beyond its original assignment.</p>
<p>Invented with much promise in the 1970s, regional transportation, housing and air quality agencies thrive all over the Golden State. They are staff-heavy regional agencies, few of whom perform any on-the-ground public services. They are masters of &#8220;coordination.&#8221; </p>
<p> Now it&#8217;s clearer why municipalities have fewer firefighters, police, librarians, street repair crews, teachers, bus drivers and nurses. </p>
<p>A route to fostering people-serving public services is by dismantling this statewide web of empire-building bureaucracies that employ thousands and cost hundreds of millions.  </p>
<p class="taglinetrailer">Columnist Dick Spotswood of Mill Valley shares his views on local politics every Sunday in the IJ. His email address is spotswood@comcast.net. Read his musings at  http://blogs.marinij.com/spotswood/</p>
<p><span /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.marinij.com/opinion/ci_19691993">http://www.marinij.com/opinion/ci_19691993</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Metropolitan Transportation Commission OKs SF move</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Oct 2011 05:16:45 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[After a false start, a campaign by Oakland officials and a legislative order for a state audit, a deeply divided Metropolitan Transportation Commission approved on Wednesday the purchase of a downtown San Francisco building that will serve as its home &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/995/metropolitan-transportation-commission-oks-sf-move/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After a false start, a campaign by Oakland officials and a legislative order for a state audit, a deeply divided Metropolitan Transportation Commission approved on Wednesday the purchase of a downtown San Francisco building that will serve as its home and a regional government center.</p>
<p>The commission, the Bay Area&#8217;s regional transportation planning and financing agency, voted 8-6, with two members absent, to buy 390 Main St. for $93 million and spend up to $74 million on improvements to the 1942 building. The deal is expected to close today or Friday.</p>
<p>The almost 500,000-square-foot building, constructed as a tank assembly plant and most recently used as a postal center, will be overhauled and turned into a regional government headquarters. In addition to housing the Metropolitan Transportation Commission and its bridge operations division, the Bay Area Toll Authority, the structure will be home to the Bay Area Air Quality Management District, the Bay Conservation and Development Commission and, possibly, the Association of Bay Area Governments. Part of the building will be leased out.</p>
<p>&#8220;It will serve as an excellent regional governance center,&#8221; said Jack Broadbent, executive director of the air board.</p>
<p>Joyce Roy, a transit activist who opposed the move, agreed that putting regional agencies in the same building &#8220;is going to speed up the process of getting a true metropolitan planning agency in the Bay Area.&#8221;</p>
<p>The decision came after hours of testimony and four meetings at which Oakland officials, including Mayor Jean Quan, argued that the commission should keep its offices in their city, preferably by building a glass high-rise downtown. Other critics said the half-mile distance from BART was too much.</p>
<p>The commission first voted to buy the building in July &#8211; for $105 million &#8211; calling it the best option for a new home that its <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/">real estate</a> consultants could find. The decision angered Oakland officials and captured the attention of East Bay legislators who questioned whether it is legal to use bridge toll revenues to buy real estate, some of which will be leased out.</p>
<p> Six weeks later, after state legislators backed a request by Sen. Mark DeSaulnier, D-Concord, for an audit of the legality of using toll money, the commission backed off the decision and appointed a committee to investigate the deal further. Last month, at the committee&#8217;s recommendation, the commission voted to bid on the building, then back on the open market. Last week, the bid was accepted. After a 45-minute closed-session meeting Wednesday, the commission voted to buy the property.</p>
<p>Rehabilitation of the building, which will be almost completely gutted then modernized, is expected to take about a year.</p>
<p>Voting to buy the building were Commissioners David Campos, Bill Dodd, Steve Kinsey, Jake Mackenzie, Kevin Mullin, Jim Spering, Scott Wiener and Adrienne Tissier. Opposed were Tom Bates, Dave Cortese, Federal Glover, Mark Green, Scott Haggerty and Amy Rein Worth.</p>
</p>
</p>
<p class="dtlcomment">E-mail Michael Cabanatuan at mcabanatuan@sfchronicle.com.</p>
<p>This article appeared on page <strong>C &#8211; 2</strong> of the San Francisco Chronicle</p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/10/12/BA241LGVHF.DTL">http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/10/12/BA241LGVHF.DTL</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>MTC on track to leave Oakland for San Francisco</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/896/mtc-on-track-to-leave-oakland-for-san-francisco/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Sep 2011 19:29:20 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Blanca Torres Reporter &#8211; San Francisco Business Times Email The Metropolitan Transportation Commission and the Bay Area Toll Authority plan to meet Wednesday morning to re-affirm their decision to move their offices to San Francisco. The commission and toll authority &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/896/mtc-on-track-to-leave-oakland-for-san-francisco/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p>          			<img src="http://homesmillbrae.com/wp-content/plugins/rss-poster/cache/64adf_TorresBlanca.jpg" width="56" title="MTC on track to leave Oakland for San Francisco" alt="64adf TorresBlanca MTC on track to leave Oakland for San Francisco" /></a>	</p>
<p>          Blanca Torres<br />
                                    	Reporter &#8211; <em>San Francisco Business Times</em></p>
<p>                  Email</p>
<p>The Metropolitan Transportation Commission and the Bay Area Toll Authority plan to meet Wednesday morning to re-affirm their decision to move their offices to San Francisco.</p>
<p>The commission and toll authority along with the Air Quality Management District agreed on July 17 to buy a 455,000-square foot building at 390 Main St. in San Francisco for a joint regional headquarters after a request for proposals yielding several five in San Francisco and Oakland.</p>
<p>The July decision was later rescinded on Aug. 17 after a huge outpouring of opposition from Oakland residents, business leaders and local officials.</p>
<p>The MTC board agreed to form a six-person subcommittee to review the 390 Main Street decision and report their findings within 60 days.</p>
<p>The opponents argued that 390 Main is not convenient or easy to reach for disabled people and would require significant and costly upgrades.</p>
<p>Oakland supporters also argued that the agencies would have a greater positive economic impact by staying in Oakland verses moving to San Francisco.</p>
<p>The allotted time has not lapsed, but the board is ready to move forward to make a deal for 390 Main. According to an agenda report for the meeting, the subcommittee determined that the selection process was “thorough, fair, and transparent,” and that a purchase price in the range of $100 million “appears reasonable” for the building, which was formerly used by the <a href="http://www.bizjournals.com/profiles/company/oh/dayton/us_postal_service/3221827/" class="ct saveLink">U.S. Postal Service</a> <span class="follow-icon"><br />
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                     and is more than twice the size the regional agencies need for a joint headquarters.</p>
<p>The agencies plan to sublease space in the building with initial estimates that show the agencies could net $40 million during a 30-year period.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the Association of Bay Area Governments has no plans to join the other agencies in their move and will remain at their Oakland headquarters in a building it co-owns with MTC and BART.</p>
<blockquote><p>Blanca Torres covers East Bay real estate for the San Francisco Business Times.</p></blockquote>
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<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/2011/09/mtc-reaffirms-move-to-san-francisco.html">http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/2011/09/mtc-reaffirms-move-to-san-francisco.html</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>MTC halts move to buy S.F. building</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Aug 2011 07:48:43 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[The Metropolitan Transportation Commission, under fire from the city of Oakland and East Bay lawmakers, voted Wednesday to rescind its July decision to purchase a building at 390 Main St. in San Francisco and remake it into a regional government &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/819/mtc-halts-move-to-buy-s-f-building/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Metropolitan Transportation Commission, under fire from the city of Oakland and East Bay lawmakers, voted Wednesday to rescind its July decision to purchase a building at 390 Main St. in San Francisco and remake it into a regional government headquarters.</p>
<p>The commission, the Bay Area&#8217;s transportation planning and financing agency, voted 12-2 on July 27 to buy the almost 500,000-square-foot building for $105.7 million and spend up to $74 million on improvements. The commission, which has outgrown the headquarters building it shares with the Association of Bay Area Governments in Oakland, planned to relocate across the bay and move in with the Bay Area Air Quality Management District and the Bay Conservation and Development Commission.</p>
<p> But Oakland officials, who want the regional agencies to relocate in a yet-to-be-built 20-story glass tower in downtown Oakland, complained that the commission violated state open meeting laws by allowing members of ABAG to attend their closed session meeting to ask questions. The commission disagreed with that accusation but decided to hold a new meeting Wednesday to rescind the vote and reconsider the issue.</p>
<p>But after listening to almost three hours of criticism, questions and pleas to stay in Oakland, the commission decided unanimously to put off a decision on buying 390 Main St.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.sfgate.com/supervisors/">San Francisco Supervisor</a> Scott Wiener said the vote was not a decision to reject the San Francisco site but to take the needed time to answer questions ranging from whether it&#8217;s appropriate to use bridge toll revenue to buy <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/realestate/">real estate</a>, some of which will be leased commercially, to whether the location is seismically safe and close enough to public transportation.</p>
<p>&#8220;It should not be interpreted that &#8230; we made a grievous error,&#8221; he said. &#8220;We simply want to get the answers to some questions and avoid a lawsuit by Oakland, which has been pretty aggressive.&#8221;</p>
<p>Oakland officials, in addition to challenging the legality of the commission&#8217;s July vote, argued that the proposed building at 1100 Broadway would sit atop a BART station while the San Francisco building would be about a half mile away from one. They also argued that the Oakland building would be cheaper to build and operate if compared fairly.</p>
<p>Commissioners said the three dozen speakers raised many questions that deserved further research. A six-member committee will take up to 60 days to do that research and bring the issue back to the full commission for a decision.</p>
<p>&#8220;I&#8217;m disappointed in the political heat this has generated,&#8221; said San Mateo County Supervisor Adrienne Tissier, the commission chairwoman. &#8220;But it has raised some important issues we need to address.&#8221;</p>
<p class="dtlcomment">E-mail Michael Cabanatuan at mcabanatuan@sfchronicle.com.</p>
<p>This article appeared on page <strong>C &#8211; 3</strong> of the San Francisco Chronicle</p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/08/17/BA4H1KOJTM.DTL">http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/08/17/BA4H1KOJTM.DTL</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Oakland lobbies to keep public agencies in East Bay</title>
		<link>http://homesmillbrae.com/776/oakland-lobbies-to-keep-public-agencies-in-east-bay/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Jul 2011 14:55:58 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[OAKLAND &#8212; Sometimes no news is good news. The Association of Bay Area Governments&#8217; board of directors emerged from a two-hour closed session Thursday without making a decision to vacate its Oakland headquarters in favor of San Francisco. The board &#8230; <a href="http://homesmillbrae.com/776/oakland-lobbies-to-keep-public-agencies-in-east-bay/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span />
<p class="bodytext">OAKLAND &#8212; Sometimes no news is good news. The Association of Bay Area Governments&#8217; board of directors emerged from a two-hour closed session Thursday without making a decision to vacate its Oakland headquarters in favor of San Francisco.</p>
<p>The board was scheduled to vote Thursday night on a South of Market location for the shared regional headquarters for ABAG, the Metropolitan Transportation Commission and the Bay Area Air Quality Management District. The air district board gave its blessing Monday, and MTC, which is handling the location search, is scheduled to vote Wednesday. </p>
<p>East Bay leaders are not letting go without a fight and raised several questions Thursday about the selection process. The real estate firm hired to complete the search recommended an eight-story building at 390 Main St. in San Francisco as the best choice. </p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s an important decision, a once-in-a-lifetime decision,&#8221; said Oakland Deputy Mayor Sharon Cornu. &#8220;It&#8217;s worth getting all the facts (about the proposals). Our team has made over 200 phone calls (to board members of the three agencies). We are hearing a strong preference for the East Bay. Oakland offers the best value and the best location. &#8220;&#8230; But at the end of the day, it&#8217;s a business decision.&#8221;</p>
<p>MTC spokesman Randy Rentschler said earlier this week that the San Francisco deal depends on all three agencies voting in favor of it. Ezra Rapport, ABAG&#8217;s executive director and secretary/treasurer, said Friday </p>
<p>that while the board did not take final action regarding the proposed move to San Francisco, it did ask staff to communicate with MTC before its vote next week. Once those discussions have taken place, the board could decide to reschedule the vote, he said.
<p>Board member Rebecca Kaplan questioned whether the San Francisco building was ready for occupancy and whether staff had fully analyzed how much rehabilitation would be needed before the agencies could move in. She pointed out that the selection committee was supposed to provide two final options for relocation, one in San Francisco and one in Oakland, but that did not happen.</p>
<p>According to the staff analysis, the most likely option in Oakland, a new high-rise office development at 1100 Broadway, would not yield needed third-party rents to make the project financially viable.</p>
<p>The three agencies in 2009 agreed to join forces to try and find a shared facility to replace undersized and outdated facilities in Oakland and San Francisco. </p>
<p>The air district is located in San Francisco, but ABAG and MTC&#8217;s 277 employees share an office building at 101 Eighth St. in Oakland. BART also owns a share of the building.</p>
<p>About 60 percent of the employees of the combined agencies live in the East Bay.</p>
<p>The criteria required that the new location be within a half-mile of BART and other public transit. It has to contain at least 350,000 square feet of rentable space and be able to meet seismic and ADA codes. It also has to be able to achieve LEED certification status.</p>
<p>A consultant narrowed down the responses to five that met the basic criteria, including the as-yet unbuilt office tower at 1100 Broadway in Oakland, and the Clorox headquarters at 14th and Broadway. </p>
<p>Clorox was removed from consideration because the owners wanted to lease, not sell. </p>
<p>The empty lot at 1100 Broadway in Oakland has already received its planning entitlements for a Class A, LEED-certified office tower and is located over a BART station. But the financial analysis ruled it out as too expensive.</p>
<p>After vetting the pros and cons of the sites, a 500,000-square-foot building at 390 Main St. in San Francisco has emerged as the preferred location. The three combined agencies need 150,000 to 200,000 square feet of space, including room for public assembly and board meetings. The extra space will be rented out to help the agencies recoup costs. </p>
<p>It also allows room for future growth within the agencies or for other government agencies such as Bay Conservation and Development Commission to move in, if the need and opportunity should arise.</p>
<p>The failure of the ABAG board to vote for the San Francisco site could potentially derail the plan. </p>
<p>&#8220;The objective is for all three to commit as a collective group. I don&#8217;t know what happens if one does (vote for it) and the other two don&#8217;t,&#8221; said Rentschler earlier in the week. &#8220;No doubt, we want space for all three agencies to be together.&#8221;</p>
<p class="tagline">Contact Cecily Burt at 510-208-6441. Follow her at <a href="http://Twitter.com/csburt">Twitter.com/csburt</a>.</p>
<p><span /></p>
<p>Article source: <a href="http://www.insidebayarea.com/oaklandtribune/localnews/ci_18533562">http://www.insidebayarea.com/oaklandtribune/localnews/ci_18533562</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
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