“What are they so excited about?” asked Hunter. “That they have pricing power.”

Housing completions fell 0.9 percent to an annualized rate of 690,000, well below demand. Underlying demand consists of new households forming (about 1.1 million, according to Census data,) replacement demand (about 250,000 homes) and second home demand (about 50,000,) according to IHS Global Insight.

“The wide gap between housing completions and underlying demand suggests that inventories are likely to get leaner over the next 12 months,” IHS analysts said in a report to investors. “For the record, it takes about seven months on average for a single-family permit to turn into a completed home.”

The supply pinch can be seen quite dramatically in California, where there was barely a two-month supply of homes for sale in May. That, and a change in the mix of home sales from distressed to nondistressed, pushed the median sale price up 32 percent from a year ago. Some might call that a “bubble,” but the real state agents do not.

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“While home prices are increasing at levels above those observed in 2006-2007, the fundamentals of the housing market are much more solid than what we experienced a few years ago,” said Leslie Appleton-Young, chief economist for the California Association of Realtors. “More home buyers are putting down larger down payments, and many of them are opting for more stable loan products.”

That may be, but the jump in the median California home price jump is predominantly due to a change in the mix of homes selling, that is, more nondistressed sales and fewer foreclosure and short sales. The median price is where half the homes sell for more and half sell for less. In May, distressed properties accounted for 31 percent of total sales in California, down from 52 percent of sales a year ago, according to Propertyradar, a data and analytics company. Meanwhile, nondistressed sales were 69 percent of total sales, up from 48 percent a year ago.

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100821976

The report on inventory and price activity, released Thursday, pointed out that the median price of a single-family home in L.A. County was $301,300 last month, compared to $271,540 in May— an 11 percent rise.

But compared to a year ago, prices were down 3.9 percent. The median level represents the midpoint of values.

Median home prices in California in June rose 1 percent to $295,300, from $292,420 in May, according to the report. 

Compared to a year ago, prices across the state were off 5.9 percent as the median price of a single-family home was $313,890.

As for home sales in the county, figures showed that existing home sales were up 2.4 percent from May to June, and down 11.6 percent from June 2010.

Sales of existing homes statewide rose 1.2 percent month-to-month, according to the report. The median number of days it took to sell a home was 50.3.

“Looking across the state, a number of areas are showing signs of strength, especially in the San Francisco Bay Area, primarily because of the strong performing tech industry,” said California Association of Realtors Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young in a statement.   

But the association’s president, Beth Peerce, warned in a statement that the positive signals shouldn’t be interpreted as a turnaround for the state’s real estate market.

Federal changes to mortgage loan limits and down payment requirements set to take effect Sept. 30 could “adversely affect the market,” she said.

June 2011 county sales and price activity for existing single-family detached homes:

(Source: California Association of Realtors)

— City News Service contributed to this report.

Article source: http://hermosabeach.patch.com/articles/home-prices-rise-countywide